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AGI Is Still 30 Years Away – Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu

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174 points Philpax | 3 comments | 17 Apr 25 16:42 UTC | HN request time: 0.001s | source
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dicroce ◴[17 Apr 25 17:35 UTC] No.43719918[source]▶
Doesn't even matter. The capabilities of the AI that's out NOW will take a decade or more to digest.
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EA-3167 ◴[17 Apr 25 17:37 UTC] No.43719953[source]▶
I feel like it's already been pretty well digested and excreted for the most part, now we're into the re-ingestion phase until the bubble bursts.
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tough ◴[17 Apr 25 17:39 UTC] No.43719975[source]▶
maybe silicon valley and the world move at basically different rates

idk AI is just a speck outside of the HN and SV info-bubbles

still early to mass adoption like the smartphone or the internet, mostly nerds playing w it

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1. azinman2 ◴[17 Apr 25 17:47 UTC] No.43720071[source]▶
I really disagree. I had a masseuse tell me how he uses ChatGPT, told it a ton of info about himself, and now he uses it for personalized nutrition recommendations. I was in Atlanta over the weekend recently, at a random brunch spot, and overheard some _very_ not SV/tech folks talk about how they use it everyday. Their user growth rate shows this -- you don't hit hundreds of millions of people and have them all be HN/SV info-bubble folks.
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2. tough ◴[17 Apr 25 17:50 UTC] No.43720117[source]▶
I see ChatGPT as the new Google, not the new Nuclear Power Soruce. maybe im naive
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3. azinman2 ◴[17 Apr 25 18:41 UTC] No.43720629[source]▶
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DIep4wLvvVa/

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DE0lldzTHyw/

These maybe satire but I feel like they capture what’s happening. It’s more than Google.