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617 points jbegley | 81 comments | | HN request time: 0.473s | source | bottom
1. A4ET8a8uTh0_v2 ◴[] No.42940660[source]
I want to be upset over this in an exasperated expression of oddly naive "why can't we all get along?" frame of mind. I want to, because I know how I would like the world to look like, but as a species we, including myself, continually fail to disappoint when it comes nearly guaranteed self-destruction.

I want to get upset over it, but I sadly recognize the reality of the why this is not surprising to anyone. We actually have competitors in that space, who will do that and more. We already have seen some of the more horrifying developments in that area.. and, when you think about it, those are the things that were allowed to be shown publicly. All the fun stuff is happening behind closed doors away from social media.

replies(9): >>42940696 #>>42941054 #>>42941060 #>>42941115 #>>42941183 #>>42941453 #>>42941855 #>>42941871 #>>42941899 #
2. dgfitz ◴[] No.42940696[source]
Could you imagine how the entire world would look if they took truth serum for an entire year, how different the world might be?

Lies run the planet, and it stinks.

replies(9): >>42940743 #>>42940790 #>>42941628 #>>42941773 #>>42941779 #>>42941833 #>>42942022 #>>42942031 #>>42942171 #
3. ziddoap ◴[] No.42940849{3}[source]
Your point could be made, probably even stronger than it is currently, by omitting the insult at the start.
replies(1): >>42940974 #
4. yubblegum ◴[] No.42940860{3}[source]
[flagged]
replies(1): >>42940937 #
5. iwontberude ◴[] No.42940889{3}[source]
moralistic relativism creates cover for egocentrism to destroy us
replies(1): >>42940936 #
6. A4ET8a8uTh0_v2 ◴[] No.42940896{3}[source]
That.. is a new one. I thought I am fairly aware of various forms of coded language. Care to elaborate?
replies(1): >>42941042 #
7. dgfitz ◴[] No.42940937{4}[source]
Ah nuts, I’m not trying to project anything at all. Sincerely.
8. turbojet1321 ◴[] No.42940936{4}[source]
Yes but unfortunately that doesn't make it false.
9. explodes ◴[] No.42940944{3}[source]
Insults are not part of the community guidelines
replies(1): >>42941134 #
10. ziddoap ◴[] No.42940988{5}[source]
>than a chatgpt style

Literally just remove the first 4 words and keep the rest of the comment the same, and it's a better comment. No idea what chatgpt has to do with it.

replies(1): >>42941047 #
11. dgfitz ◴[] No.42941042{4}[source]
Fwiw I’m way too dumb to speak in coded language.
12. justonenote ◴[] No.42941047{6}[source]
That would be removing information and strictly worse that including it.

Communication is about communicating information, sometimes a terse short and aggressive style is the most effective way. It activates neurons in a way a paragraph of polite argumentation doesn't.

replies(1): >>42941182 #
13. octopoc ◴[] No.42941054[source]
In WWII neither side used poison gas. It doesn’t have to be this way.
replies(4): >>42941245 #>>42941609 #>>42941963 #>>42942191 #
14. mv4 ◴[] No.42941064{3}[source]
I don't think they meant the "truth" truth but people saying what they really think and being open about their motivations.
replies(1): >>42942137 #
15. lioeters ◴[] No.42941088{5}[source]
Similarly your point would have communicated better without the unnecessary and adolescent final sentence.
replies(1): >>42941128 #
16. cortesoft ◴[] No.42941114{5}[source]
“More effective” at what? No one is ever going to be convinced by an argument that begins with an insult. So what do you mean by it will be more effective?
replies(1): >>42941211 #
17. bodegajed ◴[] No.42941115[source]
"The philosophers have only interpreted the world, in various ways. The point, however, is to change it." - Karl Marx
replies(1): >>42941600 #
18. mr_00ff00 ◴[] No.42941119[source]
Technically the US has never dropped nukes, those were atomic bombs.

Second, don’t understand how the atomic bomb argument makes sense. Germany was developing them and would have used them if it got there first.

Are you suggesting the US really is truly the only nation that would ever have used atomic weapons? That if Japan made it first they would have spared China or the US?

replies(2): >>42941203 #>>42941783 #
19. justonenote ◴[] No.42941128{6}[source]
It was for effect.

Maybe you'd prefer if we were all maximally polite drones but that's not how humans are, going back to GPs point, and I don't think it's a state than anyone truly wants either.

20. iwontberude ◴[] No.42941134{4}[source]
Being childlike is a blessing and a compliment in my book.
21. justonenote ◴[] No.42941146{6}[source]
No comment.
22. Hello71 ◴[] No.42941182{7}[source]
the contention of your respondents and downvoters is that regardless of your intention, the extra information actually communicated is "i'm an asshole".
replies(1): >>42941278 #
23. yodsanklai ◴[] No.42941183[source]
> We actually have competitors in that space, who will do that and more

So what? Can't Google find other sources of revenue than building weapons?

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24. justonenote ◴[] No.42941211{6}[source]
Do you honestly think an insult never brought about a change in a person? You never think a carefully landed and accurate insult made someone reconsider their position?

Weird, because in my experience, that has happened to every single person I know and myself. Whether it's at the start or end of a comment is not really the point.

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25. r053bud ◴[] No.42941245[source]
Excuse me, what?
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26. justonenote ◴[] No.42941278{8}[source]
Fine, that's still extra information.

More accurately in the context of the comment, its "Im gonna be an asshole to you because I think you don't have the life experience I do", which is at least, some kind of signal.

I wasn't the original responder btw.

27. dgfitz ◴[] No.42941281{7}[source]
Welp, in this specific instance, your insults are a microcosm of the election results.

Stinks, huh?

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28. leptons ◴[] No.42941282{3}[source]
The only people who don't think truth matters are those who would profit from lies.
29. fwip ◴[] No.42941337[source]
Nukes haven't yet wiped us out. They still may.
replies(1): >>42941556 #
30. justonenote ◴[] No.42941344{8}[source]
Things are very black and white these days, no room for shades.
31. gessha ◴[] No.42941429{3}[source]
“Grownups never understand anything by themselves, and it is tiresome for children to be always and forever explaining things to them” - Antoine de Saint-Exupery, The Little Prince
32. mrbungie ◴[] No.42941450{7}[source]
It may do depending in context, but that's not the point and in fact is widely recognized as a ad hominem argument and fallacious by definition.

Most emotionally mature people would stop arguing after something like that.

33. bbqfog ◴[] No.42941453[source]
You can and should be upset. No reason to become complacent, that's a path to accelerated destruction.
replies(1): >>42941851 #
34. vondur ◴[] No.42941477{3}[source]
It means all nations can agree to not unleash AI based weapons on the world. Sadly I don't see this happening.
replies(1): >>42941959 #
35. jknoepfler ◴[] No.42941556{3}[source]
Survivorship Bias: the Board Game that Ends Abruptly.
36. eterm ◴[] No.42941568{3}[source]
I think we can assume good fath and the grandparent merely forgot to add "in combat" to that statement, rather than deliberately trying to downplay the use of Zyklon B.
37. lmm ◴[] No.42941600[source]
And how did that work out for him? If he'd stuck to interpreting the world, it's hard to say the world wouldn't have been much better off.
38. SanjayMehta ◴[] No.42941609[source]
Not on the battlefield.
39. Swannie ◴[] No.42941628[source]
Yes, have you watched The Wheel of Time? Better to read the books... the characters bound to tell the truth are experts in double meanings.

Successful politicans and sociopaths are experts in double meanings.

"I will not drop bombs on Acmeland." Instead, I will send missiles.

"At this point in time, we do not intend to end the tariffs." The intent will change when conditions change, which is forecast next week.

"We are not in negotations to acquire AI Co for $1B." We are negotiating for $0.9B.

"Our results show an improvement for a majority of recipients." 51% saw an improvement of 1%, 49% saw a decline of 5%...

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40. pixl97 ◴[] No.42941677[source]
Why would it turn down billions in government contracts unless otherwise punished by its shareholders?
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41. dgfitz ◴[] No.42941720{3}[source]
Wow.

Yes I read the whole series. It was a fucking marathon.

I can’t quite tie your point into the series directly, other than to agree that elected officials are, almost by definition, professional liars.

(Tugs on braid)

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42. ◴[] No.42941773[source]
43. cat_plus_plus ◴[] No.42941779[source]
We would all be covered in bruises from getting slapped all day long.
44. saagarjha ◴[] No.42941783{3}[source]
Care to explain how an atomic bomb is not a nuke?
replies(1): >>42941895 #
45. II2II ◴[] No.42941804[source]
Most of the early research into computers was funded for military applications. There is a reason why the silicon valley became a hub for technological development.
46. scarface_74 ◴[] No.42941833[source]
People try to cope and say others are guided by lies. In the US, people knew exactly what they were getting and I’m true the same is true in other “democracies”.
47. getlawgdon ◴[] No.42941851[source]
Amen.
48. matthest ◴[] No.42941855[source]
The path we're on was inevitable the second man discovered fire.

No matter which way you look at it, we live on a planet where resources are scarce. Which means there will be competition. Which means there will be innovation in weaponry.

That said, we've had nukes for decades, and have collectively decided to not use them for decades. So there is some room for optimism.

49. asdfman123 ◴[] No.42941871[source]
What we should have ideally done as humans is find a way to not allow AI combat.

Now that's off the table, I think America should have AI weapons because everyone else will be developing them as quickly as possible.

replies(1): >>42950517 #
50. FeteCommuniste ◴[] No.42941895{4}[source]
Atom bombs are definitely nukes. Maybe the GP was thinking of thermonuclear (fission-fusion) weapons.
replies(1): >>42957268 #
51. mkolodny ◴[] No.42941899[source]
A vague “stuff is happening behind closed doors” isn’t enough of a reason to build AI weapons. If you shared a specific weapon that could only be countered with AI weapons, that might make me feel differently. But right now I can’t imagine a reason we’d need or want robots to decide who to kill.

When people talk about AI being dangerous, or possibly bringing about the end of the world, I usually disagree. But AI weapons are obviously dangerous, and could easily get out of control. Their whole point is that they are out of control.

The issue isn’t that AI weapons are “evil”. It’s that value alignment isn’t a solved problem, and AI weapons could kill people we wouldn’t want them to kill.

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52. siltcakes ◴[] No.42941949[source]
I agree. I don't think there's really a case for the US developing any offensive weapons. Geographically, economically and politically, we are not under any sort of credible threat. Maybe AI based missile defense or something, but we already have a completely unjustified arsenal of offensive weapons and a history of using them amorally.
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53. ◴[] No.42941959{4}[source]
54. dahdum ◴[] No.42941963[source]
It took the use of poison gas to get countries on board, and some will still use it. Just more carefully.

Would China, Russia, or Iran agree to such a preemptive AI weapons ban? Doubtful, it’s their chance to close the gap. I’m onboard if so, but I don’t see anything happening on that front until well after they start dominating the landscape.

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55. scottyah ◴[] No.42941993{3}[source]
Human's short context windows with too many areas to research and stay up to date on is why I don't believe any version of Democracy I've seen can succeed, and the only real positive to some kind of ASI government/policing (once we solve the whole universal judgement system issue). I'd love a world where you would be assisted through tax season, ill-intentioned drivers were properly incentivized to not risk others' lives, and you could at least be made aware before breaking laws.

Eliminating the need to lie/misguide people to sway them would be such a crazy world.

56. TheSpiceIsLife ◴[] No.42942022[source]
If you can’t cope with the lies, what makes you think you’d cope with the truth? Which I guarantee you is magnitudes of order more horrifying.
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57. scottyah ◴[] No.42942029{3}[source]
Without going too far into it, if we laid down all offensive weapons the cartels in Mexico would be inside US borders and killing people within a day.
replies(1): >>42942057 #
58. WOTERMEON ◴[] No.42942031[source]
I mean you can see that even at any company at any size. I think it’s human nature.
59. catlikesshrimp ◴[] No.42942045{3}[source]
"Geographically, economically and politically, we are not under any sort of credible threat. "

The US is politically and economically declining, already. And its area of influence has been weakening since, the 90's?

It would be bad strategy to not do anything until you feel hopelessly threathened.

replies(1): >>42942092 #
60. siltcakes ◴[] No.42942057{4}[source]
You think the cartels aren't attacking us because we have missiles that can hit Mexico? I don't agree. Somewhat tangentially, the cartels only exist because the US made recreational drugs illegal.
replies(1): >>42942234 #
61. siltcakes ◴[] No.42942092{4}[source]
I don't think we would ever be justified in going on the offensive nor do I think that makes us safer in any way.
62. nicr_22 ◴[] No.42942109[source]
Have a look at what explosive drones are doing in the fight for Ukraine.

Now tell me how you counter a thousand small EMP hardened autonomous drones intent on delivering an explosive payload to one target without AI of some kind?

63. TheSpiceIsLife ◴[] No.42942137{4}[source]
Sounds horrible.

Deception is bad enough, knowing people’s true motivations and opinions surely would be worse.

What truly motivates other people is largely a mystery, and what motivates oneself is wildly mysterious to that oneself indeed.

64. scottyah ◴[] No.42942160[source]
How about 30k drones come from a shipping vessel in the port of Los Angeles that start shooting at random people? To insert a human into the loop (somehow rapidly wake up, move, log hundreds of people in to make the kill/nokill decision per target) would be accepting way more casualties. What if some of the 30k drones were manned? The timeframes of battles are drastically reduced with the latest technology to where humans just can't keep up.

I guess there's a lot missing in semantics, is the AI specifically for targeting or is a drone that can adapt to changes in wind speed using AI considered an AI weapon?

At the end of the day though, the biggest use of AI in defense will always be information gathering and processing.

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65. portaouflop ◴[] No.42942171[source]
Put LSD in the drinking water
replies(1): >>42942716 #
66. dataflow ◴[] No.42942191[source]
You should read this, it might change your mind: https://acoup.blog/2020/03/20/collections-why-dont-we-use-ch...
67. scottyah ◴[] No.42942234{5}[source]
Not sure where the missiles came from, you said all offensive weapons so in my mind I was picturing basic firearms. Drug trade might be their most profitable business but I think you're missing a whole lot of cultural context by saying the US's policy on drugs is their sole reason for existing. Plenty of cartels deal in sex trafficking, kidnapping, extortion, and even mining and logging today.
68. dgfitz ◴[] No.42942383{3}[source]
If who can’t cope with what lies?

Yes, the truth would also stink. I’m sure it’s also horrifying.

replies(1): >>42958101 #
69. int_19h ◴[] No.42942488{3}[source]
Russia would most definitely not agree to it given that Ukraine is already deploying autonomous drones against it.
70. computerthings ◴[] No.42942495[source]
> AI weapons are obviously dangerous, and could easily get out of control.

The real danger is when they can't. When they, without hesitation or remorse, kill one or millions of people with maximum efficiency, or "just" exist with that capability, to threaten them with such a fate. Unlike nuclear weapons, in case of a stalemate between superpowers they can also be turned inwards.

Using AI for defensive weapons is one thing, and maybe some of those would have to shoot explosives at other things to defend; but just going with "eh, we need to have the ALL possible offensive capability to defend against ANY possible offensive capability" is not credible to me.

The threat scenario is supposed to be masses of enemy automated weapons, not huddled masses; so why isn't the objective to develop weapons that are really good at fighting automatic weapons, but literally can't/won't kill humans, because that's would remain something only human soldiers do? Quite the elephant on the couch IMO.

71. LoganDark ◴[] No.42942716{3}[source]
This is actually a plot point of Unsong https://unsongbook.com
72. mitthrowaway2 ◴[] No.42943322{3}[source]
What is true is already so. Owning up to it doesn't make it worse. Not being open about it doesn't make it go away. And because it's true, it is what is there to be interacted with. Anything untrue isn't there to be lived. People can stand what is true, for they are already enduring it.

—Eugene Gendlin

73. mcmcmc ◴[] No.42943646{4}[source]
Not the GP, but I think what they’re getting at is that Aes Sedai can deceive without saying untruthful. So a hypothetical truth serum wouldn’t necessarily guarantee honesty
74. DandyDev ◴[] No.42944862{3}[source]
Because it's better for humanity? Because it's morally the right choice?
75. bamboozled ◴[] No.42946451{3}[source]
How about 30k drones come from a shipping vessel in the port of Los Angeles that start shooting at random people?

It's going to happen.

replies(1): >>42947022 #
76. doublerabbit ◴[] No.42947022{4}[source]
I better get started on building those Metal Gear Rays.
replies(1): >>42947428 #
77. bamboozled ◴[] No.42947428{5}[source]
I guess it won't be long until there are drones which can take out drones autonomously. Somewhat neutralizing the threat...providing you have enough capable drones yourself :)
replies(1): >>42956009 #
78. pdfernhout ◴[] No.42950517[source]
On that ideal and whether it is still reachable someday, see my 2010 essay: "Recognizing irony is key to transcending militarism" https://pdfernhout.net/recognizing-irony-is-a-key-to-transce...

From there:

-----

Military robots like drones are ironic because they are created essentially to force humans to work like robots in an industrialized social order. Why not just create industrial robots to do the work instead?

Nuclear weapons are ironic because they are about using space age systems to fight over oil and land. Why not just use advanced materials as found in nuclear missiles to make renewable energy sources (like windmills or solar panels) to replace oil, or why not use rocketry to move into space by building space habitats for more land?

Biological weapons like genetically-engineered plagues are ironic because they are about using advanced life-altering biotechnology to fight over which old-fashioned humans get to occupy the planet. Why not just use advanced biotech to let people pick their skin color, or to create living arkologies and agricultural abundance for everyone everywhere?

These militaristic socio-economic ironies would be hilarious if they were not so deadly serious. ...

Likewise, even United States three-letter agencies like the NSA and the CIA, as well as their foreign counterparts, are becoming ironic institutions in many ways. Despite probably having more computing power per square foot than any other place in the world, they seem not to have thought much about the implications of all that computer power and organized information to transform the world into a place of abundance for all. Cheap computing makes possible just about cheap everything else, as does the ability to make better designs through shared computing. ...

There is a fundamental mismatch between 21st century reality and 20th century security thinking. Those "security" agencies are using those tools of abundance, cooperation, and sharing mainly from a mindset of scarcity, competition, and secrecy. Given the power of 21st century technology as an amplifier (including as weapons of mass destruction), a scarcity-based approach to using such technology ultimately is just making us all insecure. Such powerful technologies of abundance, designed, organized, and used from a mindset of scarcity could well ironically doom us all whether through military robots, nukes, plagues, propaganda, or whatever else... Or alternatively, as Bucky Fuller and others have suggested, we could use such technologies to build a world that is abundant and secure for all. ...

The big problem is that all these new war machines and the surrounding infrastructure are created with the tools of abundance. The irony is that these tools of abundance are being wielded by people still obsessed with fighting over scarcity. So, the scarcity-based political mindset driving the military uses the technologies of abundance to create artificial scarcity. That is a tremendously deep irony that remains so far unappreciated by the mainstream.

We the people need to redefine security in a sustainable and resilient way. Much current US military doctrine is based around unilateral security ("I'm safe because you are nervous") and extrinsic security ("I'm safe despite long supply lines because I have a bunch of soldiers to defend them"), which both lead to expensive arms races. We need as a society to move to other paradigms like Morton Deutsch's mutual security ("We're all looking out for each other's safety") and Amory Lovin's intrinsic security ("Our redundant decentralized local systems can take a lot of pounding whether from storm, earthquake, or bombs and would still would keep working"). ...

Still, we must accept that there is nothing wrong with wanting some security. The issue is how we go about it in a non-ironic way that works for everyone. ...

-----

Here is something I posted to the Project Virgle mailing list in April 2008 that in part touches on the issue of Google's identity as a scarcity vs. post-scarcity organization: "A Rant On Financial Obesity and an Ironic Disclosure" https://pdfernhout.net/a-rant-on-financial-obesity-and-Proje... "Look at Project Virgle and "An Open Source Planet" ... Even just in jest some of the most financially obese people on the planet (who have built their company with thousands of servers all running GNU/Linux free software) apparently could not see any other possibility but seriously becoming even more financially obese off the free work of others on another planet (as well as saddling others with financial obesity too :-). And that jest came almost half a century after the "Triple Revolution" letter of 1964 about the growing disconnect between effort and productivity (or work and financial fitness)...Even not having completed their PhDs, the top Google-ites may well take many more decades to shake off that ideological discipline. I know it took me decades (and I am still only part way there. :-) As with my mother, no doubt Googlers have lived through periods of scarcity of money relative to their needs to survive or be independent scholars or effective agents of change. Is it any wonder they probably think being financially obese is a good thing, not an indication of either personal or societal pathology? :-( ..."

Last April, inspired by some activities a friend was doing, I asked an LLM AI ( chatpdf ) to write a song about my sig, using the prompt 'Please make a song about "The biggest challenge of the 21st century is the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity."'. Then that friend made the results into an AI-generated song: "Challenge to Abundance" https://suno.com/song/d3d8c296-c2c4-46c6-80fb-ca9882c5e00a

"(Verse 1) In the 21st century, we face a paradox so clear, Technologies of abundance, yet scarcity we fear, Irony in our hands, what will we choose to see, A world of endless possibilities or stuck in scarcity?

(Chorus) The biggest challenge we face, it's plain to see, Embracing abundance or stuck in scarcity, Let's break free from old ways, embrace what could be, The irony of our times, let's set our minds free. ..."

I hope Googlers and others eventually get the perspective shift that comes with recognizing the irony of what they and many others are doing with weaponizing and otherwise competetizing AI...

Also on that larger theme by Alfie Kohn: "No Contest: The Case Against Competition" https://www.alfiekohn.org/contest/ "No Contest, which has been stirring up controversy since its publication in 1986, stands as the definitive critique of competition. Drawing from hundreds of studies, Alfie Kohn eloquently argues that our struggle to defeat each other — at work, at school, at play, and at home — turns all of us into losers. Contrary to the myths with which we have been raised, Kohn shows that competition is not an inevitable part of “human nature.” It does not motivate us to do our best (in fact, the reason our workplaces and schools are in trouble is that they value competitiveness instead of excellence.) Rather than building character, competition sabotages self-esteem and ruins relationships. It even warps recreation by turning the playing field into a battlefield. No Contest makes a powerful case that “healthy competition” is a contradiction in terms. Because any win/lose arrangement is undesirable, we will have to restructure our institutions for the benefit of ourselves, our children, and our society. ..."

79. mikrotikker ◴[] No.42956009{6}[source]
Check out Andurils Anvil
80. aeonik ◴[] No.42957268{5}[source]
Depends on the circles you run in, but I've heard people distinguish nuclear bombs from atomic bombs, kind of like how atomic clocks are distinguished from nuclear clocks.

I don't quite understand it because atomic clocks deal with the electrons, while nuclear clocks, nuclear bombs, and thermo-nukes are all dealing with the nucleus of the atom.

I've always preferred fission vs fusion bomb, or nuke vs. thermo nuke.

81. TheSpiceIsLife ◴[] No.42958101{4}[source]
The general you, the reader.