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184 points praneshp | 59 comments | | HN request time: 1.351s | source | bottom
1. 1024core ◴[] No.15752149[source]
Is she planning to run for Governor again?
replies(2): >>15752180 #>>15752267 #
2. jedberg ◴[] No.15752180[source]
More likely Senate. Feinstein is up in 2018 and the tides are turning against her. It would be a tough slog but doable. Oh and she'd have to run as a Democrat. I don't think a Republican could get elected in California in 2018.
replies(3): >>15752237 #>>15752248 #>>15757940 #
3. briholt ◴[] No.15752237[source]
The smart move would be to say she's switching parties because of Trump, run as a conservative Democrat left of Trump but right of the progressive wing.
replies(2): >>15752287 #>>15752343 #
4. fullshark ◴[] No.15752248[source]
A republican wouldn't even make the final ballot.
replies(1): >>15752673 #
5. patorjk ◴[] No.15752267[source]
Some people think she may be thinking about running against Trump in 2020 - https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/21/kevin-oleary-thinks-meg-whit...
replies(2): >>15752362 #>>15757266 #
6. komali2 ◴[] No.15752287{3}[source]
I feel like 2018 is going to boil down to only whether you have an (R) or (D) next to your name, if the election in Alabama is any indication.

When people will vote for a pedophile to avoid putting a checkmark next to a (D), that's when you can give up faith in the average citizen's regard for the details of an election.

replies(3): >>15752410 #>>15753389 #>>15753427 #
7. fullshark ◴[] No.15752343{3}[source]
She fundraised for and endorsed HRC fwiw.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-clinton-whit...

8. junkscience2017 ◴[] No.15752362[source]
Silicon Valley is trending for like-ability about where Wall Street was in 2008. But of course she should run, as should Zuckerberg, Thiel, Altman etc because it would be a hoot watching them go down in flames.
replies(3): >>15752422 #>>15752744 #>>15757618 #
9. cat199 ◴[] No.15752422{3}[source]
but just imagine all the jingly-jangly campaign videos featuring $candidate doing yoga in the california sun and doing meet and greats while eating farm-to-table food in faux-rustic casual eateries!
replies(1): >>15752896 #
10. YurtleTheTurtle ◴[] No.15752483{5}[source]
Not sure what your links have to do with voting D or R. Specifically I don't see how either link has anything to do with "avoiding putting a checkmark next to a (R)"
11. jedberg ◴[] No.15752673{3}[source]
Exactly.
12. 013a ◴[] No.15752730{5}[source]
Uh oh, this is HackerNews, you can't be anti-liberal here.
replies(1): >>15752793 #
13. 013a ◴[] No.15752744{3}[source]
If Clinton's 9-figure campaign couldn't get a handle on what the average American voter wants from their government, it would be downright hilarious to watch someone from Silicon Valley try. The region is so far out of touch, they aren't even on the same planet.
replies(4): >>15752931 #>>15753285 #>>15753321 #>>15754034 #
14. YurtleTheTurtle ◴[] No.15752793{6}[source]
Can you explain how his links in any way support his argument that D's implement policy specifically to avoid voting R? Seems like you just want to perpetuate a victim-hood narrative that doesn't exist.
15. komali2 ◴[] No.15752872{5}[source]
This type of response is called Ignoratio elenchi[1], and is a classic technique of twitter trolls and t_d reddit trolls. It is typically used to defend the person of interest in a discussion by dredging the entirety of history for an example of an individual even tangentially related to a group that is in opposition to the person of interest, doing something "bad," with the "bad" being inflated using doublespeak or falsehoods if necessary.

So in this case, we were discussing how Republican voters are unafraid to vote for a pedophile because of his political affiliation, bearing in mind that this is the topical issue at hand because voters have been quoted saying they'd "rather vote for a pedophile than a democrat" (unprovided but assumed common knowledge in the context).

The poster then found a single state law (unrelated to federal election context) regarding disease transmission (unrelated to pedophilia or federal election context) being passed by state legislators of the democratic party (impossible moral comparison - passing a law about disease transmission versus being personally accused of pedophilia). The poster sums it up by declaring because of this one action of a state government thus equalizes all parties and is also applicable in this case merely because of the letter next to their names.

The end result is muddied waters, successful redirection, and further division. Are we talking about pedophilia and republican voter stubborness, or are we arguing the pros and cons of changing California state law re: disease control? God only knows.

I'm doing my best to define, recognize, and combat these kinds of troll techniques, and am open to feedback and suggestions. I get it, "never argue with a troll, they will drag you to their level and beat you with experience," and also, there are probably better things I can do with my time than argue on the internet, but I usually just do it in 5-10 minutes spurts while coding anyway, not much else I can do as a quick break.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ignoratio_elenchi

replies(4): >>15752919 #>>15752933 #>>15753385 #>>15753512 #
16. rsynnott ◴[] No.15752896{4}[source]
She’d presumably be running as a moderate Republican primary challenger, so... probably not that.
17. nothrabannosir ◴[] No.15752919{6}[source]
Thank you for elucidating this. I found it very helpful and I wouldn’t have recognised it so clearly.
18. dragonwriter ◴[] No.15752931{4}[source]
The problem wasn't Clinton's campaign, it was the candidate; it's amazing that a candidate that widely hated and whose negatives were rock solid from decades of political exposure still managed to get more votes than Trump, who came in with slightly higher negatives, but about whom voters had far less firm opinions.
replies(4): >>15753781 #>>15753997 #>>15754091 #>>15754733 #
19. 1024core ◴[] No.15752933{6}[source]
This sort of misdirection and "whataboutism" frustrates me too. Thank you for the elaborate response; I will keep this in mind the next time I have to battle a troll like the GP.
20. goialoq ◴[] No.15753285{4}[source]
You think that the person who created the system that controls most middle-aged Americans news and emotions doesn't have a handle the electorate's feelings?

What's next? A movie star running for President?!

replies(2): >>15753338 #>>15758127 #
21. kenshi ◴[] No.15753321{4}[source]
I think people could be persuaded to overlook the negative Silicon Valley sentiment if they believed the candidate knew how to make money and do good deals and improve their lot in life. Pretty much the "Yeah but..." argument I have heard from people who voted for Trump.

The press is doing a good job of highlighting the shortcomings and flaws of the Silicon Valley elite, but enough voters in the right places have shown they don't trust the press.

Of course, anyone coming from the Silicon Valley elite is going to have answer the question of how they are going to create new jobs... which would be interesting to see.

replies(2): >>15753448 #>>15754247 #
22. rconti ◴[] No.15753338{5}[source]
Ronald Reagan? The actor???
23. eclipxe ◴[] No.15753385{6}[source]
Thank you!
24. azernik ◴[] No.15753389{4}[source]
This is part of what I really like about California's top-two primary system - in a dominant-party system like we have, we end up in a situation where two candidates of the dominant party have to compete on ideology and policy, and the members of the minority party still get an equal say.

With regards to Alabama, the general vibe I've gotten is that the very large evangelical bloc in the state is conflicted - trapped between very strongly held policy preferences (especially on abortion and LGBT rights) and their views on personal morality. Moore has seen a large slide in the polls, including among evangelicals, but there are a lot that are willing to hold their noses and disbelieve for their preferred policies.

See this very interesting write-up: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-values-that-values-...

25. djrogers ◴[] No.15753427{4}[source]
He seems to be a horrible person who’s done heinous things, but he’s not accused of being a pedophile (except on Twitter). Words have actual meanings, and using ones like pedophile outside their proper meaning reduces their value and impact.

[1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/roy-moore-is-not-a-p...

replies(1): >>15759704 #
26. rayiner ◴[] No.15753448{5}[source]
“Instead, we’re hard at work making you obsolete.”
27. arbie ◴[] No.15753512{6}[source]
This was very helpful. Perhaps you could simply break down future responses into a list of fallacies being used in the parent post and link to them. Might save you some time so you can attack a larger number of troll responses.
replies(1): >>15754721 #
28. specialist ◴[] No.15753781{5}[source]
Uh huh. Overt racism & sexism, foreign meddling, systemic disenfranchisement, Johnson & Stein pulling a Nader (+2m votes over 2012), $3b of free earned pro-Trump media, Comey’s sabotage, the electoral college, and 300k opioid addicts voting for the Big Chief were all totally irrelevant.

Nope. HRC was unlikeable. It’s all her own fault.

replies(4): >>15754650 #>>15755710 #>>15756545 #>>15757094 #
29. paul7986 ◴[] No.15753997{5}[source]
Clinton’s public image and she is so unlikable we got Trump.

Funny and the DNC did everything in their power to make her their candidate over Sanders. I would have voted for him instead of an independent.

30. adventured ◴[] No.15754034{4}[source]
10 figure campaign. Total spending on Hillary Clinton 2016, at all levels and by all sources, was at least $1.7 billion. They spent $1.2 billion just trying to defeat Trump and half a billion dollars versus Sanders in the primary.
31. starik36 ◴[] No.15754091{5}[source]
The conventional wisdom is that Bernie would have won the general election. I disagree with that - it's wishful thinking. His ideas might be palatable inside the democratic party, but I think he would have hard time pushing his ideas in the states that mattered.
replies(1): >>15754220 #
32. dragonwriter ◴[] No.15754220{6}[source]
> His ideas might be palatable inside the democratic party, but I think he would have hard time pushing his ideas in the states that mattered

Sanders did better in primaries that allowed people outside the Democratic Party to vote and was throughout the election seasons (and remains, as of the last pollI saw earlier this year) the single most popular national political figure in the country. Every objective indication is that he would have done better than Clinton in “the states that mattered”.

In any case, much as one might prefer policy ideas to be decisive, elections are less about policy ideas and more about soft personal factors than people like to think.

replies(2): >>15754826 #>>15755198 #
33. sheepmullet ◴[] No.15754247{5}[source]
> negative Silicon Valley sentiment if they believed the candidate knew how to make money and do good deals and improve their lot in life.

Of course but I don't think they can convince the average voter - they have been concentrating huge amounts of wealth in a couple of cities.

Why would I trust them to be able to spread the wealth?

34. passwordqq ◴[] No.15754650{6}[source]
> 3b pro-trump media

Look up "wikileaks piedpiper candidate" and decide whose fault is it

replies(1): >>15759141 #
35. komali2 ◴[] No.15754721{7}[source]
I've thought about that - I need to have a better grasp of fallacies before I do. Luckily trolls tend to stick in ad hominem / red herring type fallacies so it's simpler, but yup definite goal of mine!
36. ScottBurson ◴[] No.15754733{5}[source]
Yeah, but did you see Meg's campaign for governor? She spent a crapload of money and really didn't connect with the voters at all. I don't think she's a natural politician.
37. hilbertseries ◴[] No.15754826{7}[source]
The opposition research against Sanders is brutal.

>Sanders’ 1985 trip to Nicaragua, where he reportedly joined a Sandinista rally with a crowd chanting, “Here, there, everywhere/ The Yankee will die.”

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/201...

replies(1): >>15755116 #
38. bonesss ◴[] No.15755116{8}[source]
At yet half the republican members of congress can wax poetic about the glorious, revisionist, legacy of the southern confederates and their lovely Yankee killing generals with a glint in their eye and not a hint of scandal...

I don't know how it's gonna happen, but I think the Dems really need to get to a point where they could accept someone with a history like GWB and his "youthful indiscretions" as a candidate. Purity is a hard thing to find in the world.

replies(1): >>15755695 #
39. starik36 ◴[] No.15755198{7}[source]
Will never know. Keep in mind that only 28.5% of voters participated in primaries, so I am not sure the open primaries reasoning holds water. Plus, Trump also won more primaries when they were open. Precisely twice as often. https://www.cnbc.com/2016/03/22/trumps-big-advantage-open-pr...

Plus, Bernie wasn't attacked because of his policies because HRC's were similar. He would have been in the general election.

replies(1): >>15756947 #
40. tallanvor ◴[] No.15755667{5}[source]
If these are the best examples you can find, it really helps to prove the point that some people will be willing to do anything to justify voting for a Republican over a Democrat. You obviously don't understand the bills you've referenced.

Regarding decriminalizing child prostitution, the bill removes penalties for the children. Anyone purchasing or attempting to purchase sex from them still face criminal charges. Many places have done the same, but also decriminalize adults who offer sex for money. This is because a very large percentage of people who engage in prostitution are forced or otherwise coerced into it. Decriminalizing their side allows them to more easily seek help while still forbidding paying people for sex.

"Felonious sexual activity" as you refer to the bill to reduce not informing people that you are HIV+ before having sex from a felony to a misdemeanor is certainly controversial, and arguments for and against the change have merit. On the one hand, there are a few people who do it maliciously, but on the other hand, there are people who are inordinately targeted for prosecution under this law (mainly prostitutes). There's also the question as to whether these types of laws continue the stigma around HIV, and what that does to people living with the disease.

So when I analyze your argument, it's extremely weak to claim that people will agree to horrible things to avoid voting for a Republican.

41. devmunchies ◴[] No.15755695{9}[source]
Are you hearing yourself? Half of Republican Congress and their "southern" legacy? Firstly, none of that happened in any current living people's lifetime like with the example with the Nacaraguan sandistas. and secondly, saying that half of the Republicans congressmen are from the south sounds like hyperbole to me.

And about purity and electability, I thought someone like Mitt Romney was pretty pure but see where that got him.

replies(1): >>15756016 #
42. Mountain_Skies ◴[] No.15755710{6}[source]
>300k opioid addicts voting

I'll ask the same thing I ask when people claim homeless citizens voting steals elections: why do you think opioid addicts do not have the right to vote? If they registered legally, why shouldn't they have the right to vote like everybody else?

replies(1): >>15759091 #
43. bonesss ◴[] No.15756016{10}[source]
sigh Yeah, I literally meant that exactly 50.0% of the republican delegation hails from the South...

Or, maybe, I was using colloquial language to describe 'a significant portion', in which case:

1) Didn't happen in our lifetimes? That makes willfully supporting and idolizing such blatant revisionism and racism _markedly worse_ than the example against Bernie, supporting my point quite resoundingly...

2) You are incorrectly presupposing that Republicans need to be from the south to wax poetic about the fictional "South"... The recent comments by General Kelly, born in Mass, about General Lee show otherwise. That identity came part and parcel with the Republican Southern Strategy, and has been a part of the right wing cultural identity ever since. This should be news to no one.

3) I listen to myself just fine. What are you even trying to say? ... Secessionists who killed Yankees and tried to destroy America are openly revered in public by major players in one party with little consequence, while incidentally being involved in _a_ chant _one_ time with a _hint_ of the same beliefs is seen as a death blow in the other party [aaaand this only if you completely ignore Americas contemporaneous relationship with the Contras, and who was behind that fiasco].

Mitt Romney is not a Democrat, which was the entire thrust of my (now down voted, because... facts...), post: Republicans gladly swallow things about candidates for the sake of their party that Democrats refuse to.

Roy Moore, for example, or Trump, or GWB (etc etc), continue with sustained polling numbers that 'The Left' would never provide after their scandals and behaviour. It creates asymmetric competition, and a massive disadvantage in terms of policy creation.

This is verifiable behaviour, and comes out quite clearly in the polling numbers between political demographics.

replies(2): >>15756496 #>>15757197 #
44. cinquemb ◴[] No.15756496{11}[source]
>[aaaand this only if you completely ignore Americas contemporaneous relationship with the Contras, and who was behind that fiasco].

Yeah, I don't think most people (esp those who actually vote thinking that huge changes will happen to make their lives better by electing someone else and are on the fence) will look at some random smear piece on Their Candidate™ through this lens. If only we covered more of US historical/present foreign policy (and the perspective of the different powers/peoples at the time on issues) in public schools, though one would suspect that if lecture notes were posted online, some may get labeled as fake news, nor that the dog and pony show would have become what it is…

>Republicans gladly swallow things about candidates for the sake of their party that Democrats refuse to.

I think that in the most recent presidential election, it was the case that the DNC was already swallowing clinton, and had no space for sanders except to use him to attract those who couldn't swallow clinton, to swallow clinton.

45. vturner ◴[] No.15756545{6}[source]
> the electoral college

How inconvenient that the minority vote of states without mass populations centers is valued.

> Johnson & Stein

I voted for Johnson, it was not a "Nader." If we don't like the system, then we must force pressure upon it.

replies(2): >>15758156 #>>15759132 #
46. dragonwriter ◴[] No.15756947{8}[source]
> Plus, Bernie wasn't attacked because of his policies because HRC's were similar

Yes he was, from the right, by Clinton—that was a key part of Clinton's primary campaign—and, no, they weren't that similar. But I agree that there would have been more focus on policy in a general election campaign with Sanders as the nominee, which would have been bad for Trump.

47. dragonwriter ◴[] No.15757094{6}[source]
Look, let's consider the 2000 election for a moment: Florida was both brought within distance for theft to matter by Nader votes and actually stolen, resulting in the Bush victory. But the only reason the results, in Florida or nationally, were close enough for any of that to matter was because the Gore made the incredibly moronic choice not only fail to leverage the fact that he was Vice President to the most popular outgoing President in the history of polling, but to top that off my spitting in the face of that with the Vice Presidential pick.

Similarly, yes, all those things you mention were part of the context in which the 2016 election occurred but they were decisive only because that Democrats picked the weakest possible candidate, with higher unfavorable ratings than any previous major party nominee, firm unfavorability because of decades of national political exposure, and relatively little experience as a candidate in electoral politics (having only served a couple terms as a Senator in a heavily-selling state coming in onethe coattails her husband's Presidential popularity; she'd never been in a campaign where she needed more than the approval of the Democratic establishment to win.) Clinton had the worst negatives that can come with long political exposure, without the strengths that come from long and relevant electoral politics experience.

And, no, it's not her fault, it's the Democratic establishment's fault. Clinton didn't have the choice to be herself or be someone else, the Democratic establishment did have the choice not to decide to go all in for Clinton even before other candidates were declared.

replies(1): >>15759256 #
48. briandear ◴[] No.15757197{11}[source]
Democrats support FDR and he built internment camps. They praise Margaret Sanger and she supported Eugenics. The praised Robert Byrd and he was a KKK leader. C’mon everyone has baggage and no party is exempt from racism. Remember Hillary called young black men dangerous predators when supporting the crime bill in the 1990s. Let’s not conflate Robert E Lee with Republicans supporting slavery or racism.
replies(1): >>15758819 #
49. murph-almighty ◴[] No.15757266[source]
It's interesting that you bring this up, because she gave a quite politically charged speech at my graduation ceremony (CMU '17).

She made a lot of subtle jabs at the Trump presidency by referring to their dishonesty towards the public, then turned around and gave a generic "stop acting like snowflakes" bit that I felt was a little too broad.

Perhaps a week later, the latter part of her speech popped up on a right wing FB page with a clickbaity caption kinda like "HP CEO TELLS SNOWFLAKES TO GROW UP" or whatever. Curiously, the seemingly anti-Trump part wasn't mentioned at all.

replies(1): >>15757589 #
50. stevenwoo ◴[] No.15757940[source]
I don't understand the delusion that Meg Whitman and Carly Fiorina are under to think they can win election to political office without ever having done so before with the charisma of a wet noodle and a mostly standard GOP platform. I hate Donald Trump who also never won political office prior to 2016 but I can comprehend his appeal to racism and promising the moon on healthcare/jobs being a drawing card. The GOP would have a better chance of picking a conservative actress who at least has charisma and can read a speech like the actor Ronald Reagan (who at least was able to win leadership of his state first). Maybe Sarah Shahi, GOP members would be able ignore her Persian heritage because of the R next to her name.
51. 013a ◴[] No.15758127{5}[source]
The systems they build and own might have a handle on the feelings of the electorate, but the people don't. Zuck builds walled hundred million dollar mansions on "stolen" land in Hawaii, while the people he "stole" it from complain about it on Facebook. Its one thing to know what people are mad about; its another to empathize and try to fix it, and you can't fake empathy. People see right through it.
replies(1): >>15758527 #
52. jartelt ◴[] No.15758156{7}[source]
States without mass population centers still get 2 senators, so they are valued, even without an electoral college...
53. splitdisk ◴[] No.15758527{6}[source]
> you can't fake empathy

I disagree partly, faking empathy and goodwill is a cornerstone of manipulation in politics. However, I agree it's not a long-term strategy and over the medium-term (months not years) people will learn to see through it. Some people are more transparent than others in this regard.

54. bonesss ◴[] No.15758819{12}[source]
I did no such thing, nor have I made any comment about baggage or exemption from history. The exact opposite: I pointed out that Dems need to be better at realizing that no one is pure and accepting less than perfect candidates...

Robert E Lee is a part of a confederate heritage fondly opined about by significant numbers of Republicans. That heritage has more than a little "Kill the Yankee" sentiment to it, right? That's a pretty objective fact, hence the double standard in the opposition research against Bernie, hence its use as an example.

To your secondary point: the verifiable fact that said heritage has been overtly reshaped into a modern fantasy by racists and racist organizations, its correlation to Jim Crow, its disingenuous hand-waiving about slavery, and its tight ties to the [Republican Southern Strategy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_strategy) kinda sorta do mean that supporting, aggrandizing, or selectively portraying it beyond the limits of its historical boundaries is pretty darned supportive of racism. I think describing the common fellating of this anti-history from otherwise anti-minority, anti-immigration, anti-democracy, fundamentalists as 'waxing poetic with a glint in their eye' is putting is kindly and mildy.

Right wingers showing fondness for the Confederacy is hardly a secret... I mean, who signed all those bills and built all those statues?

55. specialist ◴[] No.15759091{7}[source]
I’m for 100% enfranchisement. No taxation without representation.

I mention the opioid addicts specifically because their poster child Rush Limbaugh is a hard core fruit cake. I believe, but cannot yet prove, that pickling the brain turns people “conservative”, by which I mean absolutist and authoritarian.

56. specialist ◴[] No.15759132{7}[source]
I respect your vote. But. Elections have consequences. Voting is a chess move, not a valentines.

And any viable new third party must be grown from the bottom up. That’s just how it works. If you want more choices, I encourage you to advocate for Approval Voting (as I do). First a little, than a lot.

57. specialist ◴[] No.15759141{7}[source]
How about you just tell us.
58. specialist ◴[] No.15759256{7}[source]
Mostly agree about 2000. I mostly blame Liebermann. And the Supremes.

re HRC and the DNC... That’s just not how it works. There is no monolithic “Democratic Party”. Just loose coalitions of power centers, big and small, that brand themselves as “Democrats.” And 1/2 of “party politics” is always the candidates parasitic relationship with the various interest groups, making promises to earn endorsements and contributions, to be forgotten once elected. Use them and then disgard them. There is nothing (comparable to the right) on the left where elected are held accountable to their constituents.

If voters want more choices, then they have to lower the barriers to entry, by (greatly) reducing the cost of campaigns. Public financing, restore fairness doctrine, time box campaigns season, universal voter registration, compulsory voting (most campaign money on the left is spent on GOTV), etc.

59. komali2 ◴[] No.15759704{5}[source]
>Leigh Corfman told the Washington Post that she met Moore in 1979 when she was just 14 years old. The then-district attorney offered to watch Corfman while her mother attended a custody hearing, she said, and he asked for her phone number when he was alone with her. Corfman said that days later, Moore drove her to his house and kissed her.

http://time.com/5029172/roy-moore-accusers/

Your (and the author of that op-ed) opinion and my opinion of the definition of "child" differ greatly.