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437 points adventured | 57 comments | | HN request time: 0.932s | source | bottom
1. lousken ◴[] No.27161749[source]
Is automotive industry all that EU cares about? What about IoT/robotics? The fact that TSMC want to build only their older fab here is really disappointing to me.
replies(7): >>27161984 #>>27162012 #>>27162127 #>>27162162 #>>27162168 #>>27164080 #>>27164229 #
2. ◴[] No.27161984[source]
3. AlchemistCamp ◴[] No.27162012[source]
The EU has also supplied both weapons and technology that are currently threatening Taiwan: https://www.businessinsider.com/european-companies-are-suppl...

France alone was the #2 supplier from 2015-2019: https://euro-sd.com/2020/03/news/16688/sipri-biggest-arms-ex...

You really can't blame Taiwan for not rushing to put its most cutting edge expertise in the EU.

replies(5): >>27162157 #>>27162441 #>>27162546 #>>27163074 #>>27164911 #
4. mrtksn ◴[] No.27162127[source]
EU is loosely coupled peace union with a lot of sovereignty left to the individual states. If I remember correctly, ones Rupert Murdoch famously said that it’s impossible to find a phone number to call.

So, It’s probably not up to the EU to care about automotive, that must be Germany. France and Spain likely cares about other things and no one cares about cutting edge chips. EU can push from the top by easing state aid rules, I guess, however it must be a particular country to strike a deal.

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5. vineyardmike ◴[] No.27162162[source]
TSMC is also likely saving their best tech for where they can control it the best and shop it around the best. The US has lots of high tech customers (Apple, Qualcomm, AMD even Intel) who are willing to pay top price for supply. Add in the US and their heavy national security needs/desire/politics and of course the energy and money is obvious for good fabs in the US.

England has some semiconductor industry and so does Germany, but less of it is top-spec tech from cash rich companies. Obviously “Europe” still cares about national security but is the money and politics comparable to the US military industrial complex?

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6. totalZero ◴[] No.27162168[source]
Older lithography is what European automakers need, and the same can be said for robotics. The only reason for EU to demand fabrication of leading edge chips in Europe is hubris. How many laptops and mobile phones, in percent terms relative to those respective markets, are assembled in Europe?
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7. mannerheim ◴[] No.27162425{3}[source]
That's false. France hasn't exported arms to Taiwan since 2005 according to SIPRI <https://armstrade.sipri.org/armstrade/page/values.php>. All Taiwanese arms imports since 2015 have come from the United States.
8. tasogare ◴[] No.27162441[source]
France also sold a good part of weapons that is used to defend Taiwan (the Mirage fleet).
9. pawsforapplase ◴[] No.27162446[source]
I've actually always wondered why automakers never try to make consumer electronics. They wouldn't even need to compete with Apple or Dell; would you consider an Audi or Toyota laptop in place of a Panasonic Toughbook?

Caterpillar does it with phones[1], and their main business is heavy industry. Why not auto manufacturers? Could easier access to smaller process nodes incentivize them to branch out into new markets like that?

[1]: https://www.catphones.com/

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10. tim-- ◴[] No.27162521{3}[source]
It's not Caterpillar doing this, though. It's Bullitt Group. They are the same people behind the Kodak phone. Thier whole business model basically revolves around licensing big brands that you have heard of, and making mobile devices with that brand stamped on it.
11. NicoJuicy ◴[] No.27162546[source]
Eg ~ 200 million in 2012 is not a lot of arms.

That's 2,5 x f35's ( without maintenance) which really is just peanuts.

replies(1): >>27163556 #
12. idiotsecant ◴[] No.27162695{3}[source]
in Capitalism's majesty it provides equal access to incredibly expensive military technology to both the world's 2nd largest economy and it's 36th largest economy economy!
13. RedShift1 ◴[] No.27162758{3}[source]
R.M. probably meant it more as a figure of speech.
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14. TMWNN ◴[] No.27162811{3}[source]
>Please don't signal boost easily falsifiable claims like this. The function of it is to sow division and prevent proper nuanced discussion.

The phone numbers on that page is a hotline for general questions. It is absolutely not the same thing as the point mrtksn's Murdoch quote mentioned.

A media magnate like Murdoch has the phone number to the White House central switchboard and can get the President on the phone. Maybe not immediately, but probably within an hour. He might even have the President's personal cell phone number.[1] In turn, the President can either do what Murdoch requests, or transfer him to someone who can.

What is the EU equivalent to this sort of access? Murdoch can probably get Ursula von der Leyen on the phone more easily than he can Biden. But is she the right person for what Murdoch needs? Even if she is, her position certainly does not have the breadth of authority, or depth of command structures, that a US president can call upon. If Murdoch learns from a reliable source that Russia is going to full-on invade western Ukraine tomorrow, would calling von der Leyen to warn her be of any particular help for Ukraine, or for Europe? No; calling Biden, Merkel, Macron, and Johnson would be more effective.[2] That's the sort of thing Murdoch meant.

[1] Trump is well known for giving his cell phone number out and personally responding to calls, both before and after his election

[2] In this scenario, whether the UK is a EU member or not does not matter

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15. Griffinsauce ◴[] No.27162818{4}[source]
Yeah, that's nice cover.

This is a meme that is meant to heighten emotions in politics. It's small but intentionally destructive and each repetition of one of these little demonizations further prevents cool-headed nuanced discourse.

It's death by a thousand cuts for our society.

16. nl ◴[] No.27163074[source]
France also sells arms to Taiwan probably worth more than the sales to China.

https://www.france24.com/en/20200513-china-warns-france-agai...

17. realityking ◴[] No.27163180[source]
> If I remember correctly, ones Rupert Murdoch famously said that it’s impossible to find a phone number to call.

Irbid question is attributed to former US foreign secretary Henry Kissinger who supposedly asked:

> Who do I call if I want to call Europe?

Like many famous quotes, it seems to be false: https://www.ft.com/content/c4c1e0cd-f34a-3b49-985f-e708b247e...

Even if he had said it, the EUs political framework has changed and there‘s now a “foreign minister”-like Post that is the EUs phone number for other foreign ministers.

replies(1): >>27163899 #
18. raverbashing ◴[] No.27163248{4}[source]
Murdoch meant "who should I call to have the deals I want to make facilitated?" (to put it in PC terms)
replies(1): >>27163329 #
19. bserge ◴[] No.27163277{3}[source]
I've always wondered why most household appliances recycling factories don't sell the parts, but hey, I'm just a lowly employee, not a CEO getting paid five+ figures a year.

When I looked into it, the most cited reasons were "that's not our business" (really? then what is?) and "it costs more than it's worth" (it doesn't, plus you get government subsidies for green initiatives).

No mention of contracts forbidding that, some manufacturers do forbid resale of whole units, but not of spare parts.

Caterpillar sold/licensed their brand for use in industries they're not competing in, btw, just like many other big companies.

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20. TMWNN ◴[] No.27163329{5}[source]
Whether one thinks that Rupert Murdoch is a supervillain who manipulates politics in the UK and Australia as easily as a dog's owner gives orders to his pet, or merely an influential billionaire media mogul who gets the ear of world leaders like other billionaire media moguls, my point stands: There is no "there" in the EU for him to talk to.
replies(1): >>27163515 #
21. supergirl ◴[] No.27163344[source]
is TSMC doing anything innovative themselves? I thought they just purchase the machines or at least specs from ASML, a Dutch company. So the "best tech" is designed in EU anyway.
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22. andy_ppp ◴[] No.27163418{3}[source]
If it was that simple loads of companies would be smashing out 5nm chips...
replies(1): >>27164174 #
23. ZWoz ◴[] No.27163448{4}[source]
That sounds like you paint corporate control over politicians in positive light. I am glad that American mogul don't have direct line (preferential treatment) to EU top level officials.
replies(1): >>27163491 #
24. ddalex ◴[] No.27163491{5}[source]
I would further that and say it's a good thing there is no "top" EU official - distributed governance makes this way more resilient, e.g. should the head honcho be a bad guy with a taste of dictatorship
25. Dah00n ◴[] No.27163515{6}[source]
Which is a good thing and one of the many differences between the EU and the US. Trump is known to be happy to give out his number to big tech which is absolutely anti-democratic as this is backaccess to power. It is on par with corruption in destroying democracies.
replies(1): >>27167871 #
26. cerved ◴[] No.27163553{3}[source]
They're different verticals with very different demands, challenges and markets.
27. AlchemistCamp ◴[] No.27163556{3}[source]
The more valuable part was the technology transfer.
replies(1): >>27163757 #
28. 988747 ◴[] No.27163723{4}[source]
If you want EU to do something you can call Angela Merkel, and she can beat EU Parliament and other institutions into submission quite quickly.
29. NicoJuicy ◴[] No.27163757{4}[source]
Says what?

> "Without European technology, the Chinese navy would not be able to move."

You really think China couldn't buy tech from eg. Russia to make their "fleet move"?

What was the tech? Why was it that important?

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30. Slartie ◴[] No.27163811{3}[source]
The machines from ASML are just tools (very precise and high-tech tools, but still tools) for one step in the semiconductor fabbing process. They don't come with a manual describing the entire process, but are more like a software library: useless without a lot of infrastructure and process know-how and other tooling around them.

That's why TSMC still has a significant process advantage to other manufacturers, even though all of them are customers of ASML and able to afford the most advanced EUV lithography scanners.

replies(1): >>27164167 #
31. mrtksn ◴[] No.27163899{3}[source]
Seems correct however it's not actually about the existence of a phone number to call but a tool to portray the nature of the EU. Of corse, every organisation within the EU have phone numbers that can be reached but there's no EuroTrump/EuroBiden/EuroErdogan to make deals with.
32. pas ◴[] No.27164080[source]
TSMC depends on ASML (Netherlands) already.
33. supergirl ◴[] No.27164167{4}[source]
if they are "just tools", why doesn't TSMC just build them themselves?

I'm not hearing any major challenges here that couldn't be overcome in the EU, considering the EU is capable of building some of the machines which are state of the art. yeah, you need capital and workforce and a bunch of other things. those aren't really blockers though. I think maybe there is no point, since it would cost more than TSMC, so better just buy the chips. at least until now, when there is a chip shortage and you regret not having a foundry. by the same logic there is no point to manufacture a lot of things in EU (or US) because it's cheaper to get them from China.

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34. supergirl ◴[] No.27164174{4}[source]
not saying it's simple. there are big companies in EU like Siemens that I bet are capable of doing it, if it makes sense economically. I guess so far it didn't. probably the reason was that it's cheaper to get the chips from Asia, same as it's cheaper to make iphones in Asia, etc.
replies(1): >>27164455 #
35. mrtksn ◴[] No.27164185{4}[source]
Exactly, it's not about actually finding a number to call but to convey the nature of the organisation. It might not even be a real quote by anyone but it is used to portray EU. It is a bad thing or good thing, depending on your opinions on governmental centralisation and the relations of businesspeople with politicians.

Unfortunately we can no longer have conversation on politics without rage, so I agree that it is a bit provocative. That said, I don't see how we can talk about the TSMCs failure to strike a deal with the EU without pointing out about this fundamental difference between EU and USA.

36. VWWHFSfQ ◴[] No.27164212{5}[source]
is russias technology still from the 60s and 70s though
37. speleding ◴[] No.27164229[source]
Biden promised $50 billion in subsidies for the industry, the EU does not have that kind of spending power, and (as a European) I'm happy they don't try to out-subsidise them.

Chips are a global industry, so yes, the factories will end up there but we will be able to buy chips subsidised by US tax payers. Many economists would claim that business and citizens would be more likely to efficiently allocate that $50B themselves. The increased tax on businesses in the US is going to hurt their innovation elsewhere in the economy, it just won't be as visible.

Governments picking winning industries has a very spotty track record. Often the industry does not turn out to be as crucial as thought, or subsidies end up in the wrong pockets. Every other generation this lessons needs to be re-learned it seems.

replies(1): >>27164682 #
38. adriancr ◴[] No.27164455{5}[source]
Intel isn't capable yet and they are pouring money and have all the incentives to get leading edge node...

You think Siemens which has none of those will be capable to churn out leading edge fabs just like that?

Lets face it, it's not a simple task.

39. imtringued ◴[] No.27164613{5}[source]
Why would you do something like that if you don't need to?

The fact that someone is willing to build these machines for you is a good thing.

40. imtringued ◴[] No.27164682[source]
The problem with the chip industry is that it's not really a money maker. Yes you need factories in your own country but this is only because of national security, the actual economic benefit isn't the deciding factor.

The chip shortage is creating an economic incentive to expand production capacity on its own, there is no need for subsidies but countries should accommodate new fabs by making them viable to build them in the first place.

One big problem with fabs is that they need specialized staff, they are not going to employ the average worker.

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41. peoplefromibiza ◴[] No.27164895[source]
> If I remember correctly, ones Rupert Murdoch famously said that it’s impossible to find a phone number to call

Others have pointed out that the quote is false, but the real question is: why should EU answer to Murdoch phone calls?

He's just a billionaire with no political relevance.

People who really mattered had phone numbers to call, for example Henry Kissinger was a close friend of Gianni Agnelli, principal shareholder of FIAT.

42. Reason077 ◴[] No.27164901{3}[source]
> "there is no need for subsidies but countries should accommodate new fabs"

No chip factories get built in Europe or North America without significant subsidies.

43. peoplefromibiza ◴[] No.27164911[source]
TSMC buy their machinery from EU.

Their most cutting edge expertise is in good part made in EU.

44. ericmay ◴[] No.27164940{5}[source]
> if they are "just tools", why doesn't TSMC just build them themselves?

If TSMC isn’t doing anything special why doesn’t the EU just build fabs then?

> I'm not hearing any major challenges here that couldn't be overcome in the EU, considering the EU is capable of building some of the machines which are state of the art.

So why don’t they do it?

45. kube-system ◴[] No.27165275{4}[source]
I once did some work for a junkyard, and their business is a lot more complicated than what I would imagine a recycler has to do. They have to identify, catalog, evaluate the quality of parts. They have to identify cross-reference fitment information. With thousands of different vehicles with thousands of parts each, they’re looking at millions of SKUs. Then they have to inventory, warehouse, market, and manage the sales process for all of those. Even the highly automated tech-savvy junk yard I did work for threw out most of the parts that weren’t high value or high demand, simply because all of the above processes wouldn’t be worth it for a thousands of different $2 parts that don’t have names and are low demand.

Appliances aren’t quite as complicated, but I could still see how it would be a big change from the perspective of how they do business.

replies(1): >>27165571 #
46. nradov ◴[] No.27165540{4}[source]
There's no real distribution system for used appliance spare parts. They just aren't valuable enough to be worth it.
47. hollerith ◴[] No.27165571{5}[source]
The auto junkyards of my childhood left the identification and evaluation of the parts to the customer: the parts were left on the car; the customer located, then removed the part he or she needed, then brought it to the office.
replies(1): >>27168139 #
48. lousken ◴[] No.27167444[source]
But don't car manufacturers as well as robotics also need higher end(newer litography) chips? I would assume it should be a mixed bag - things like media centers in cars to have something more decent; and dedicated chips for stuff like image recognition for robots as well, or is my assumption completly wrong?
49. adventured ◴[] No.27167525{3}[source]
> Yes you need factories in your own country but this is only because of national security, the actual economic benefit isn't the deciding factor.

You can't separate the two in the case of the US. Having the semi fabs in the US is an economic factor because it's a national security factor, even if it involved adding zero net new jobs because it was all automated by AI + robotics.

Insurance is a very important segment of economy. Risk limiting, prevention. Security, both cyber and physical. And so on. For a business they're critical to sales even though they're costs and not generative for the businesses in terms of sales, they help to make sales possible by protecting the business (like having shelter for your employees). Building fabs in the US plays that same role to the US economy, it's a form of insurance, and it also helps to maintain/retain tech know-how. It's absolutely critical to the US economy, when you consider the realistic context of the world, re the US & China (as opposed to running a spreadsheet economic scenario that involves no potential politics, conflicts or wars).

Semiconductors are critical now and will be more so in the future. The US has both the world's largest economy, most to lose in the tech sector, most powerful military (which depends on semiconductors and will more so tomorrow) and the most wealth of any nation. A superpower without a military is no superpower; the most wealth without a military to protect it, you won't keep that wealth for long. It's pretty obvious that's a very massive economic factor. Being brought to your knees as a superpower - both militarily and economically - by your primary global rival because you failed to build some fabs, would be particularly stupid. It's similar to the rare earth metals problem, both in terms of economy and national security.

You might be able to separate the fab context of economy from national security to a limited extent in smaller nations, where realistically there's nothing you can do to stand off against far larger nations regardless of what you do about semiconductors (you'll lose whether you build that fab or not). Such is not the case with the US however. The US has epic scale global economic interests that very strongly benefit from having global military projection and security.

50. TMWNN ◴[] No.27167871{7}[source]
Trump gave/gives out his number to almost anyone, including reporters. I can't find it right now, but there is a Times article in which the author recounts how after "a reporter' (i.e., the author) left a voicemail on Trump's cell phone, the man himself called back late that night.
51. VVertigo ◴[] No.27168139{6}[source]
Those junkyards are getting few and far between because of liability insurance costs. Now the parts have to be ordered and pulled off for you, which makes it uneconomical for low value parts. Often, just the high value parts are pulled and the car is crushed.
52. mannerheim ◴[] No.27170921{5}[source]
The Russians can't even make their own fleet move.

https://www.businessinsider.com/tug-sailing-with-russian-shi...

replies(1): >>27174220 #
53. Griffinsauce ◴[] No.27173513{4}[source]
> A media magnate like Murdoch has the phone number to the White House central switchboard and can get the President on the phone.

If you think this is a good thing this entire discussion is futile.

54. NicoJuicy ◴[] No.27174220{6}[source]
The carrier is moving, isn't it?

Lack of money to maintain their army has been a recurring issue since the fall of the USSR.

My question still remains to have a realistic POV:

> What was the tech? Why was it that important?

replies(1): >>27175766 #
55. mannerheim ◴[] No.27175766{7}[source]
I mean, if you consider being pulled by a tugboat to be moving.
replies(1): >>27217898 #
56. vineyardmike ◴[] No.27187178{3}[source]
Well then why isn't the tech executed in EU? If it was about being in Asia, then why are they bringing it to the US?
57. NicoJuicy ◴[] No.27217898{8}[source]
The article states there is no tugboat.

Your statement only enforces my argument that they don't have enough money to maintain their fleet.

Which is also mentioned in the article itself.