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650 points clcaev | 86 comments | | HN request time: 0.505s | source | bottom
1. voidUpdate ◴[] No.45063021[source]
I'm still convinced that it being called "full self driving" is misleading marketing and really needs to stop, since it isn't according to Tesla
replies(7): >>45063088 #>>45063277 #>>45063334 #>>45063570 #>>45063571 #>>45063584 #>>45066589 #
2. acdha ◴[] No.45063088[source]
Why do you think Musk put so much money into helping Trump win? Tesla was under multiple investigations for safety and unkept promises, and he knew that he would not have leverage to halt those under a Harris administration.
replies(2): >>45063255 #>>45063332 #
3. thowaway52729 ◴[] No.45063255[source]
If that was his goal he would have minded his own business after the election, instead of spouting invective posts against Trump on X.
replies(5): >>45063276 #>>45063604 #>>45063944 #>>45064679 #>>45065904 #
4. Maken ◴[] No.45063276{3}[source]
That was after Musk realized he had alienated his entire consumer base.
replies(2): >>45063347 #>>45063680 #
5. orlp ◴[] No.45063277[source]
The marketing doesn't even matter. It either needs to be full self driving, or nothing at all. The "semi self-driving but you're still responsible when shit hits the fan" just doesn't work.

Humans are simply incapable of paying attention to a task for long periods if it doesn't involve some kind of interactive feedback. You can't ask someone to watch paint dry while simultaneously expect them to have < 0.5sec reaction time to a sudden impulse three hours into the drying process.

replies(2): >>45063485 #>>45064308 #
6. myrmidon ◴[] No.45063332[source]
I'm absolutely not a fan of Trump, but this is a highly questionable assumption.

The much more likely hypothesis in my view is that he was helping Trump because of personal conviction (only in small parts motivated by naked self-interest).

You should expect rational billionaires to tend politically right out of pure self-interest and distorted perspective alone; because the universal thing that such parties reliably do when in power is cutting tax burden on the top end.

replies(3): >>45063429 #>>45063451 #>>45066199 #
7. terminalshort ◴[] No.45063334[source]
I see this brought up a lot, but I don't think it's really an issue. It's misleading in a very technical sense, but it's so misleading that nobody is mislead. Just like nobody thinks the "Magic Eraser" is actually magic. I fundamentally just don't think anybody is out there actually believing this thing is L5 full self driving, especially after all the warnings it shows you and the disclaimers when you buy it.

The problem here isn't that people think they don't need to pay attention because their car can drive itself and then crash. The problem is that people who know full well that they need to focus on driving just don't because fundamentally the human brain isn't any good at paying attention 100% of the time in a situation where you can get away with not paying attention 99.9% of the time, and naming just can't solve this.

8. thowaway52729 ◴[] No.45063347{4}[source]
And he wants to bring them back by alienating Trump while doubling down on his rhetoric?
replies(1): >>45063660 #
9. antonvs ◴[] No.45063429{3}[source]
Musk is on record saying to Tucker Carlson that “If [Trump] loses, I’m fucked.”

So this isn't so much of an assumption, as taking him at his word.

replies(2): >>45063530 #>>45064001 #
10. blizdiddy ◴[] No.45063451{3}[source]
That’s insane. Do you remember DOGE or Elon taking his cronies into the same departments investigating him? Do you even remember?
replies(1): >>45063923 #
11. AuthorizedCust ◴[] No.45063485[source]
I have a SAE level 2 car. Those features DO help!
replies(2): >>45063555 #>>45063600 #
12. unnamed76ri ◴[] No.45063530{4}[source]
The Left was coming after Musk pretty hard before the election. I don’t know the context of the quote you pulled but it’s not hard to see how if Trump lost, there was going to be consequences for Musk.
replies(1): >>45063613 #
13. Jeremy1026 ◴[] No.45063555{3}[source]
Same. Not having to worry about keeping the car between the lines allows me to keep my focus on the other cars around me more. Offloading the cognitive load of fine tuning allows more dedication to the bigger picture.
replies(1): >>45063881 #
14. razemio ◴[] No.45063570[source]
Everytime this comes up, I am on the opposite site of this. It is clearly full self driving. It can stop at red lights, cross intersections, make turns, park, drive, change lanes, break and navigate on its own. There are various videos online where FSD managed to drive a route start to finish without a single human override. That's full self driving. It can also crash like humans "can" and that why it needs supervision. In this sense, we as humans are also "full self driving" with a much (?) lower risk of crashing.

Like also everytime let the downvotes rain. If you downvote, it would be nice, if you could tell me where I am wrong. It might change my view on things.

replies(3): >>45063601 #>>45064337 #>>45069893 #
15. JumpCrisscross ◴[] No.45063571[source]
If you live in a city, please send this article to your municipal and state electeds. Tesla is lobbying for the right to train and activate its Level 4 product, marketed as Level 5, in cities where Musk is deeply unpopular. There is massive political capital to be had in banning Tesla’s self-driving features on even the flimsiest grounds.
replies(1): >>45063605 #
16. moduspol ◴[] No.45063584[source]
I’m less convinced we need to keep bringing this up in every single thread involving Tesla.
17. tialaramex ◴[] No.45063600{3}[source]
Framing is crucial. Example, why was the Autonomous Emergency Braking configured to brake violently to a full stop? Lets consider two scenarios, in both cases we're not paying enough attention to the outside world and are about to strike a child on a bicycle but the AEB policy varies.

1. AEB brakes violently to a full stop. We experience shock and dismay. What happened? Oh, a kid on a bike I didn't see. I nearly fucked up bad, good job AEB

2. AEB smoothly slows the vehicle to prevent striking the bicycle, we gradually become aware of the bike and believe we had always known it was there and our decision eliminated risk, why even bother with stupid computer systems?

Humans are really bad at accepting that they fucked up, if you give them an opportunity to re-frame their experience as "I'm great, nothing could have gone wrong" that's what they prefer, so, to deliver the effective safety improvements you need to be firm about what happened and why it worked out OK.

18. JumpCrisscross ◴[] No.45063601[source]
> It is clearly full self driving. It can stop at red lights, cross intersections, make turns, park, drive, change lanes, break and navigate on its own. That's full self driving

All this demonstrates is the term “full self driving” is meaningless.

Tesla has a SAE Level 3 [1] product they’re falsely marketing as Level 5; when this case occurred, they were misrepresenting a Level 2 system as Level 4 or 5.

If you want to see true self driving, take a Waymo. Tesla can’t do that. They’ve been lying that they can. That’s gotten people hurt and killed; Tesla should be liable for tens if not hundreds of billions for that liability.

[1] https://www.sae.org/blog/sae-j3016-update

replies(3): >>45063634 #>>45063723 #>>45063773 #
19. lenkite ◴[] No.45063604{3}[source]
He was under some imaginary assumption that Trump cared about the national deficit because of his campaign speeches. Once he realized that Trump really didn't care two hoots about it and only planned to increase it even more he had a late buyer's realization.
replies(1): >>45065281 #
20. terminalshort ◴[] No.45063605[source]
I would rather take a bullet than be a luddite who gets in the way of technological advancement on "the flimsiest of grounds."
replies(2): >>45063655 #>>45065870 #
21. Swenrekcah ◴[] No.45063613{5}[source]
He has committed a lot of fraud and was facing consequences for that. That has nothing to do with left or right.
replies(4): >>45063681 #>>45063758 #>>45063864 #>>45064854 #
22. terminalshort ◴[] No.45063634{3}[source]
If it's a meaningless term then it can't be misrepresenting to use it.
replies(1): >>45064146 #
23. JumpCrisscross ◴[] No.45063655{3}[source]
> be a luddite who gets in the way of technological advancement on "the flimsiest of grounds”

Blocking a technology is Luddism. Blocking a company is politics.

24. delfinom ◴[] No.45063660{5}[source]
He has an ego and narcissism but he isn't dumb. He sees the problems but also cant admit hes wrong or anything.
replies(1): >>45064619 #
25. antonvs ◴[] No.45063680{4}[source]
That happened much earlier. The split with Trump happened after it finally sunk in that that Republicans weren't actually interested in smaller government or cost savings, that that was just a rhetorical weapon that they deploy selectively to get elected.
replies(1): >>45065766 #
26. walls ◴[] No.45063681{6}[source]
It does actually, because only one side is interested in finding or fighting fraud.
replies(2): >>45063801 #>>45063897 #
27. razemio ◴[] No.45063723{3}[source]
That's something different. The problem with the level is, that it only focuses on the attention the human driver needs to give to the automation. In this sense my Kia EV6 is also Level 2/3, same as FSD. However FSD can do so much more than my Kia EV6. That's a fact. Still the same level. Where did Tesla say FSD is SAE Level 5 approved? They would be responsible everytime FSD is active during a crash. Tesla is full self driving with Level 2/3 supervision and in my opinion this is not missleading.

Also "All this demonstrates is the term “full self driving” is meaningless." prooves my point that it is not missleading.

replies(1): >>45063810 #
28. unnamed76ri ◴[] No.45063758{6}[source]
Fraud has nothing to do with vandalizing Tesla dealerships last I checked.
replies(2): >>45063821 #>>45064423 #
29. claw-el ◴[] No.45063773{3}[source]
The other confusion with self driving for me is, is the “self” the human or the car?

Self driving can totally means the human own-self driving.

Having SAE level is clearer.

replies(1): >>45065072 #
30. Swenrekcah ◴[] No.45063801{7}[source]
Currently yes, but it is not inherently so. The problem with the US regime is that it is compromised, corrupt and heading towards fascism.

The problem is not that the republican party used to be a conservative right party.

What I’m saying is this is not a sports competition where Musk is automatically an opponent of the Democratic party because he supported Trump. He supported Trump in order to improve his chances with the legal system because he knew Trump would be willing to be so corrupt.

Another world might be imagined in which the Democratic party was taken over in 2016 but that is not the world we live in.

31. JumpCrisscross ◴[] No.45063810{4}[source]
> FSD can do so much more than my Kia EV6. That's a fact. Still the same level

The levels are set at the lowest common denominator. A 1960s hot rod can navigate a straight road with no user input. That doesn’t mean you can trust it to do so.

> Where did Tesla say FSD is SAE Level 5 approved?

They didn’t say that. They said it could do what a Level 5 self-driving car can do.

“In 2016, the company posted a video of what appears to be a car equipped with Autopilot driving on its own.

‘The person in the driver's seat is only there for legal reasons,’ reads a caption that flashes at the beginning of the video. ‘He is not doing anything. The car is driving itself.’ (Six years later, a senior Tesla engineer conceded as part of a separate lawsuit that the video was staged and did not represent the true capabilities of the car.) [1]”

> Tesla is full self driving with Level 2/3 supervision and in my opinion this is not missleading

This is tautology. You’re defining FSD to mean whatever Tesla FSD can do.

[1] https://www.npr.org/2025/07/14/nx-s1-5462851/tesla-lawsuit-a...

replies(1): >>45063985 #
32. Swenrekcah ◴[] No.45063821{7}[source]
You are right it doesn’t. That is (wrongly) done by people who are (rightly) mad at him for making american life harder and global life more dangerous, in a self serving attempt to evade the justice system.
33. terminalshort ◴[] No.45063864{6}[source]
Can you give an example of these many instances of fraud?
replies(2): >>45063932 #>>45064150 #
34. AlexandrB ◴[] No.45063881{4}[source]
This makes no sense to me. Driving involves all senses, not just vision - if you're not feeling what the car is doing because you're not engaged with the steering wheel what good is it to see what's around you? I also don't understand how one has trouble staying between the lines with minimal cognitive input after more than a few months of driving.

Oh! And also, moving within the lane is sometimes important for getting a better look at what's up ahead or behind you or expressing car "body language" that allows others to know you're probably going to change lanes soon.

replies(3): >>45064027 #>>45064377 #>>45064888 #
35. terminalshort ◴[] No.45063897{7}[source]
Both are interested in finding and fighting fraud, but only from the other side. Leticia James charged Trump with a rack of felonies for putting false info on a loan application. The Trump DOJ charged Leticia James for doing exactly the same. Both sides claim the charges against them are politically motivated and the charges against the other side are completely legitimate.
replies(1): >>45064038 #
36. myrmidon ◴[] No.45063923{4}[source]
What would Elon even be in court for? Being a politically incorrect dumbass on ex-twitter is not punishable by law.

Sending a bunch of scriptkiddies around and having them cut government funding and gut agencies is not really how you make evidence "vanish", how would that even work?

And, lastly, jumping in front of an audience at every opportunity and running your mouth is the absolute last thing anyone would ever do if the goal was to avoid prosection. But it is perfectly in line with a person that has a very big ego and wants to achieve political goals.

replies(2): >>45064135 #>>45067990 #
37. scott_w ◴[] No.45063932{7}[source]
We can start from the linked article?
replies(1): >>45063997 #
38. rsynnott ◴[] No.45063944{3}[source]
I mean, if we was rational, sure, that's probably what he should have done. But, y'know, he clearly _isn't_.
39. razemio ◴[] No.45063985{5}[source]
How would you name a system which can do everything a Level 5 system can, but with Level 2/3 supervision? A name, which a PR team would choose without the missleading stuff as you are saying.
replies(1): >>45064062 #
40. terminalshort ◴[] No.45063997{8}[source]
Yeah, that's where I started, and I would recommend you do the same:

> U.S. District Judge Beth Bloom, who presided over the case, said in an order that she did not find “sufficient evidence” that Tesla’s failure to initially produce the data was intentional.

41. myrmidon ◴[] No.45064001{4}[source]
All the context I have for this is that he was grandstanding in front of a rightwing audience (after Trump was shot at, notably) and playing the "surely I would get unjustly prosecuted for my political incorrectness under the democrats".

What is your actual point? What would he stand in front of a judge for, right now, if Harris had won?

replies(1): >>45064754 #
42. ghaff ◴[] No.45064027{5}[source]
I don't have personal experience but friends with personal experience have sort of shifted my thinking on the topic. They'll note they do need to stay engaged but that it is genuinely useful on long drives in particular. The control handover is definitely an issue but so is manual driving in general. Their consensus is that the current state of the art is by no means perfect but it is improved and it's not like there aren't problems with existing manual driving even with some assistive systems.
43. walls ◴[] No.45064038{8}[source]
> Both sides claim the charges against them are politically motivated and the charges against the other side are completely legitimate.

This is how conservatives keep people going 'both sides!' even though they manufacture whatever is required to be that way.

replies(1): >>45064976 #
44. JumpCrisscross ◴[] No.45064062{6}[source]
> How would you name a system which can do everything a Level 5 system can, but with Level 2/3 supervision?

FSD cannot “do everything a Level 5 system can.” It can’t even match Waymo’s Level 4 capabilities, because it periodically requires human intervention.

But granting your premise, you’d say it’s a Level 2 or 3 system with some advanced capabilities. (Mercedes has a lane-keeping and -switching product. They’re not constantly losing court cases.)

replies(1): >>45065074 #
45. blizdiddy ◴[] No.45064135{5}[source]
Labor violations, taxes, National Highway traffic safety administration investigation Tesla.. are you willfully ignorant or a troll?
replies(1): >>45064450 #
46. JumpCrisscross ◴[] No.45064146{4}[source]
> If it's a meaningless term then it can't be misrepresenting to use it

It’s meaningless because Tesla redefines it at will. The misrepresentation causes the meaninglessness.

47. Swenrekcah ◴[] No.45064150{7}[source]
For instance he has made fraudulent statements regarding the current and near future capabilities of Tesla in an effort to inflate stock prices numerous times. He was in fact ordered by a judge to stop making such statements but he didn’t obey that.

He used to be quite charismatic, I believed him up until about 2017 or so. Then I figured he was just a bit greedy and maybe money got to his head but still a respectable innovator. However during 2020 or 2021 (I don’t exactly remember) he started to get quite unpleasant and making obviously short-term decisions, such as relying only on cameras for self driving because of chip shortages but dressing it up as an engineering decision.

replies(1): >>45065200 #
48. sneak ◴[] No.45064308[source]
I used to think this, but then I got a Model 3. I believe that FSD is presently better than most humans driving today even when they are theoretically “fully engaged in manual driving”.

FSD doesn’t lull humans into a false sense of security, humans do. FSD doesn’t let you use your phone while it’s on. This alone is an upgrade over most human beings, who think occasional quick phone usage while driving is fine (at least for themselves).

I believe that if you replaced all human drivers in the US with FSD as it exists today, fatalities would go down immediately.

Humans are not a gold standard, and the current median human driver is easy to outperform on safety.

replies(1): >>45066865 #
49. Workaccount2 ◴[] No.45064337[source]
>if you could tell me where I am wrong

It needs to have a crash rate equal to or ideally lower than a human driver.

Tesla does not release crash data (wonder why...), has a safety driver with a finger on the kill switch, and only lets select people take rides. Of course according to Elon always-honest-about-timelines Musk, this will all go away Soon(TM) and we will have 1M Robotaxis on the road by December 31st.

Completing a route without intervention doesn't mean much. It needs to complete thousands of routes without intervention.

Keep in mind that Waymos have selective intervention for when they get stuck. Teslas have active intervention to prevent them from mowing down pedestrians.

50. Jeremy1026 ◴[] No.45064377{5}[source]
My car requires hands on the wheel to continue to operate. So I do feel it moving.

> I also don't understand how one has trouble staying between the lines with minimal cognitive input after more than a few months of driving.

Once you have something assist you with that, you'll notice how much "effort" you are actually putting towards it.

51. throwway120385 ◴[] No.45064423{7}[source]
We were talking about Tesla's fraud cases, not some vandalism cases last time I checked.
replies(1): >>45064612 #
52. myrmidon ◴[] No.45064450{6}[source]
I'm not a troll.

I scrutinise beliefs and assumptions even if they are convenient, and you should, too.

I don't believe that Musks main motivation to participate in the 2024 election was to avoid prosecution, because his actions are not really compatible with this, and there is a much more plausible alternative hypothesis that he preferred (possibly no longer) the republican platform for non-prosecution reasons/personal conviction instead, which his actions are very compatible with.

> Labor violations, taxes, National Highway traffic safety administration investigation Tesla

Let me say it like this: Billionaires generally don't have to care about minor infractions like this at all. The whole system is set up to shield them from liability, and wealth is an excellent buffer against effective prosection regardless of who is president. There have been a plethora of infinitely more serious infractions with zero real consequences for the CEOs involved, and this is not because they participated in past presidential election campaigns. See: the VW diesel emission fraud or much worse, leaded gas in the last century (and what associated industry did to keep that going).

replies(3): >>45065296 #>>45065947 #>>45071371 #
53. unnamed76ri ◴[] No.45064612{8}[source]
Actually we were talking about personal consequences to Musk.
54. sjsdaiuasgdia ◴[] No.45064619{6}[source]
> but he isn't dumb.

    Musk’s assistant peeked back the muttered and said he had another meeting. “Do you have any final thoughts?” she asked.

    “Yes, I want to say one thing.” the data scientist said. He took a deep breath and turned to Musk.

    “I’m resigning today. I was feeling excited about the takeover, but I was really disappointed by your Paul Pelosi tweet. It’s really such obvious partisan misinformation and it makes me worry about you and what kind of friends you’re getting information from. It’s only really like the tenth percentile of the adult population who’d be gullible enough to fall for this.”

    The color drained from Musk’s already pale face. He leaned forward in his chair. No one spoke to him like this. And no one, least of all someone who worked for him, would dare to question his intellect or his tweets. His darting eyes focused for a second directly on the data scientist.

    “Fuck you!” Musk growled.

https://www.techdirt.com/2024/10/25/lies-damned-lies-and-elo...
55. efficax ◴[] No.45064679{3}[source]
he's not a very smart man
56. antonvs ◴[] No.45064754{5}[source]
My actual point is that when someone tells you who they are, you should consider believing them.

You'd have to ask Musk what he feels so guilty about that he had to buy an election.

replies(1): >>45065984 #
57. immibis ◴[] No.45064854{6}[source]
Why do you believe it has nothing to do with left or right?

(Democrats aren't left btw)

58. jamincan ◴[] No.45064888{5}[source]
I drive a VW with lane-keep assist and adaptive cruise control and automatic emergency braking. It won't change lanes for me, but aside from the requirements that I have my hands on the wheel, could otherwise drive itself on the highway.

I commute mainly on the highway about 45-1hr each way every day and it makes a big difference for driver fatigue. I was honestly a bit surprised. Even though, I'm steering, it requires less effort. I don't have my foot on the gas and I'm not having to adjust my speed constantly.

Critically, though, I do have to pay attention to my surroundings. It's not taking so much out of my driving that I can't stay engaged to what's happening around me.

59. terminalshort ◴[] No.45064976{9}[source]
Please explain how one person lying on a loan application is manufactured and another person lying on a loan application is a serious felony.
replies(1): >>45070519 #
60. sjsdaiuasgdia ◴[] No.45065072{4}[source]
Do you think anyone makes the same error when they see a "self cleaning" oven?

There's plenty wrong about the FSD terminology and SAE levels would absolutely be clearer, but I doubt more than a tiny fraction of people are confused as to the target of 'self' in the phrase 'full self driving'.

replies(1): >>45066259 #
61. terminalshort ◴[] No.45065074{7}[source]
But this speaks to the fundamental point the other commenter is making. A Waymo requires human intervention periodically too. It's just less than a Tesla with FSD, which is in turn less than a Tesla with Autopilot, which is dramatically less than my 20 year old truck. It's just that at some point we assume the probability of a crash is low enough that the human driver can zone out and hope for the best and nobody has the balls to come out and actually define an acceptable probability of serious injury or death to set an actually useful performance standard based on this.
replies(1): >>45069813 #
62. terminalshort ◴[] No.45065200{8}[source]
I just can't take the accusation of lying to increase stock price seriously because Elon has on occasion come right out and said the stock is overvalued https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1256239815256797184

You will basically never hear another CEO of another publicly traded company say this. I just don't believe that the same person who cares so little about his stock price that he sends a tweet like that (and the stock dropped 10% on it) also is making fraudulent statements to inflate the price. A better explanation is that he just says what he thinks without regard for the stock price, which is also something you won't see any other CEO of a publicly traded company do.

63. baggachipz ◴[] No.45065281{4}[source]
If he thought trump would actually adhere to anything he said... or, for that matter, was the least bit consistent in what he did on a day-to-day basis, then Elon is not fit to pull his own pants up in the morning.
64. DonHopkins ◴[] No.45065296{7}[source]
Oh, so you're willfully ignorant.
65. FireBeyond ◴[] No.45065766{5}[source]
I thought Musk was an amazing, brilliantly intelligent man?

But it took him four months deeply embedded with the Republican party to come to this conclusion?

It's been blindingly obvious to anyone remotely paying attention to US politics for the last decade (or two, or more, but blindingly so, more recently).

replies(2): >>45066336 #>>45067700 #
66. rcpt ◴[] No.45065870{3}[source]
The choice isn't a bullet it's getting smashed by a "robo" taxi.

And no you wouldn't.

replies(1): >>45066208 #
67. rcpt ◴[] No.45065904{3}[source]
He didn't really know what he was getting into until after all the appointments. I think he honestly believed that his engineering and business prowess would carry influence in the anti education party. fellforitagain.jpg
68. rcpt ◴[] No.45065947{7}[source]
Meetings with Vlad, election interference, a pile of books at the SEC. Even rich people go to jail for these kind of things
replies(1): >>45066474 #
69. rcpt ◴[] No.45065984{6}[source]
Somehow the right has this incredible ability where none of their words matter.

On the left the details of your sentence structure get criticism for weeks from the public and the press (remember "garbage people"?)

70. ikrenji ◴[] No.45066199{3}[source]
the rich already pay next to no tax thanks to loopholes aka living on loans.
71. terminalshort ◴[] No.45066208{4}[source]
I'm perfectly happy to take the risk of getting smashed by a robo taxi, and I do every day. Getting smashed by a robo taxi is actually a bit better than getting smashed by a human driver because at least in the case of getting smashed by the robo taxi the crash data goes into improving the system in the future.
replies(1): >>45068018 #
72. JumpCrisscross ◴[] No.45066259{5}[source]
> Do you think anyone makes the same error when they see a "self cleaning" oven?

How many juries and courts have ruled adversely against self-cleaning oven makers?

Tesla has absolutely lied about its software's capabilities. From the lawsuit that went to trial:

“In 2016, the company posted a video of what appears to be a car equipped with Autopilot driving on its own.

‘The person in the driver's seat is only there for legal reasons,’ reads a caption that flashes at the beginning of the video. ‘He is not doing anything. The car is driving itself.’ (Six years later, a senior Tesla engineer conceded as part of a separate lawsuit that the video was staged and did not represent the true capabilities of the car.) [1]”

[1] https://www.npr.org/2025/07/14/nx-s1-5462851/tesla-lawsuit-a...

replies(1): >>45066636 #
73. ◴[] No.45066336{6}[source]
74. myrmidon ◴[] No.45066474{8}[source]
Does not pass the smell test, those accusations hardly even qualify as a crime to be honest. If we had a fully democrat-controlled administration at every level (with every judge being a stout democrat), then I would still give you a <5% probability for Musk to end up behind bars for any of those (!!).

There is a pretty recent precendent on the other side of the political spectrum: Hillary Clinton. Republicans went on and on for how she belonged in prison. Anyone with half a brain was able to tell that this was not gonna happen, because there simply was no case. Republicans got basically absolute power since, and --surprise-- Hillary did not go to prison.

What makes you so confident that you are right about Elon, while the people back then were obviously wrong with Hillary (even without hindisght!).

replies(1): >>45068094 #
75. MetaWhirledPeas ◴[] No.45066589[source]
You managed to get a lot of replies, but none of them are pointing out that this 2019 case did not involve "full self driving" at all.
76. sjsdaiuasgdia ◴[] No.45066636{6}[source]
To be 100% clear: FSD and Autopilot are both terrible product names that imply promises greater than the products can deliver, and Musk / Tesla have made that worse with statements like those you reference. People have died as a result.

I just disagree that any significant number of people anywhere have thought the 'self' in 'full self driving' refers to the driver.

77. binoct ◴[] No.45066865{3}[source]
So this is a really good example of small sample size intuition being a big challenge. Fatalities happen on the order of billion miles driven - obviously people don’t come to that. Take a few thousand miles of positive experience sets a statistical floor on accident rates, but that is orders of magnitude away from how safe (or unsafe, depending on how you look at it) human drivers are on average. FSD and other, less capable L2 systems are amazing at paying attention in situations where humans fail, but also tend to have major limitations in places humans will largely do great most of the time. Your experience, as positive as it has been, doesn’t support the assertion that fatalities would decrease.
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78. antonvs ◴[] No.45067700{6}[source]
If we accept his self-diagnosis of autism spectrum disorder, it could make a certain amount of sense. Coupled with the common propensity for motivated reasoning - someone initially told him what he wanted to hear, and he believed it.

It's always difficult to get a true read on what people believe, and that goes double for very powerful or wealthy people, who have professionals devoted to their image management.

Which, not coincidentally, is also where the idea of Musk as an "amazing, brilliantly intelligent man" comes from. After all, he doesn't have any sort of history of published work or intellectual breakthroughs to support that.

He seems to be good at investment, and at a certain kind of hype-based marketing, including of himself (up to a point.)

79. acdha ◴[] No.45067990{5}[source]
> What would Elon even be in court for? Being a politically incorrect dumbass on ex-twitter is not punishable by law.

Look at the things he’s already been in court for: labor and environmental violations, safety problems. A really big one for him is the exposure to suits over his statements as the CEO of a public company: anyone who’s bought TSLA in the the last decade or so could, for example, claim that he was knowingly misleading investors about FSD’s readiness or safety record.

Each of those are areas where he absolutely does not want someone with government investigatory powers talking to his employees, demanding internal documents, etc. and in several of them he could have business activities blocked if, for example, they linked approvals to more comprehensive evidence (imagine if they couldn’t sell FSD for use on public roads until it was safer and had to compensate past buyers).

80. rcpt ◴[] No.45068018{5}[source]
Doubt.
81. rcpt ◴[] No.45068094{9}[source]
There was no case against Hillary you're correct.

But that doesn't mean that there is no case against Elon. I'm not sure why you would draw an equals between the two. The SEC really does put people in jail, the stuff with Vlad is bordering on treason.

I think you may have forgotten that we actually used to have a government and there was rule of law.

82. JumpCrisscross ◴[] No.45069813{8}[source]
> Waymo requires human intervention periodically

Not urgently. FSD has time-sensitive intervention requirements. Waymo’s time sensitivities are driven by passenger comfort, not safety.

83. gitaarik ◴[] No.45069893[source]
When I'm sitting next to a sober driver, I generally expect I can trust the driver and don't necessarily need to pay attention all the time and call for attention when necessary.

Are you saying you would sit in a Tesla without paying much attention, in the same way you're sitting next to someone you trust driving the car? Would you go do phone stuff or look for stuff in your bag while your Tesla is driving you?

I mean I guess people are doing that, but with all the reports and stories I hear, it seems to me it's quite tricky, and you better just watch the road.

So I wouldn't really call that fully self driving. It's kind of like an LLM, it does great most of the time, but occasionally it does something disastrous. And therefore a human needs to be there to correct it. If you would let it all go on it's own it's not gonna end well. That's not fully self driving. That's human assisted driving.

84. sneak ◴[] No.45070245{4}[source]
I see median human drivers all of the time, and I see median FSD all of the time. I don’t need to drive a billion miles to have a valid opinion that one is better than the other.

I’m sure things are very different out around the edges, as you note, but the majority of the time humans in cars kill people it isn’t because they were in an edge case - quite the opposite. They were just driving home from the bar like they do every night.

85. walls ◴[] No.45070519{10}[source]
Scale, intent, history... so many things make two crimes that sound the same, not the same.
86. mlsu ◴[] No.45071371{7}[source]
A government that seriously investigated the claims that Tesla has been making and stop them from selling cars with it? Maybe causing their stock price to reflect their status as a mediocre electric car company, causing the entire house of cards to come down?

You can’t seriously think it’s just politics. Elon’s _entire_ fortune is built on these misrepresentations. A competent government that forces them to stop selling self driving, after a series of high profile lawsuits, is something Elon would pay very close attention to, probably even more than the day to day operations of the (mediocre electric car) company that he runs.

Elon is about the stock, the stock price, and the yarn he spins to keep it up. There is nothing else for him.