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Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

(www.cnn.com)
577 points mooreds | 30 comments | 18 Nov 24 14:31 UTC | HN request time: 0.44s | source | bottom
1. Etheryte ◴[18 Nov 24 19:49 UTC] No.42176174[source]▶
So to keep score, in the last year we've seen cables sabotaged between Finland and Germany, Lithuania and Sweden, Estonia and Sweden, Estonia and Finland. Any others I missed? You might say it's too early to call it sabotage, but the earliest two cable incidents were exactly the same, so it's hardly a coincidence at this point.
replies(5): >>42176529 #>>42176719 #>>42177150 #>>42177199 #>>42177263 #
2. ◴[18 Nov 24 20:24 UTC] No.42176529[source]▶
3. barryrandall ◴[18 Nov 24 20:39 UTC] No.42176719[source]▶
Russia warned that they were going to do this last week. I think it's pretty reasonable to conclude that 1) this was sabotage and 2) it was Russia.
replies(2): >>42176971 #>>42177112 #
4. JumpCrisscross ◴[18 Nov 24 21:00 UTC] No.42176971[source]▶
> Russia warned that they were going to do this last week

Source?

replies(2): >>42177009 #>>42177018 #
5. farbklang ◴[18 Nov 24 21:03 UTC] No.42177009{3}[source]▶
first result: https://www.newsweek.com/russia-pipeline-gas-patrushev-putin...
6. stavros ◴[18 Nov 24 21:04 UTC] No.42177018{3}[source]▶
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-pipeline-gas-patrushev-putin...

I guess they warned in their own way, of "nice cables you've got there, it would be a shame if someone... sabotaged them".

replies(1): >>42177045 #
7. JumpCrisscross ◴[18 Nov 24 21:07 UTC] No.42177045{4}[source]▶
They're constantly saying this about everything.
replies(2): >>42177160 #>>42177180 #
8. severino ◴[18 Nov 24 21:13 UTC] No.42177112[source]▶
Hey, hold your horses. Biden also threatened to blow up the Nord-Stream 2 pipeline, yet after the sabotage, everybody said "it was Russia". Now about this incident, to be consistent, I'm inclined to think it was the Americans.
replies(2): >>42177138 #>>42177139 #
9. aguaviva ◴[18 Nov 24 21:16 UTC] No.42177138{3}[source]▶
Biden also threatened to blow up the Nord-Stream 2 pipeline,

Nope. He said it would be "ended", meaning the one thing that it obviously means -- that it would be shut off.

everybody said "it was Russia"

Nope -- some people said that.

The reasonable, level-headed people said: "We just don't know yet".

replies(3): >>42177172 #>>42177481 #>>42177798 #
10. tptacek ◴[18 Nov 24 21:16 UTC] No.42177139{3}[source]▶
I believe at this point we have a pretty good guess as to who sabotaged the pipeline, and it wasn't the US.
replies(2): >>42177740 #>>42179336 #
11. baq ◴[18 Nov 24 21:17 UTC] No.42177150[source]▶
The peaceful Russian Baltic research fleet is doing research, nothing to see here.
12. baq ◴[18 Nov 24 21:18 UTC] No.42177160{5}[source]▶
every once in a while they actually follow through with some. they need some prison mafia credibility to not look like total clowns.
13. Supermancho ◴[18 Nov 24 21:19 UTC] No.42177172{4}[source]▶
Was probably the ones who didn't want to be on the hook for their end of the contract being violated by not sending resources down the pipeline.
14. ivandenysov ◴[18 Nov 24 21:20 UTC] No.42177180{5}[source]▶
They also threatened UA with a full scale invasion by doing troop trainings on the border for several years before the real thing.
replies(1): >>42177195 #
15. JumpCrisscross ◴[18 Nov 24 21:22 UTC] No.42177195{6}[source]▶
The point isn't that they don't do things, it's that there are people issuing a constant stream of threats and people doing things, and it's not entirely clear there is even a correlation between the two.
replies(1): >>42177372 #
16. tyfon ◴[18 Nov 24 21:29 UTC] No.42177263[source]▶
Between mainland Norway and Svalbard.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40484591

17. jasonfarnon ◴[18 Nov 24 21:38 UTC] No.42177372{7}[source]▶
in other words, we need their false negative rate
replies(1): >>42177422 #
18. JumpCrisscross ◴[18 Nov 24 21:42 UTC] No.42177422{8}[source]▶
> we need their false negative rate

We have it. It's almost 100%. They've been threatening WWIII and nuclear armageddon since 2022.

replies(1): >>42181545 #
19. okasaki ◴[18 Nov 24 21:49 UTC] No.42177481{4}[source]▶
Come on dude. He said "we will bring an end to it", and when the reporter challenged him how he's going to do this given that it's a deal between Germany and Russia, he said "I promise you we will be able to do it."

People have been convicted of murder on less evidence.

20. sharpshadow ◴[18 Nov 24 22:21 UTC] No.42177740{4}[source]▶
Who is we and please enlighten me.
replies(1): >>42181847 #
21. geysersam ◴[18 Nov 24 22:29 UTC] No.42177798{4}[source]▶
> He said it would be "ended", meaning the one thing that it obviously means -- that it would be shut off.

When Biden said that he was talking next to the person with the power to legally shut it off, the German chancellor. If he and Biden were in agreement on that point, that Nord Stream would be shut off if Russia invaded Ukraine, why did Biden say that explicitly but not Scholz, even after being asked directly by the journalists present? If they were not in agreement on that point, how could Biden promise that they would put an end to it?

> The reasonable, level-headed people said: "We just don't know yet".

Agreed.

replies(1): >>42178057 #
22. aguaviva ◴[18 Nov 24 22:57 UTC] No.42178057{5}[source]▶
If they were not in agreement on that point, how could Biden promise that they would put an end to it?

Typical politician nonsense.

None of which means he was intending, or suggesting the idea of actually blowing it up.

23. csomar ◴[19 Nov 24 01:43 UTC] No.42179336{4}[source]▶
No we do not. Saying it with "confidence" and "authority" doesn't make true either.
replies(1): >>42179439 #
24. tptacek ◴[19 Nov 24 02:03 UTC] No.42179439{5}[source]▶
Sure we do. https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/11/11/...
replies(2): >>42179612 #>>42180862 #
25. csomar ◴[19 Nov 24 02:38 UTC] No.42179612{6}[source]▶
The same article you link only quote "speculation" on the role of Ukraine. There is no detailed evidence of the people involved (and if some certain other agencies are involved in this).
replies(2): >>42179645 #>>42179690 #
26. ◴[19 Nov 24 02:47 UTC] No.42179645{7}[source]▶
27. aguaviva ◴[19 Nov 24 02:55 UTC] No.42179690{7}[source]▶
The same article you link only quote "speculation" on the role of Ukraine

It does not, and you're misreading the one sentence in the article where that word appears.

28. fractallyte ◴[19 Nov 24 07:35 UTC] No.42180862{6}[source]▶
The article's only sources are "people familiar with the operation". That's a heck of a lot to take on trust, particularly considering the increasingly disjointed relationship between Ukraine and the US, and the increasingly evident reach of the Kremlin's intelligence services and supporting propaganda machinery.
29. lazide ◴[19 Nov 24 09:34 UTC] No.42181545{9}[source]▶
That is not as comforting a comparison as you might think it is.

In my experience, the problem is also that one group of people refuses to act on what the other side actually says (because it’s inconvenient/dangerous).

30. theshrike79 ◴[19 Nov 24 10:16 UTC] No.42181847{5}[source]▶
The rest of the world who aren't mainlining Russian propaganda.