Are there some people here in HN believing in AGI "soonish" ?
what's your definition? AGI original definition is median human across almost all fields which I believe is basically achieved. If superhuman (better than best expert) I expect <2030 for all nonrobotic tasks and <2035 for all tasks
A "median human" can run a web search and report back on what they found without making stuff up, something I've yet to find an LLM capable of doing reliably.