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481 points riffraff | 71 comments | | HN request time: 2.199s | source | bottom
1. saubeidl ◴[] No.44462362[source]
In related news:

* Data centers powering artificial intelligence could use more electricity than entire cities [0]

* Google’s emissions up 51% as AI electricity demand derails efforts to go green [1]

* AI is poised to drive 160% increase in data center power demand [2]

It is a doomsday cult in the most literal sense.

[0] https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/23/data-centers-powering-ai-cou...

[1] https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/jun/27/google-em...

[2] https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/AI-poised-to-...

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2. dottjt ◴[] No.44462429[source]
Not that I necessarily believe it, but isn't the rationale that technology allows us to scale without the need for additional humans? A bit in the same way that oil provides us many multiples of manpower?

So for example, if AI can replace the need for additional humans, then overall we're using net less energy?

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3. cess11 ◴[] No.44462449[source]
Is that what happened with oil (and coal and fossil gas)?

Or did human labour instead come to resemble machine labour?

4. jeroenhd ◴[] No.44462451[source]
It's not necessarily a doomsday cult as long as there is incentive to build green infrastructure.

AI is a massive waste of power in many (most?) cases, but electricity does not necessarily need to be generated in a way that releases CO2. Solar panels, wind farms, geothermic energy, and even nuclear plants can satisfy AI's requirements and only leave it to be a local problem.

Unfortunately, the USA, the government of country with the biggest impact per citizen as well as the hotbed of current AI development, has started taking down climate change related information to serve their oil baron masters. That leaves environmental responsibility with companies and their shareholders.

AI isn't a doomsday cult. It's the epitome of the "Yes, the planet got destroyed. But for a beautiful moment in time we created a lot of value for shareholders" meme in real life.

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5. random3 ◴[] No.44462452[source]
Feeling the seeming recklessness, but in the grand scheme of things, it may be worthwhile to throw AI at the problem to validate existence, solutions etc. So “spending” this now vs later is at least unclear wrt to long term outcomes.
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6. saubeidl ◴[] No.44462454[source]
The rationale I've heard is that AGI is gonna come around any day now and will fix all our climate issues through its superior intellect.

Which seems like a very strenuous proposal to be betting the future of humanity on.

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7. rebuilder ◴[] No.44462458[source]
That would be a compelling argument if procreation was somehow primarily driven by a need for people.

As it is, we already have quite a lot of people and they’re not going anywhere, however many terawatt-hours we pump into AI.

8. saubeidl ◴[] No.44462474[source]
A few points here.

If AI were to not use so much energy, we would have a much easier time covering our need with green sources. Yes, we can probably also account for the additional use by AI, but it'll make an already existential challenge so much harder.

Regarding your last paragraph - AI is just the riders of the apocalypse. The doomsday cult is capitalism.

replies(1): >>44462656 #
9. ohdeargodno ◴[] No.44462476[source]
Do you see fewer humans working ? Fewer humans taking their cars to do groceries, fewer humans going to school, fewer humans cooling down their houses ? All AI does is potentially make said humans jobless, with a job here and there created with a bullshit title like prompt engineer. The energy you're "saving" is absolutely nothing. When you pay someone to do data entry, the majority of their energy expenditure isn't the computer they're working on, it's the transportation systems they use, the food they eat, etc. These never go away. Well, not unless you kill said person. The current AI trend is purely additional energy consumption, without any tangible benefits.

Capitalism as a system is fundamentally incapable of functioning without continously running forward, and stopping means the system collapses. It needs consumption, it needs perpetually renewing debt, perpetually working humans. It's a death cult.

10. atwrk ◴[] No.44462509[source]
Whose rationale? More efficiency leading to less resource use never happened, it always leads to more resource use (jevons paradox).

AI companies currently simply are a major contributor to climate crisis, justified by racing for future riches for a few people, provided by some imaginary moat. Probably right near the one built by Uber.

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11. qwertox ◴[] No.44462511[source]
> It is a doomsday cult in the most literal sense.

I'm not sure what you are trying to say. That this article is part of that doomsday cult (those worried about climate change)? If so, why not give it some credibility? Are you doubting the veracity of the linked articles? Because it seems like you are dismissing the claims presented in this article and the linked ones, attributing them to a doomsday cult. I may be getting it wrong, though.

The other meaning could be that you are referring to Silicon Valley's AI companies with their huge demand for power as the doomsday cult, and that they are to blame for the major reversal in ocean circulation.

In any case, it's not like we humans were intelligent enough to prevent climate change, or modify or adapt to it (depending on what your views are, human-made or just natural warming).

It looks like we're still dumb enough (we come from the apes, and they certainly are dumber than us) to not be able to deal with this problem, so it might be better to grant AI some room to compute, and maybe shrink some cities instead.

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12. bo0tzz ◴[] No.44462539[source]
We already have clear solutions, the powers that be just don't want to sacrifice their profit margins.
replies(1): >>44463003 #
13. throwpoaster ◴[] No.44462554[source]
Electrical consumption does not emit greenhouse gasses.

Electrical production can emit greenhouse gasses, and there is an argument we should be inventing and investing in decarbonizing it.

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14. saubeidl ◴[] No.44462557[source]
We are intelligent enough. The solution has been out there for a while. The power structures we have put in place just don't allow for it to happen.
15. saubeidl ◴[] No.44462561[source]
Consumption drives production.
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16. throwaway73848 ◴[] No.44462563[source]
There seem to be only two things that we need answers to with regards to dealing with increasing CO2:

1. Can we capture CO2 and prevent it from affecting the climate in a safe way?

2. Could we create a large “blind” between the earth and sun to safely control how much sunlight hits the earth if the temperature gets too hot?

There have been advances in #1 and propositions for #2, but I think most either want to cast blame, bury our heads in the sand, or wallow in self-pity because they think we’re not capable of figuring out a safe solution and/or don’t believe that we could work together to accomplish it.

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17. bertili ◴[] No.44462564[source]
It's too expensive to be an AI bot these days. Cost of living, let alone making sensible answers to human prompts and generating images is just not profitable when energy lines are all exhausted by human air-con, irrigation and carbon capture. The AI race is now and cost of living for AIs must come down! Drill baby drill.
18. lopis ◴[] No.44462575[source]
Right now we are using renewables essentially at capacity, always. Any extra electricity use therefore needs fossil fuels to power it. It's as simple as that. The AI computation explosion is completely irresponsible and any claims that it can be green are false unless the data centers produce their own solar/nuclear on-site (and even then it's producing tons of waste heat).
replies(1): >>44462816 #
19. qwertox ◴[] No.44462578{3}[source]
> it always leads to more resource use

It does, but this due to the demand created by humans. If you create a technologically advanced civilization, with robots doing a lot of the work, and considering their lack of desire to own things like pretty houses, it could be possible to scale down civilization to a few select millions in such a way that the entire system is then respecting earth's resources.

If you were to ship a big group of people through the galaxy, you'd also have to put some constraints on how many people will be on that ship, yet it will have to function regardless of how little people exist on that ship. The same could be applied to earth.

This would also give animals more room on this planet.

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20. saubeidl ◴[] No.44462591{4}[source]
How are you envisioning this "scaling down"? Chinese-Style One Child Policy? Large scale purge?
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21. munksbeer ◴[] No.44462596[source]
> AI isn't a doomsday cult. It's the epitome of the "Yes, the planet got destroyed. But for a beautiful moment in time we created a lot of value for shareholders" meme in real life.

What if the pursuit of real AI is what eventually saves humanity and leads to a utopian rather than dystopian future?

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22. nisa ◴[] No.44462604{3}[source]
1. No we can't - at least not enough that it matters and it's energy intensive. There is no technical solution here but the powers that be want you to believe that to continue generating profits.

2. That's not how it works. It's more like a greenhouse and climate gases absorb more energy. Also look up after how many meters a steel cable ruptures under it's own weight. It's not exactly easy. Thermonuclear war might help.

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23. saubeidl ◴[] No.44462616{3}[source]
That is a pretty big if to be betting the house on.

I'm not comfortable with that call being made on my behalf by those with everything to gain from it. The same people that have coincidentally been building doomsday bunkers.

24. nisa ◴[] No.44462629{3}[source]
We know what to do. We don't need to wait for some magic AI that's basically learned from books written by humans to tell us what to do. It's all about power structures, capitalism and money.

Everyone in the oil business knew in the 80ies.

We could probably even figure out how to keep our standard of living but consumerism needs to stop but then capitalism breaks down.

25. keyringlight ◴[] No.44462656{3}[source]
We've already proven we can build huge amounts of renewable generation if we want, the issue I see is that additional huge demands like AI prevent us from making carbon based generation redundant, lowest priority choice in the mix of sources or used exclusively for its strengths to respond quickly to changing needs.
26. Yizahi ◴[] No.44462660[source]
You can't "decarbonize" anything on this planet, it is not possible by definition. Even green electrical production emits a lot of GH gasses out of the whole production cycle. I'm all for the green tech of course, I just don't like highly misleading terms like "decarbonize", "net zero" etc.
27. guappa ◴[] No.44462661[source]
We are, but if we keep consuming even more, we're not solving anything.
28. arp242 ◴[] No.44462663{3}[source]
The "we will invent our way out of this"-argument goes back way before AI, at least to the early 00s, but probably earlier.

It's a great strategy that works fantastically well and saves a lot of time and money, except when it doesn't.

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29. qwertox ◴[] No.44462667{5}[source]
No vision here, but it looks like developed countries are already working on it by themselves, with the demographic change we're able to observe. If that were the way, strong borders would need to be built.
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30. ChrisMarshallNY ◴[] No.44462669{3}[source]
> utopian rather than dystopian future

To that, I must ask: look at the people driving the revolution, and their personal ethics.

What future do you think they will provide?

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31. williamdclt ◴[] No.44462676{3}[source]
None of the incentive structures of our societies are set up to go on this direction. None of the people in power (politically or privately) are trying to make this happen. As you’d expect, we see in practice that this isn’t the direction in which we’re going.

I see no reason to expect this technology to save us. We don’t even need AI to save ourselves from dystopia, it’s not been about lack of technology for decades, we need to change our societies structurally _somehow_

32. saubeidl ◴[] No.44462695{6}[source]
What about the not developed countries? That's where most of the population growth is happening.

Should the developed world do frequent culls of the less fortunate in addition to the strong borders?

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33. fliederman ◴[] No.44462703{4}[source]
1. To state there is no technical solution is assuming you have all of the knowledge there ever will be in the world to make that assessment. A more proper way to state that is that you don’t know a technical solution, and there may or may not be one. There’s no reason not to do everything we can and research all options.

2. Having the ability to control the amount of sunlight hitting the Earth would help prevent overwarming, which is one possible outcome, and neither thermonuclear war nor any culling of humanity would be a solution, as in fact we’re responsible for this, so we must fix it. You’re basically suggesting killing all the life that could help.

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34. saubeidl ◴[] No.44462704{4}[source]
In my eyes it is a cop-out to delay the necessary structural changes until the point of no return.

At that point the structural changes will be denied with a "oh well, it's too late now anyways!"

35. newsclues ◴[] No.44462710[source]
"It's not necessarily a doomsday cult as long as there is incentive to build green infrastructure."

is building green infrastructure environmentally friendly? The mines, machinery, ships, concrete, steel, the processing plants, etc, really Green, just because it's for EVs or batteries?

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36. guappa ◴[] No.44462714{5}[source]
Maybe what trump is doing is it
37. nisa ◴[] No.44462733{5}[source]
1. You can't bend physics and the known solutions don't work out in scale. It's magical thinking to continue doing what we are doing.

2. We can already fix this but for this we need to radically change the power structures that are in place and figure out a way to peacefully solve the problem. Reducing emissions should be the biggest priority everywhere.

38. qwertox ◴[] No.44462739{7}[source]
IDK. Maybe let them develop until they also reach the state of lack of desire to procreate.
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39. saubeidl ◴[] No.44462745{5}[source]
There might theoretically be a technological solution, but the search for it is a distraction to prevent working structural societal changes from being made.
40. saubeidl ◴[] No.44462751{8}[source]
That's what China has been doing. It's greatly increased its emissions.
41. m5 ◴[] No.44462762{4}[source]
> Also look up after how many meters a steel cable ruptures under it's own weight.

This assumes that the solution would involve a single structure. It could instead be composed of many parts.

42. nntwozz ◴[] No.44462807{3}[source]
This thinking is on brand with a cult.

Humanity doesn't need saving, it just needs actual humanity.

43. netsharc ◴[] No.44462813{3}[source]
EVs really are a "slightly better" solution the planet's health can't even afford. ICE cars are worse but EVs aren't helping save the planet either. Ideally we should probably all be cycling or taking trains and buses...

Of course humanity runs on balance between living (and procreating) and saving the planet.. the quickest way to save the planet would be for all of us to drop dead, but very few of us would be in favor of that idea.

44. energy123 ◴[] No.44462814[source]
It's a declaration of war against anyone living near the equator.
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45. shafyy ◴[] No.44462816{3}[source]
Exactly. Why is this so hard to understand? It's about the marignal use. I can't believe anybody who is smart and thought about this for two seconds can make this argument in good faith.
46. celticninja ◴[] No.44462819[source]
Was bitcoin the first technology that generated this sort of "waste of electricity" argument?

Are we going to use it for every new technology? It's a fairly easy stick to beat any tech with.

Does AI use more power than Facebook? Is one more deserving of the power than the other?

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47. shafyy ◴[] No.44462833{3}[source]
What are you, 12 years old and just read a sci fi novel? Or been living under a god damn rock? Sorry, but comments like this make me so fucking angry.
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48. saubeidl ◴[] No.44462835[source]
Or near an ocean or anywhere too far from any freshwater.
49. PeterStuer ◴[] No.44462851[source]
"AI is a massive waste of power". So is nearly everything of what we do and consume. Not sure why AI would be the 'epitome' besides being this month's flavor of convenient whipping boy.

Especially here in Europe we like to play the 'Greener than Thou' card while for decades have been doing absolutely nothing real besides imaginary 'carbon credit' spreadsheet shenanigans, tipple passing the subsidy handouts for burning our forests in Dutch incinerators, exporting all our 'emissions' to China and paying very dubious buddies on the other side of the world for 'net zero' absolutions while tripling our real pollution.

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50. saubeidl ◴[] No.44462852[source]
Both those technologies consume immense amounts of energy for vague promises of future societal gain.

Our earth is a shared resource. I am not okay with it being wasted on the pet projects of billionaires trying to enrich themselves even more.

replies(1): >>44471814 #
51. panstromek ◴[] No.44462877[source]
Honestly, these articles are borderline misinformation in my opinion. All of them do a lot of guesswork and cherry picking data to make cool headlines.

The first one chooses somewhat arbitrary date of 2019 to make the 51% figure stand out. Google scaled up a lot since 2019, I'd bet it's almost entirely unrelated to AI (well, at least wrt to LLMs).

The other two are just a guesswork, which is likely completely outdated because it's from last year and so many things have changed since then.

52. jug ◴[] No.44462879[source]
This is unrelated to this story which signs starting to show in 2016. The solution to this issue will not be if every AI data center disappeared tomorrow. It has not even been shown if this would help us at this point, as it is a feedback loop that is being triggered; CO2 will and have already dramatically increased due to it, probably more impactful than AI itself already. AI disappearing may help in other ways for sure, but this is an odd article to choose to piggyback on.
53. nisa ◴[] No.44462881{4}[source]
It's crazy reading these comments here. We are really living in some dystopian future to some degree. Let's unite and fight. Act local, do what you can and don't lose hope. The Internet is broken. Not sure if it's just brainwashed people commenting here or bots or some societies just embrace destroying everything for profit and capitalism.
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54. seviu ◴[] No.44462887[source]
We gotta build legislations that force Bitcoin mining facilities or big data centers to massively improve the grid and make sure they have plans to run on self powered nuclear or green energy.

The case of Bitcoin is more damning because pow for just no reason, serves no purpose. Security by consuming massive amounts of power. There is a reason why Ethereum successfully moved away from that. But Bitcoin will never dare to.

Unfortunately as you say the powers are currently focusing on denying what is clearly undeniable.

This article made me fear first time since a while for what kind of future are my daughters live in. I am truly sorry and sad.

55. ohdeargodno ◴[] No.44462919{3}[source]
Every single major AI company is led by sociopaths drunk on authoritarianism, fascism and borderline theocracy dreams.

Needless to say, the utopia plan is going badly.

56. shafyy ◴[] No.44462930{5}[source]
For sure! Just do something, even if it's handing out flyers at your local mall once a month for some good cause.
57. flir ◴[] No.44462936{3}[source]
> The rationale I've heard is that AGI is gonna come around any day now and will fix all our climate issues through its superior intellect.

Skynet says: Get rid of the people

58. radicalbyte ◴[] No.44462960[source]
Given the bill that the Americans just passed.. it's going to be an absolute shit-show.

The smart play was to allow AI to fuel a massive growth in production of solar panels and wind in the US which could actually rival China (who are going to eat the US within a decade) but corruption has put pay to that.

59. vimy ◴[] No.44462986{3}[source]
> exporting all our 'emissions' to China

A popular narrative but it’s false. Even when we take it into account Europe’s emissions keep dropping.

It’s a small % of China’s massive emissions. They produce and consume on a level we can’t fathom. Their middle class has more people than the US and EU combined.

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60. myrmidon ◴[] No.44463003{3}[source]
No. Just no.

Nation-wise, all the biggest culprits (US/EU) and a good number of the biggest present and future contributors to climate change are democracies.

You do not get to shift collective responsibility onto some "powers that be": Those powers are you and me.

The problem is neither that people don't know about climate change, nor that "greedy corporations" prevent us from acting-- the central problem is that people, in general, don't want to sacrifice cheap fuel, electricity and high living standards now for a better future-- not even a little bit.

Thats it. You can see this in literally every discussion on environmentalism in basically every election. People only want clean energy as long as they don't have to pay a single dime extra for it.

I have not solution for this, but blaming corporations is most certainly not gonna solve this problem (if anything, it's making things worse).

replies(1): >>44463013 #
61. imhoguy ◴[] No.44463011[source]
Decarbonization is a wet dream. Alternative energy sources require toxic minerals extraction and manufacturing which turns biosystems into dead wastelands and waterlands into dry dustlands.

The only way is to lower consumption drastically, end the constant growth chase, and enbrance closed carbon cycle (biodiverse biomass).

62. saubeidl ◴[] No.44463013{4}[source]
Who says that democracies are the solution? Personally, I envision a more authoritarian eco-communism.

Others might have other models in mind, but it's a cop-out to say "oh well, we've tried bourgeois democracy and it was inevitably corrupted by capitalist interest, I guess we're all out of ideas..."

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63. PeterStuer ◴[] No.44463034{4}[source]
If we used to consume 1 locally produced widget and had x emissions as a result, and now consume 3 China produced widgets shipped to us from around the world, while pretending we now have zero emissions as a result, how would you call that?
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64. jillesvangurp ◴[] No.44463041[source]
In terms of impact, AI remains very minor relative to all the other carbon intensive stuff we do. It's a few percent of overall power usage. And unlike many of those things, using renewable power for AI use cases is fairly straightforward from a technical point of view and also the cheapest thing to do long term. A lot of the current rise in emissions is data centers opting for more expensive dirty power because that's all they can get. That's the problem to fix. Because we're going to need a lot of clean power generation to transition away from all the current dirty power generation.

The good news is that that usage is creating high cost for them and an incentive to do something about that. Which is why MS, Amazon, etc. are very interested in investing in e.g. nuclear and renewables.

I'm not too worried about the long term impact of increased power usage by data centers. I think it's more interesting to focus on the big emitters: domestic and industrial heating, shipping, road transport, aviation, construction, etc. There is some movement there but it's very slow. Fixing that should increase demands on power grids and that's a good thing because investments are needed to make that better and cleaner and the most viable technical path to doing that is via renewables.

And it's not a zero sum game. AI delivers economical benefits as well. Including potential savings in labor, efficiency gains, and indeed power usage. I don't think becoming Luddites is really a realistic path. Not going to happen and quite pointless and ineffective to be calling for that. AI is happening and there's going to be more of it. Wasting energy on trying to put that cat back in the bag it escaped from is a mission impossible.

65. myrmidon ◴[] No.44463296{5}[source]
> oh well, we've tried bourgeois democracy and it was inevitably corrupted by capitalist interest

This is not my point. I think most western democracies do exactly what voters want against climate change: Nothing that would cost extra.

Effective policies to curb CO2 emissions are numerous and pretty obvious: Get rid of combustion engines, phase out fossil fuels from electricity generation, scale up electric grid interconnectivity and storage, lower emissions in steel/concrete production.

Voters are mostly not against those policies, but as soon as there are visible costs (fuel/vehicle/construction/electricity costs rising) or minor inconvenience (vehicle range) any progress gets firmly stopped.

I don't see how another form of government would help in any way-- the eco-communists would just get toppled before they could get anything done.

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66. saubeidl ◴[] No.44463418{6}[source]
I don't disagree with you here, which is why I think authoritarian eco-communism is the only way out.

People have to be forced to act in their best interest.

67. munksbeer ◴[] No.44463715{4}[source]
If you really want me to comment, then I can, but people downvote different opinions on AI here, so it doesn't seem fruitful.

I'm an optimist by nature. I probably do err on the side of optimism. But when I look back over history, I see a trend upward in living standards, despite the modern determination to pretend this hasn't happened, or to cherry pick data to prove the opposite, and despite prophecies of doom at almost every step change.

I'm inclined to believe that will continue to happen, that regardless of what people personally think of Altman, Zuckerberg, etc, that ultimately, strong AI is inevitable, and that it will be a force for improving our lives.

I do not believe we'll be relegated to poor existences, while the captains of AI or whoever the elite are defined to be, live in paradise with robot workers do everything for them. It just makes no sense.

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68. ChrisMarshallNY ◴[] No.44464011{5}[source]
> people downvote different opinions

Not just on AI. Personally, I only downvote stuff that I think coarsens the dialogue. The opinion expressed, is not really relevant. I like living in a world where I'm challenged.

I too, am an optimist. I think that AI can have tremendous positive effect.

But I also have considerable life experience with the darker corners of human nature, and know exactly how bad it can get (HINT: There's no bottom). Some of the very worst specimens of ... humanity, I guess (for lack of a better term) ... are quite cultured and well-educated. Filed fingernails mean absolutely nothing, when it comes to personal Integrity.

A quick shufti through human history, will quickly show that our shared prosperity is merely a recent blip on the screen. Most of history is the 0.01%, living high on the hog, while the 99.99% live in hell, serving the 0.01%. AI can definitely enable that kind of society.

69. throwpoaster ◴[] No.44464408{3}[source]
The data are not clear on that. Some things we consume just because they are produced. This is the idea behind Supply Side Economics.
70. vimy ◴[] No.44467554{5}[source]
Let me be more clear. European emissions are down compared to the 90s. By a lot. And yes, taking into account 'exported emissions'. And yet we consume more.

Time to rethink what you have been told.

71. celticninja ◴[] No.44471814{3}[source]
Producing endless smartphones uses resources and energy, but apple make 3 new models a year, with only minor 'improvements' not to mention their laptops, or those of other manufacturers.

Car manufacturers are producing more and more vehicles using more resources and requiring more energy, either for ICE or EV, vehicles.

You can be against a particular tech using resources and power, but if you are selective about which tech then you don't really care as much as you think you do.