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197 points baylearn | 4 comments | | HN request time: 0.785s | source
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bestouff ◴[] No.44471877[source]
Are there some people here in HN believing in AGI "soonish" ?
replies(5): >>44471902 #>>44471982 #>>44472003 #>>44472071 #>>44472107 #
Davidzheng ◴[] No.44472107[source]
what's your definition? AGI original definition is median human across almost all fields which I believe is basically achieved. If superhuman (better than best expert) I expect <2030 for all nonrobotic tasks and <2035 for all tasks
replies(3): >>44472644 #>>44473009 #>>44473060 #
1. GolfPopper ◴[] No.44473009[source]
A "median human" can run a web search and report back on what they found without making stuff up, something I've yet to find an LLM capable of doing reliably.
replies(2): >>44473597 #>>44476492 #
2. Davidzheng ◴[] No.44473597[source]
I bet you median humans make up a nontrivial amount of things. Humans misremember all the time. If you ask for only quotes, LLMs can also do this without problems (I use o3 for search over google)
replies(1): >>44478627 #
3. ekianjo ◴[] No.44476492[source]
maybe you havent been exposed to actual median humans much.
4. imtringued ◴[] No.44478627[source]
Ah the classic "humans are fallible, AI is fallible, therefore AI is exactly like human intelligence".

I guess if you believe this, then the AI is already smarter than you.