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Are we decentralized yet?

(arewedecentralizedyet.online)
487 points Bogdanp | 87 comments | | HN request time: 0.449s | source | bottom
1. d4mi3n ◴[] No.45077410[source]
Neat! I'm not surprised at the findings here. BlueSky (for the average user) is pretty much a drop in replacement for Twitter.

Despite the smaller total numbers in Mastadon, it's great to see that the ecosystem seems to be successfully avoiding centralization like we've seen in the AT-Proto ecosystem.

I suspect that the cost of running AT proto servers/relays is prohibitive for smaller players compared to a Mastadon server selectively syndicating with a few peers, but I say this with only a vague understanding of the internals of both of these ecosystems.

replies(6): >>45077507 #>>45077986 #>>45078151 #>>45078889 #>>45079652 #>>45080382 #
2. isodev ◴[] No.45077507[source]
ATProto also has the downside of being supported by a corporation and investors with various backgrounds that will eventually want to earn something out of it all and there is no telling how this will happen.
replies(4): >>45077747 #>>45077849 #>>45079296 #>>45086194 #
3. gary_0 ◴[] No.45077747[source]
There are lots of ways they could make a sustainable income without disrupting Bluesky's current status quo and be comfortably rich for the rest of their lives... but that's completely out of character for them and will never happen. I do think the geeks currently running Bluesky are sincere in keeping it decentralized, but the money people will someday probably force them out and squeeze the user base for a quick buck. A hardcore nerd minority will splinter off, though, and keep the decentralized version running, so whatever. History repeats. Frog swims, scorpion stings.
replies(3): >>45077797 #>>45077800 #>>45078929 #
4. robertlagrant ◴[] No.45077797{3}[source]
Is it a quick buck? How long has bluesky been funded for with no return?
replies(2): >>45078031 #>>45078873 #
5. YetAnotherNick ◴[] No.45077800{3}[source]
> There are lots of ways they could make a sustainable income without disrupting Bluesky's current status quo

Like what?

replies(1): >>45077947 #
6. Matl ◴[] No.45077849[source]
ATProto also currently effectively relies on https://web.plc.directory which is a centralized service, making the protocol effectively centralized.
replies(1): >>45078053 #
7. gary_0 ◴[] No.45077947{4}[source]
Off the top of my head: Paid hosting/services on top of the protocol, reddit-gold style tipping and gamification, being a transactional middleman (there are a lot of artists selling things, famous people promoting things, and so on), promoted posts and ads (easily blockable, but some users wouldn't bother).

Bluesky is a small team of like ~30 people, if they keep running lean they have at least a chance of a decent profit margin. But none of that will make anyone a multi-billionaire, so never mind.

replies(2): >>45078949 #>>45081076 #
8. danabramov ◴[] No.45077986[source]
>I suspect that the cost of running AT proto servers/relays is prohibitive for smaller players compared to a Mastadon server selectively syndicating with a few peers, but I say this with only a vague understanding of the internals of both of these ecosystems.

This isn't quite right. ATProto has a completely different "shape" so it's hard to make apples-to-apples comparison.

Roughly speaking, you can think of Mastodon as a bunch of little independently hosted copies of Twitter that "email" (loosely speaking) each other to propagate information that isn't on your server. So it's cheap to run a server for a bunch of friends but it's cut off from what's happening in the world. Your identity is tied to your server (that's your webapp), and when you want to follow someone on another server, your server essentially asks that other server to send stuff to yours. This means that by default your view of the network is extremely fragmented — replies, threads, like counts are all desynchronized and partial[1] depending on which server you're looking from and which information is being forwarded to it.

ATProto, on the other hand, is designed with a goal of actually being competitive with centralized services. This means that it's partitioned differently – it's not "many Twitters talking to each other" which is Mastodon's model. Instead, in ATProto, there is a separation of concerns: you have swappable hosting (your hosting is the source of truth for your data like posts, likes, follows, etc) and you have applications (which aggregate data from the former). This might remind you of traditional web: it's like every social media user posts JSON to "their own website" (i.e. hosting) while apps aggregate all that data, similar to how Google Reader might aggregate RSS. As a result, in ATProto, the default behavior is that everyone operates with a shared view of the world — you always see all replies, all comments, all likes are counted, etc. It's not partial by default.

With this difference in mind, "decentralizing" ATProto is sort of multidimensional. In Mastodon, the only primitive is an "instance" — i.e. an entire Twitter-like webapp you can host for your users. But in ATProto, there are multiple decentralized primitives:

- PDS (personal data hosting) is application-agnostic data store. Bluesky's implementation is open source (it uses sqlite database per user). There are also alternative implementations for the same protocol. Bluesky the company does operate the largest ones. However, running a PDS for yourself is extremely cheap (like maybe $1/mo?). It's basically just a structured KV JSON storage organized as a Merkle tree. A bit like Git hosting.

- AppViews are actual "application backends". Bluesky operates the bsky.app appview, i.e. what people know as the Bluesky app. Importantly, in ATProto, there is no reason for everyone to run their own AppView. You can run one (and it costs about $300/mo to run a Bluesky AppView ingesting all data currently on the network in real time if you want to do that). Of course, if you were happy with tradeoffs chosen by Mastodon (partial view of the network, you only see what your servers' users follow), you could run that for a lot cheaper — so that's why I'm saying it's not apples-to-apples. ATProto makes it easy to have an actually cohesive experience on the network but the costs are usually being compared with fragmented experience of Mastodon. ATProto can scale down to Mastodon-like UX (with Mastodon-like costs) but it's just not very appealing when you can have the real thing.

- Relays are things "in between" PDS's and AppViews. Essentially a Relay is just an optimization to avoid many-to-many connections between AppViews and PDS's. A Relay just rebroadcasts updates from all PDS's as a single stream (that AppViews can subscribe to). Running a Relay used to be expensive but it got a lot cheaper since "Sync 1.1" (when a change in protocol allowed Relays to be non-archiving). Now it costs about $30/mo to run a Relay.

So all in all, running PDSs and Relays is cheap. Running full AppViews is more expensive but there's simply no equivalent to that in the Mastodon world because Mastodon is always fragmented[1]. And running a partial AppView (comparable to Mastodon behavior) should be much, much cheaper — but also not very appealing so I don't know anyone who's actually doing that. (It would also require adding a bit of code to filter out the stuff you don't care about.)

[1] Mastodon is adding a workaround for this with on-demand fetching, see https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45078133 for my questions about that; in any case, this is limited by what you can do on-demand in a pull-based decentralized system.

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9. gary_0 ◴[] No.45078031{4}[source]
I meant "quick buck" like flooding the place with ads, tracking, dark patterns, closing the API/protocol, or doing some sort of crypto scam, with no regard for the platform's long-term health. It's been funded for a few years? That's not really that long for such a small team. But I have no idea how their investors think it might make "Facebook money", and isn't that always the goal?
10. danabramov ◴[] No.45078053{3}[source]
This is true but it's worth noting that (1) the entire point of this node is to be globally agreed on since it's the root of the identity mechanism, (2) it is auditable (https://github.com/did-method-plc/did-method-plc?tab=readme-...) and operations themselves are self-certifying (https://github.com/did-method-plc/did-method-plc?tab=readme-...). There are some potential issues (like PLC could choose to deny some operations), and the plan is to upstream PLC into an independent entity so that it isn't tied to Bluesky the company.
11. kyle-rb ◴[] No.45078151[source]
Running a PDS server for yourself and a few friends is not very expensive afaik, but there's also not much benefit to doing so, because the point of the PDS is to have a clean separation between your own data and the rest of the network.

The expensive things in ATProto are the Relay (crawls/listens to PDSs to produce the firehose) and the AppView (keeps a DB of all posts/likes/etc to serve users' requests). Expensive at scale anyway; if you want your own small network for hosting non-Bluesky posts (like WhiteWind's longer character limit), the event volume will be manageable.

For a lot of stuff though ATProto is built in a way that you shouldn't have to host your own; you can implement your own algorithmic feed that reads from the Bluesky Relay's firehose, or your own frontend that still gets data from the Bluesky AppView.

replies(2): >>45078223 #>>45078586 #
12. danabramov ◴[] No.45078223[source]
Running a relay is not expensive anymore (it used to be), with recent changes it's about $30/mo. Running an AppView that ingests all ongoing Bluesky traffic (and puts it into database) is more expensive ($300/mo currently) but if you were happy with a partial view of the network, you could get it down by a lot.
replies(3): >>45078439 #>>45079222 #>>45083448 #
13. izacus ◴[] No.45078344[source]
That's a big post that doesn't really explain in what way can smaller players federate with ATProto or how the structure allows federation.

Reading through it, it just sounds like sharding/scaling for a centralized service that's meant to be owned and provided by a single entity.

replies(3): >>45078704 #>>45078763 #>>45080492 #
14. mxuribe ◴[] No.45078439{3}[source]
I'm admittedly not versed in the AT protocol, but $30/month is high for me. Something like $10/month is quite fair, and i would expect should be more than enough for a VPS to host my and 2 other members of my family for any social network service...This $10/month is overkill for other servers on the ActivityPub via say gotosocial, pleroma, etc. Not that ActivityPub is perfect or anything like that, i just mean that $30/month is not yet what i would call a sweet spot for self-hosting something...but of course, that is absolutely leagues better than any cost that the bluesky team or other bigger players would naturally have to pay for ongoing infra., etc.

Then again, i will not deny that there's also the possibility that i am simply cheap! :-)

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15. mdasen ◴[] No.45078586[source]
> For a lot of stuff though ATProto is built in a way that you shouldn't have to host your own; you can implement your own algorithmic feed that reads from the Bluesky Relay's firehose, or your own frontend that still gets data from the Bluesky AppView.

ATProto isn't "built this way".

Twitter was also built in a way where you could implement your own stuff - and then Twitter took that away.

With Mastodon, there is one large instance (controlled by the non-profit Mastodon gGmbH). If they tried closing themselves off, their users would be losing access to the majority of people in the network. Plus, while non-profits aren't perfect, they don't have VC investors to answer to.

Bluesky could decide to stop publishing the firehose or restrict its APIs - just as Twitter did. Given that they control 99.55% of the network, they can close it off without worrying about their users losing access to anything. And Bluesky is a for-profit company that has raised around $30M in VC.

What you talk about isn't a feature of ATProto. It's a feature of being centralized and having a company willing to let you use their servers for free (at least for now). This was the case with Twitter for a long time. You could read the Twitter firehose and build your own apps and frontends getting data from the Twitter APIs - just as you can do from Bluesky today.

But unless there's a reason why shutting off the firehose/APIs would be bad for Bluesky, they can do that at anytime. It might anger some users (as Reddit and Twitter both did), but they control the network and network effects are powerful. For most Bluesky users, they'd continue using it because they aren't there for some open protocol. They're on Bluesky because Twitter became a nazi bar. Until we see real decentralization with ATProto, it's just a centralized network like Twitter or Reddit which hasn't shut off its firehose and public API yet. Hopefully that won't happen, but it certainly could.

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16. edavis ◴[] No.45078619{4}[source]
An important note here is the $30/mo is for the relay which is _not_ something the average user will ever need to run

Instead, you're looking for hosting a PDS which you absolutely can do for $10/mo (or less)

I run a PDS on a OVH Cloud VPS for $5/mo for myself, some alts, and some bots

replies(1): >>45082792 #
17. danabramov ◴[] No.45078704{3}[source]
>in what way can smaller players federate with ATProto or how the structure allows federation.

Each of the pieces I've described (PDS, Relay, AppView) implement the protocol specified at https://atproto.com/. Anything that acts as an ATProto PDS can be used as an ATProto PDS, anything that acts as an ATProto Relay can be used as an ATProto Relay, and so on. I'm not sure I understand the question so pardon the tautology.

The structure allows federation by design — a Relay will index any PDS that asks to be indexed; an AppView can choose the Relay it wants to get the data from (or skip a Relay completely and index PDS's directly); anyone can make their own AppView for an existing or a new app. That's how there are multiple AppViews (both for Bluesky app and for other ATProto apps) ingesting data via multiple Relays from many PDS's. There aren't many independent operators of each piece (especially outside of PDS self-hosting) but nothing is privileging Bluesky's infra.

Additionally, Bluesky's reference implementations of each piece are open source. So people run them the same way you would usually run software -- by putting it on a computer and exposing it to the internet. To run a custom PDS, you can either use the Docker container provided by Bluesky (https://github.com/bluesky-social/pds) or implement your own (e.g. https://github.com/blacksky-algorithms/rsky). Ditto for other pieces.

>Reading through it, it just sounds like sharding/scaling for a centralized service that's meant to be owned and provided by a single entity.

You're right in that the goal is to make it on par with centralized services in terms of UX and performance/scaling. However, it is decentralized.

The picture at the end of this article might help: https://atproto.com/articles/atproto-for-distsys-engineers

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18. AgentME ◴[] No.45078763{3}[source]
Other people can run AppViews too (that operate over the same or different data). There are just less people doing that than hosting Mastodon instances partly because it's much more expensive to, because some of the benefits of hosting a Mastodon instance can be obtained much cheaper through running a PDS server, and because AppViews doesn't serve the same exact social role that Mastodon instances do. (Mastodon has every instance be a semi-isolated community, so Mastodon instances are often made for the social purpose of running a semi-isolated community. Bluesky users expect a global timeline that's not partitioned by server instances, so it doesn't get many people running AppViews specifically for fostering semi-isolated communities. People on Bluesky who want to foster semi-isolated communities tend to use features like custom timelines to do so instead.)
19. danabramov ◴[] No.45078781{4}[source]
Right, but a Relay is literally a network-wide optimization. That's why in my other comment I'm mentioning that it's hard to do apples-to-apples comparison. With Mastodon, you only have one possible role: "hosting an instance" (which is like hosting a mini-Twitter with almost no data). ATProto aims higher in terms of UX (shared world by default) so there are different distributable pieces with different incentives to run. Anyone can self-host a PDS for super cheap (which will store only your data). But running a Relay is useful as an optimization for whoever's running the actual backends. So if you're a company building on ATProto, maybe you run your own Relay just in case (or maybe you don't and reuse an existing one). Or if you're a collective of people, maybe you pool resources together to run your own independent Relay. It's not something you'd just run for yourself unless you're a huge enthusiast.
replies(1): >>45082801 #
20. Dylan16807 ◴[] No.45078873{4}[source]
Quick meaning it's short term from when it starts. The time before it starts doesn't factor in.
replies(1): >>45090500 #
21. dom96 ◴[] No.45078889[source]
> BlueSky (for the average user) is pretty much a drop in replacement for Twitter.

One reason Bluesky is so successful is because it doesn't shove decentralisation into the user's face like Mastodon does. The vast majority of people don't know what decentralisation is and don't care to.

I think that far too much effort is put into decentralisation and not enough into good moderation on these platforms.

replies(4): >>45079147 #>>45079477 #>>45079720 #>>45083128 #
22. beeflet ◴[] No.45078929{3}[source]
>There are lots of ways they could make a sustainable income without disrupting Bluesky's current status quo and be comfortably rich for the rest of their lives... but that's completely out of character for them and will never happen.

Sounds like reddit 15 years ago

23. YetAnotherNick ◴[] No.45078949{5}[source]
I think you are wildly overestimating the user's willingness to pay online, and underestimating the costs to run a large scale site. Even if you remove developer's salaries and server costs, the fines could be worth 10s of millions of dollar per country just for delay in removal of hate speech[1].

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Network_Enforcement_Act

24. HexDecOctBin ◴[] No.45079041{4}[source]
I think what they are asking is: if I run a my own BlueSky AppView, how do I integrate with the bluesky.app so that users signed in on my AppView can interact with users on the the main AppView and vice versa? This is how most of us think about federalisation.
replies(3): >>45079085 #>>45079663 #>>45081872 #
25. danabramov ◴[] No.45079085{5}[source]
That's already the default behavior. You don't need to do anything special for that to work, it's what ATProto is designed for. Everything is always operating in a shared space by design.

When people "post", their posts go to their PDS's, which means that every AppView ingests data generated by every other AppView by default. There is no way to tell who's using which AppView — in fact, you can log into any AppView and your profile will be there with all your posts.

26. N_Lens ◴[] No.45079147[source]
Moderation is definitely Fediverse’s weakness.
replies(3): >>45079321 #>>45079481 #>>45080843 #
27. yoshuaw ◴[] No.45079222{3}[source]
> Running a relay is not expensive anymore [...]

$30/mo is $360/yr, which for most people is a prohibitively large sum of money. That would make Bluesky access more expensive than even the most expensive Netflix subscription; closer to the cost of a cellular plan.

For comparison: for my Mastodon account I pay $5/mo or $60/yr to a dedicated hosting provider. This puts it in the same ballpark as paying for a private email host or a VPN subscription.

replies(3): >>45079285 #>>45079318 #>>45081017 #
28. verdverm ◴[] No.45079285{4}[source]
The PDS is closer to the Mastodon account and will run you the same amount of money. The relay or appview is what takes the load when one of your posts goes viral, whereas in mastadon your $5 VPs has to handle that spike in traffic. Been several a story about how AP has DDoS'd a small server because there is no equivalent to the relay
29. verdverm ◴[] No.45079296[source]
How does Meta's adoption of ActivityPub play into the corporation and investors supporting / dominating a protocol in the long run?
30. danabramov ◴[] No.45079318{4}[source]
This makes sense, but a Relay isn't something you'd expect a normal user to run.

It doesn't meaningfully make you "more independent" because all Relays are trivial (they're just dumb re-broadcasters of a stream) and it makes sense to use one run by somebody else — a company or a community that's pooling resources.

replies(1): >>45082215 #
31. verdverm ◴[] No.45079321{3}[source]
https://roost.tools is working on open-source options for both social (fedi or not) and beyond social. Generally the idea is that we can fight the bad things better if we are working together instead of independently

ATProto's Stacked Moderation is an interesting approach to combine platform, community, and user level choices

https://bsky.social/about/blog/03-12-2024-stackable-moderati...

32. kyle-rb ◴[] No.45079331{3}[source]
No I think ATProto is "built this way". The firehose is just the output of the Relay. If Bluesky wanted to shut off the firehose, they would have to make changes to ATProto or stop conforming to ATProto.

I understand that Bluesky's conformance to ATProto is just a promise, but it's a better promise than you get from most websites. Also in the meantime, if you migrate to a self-hosted PDS, you can ensure that even if Bluesky restricts access to their Relay's firehose, 3rd party Relay servers can still pick up your posts and publish their own unrestricted firehose.

replies(1): >>45079780 #
33. shadowgovt ◴[] No.45079477[source]
There are also significant practical user experience differences.

Doing a search on Twitter searches Twitter, the whole thing. A search on Mastodon only knows about the servers you're connected to (unless you're searching for a specific user, then it'll micro-target their server to get their account info, but you have to know their name through some side-channel. Similarly, if you chance across a Mastodon post and want to follow that user, unless you happen to be on the same node as them you have to enter your own node data to get redirected to do the follow because of the domain-based nature of web security.

These aren't deal-breakers but we have the hard numbers from other web UX to know that every time you put a friction point like these in the flow, you immediately lose some x% of users. Relative to services that are centralized, these things will slow Mastodon adoption.

(This may not be the worst thing. There are other goals besides maximizing the adoption numbers.)

34. shadowgovt ◴[] No.45079481{3}[source]
I'm curious if you could expand on this observation? I've heard this from other Mastodon users but I haven't seen it myself; I wonder if it varies heavily from server to server or if I've just gotten lucky.
replies(1): >>45079636 #
35. neltnerb ◴[] No.45079636{4}[source]
Moderation (the intent and success) varies to such a huge extent that it's practically silly to talk about moderation on Mastodon unless you mean moderation on a specific mastodon server (like mastodon.social). But moderation (the process) is intense and servers are usually community run on the change found in a spare couch (i.e. they're volunteers).

I think they do quite well considering the disparate resource levels, but some servers are effectively unmoderated while others are very comfortable; plenty are racist or other types of bigot friendly, but the infrastructure for server-level blocks is ad-hoc. Yet it still seems to work better than you'd guess.

Decentralization means whomever runs the server could be great, could just not be good at running a server, could be a religious fundamentalist, a literal cop, a literal communist, a literal nazi, etc etc. And all have different ideas of what needs moderating. There is no mechanism to enforce that "fediverse wide" other than ad-hoc efforts on top of the system.

replies(1): >>45084155 #
36. epcoa ◴[] No.45079652[source]
> Despite the smaller total numbers in Mastadon, it's great to see that the ecosystem seems to be successfully avoiding centralization

But since essentially no one is using it doesn’t suggest much avoidance of centralization. These factors are not independent. It’s pretty easy to avoid anything when your total user count is a rounding error compared to the alternatives.

replies(1): >>45079997 #
37. jauntywundrkind ◴[] No.45079663{5}[source]
AppViews do things like track likes, or replies.

The AppView doesn't do that only for Bluesky data. It does it for any Personal Data Stores (user accounts with all their user data) that it knows about.

When you "interact" with users elsewhere, all you do is generate new records on your own PDS. You generate a "like" entry, or a reply, on your own PDS. It's your pds, all your stuff goes there. The AppView sees that and indexes it, attaches that like or that reply in the AppView to the post you're reacting to.

38. Arrowmaster ◴[] No.45079720[source]
I don't use Mastodon because it's too decentralized.

What I mean is I own my own domains but I can't use them on Mastodon without self hosting an entire Mastodon server for one user per domain. Yes there are other implementations of the protocol but none really solve this well in a cheap to run way.

Mastodon's missing feature is identity portability. A user with their own domain should be able to easily use a larger instance to host their identities and be able to migrate them to another instance.

39. immibis ◴[] No.45079780{4}[source]
What do you think would happen if the Bluesky company suddenly blocked everyone but https://bsky.app/ servers from using their relays?

And what if, before they did that, they updated the PDS code so it blocked all relays except for their one?

I'm not asking what you would do. I'm asking what would happen because of what everyone does. I think the name "Bluesky" would refer to the fully centralized bsky.app, and 99.9% of users would never notice a difference. Users who had other PDSes would either quit (nobody noticing their departure) or sign up to bsky.app like everyone else. The events of Twitter show it's probably the latter - people bent over backwards to comply with Musk to keep their accounts.

replies(1): >>45081707 #
40. yborg ◴[] No.45079997[source]
Bluesky user count is the same order of magnitude as Mastodon and is centralized. I think your argument is actually that if you are on a minority platform your wants and needs for how that platform operates are irrelevant. I suppose that's true if you aren't on the platform, but I don't think it's true if you are.
41. grishka ◴[] No.45080382[source]
This is due to different design goals.

Bluesky's architecture was pretty much dictated by the premise that anyone needs to be able to see any post on the entire system, regardless of whether they have any connections with the author. That algorithmic entertainment-style feeds need to exist. You do need that firehose and other expensive infrastructure for that, there's no going around it.

The fediverse, on the other hand, entirely relies on people following each other. Each server only receives and stores data that is relevant to its users. ActivityPub works like an automated email list management system. You follow someone, they start sending you their updates and forwarding any updates from others that they consider relevant, like replies to their posts.

replies(2): >>45081666 #>>45086134 #
42. EnglishMobster ◴[] No.45080492{3}[source]
I think it can be explained a little better.

When you write a post, you save it to your PDS. Think of it like writing a blog. You're done, you hit submit, it shows up on a server somewhere. You can run your own server with your own data, or use someone else's. That's exactly how a PDS works; it is a storage server for your data.

The AppView is a way to index all the PDSes registered across the whole network. If your server is crawlable by the AppView, all your data shows up in the app. This is like if your blog is crawlable by Google, you show up in search results.

When you like a post, you commit a "like" record to your personal server. When the AppView displays likes, it looks at every indexed PDS and shows every like it can find for that post (simplifying a little for clarity). Each one of those likes might live on different servers, some of which is self-hosted.

Because you can run your own PDS, you can commit any data you want to it. You can even commit things that services may find distasteful. However, the AppView may refuse to serve this content to users; this is how content can be removed from the network and how users can be banned. The federation equivalent would be defederation, except it happens to singular accounts rather than entire instances.

If you disagree with the moderation policies run by Bluesky the company, that's when you can look into running an alternative AppView. This is similar to disagreeing with the admin of a particular Mastodon instance and moving to a different instance. Of course, as mentioned running an AppView is much more expensive, but that hasn't stopped folks from trying (I believe Blacksky is trying to run their own AppView that is fully independent of Bluesky).

To use an alternate AppView, you'd simply go to a different website. This website will index PDSes the same way that Bluesky does, but it may index them in a different way and include/exclude different content. The data is still there (nobody can reach into your PDS on your server and delete your data), but the AppView admins choose which content they wish to serve to people using their community, just as Mastodon admins choose who to federate with.

In this sense, it is indeed truly federated. The primitives are simply different; it's more granular than Mastodon.

You can write your own content to your own server and let it get indexed to any number of AppViews; you completely control your personal data and nobody can reach in and delete that data randomly as they don't own it - you do (at the cost of ~$1/month or a Raspberry Pi).

When you use the Bluesky service, you are seeing their view of the network and what they choose to index. You may disagree with this view, just as you may disagree with the admins of Mastodon.social etc. In that case, you can choose to use another AppView (such as deer.social or Blacksky) that adopts different policies. Since account information isn't stored on the AppView and it simply handles indexing and moderation, moving between AppViews is painless and no data needs to be transferred from one server to another - you simply use a different bookmark.

It could be that you disagree with all the current AppView admins. You can host your own, it's just expensive ($300/month, as mentioned). You can also tailor your AppView to index less content, which will of course limit the amount of data you consume and give you a partial view of the network, effectively defederating you from anything you do not wish to index.

But there's nothing stopping you from doing so!

43. numpad0 ◴[] No.45080843{3}[source]
What even is "moderation" at this point? I'm not sure this word is used as defined on paper dictionaries. It is a codeword for something else, like censorship or influencing or artificial control of public opinion?

Because, if it's purely about filtering out content not desired by users, it could be nearly trivially done at the edge, automatic and completely de-humanized, and the word as appearing lately doesn't read that way to me.

replies(1): >>45086171 #
44. miki123211 ◴[] No.45081017{4}[source]
There's no real reason to set up a relay for just one person, though.

It's less like a cellular plan and more like building your own private cell tower just because you can.

45. miki123211 ◴[] No.45081076{5}[source]
They could also follow the Gmail playbook.

For consumers, plenty of ads and plenty of tracking. For businesses, heavily-restricted user-to-server APIs and features gated behind subscriptions, think custom domains with Bsky hosting, multi-user post approvals, integrating DMs with customer support systems etc.

You can do all of that while still being fair to and interoperable with the rest of the ecosystem. As long as you don't want the convenience, features and UI of Gmail, you can still communicate with Gmail users from any other provider, and the same could be true about Bsky.

46. Merovius ◴[] No.45081666[source]
> Bluesky's architecture was pretty much dictated by the premise that anyone needs to be able to see any post on the entire system, regardless of whether they have any connections with the author. That algorithmic entertainment-style feeds need to exist. You do need that firehose and other expensive infrastructure for that, there's no going around it.

Exactly this (that people want it at least - I don't think that means it needs to exist). And I think there would be a lot less frustration in the discourse of ActivityPub vs. ATproto, if we could collectively agree that you can't get this in a decentralized system. In a dense network, the number of edges scales with the square of the number of nodes. It's just not feasible to have a network that is both dense and has a large number of nodes.

I think "I prioritize virality, recommendation engines and network density, thus accept giving control over the network to a centralized and profit-oriented entity" is an entirely reasonable tradeoff to make. I just don't understand why BlueSky users don't seem to accept that it's the tradeoff they are making.

replies(1): >>45082349 #
47. OneDeuxTriSeiGo ◴[] No.45081707{5}[source]
> What do you think would happen if the Bluesky company suddenly blocked everyone but https://bsky.app/ servers from using their relays?

That's not how it works. Appviews pick the relay they use, not the client/user. The relay is used for gossip into the appview (and other things).

More importantly, appviews never see the client/user directly. Appviews only talk to the PDS. Really most things other than the client ever only talk to the PDS or listen to the relay. The only thing that ever directly talks to the client is the PDS.

The way atproto services generally work is the client configures a series of XRPC requests with HTTP headers to determine what appview, labelers, etc to use and it issues that request to the PDS. The PDS then proxies that request to the appview or wherever and they respond back to the PDS which routes the response back to you.

So in a real sense your PDS is not just a data host, but also operates akin to an IRC bouncer.

-----

> And what if, before they did that, they updated the PDS code so it blocked all relays except for their one?

PDS relay routing, etc is mostly all handled manually via config files,etc so this isn't really a concern. And PDS code is probably the "easiest" part of the ecosystem to hack on which is why there are like 6 different implementations with the majority (like 4) that maintain near feature parity with the "bluesky PDS" software.

And importantly, the bluesky PDS is literally a sqlite DB, an OAUTH implementation, some go IPLD data structure manipulation code, and a go XRPC router. It's fairly trivial to hack on as needed.

------

> I'm not asking what you would do. I'm asking what would happen because of what everyone does. I think the name "Bluesky" would refer to the fully centralized bsky.app [...]

Migration currently isn't perfect but within ~6 months it should be ironed out by the community at which point migrating off a PDS to another is just a matter of:

1. click button on new PDS to transfer/"create new account".

2. set your new email, password, and list your old/current handle.

3. get auth code via email (one from the new PDS and one from your DID provider)

4. input codes into migrator interface (for whichever migrator you are using)

5. log into your apps again.

There are multiple large PDS operators working really really hard to spin up operations (proper backups, failover, HA, etc) so they can run reliably and avoid the "my mastodon instance imploded guess everything is gone" issue. Open federation is only about ~ a year old (plus change) so the community is only just now really reaching the "mature third parties" stage.

replies(1): >>45083838 #
48. Vinnl ◴[] No.45081740[source]
> [1] Mastodon is adding a workaround for this with on-demand fetching, see https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45078133 for my questions about that; in any case, this is limited by what you can do on-demand in a pull-based decentralized system.

I'm not super up-to-date on Mastodon's/ActivityPub's workings, but aren't replies to a post pushed to the original poster's server? So wouldn't followers then be able to pull from that server at any time to get an always-up-to-date view of replies, at least theoretically? (With maybe posts from the last few seconds missing if the network's slow.)

(Asking because I've seen you claim that the architecture is inherently limited to never be able to achieve the "cohesive" experience.)

replies(1): >>45081948 #
49. OneDeuxTriSeiGo ◴[] No.45081774{3}[source]
> ATProto isn't "built this way".

ATProto is built this way. "Closing off bluesky" would be an extraordinarily non-trivial process and would break basically everything. This is in large part why private data isn't a thing yet. The architecture is diametrically opposed to it.

> Bluesky could decide to stop publishing the firehose or restrict its APIs - just as Twitter did.

They could "technically" completely rearchitect their application frontend and backend to do this but any effort to do so would be visible from miles away given the architecture and warning claxons would start ringing immediately.

> And Bluesky is a for-profit company that has raised around $30M in VC.

Bluesky PBLLC is a for-profit "public benefit corporation" for what it's worth and the way they are structured would open them up to legal consequences if they were to move diametrically opposed to the mission they were founded on. Not just because they are a PBLLC but because their initial investment funding was drawn up under an explicit contract that views moves against "the development of decentralised social media" as a violation of the terms of that contract.

50. OneDeuxTriSeiGo ◴[] No.45081872{5}[source]
An appview is really just a service for hydrating content in the skeleton of posts that feeds return back to give to the user.

The only things they do other than feed hydration are track notifications, (optionally) provide a search engine, (optionally) provide a CDN, and (temporarily until E2EE rolls out) handle DMs.

So you can actually do things like the Red Dwarf [1] project which is a bluesky client without an appview. It's slower, you visibly notice request loading/pop-in, there's no notifications, and no search but it works with any other bluesky appview (since appviews are basically a lens into atproto rather than an independent service).

--------

If you wanted to run your own infrastructure, instead you'd probably want to run your own PDS. Running an appview has its benefits of course but the main way you "self host" is to run a PDS. That's fairly trivial and people have run them on all kinds of constrained hardware (including a literal jailbroken microwave if I remember correctly).

1. https://tangled.sh/@whey.party/red-dwarf

51. ttiurani ◴[] No.45081898[source]
> You can run one (and it costs about $300/mo to run a Bluesky AppView ingesting all data currently on the network in real time if you want to do that).

A clarifying question: the blog post [0] I found about zeppelin.social which I think is a full AppView, the author said this:

"The cost to run this is about US $200/mo, primarily due to the 16 terabytes of storage it currrently uses"

Last I heard the amount of storage was just a couple of terabytes so the growth seems to be very fast.

If and when the primary cost is the storage, IMO the crucial question is: what's the expected future cost of running community AppViews?

Because unless storage cost drops as fast as the BlueSky data grows (unlikely?), to me this architecture looks like it will very soon kick out smaller players and leave only BlueSky with enough money to keep the AppView running.

[0] https://whtwnd.com/futur.blue/3ls7sbvpsqc2w

replies(1): >>45081935 #
52. danabramov ◴[] No.45081935{3}[source]
I can’t speak to how fast it grows and what it was, but I mean — if what you want is to keep the entire data of the network (similar to having all tweets on Twitter) ready to be queried then you have to store them. That’s just unavoidable in any technological solution. Alternatively you could hydrate and query posts on-demand from their sources (PDS), and people have done that as an experiment, but you need at least some aggregation to happen somewhere (for reconstructing reply lists or like lists etc). If more collectively-run network caches are available, this becomes more feasible without storing everything yourself.

In any case, if you’re okay with a partial snapshot of the network (eg all posts during some window or even more partial) then you can arbitrarily narrow that down. In Mastodon, having a “full” archive is downright impossible which is why we’re not talking about the same with regards to Mastodon. Whereas ATProto makes it possible, with the cost being the floor of what you’d expect the cost for storing data to be. How could it be better?

replies(2): >>45082002 #>>45082013 #
53. danabramov ◴[] No.45081948{3}[source]
This only works for direct reply chains, right? It doesn’t provide a realtime view into all existing conversations that are happening on the post.

Imagine if, when you refreshed this HN page, only comment chains you’re already in would refresh timely. Yes, this would “work” to some extent, but it would clearly be a regression.

Additionally, going viral can overload your server due to this architecture. In ATProto this never happpens for self-fosters (of PDS) because the cost is amortized by AppView. (Same as in centralized products where the cost is on the backend.)

replies(1): >>45083255 #
54. ttiurani ◴[] No.45082002{4}[source]
> if what you want is to keep the entire data of the network (similar to having all tweets on Twitter) ready to be queried then you have to store them.

They need to be stored, but do they technically have to be stored by just one AppView? I get that it's a 100x easier to implement it like that, but I don't think a distributed search would've been technically impossible (although, granted, necessarily it would have had worse UX).

Choosing this feature and then implementing it like they did was a technical choice. Technical choices have consequences and this, I think, was the one which will prevent BlueSky from reaching any meaningful decentralization.

And saying "you can create an inferior UX with affordable costs" is not a real answer. Any meaningful decentralization IMO can only happen if it's affordable to create feature identical nodes. That can only happen if you refuse to implement features in ways that need centralization to scale.

replies(1): >>45083373 #
55. ◴[] No.45082013{4}[source]
56. yoshuaw ◴[] No.45082215{5}[source]
Aren't the entities who manage relays the ones who broker access to the network? E.g. if you subscribe to a relay, you must also subscribe to their moderation decisions.

Say if Bluesky (the company) bans someone, that person could still have the keys to their data, but their feeds will no longer be "re-broadcast" by that company's servers - right?

replies(1): >>45082755 #
57. galactus ◴[] No.45082320{3}[source]
there are already independent relays running. a full relay (which is open source software) costs around 30 USD per month to operate
58. galactus ◴[] No.45082349{3}[source]
absolutely. it’s even in the design paper, when they discuss the AppView the authors say it’s “less decentralized than alternatives” and yet you can’t say that without bsky fans getting mad.
59. neko-moe ◴[] No.45082755{6}[source]
Relays aren't really user-facing, so most relay operators would probably only censor a user on the relay if there is some legal or network reason to do so, say content illegal in their jurisdiction or excessive spam.

If an app is concerned that a relay is censoring some user that they care about, the easiest solution is just to host their own relay. It's probably cheaper to operate than their app is. But if they really wanted to, they could listen to multiple relays to "cover the gap" or just manually listen to the event stream from specific users' PDSs directly whenever they notice censorship (effectively operating a partial relay in addition to listening to a full but censored one). But, again, in reality they'd just host their own relay and not bother complicating things.

The hardest problem of relays censoring content is to notice it happening, but once you notice you can easily verify it and switch to a different relay.

60. mxuribe ◴[] No.45082792{5}[source]
Aaah, ok, thanks for the clarification!
61. mxuribe ◴[] No.45082801{5}[source]
Gotcha, thanks for that context!
62. numpad0 ◴[] No.45083128[source]
They pivoted into that when Mastodon blew up in Japan, German authorities got involved, and its benevolent dictator Eugen Rochko felt need to distance himself from Japanese for his own safety. German police, especially parts of its federal counter-terrorism swat units(?) seem to have odd fixations with anime and take great offense with those contents for some reason.

They can roll that back, or push moderation angle more, but they won't be able to do so without also come forward with the fact that East Asia is producing substantially more amount overall and on average higher quality content incompatible with Western moderation. Those realities won't be popular anyway.

63. Vinnl ◴[] No.45083255{4}[source]
Ah gotcha, yes, indirect replies would need to be forwarded or something.

(To be honest, I'm already surprised that Mastodon scaled as far as it did. I will say, if I had seen the state of the web's architecture 20 years ago today, I probably also would have claimed that it was inherently insecure and that there was no way to get it to be secure enough to scale to billions of users, so... I don't know, maybe people will keep finding duct tape solutions to make it work, worse-is-better-style.)

64. danabramov ◴[] No.45083373{5}[source]
I’m not sure what choice you’re referring to here. Yes, simply loading data from the database is the most straightforward solution, and that’s what Bluesky itself did for its AppView. That’s kind of the default model in general in web development — and has nothing to do with decentralization. If you were running a centralized Twitter, storing the amount that Twitter stores would cost you exactly the same.

On the contrary, ATProto adds flexibility here. There are community-run projects like https://constellation.microcosm.blue/ that let small application builders avoid that burden. Of course you don’t want to overwhelm those by building a massive app on top. But the point is that ATProto starts with equivalent baseline to what you’d pay running a centralized service, and then gives you room to play with distribution of costs, potentially going all the way down to directly querying PDS’s on-demand or something in between like community-maintained caches or even potential third-party app-agnostic aggregation services. Eg you could imagine AWS, Vercel or Cloudflare building “app platforms” in five years that let you cheaply query shared data.

As for creating “identical” nodes, I think you hit the nail on the head — that’s not what ATProto aims to do. The insight is that it’s not useful or feasible for everyone to run their own copy of Twitter. But that it’s possible for everyone with “proportional interest” to run a “proportionally complete” part, with some of the costs being amortizable and poolable across many users and apps (thanks to shared infrastructure) and always individually replaceable (to avoid lock-in). This is strictly better than centralized.

65. quectophoton ◴[] No.45083448{3}[source]
I thought only the way to avoiding the full firehose was connecting to Bluesky's centralized Jetstream instances, and that if anyone else wanted to host Jetstream without depending on Bluesky infra other than the PDS, they would still need to pay the full price for the firehose bandwidth and storage.

I'd be happy to be wrong here though.

replies(1): >>45084714 #
66. immibis ◴[] No.45083838{6}[source]
So, you're making stuff up that obviously has no basis in reality here.

Migration would be impossible because the bsky.app PDS wouldn't allow anyone to access the data except for the bsky.app relay.

other appviews wouldn't display bsky.app data because both the PDS and relay would block them.

replies(2): >>45084641 #>>45084679 #
67. shadowgovt ◴[] No.45084155{5}[source]
Thank you for the clarification; that makes sense.

It is perhaps also worth noting that the Fediverse architecture does nothing to remove racists or bigots from the possibility of being found in the "fediverse" (here referring to the collection of all servers using the protocol and not the protocol itself), and... That's pretty much as-intended. Truth Social uses Mastodon as its backend; there is nothing the creators / maintainers of Mastodon could, or by design would, do to shut it off. The same architecture that makes it fundamentally impossible for Nazis to shut down a gay-friendly node makes it impossible for other people to shut down a Nazi node; there is merely the ability of each node to shield its users from the other.

That's a feature of the experiment, not a bug, and reasonable people have various opinions on that aspect of it.

68. OneDeuxTriSeiGo ◴[] No.45084641{7}[source]
No. That's just not remotely close to true or feasible.

> So, you're making stuff up that obviously has no basis in reality here.

I cannot understand why you are claiming this. I'm basing off the actual architecture and the way the parts interact. The design is just not feasible for locking down. Doing so completely breaks the model and it still leaks like a sieve if you try to.

----------

> Migration would be impossible because the bsky.app PDS wouldn't allow anyone to access the data except for the bsky.app relay.

Nope. Migration is still fully possible. Migration doesn't happen via the relay or any PDS->PDS mechanism. Migration is done via the client. The client/user runs operations on the source PDS, the destination PDS, and the DID registry. All the data is transported between by the client.

Specifically the way it works is you export/backup your information from your current PDS (in the form of a CAR file + blobs). Technically this step is optional. Even if the PDS goes offline or becomes hostile you can actually largely reconstruct this data from the network. Then you "create a new account" on the new PDS and upload your data that you backup up/recovered onto the new PDS. Then you update your DID to point to the new PDS. And finally you deactivate the account on the original PDS (basically saying I no longer store stuff here anymore).

This is part of the reason why migration tooling is a bit bumpy. Your JS script or app has to do the entire process by itself rather than letting the backends handle it. However it does make them extraordinarily resistant to data loss and/or takeover.

----------

> other appviews wouldn't display bsky.app data because both the PDS and relay would block them.

Relays work via gossip. If you can see the relay at any point, you can gossip 100% of their contents to another relay.

In the event bluesky PBLLC locked down their appview and PDS, they'd still have to make the relay open or everything breaks. Feed providers need access to the firehose. Labelers/Moderation Services need access to the firehose. And so on.

Everything is built with an assumption of a public firehose and if you lock down the firehose, all you need is one person to listen to the locked down firehose to 100% replicate it and gossip onto any other relay.

69. hoidofyolen ◴[] No.45084679{7}[source]
First of all, Bluesky the company would have to implement auth on the communication between relay and AppView, cut off everyone from using their relay, and specifically stop ingesting content from non-Bluesky PDSs. There would be time when we realize that's happening to get another AppView up and running. There are arguably enough resources in either the ATproto dev community or other funding sources that another AppView could pop up within a week or two, and be maintained by the community for months without issue. And Bluesky wouldn't likely stop existing altogether, so people would log into Bluesky, see the news (or hear it elsewhere), and see people talking about how to get access to your account.

Secondly, while you're right that most people don't have copies of their repos, some copies of the entire network exist in the community, as well as copies of the PLC Directory. Within a couple weeks we would have community run versions of the AppView, PDSs, Relays, and PLC, and some seriously pissed off community members who would now want to do everything they can to take up the mantle temporarily. Soon Bluesky the app, as well as Instagram and Twitter, would be flooded with tutorials of how to recover your accounts and migrate to another PDS.

If your point is that we'd lose at least half of the users of Bluesky, then yea probably. But ATproto would be just fine, and if people want to get their data back they likely can, as long as they can stomach a little work. And that process is getting easier all the time.

replies(2): >>45086342 #>>45121611 #
70. OneDeuxTriSeiGo ◴[] No.45084714{4}[source]
Yes and no.

If you want to avoid the entire bandwidth of the firehose, you need something like jetstream (at least until something like sharded relays come around).

However the relay gossip protocol is not as taxing as it used to be. Relay Sync 1.1 massively decreased overhead and it allows relays to run "thin", i.e. running with only a certain backlog of history and not carrying the full history of the network. So you can make a relay that only keeps 24 hours of history and it'll perpetually stay under like 100gb of storage (I don't remember the exact storage amount but storage size is pretty linear with backlog history).

71. qwm ◴[] No.45086134[source]
I think the Twitter format sucks in both cases, but having central, algorithmically-curated feeds are just bad for people psychologically. They just created another Twitter clone with the same problems. The only difference is fewer "nazis".
72. qwm ◴[] No.45086171{4}[source]
I get where you're coming from, and I have largely the same sentiment, but it's obvious that you've never had any experience running a platform, or using one with no/few rules. You need baseline moderation, even if it isn't super ideological. You've got to keep pedophiles and misanthropes out at the very least.
replies(1): >>45092406 #
73. qwm ◴[] No.45086194[source]
Anything that is funded by venture capital WILL become worse. You can complain all you want about things that don't have infinite funding having issues, but they'll probably just stay at the same level or get slightly better over time. VC-backend companies only get worse after their early peak.
74. immibis ◴[] No.45086342{8}[source]
Who would use the new network? It would just be Mastodon Vs Twitter again. All the people you want to read the tweets of would (still) be on Blue Sky, not Black Sky or Red Sky or President Zelen Sky or whatever.

"Convince a HN user that a corporation with the ability to cut you off from your feed sources for more profit won't do exactly that and just because they use something decentralised-ish today doesn't mean they have to keep using that thing if they don't want to" challenge (difficulty: impossible)

replies(1): >>45086565 #
75. OneDeuxTriSeiGo ◴[] No.45086565{9}[source]
> "Convince a HN user that a corporation with the ability to cut you off from your feed sources for more profit won't do exactly that

It's not just a technical restriction though. It's also a legal restriction. Bluesky PBLLC is a public benefit corporation and they are at least in moderate part beholden to their charter.

More importantly, their initial investment contract requires them to further the decentralisation of social media and exposes them to legal consequences should they deviate from that mission.

Those combined make it effectively impossible for them to lock in bluesky. Doing so would require technical changes that would be under no uncertain terms against the charter of the company and against the terms of the investment contracts that initially funded the company. It's a poison pill that would kill the company and destroy any "shareholder value" the moment they try to lock down the service or lock in the users.

You aren't going to see them try this type of brazen lock-in because it'd be explicitly harmful to every investor/VC and saddle the company in legal hell until it smoulders into ash.

replies(1): >>45087891 #
76. immibis ◴[] No.45087891{10}[source]
OpenAI managed to escape its nonprofit status, becoming incredibly closed and self-serving. There's no reason to expect any other VC-funded nonprofit won't do the same.
replies(1): >>45091509 #
77. robertlagrant ◴[] No.45090500{5}[source]
A quick buck would be the time from when you put your money in to when you get back your money and a profit.
replies(1): >>45093608 #
78. OneDeuxTriSeiGo ◴[] No.45091509{11}[source]
Sure they may. And the moment they try to it'll signal to the entire ecosystem what is coming, giving us time to migrate people off to third parties and batten down the hatches. A change like that never happens overnight.
replies(1): >>45094118 #
79. numpad0 ◴[] No.45092406{5}[source]
Sounds like I really should be building one with the AI moderation I have in mind. I kind of have been to random deep ends. Most of them can't be that hard to filter out or steer them away from undesired content, especially in this age of AI...
80. Dylan16807 ◴[] No.45093608{6}[source]
If you have a sudden massive change in plans like this, it resets the timer. You were doing long term, but now you want a quick buck and you don't care much if the company survives.

If I set up a get rich quick scheme based on overhyping and selling land, it doesn't matter whether I buy the land today or it's land I had for decades for a completely different reason. Either way I'm going for a quick buck now.

replies(1): >>45103686 #
81. immibis ◴[] No.45094118{12}[source]
Why didn't everyone abandon Twitter for Mastodon when Elon bought it? Why didn't they even abandon it for Blue Sky until years later? Why is Twitter still as busy as it was when Elon took it over?
replies(1): >>45098544 #
82. OneDeuxTriSeiGo ◴[] No.45098544{13}[source]
Because it requires a new account. Migrating PDS on bluesky does not require a new account, is invisible/transparent to your followers and following, and the end goal is that migration will be easy enough that you can do it in less than 5 minutes with no technical skill.

Bluesky/atproto is still very early/very young but the general theme is to focus on the UX and ergonomics to make decentralisation viable without forcing the user to be technical enough to care about it.

i.e. The end goal is that people should be able to say "fuck bluesky", click a button, wait for a loading bar to finish, and continue using bluesky without using bluesky PBLLC stuff.

To be clear we are not at this point yet and bluesky PBLLC is not suddenly hostile yet either. Triage is in order of priorities so some more important UX aspects are being handled first.

My personal prediction is that this should be a solved problem within less than a year but of course we'll see.

replies(1): >>45121631 #
83. robertlagrant ◴[] No.45103686{7}[source]
But they didn't have this for completely different reasons. They invested money years ago, that they could've bought government bonds with and just earned interest, and instead it went into BlueSky. At some point they'd like a return that would substantially beat the government bond they could've invested in with zero risk.
replies(1): >>45108206 #
84. Dylan16807 ◴[] No.45108206{8}[source]
They invested for the long term. If they suddenly want the company to go all-in on short term profit extraction that is a big change in plan.
replies(1): >>45113932 #
85. robertlagrant ◴[] No.45113932{9}[source]
I agree, but I doubt from their perspective it's a quick buck. I appreciate from the perspective of people who got a free service and it's now getting monetised it might feel quick, but surely not surprising at some point. And they got a quick buck up front from not having to pay for the service, which is nice :)
86. immibis ◴[] No.45121611{8}[source]
> First of all, Bluesky the company would have to implement auth on the communication between relay and AppView, cut off everyone from using their relay, and specifically stop ingesting content from non-Bluesky PDSs

Yes, that's as simple as an IP address check, since they own all of it. Could alternatively be a password (bearer token).

> And Bluesky wouldn't likely stop existing altogether,

In fact, the change would be noticed by almost nobody, because 99.9% of users would still see 99.9% of their following (including 100% of the ones who populate the default feed) and would have to go far out of their way to see any change.

> There would be time when we realize that's happening to get another AppView up and running. There are arguably enough resources in either the ATproto dev community or other funding sources that another AppView could pop up within a week or two, and be maintained by the community for months without issue. And Bluesky wouldn't likely stop existing altogether, so people would log into Bluesky, see the news (or hear it elsewhere), and see people talking about how to get access to your account.

All irrelevant since it wouldn't have the content and people go there for the content. Views go where the content is.

> some copies of the entire network exist in the community

All irrelevant since it wouldn't have the new content posted after the block and people go there for the new content. New views go where the new content is.

> and some seriously pissed off community members who would now want to do everything they can to take up the mantle temporarily

Yes, exactly like the people who were pissed off at Twitter so they started Mastodon. Made literally no difference to Twitter. Most of those people even remained on Twitter and posted as much on Twitter as on Mastodon. Because views go where the content is. Thinking anything else is wilful delusion.

> Soon Bluesky the app, as well as Instagram and Twitter, would be flooded with tutorials of how to recover your accounts

Why recover? If you're part of the 99.9%, nothing changed for you.

> and migrate to another PDS.

I have no doubt there would be a flood of tutorials of how to make sure that only 0.1% of former Bluesky users will ever see your tweets, but nobody will follow that tutorial because they don't want to make sure that only 0.1% of former Bluesky users will ever see their tweets.

> If your point is that we'd lose at least half of the users of Bluesky

0.1% would be lost.

> But ATproto would be just fine

but completely useless, since its main use case is getting Bluesky feeds and that would be switched off

> and if people want to get their data back they likely can

This is nobody's goal. People log into Bluesky to see tweets from the people and topics they follow, not to "get their data".

87. immibis ◴[] No.45121631{14}[source]
Migrating PDS on Bluesky requires a new account if your old PDS doesn't want you to migrate, or if you get banned from the PLC directory.