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AGI Is Still 30 Years Away – Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu

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174 points Philpax | 3 comments | 17 Apr 25 16:42 UTC | HN request time: 0s | source
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dicroce ◴[17 Apr 25 17:35 UTC] No.43719918[source]▶
Doesn't even matter. The capabilities of the AI that's out NOW will take a decade or more to digest.
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EA-3167 ◴[17 Apr 25 17:37 UTC] No.43719953[source]▶
I feel like it's already been pretty well digested and excreted for the most part, now we're into the re-ingestion phase until the bubble bursts.
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tough ◴[17 Apr 25 17:39 UTC] No.43719975[source]▶
maybe silicon valley and the world move at basically different rates

idk AI is just a speck outside of the HN and SV info-bubbles

still early to mass adoption like the smartphone or the internet, mostly nerds playing w it

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aleph_minus_one ◴[17 Apr 25 17:43 UTC] No.43720015[source]▶
> idk AI is just a speck outside of the HN and SV info-bubbles

> still early to mass adoption like the smartphone or the internet, mostly nerds playing w it

Rather: outside of the HN and SV bubbles, the A"I"s and the fact how one can fall for this kind of hype and dupery is commonly ridiculed.

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1. umeshunni ◴[17 Apr 25 17:49 UTC] No.43720095[source]▶
Yeah, I'm old enough to remember all the masses who mocked the Internet and smartphones too.
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2. tough ◴[17 Apr 25 17:53 UTC] No.43720167[source]▶
Im not mocking AI, and while the internet and smartphones fundamentally changed how societies operate, and AI will probably do so to, why the Doomerism? Isn't that how tech works? We invent new tech and use it and so on?

What makes AI fundamentally different than smartphones or the internet? Will it change the world? Probably, already has.

Will it end it as we know it? Probably not?

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3. ◴[17 Apr 25 18:31 UTC] No.43720532[source]▶