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389 points JumpCrisscross | 137 comments | | HN request time: 0.837s | source | bottom
1. ve55 ◴[] No.16164829[source]
For those unaware, Bitconnect was a Bitcoin-based ponzi-scheme that had operated 'successfully' for quite some time. I don't say 'ponzi' as an insult in the way some do for cryptocurrencies, it was quite literally just a bare-bones ponzi scheme, where you deposit your money (Bitcoin) on their website, buy their token, 'lock' your funds for some amount of time, and you are promised very high interest rates while encouraged to re-invest your returns.

What has happened today is Bitconnect has closed the exchange on their website, and so users flocked to some of the only other exchanges (of dubious reputation, since no reputable exchange wanted to list the BitConnect coin) in order to sell their now-worthless tokens, resulting in losses of around 90% today: https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitconnect/

Many famous Youtubers and other individuals with influence convinced hundreds of people to put their money into BitConnect in order to profit off of referrals, leading to a lot of unfortunate losses and a lot of delusion and misinformation among devoted investors. The general sentiment towards those that lost money due to BitConnect has been a mocking attitude in the cryptocurrency investment communities, as BitConnect has been referred to by many as a blatant ponzi scheme for months.

replies(12): >>16164865 #>>16164910 #>>16164929 #>>16165009 #>>16165080 #>>16165085 #>>16165220 #>>16166320 #>>16166678 #>>16168745 #>>16170456 #>>16174953 #
2. JumpCrisscross ◴[] No.16164865[source]
> Famous Youtubers and other individuals with influence convinced hundreds of people to put their money into BitConnect in order to profit off of referrals

If you lost money in this scheme and are in the United States or Canada, contact your state securities regulator [1]. Mention any such referral sources. Those individuals may be liable for securities fraud under state and federal law.

If you're in the United States, send a copy to the SEC [2]. If you lost more than a token amount, I would also recommend contacting an attorney.

[1] http://www.nasaa.org/about-us/contact-us/contact-your-regula...

[2] https://www.sec.gov/complaint/select.shtml

Disclaimer: I am not a lawyer. This is not legal advice.

replies(6): >>16165014 #>>16165398 #>>16165450 #>>16166523 #>>16167106 #>>16172406 #
3. FLUX-YOU ◴[] No.16164910[source]
https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=BitConnect+refe...

Jesus, this is pretty blatant.

replies(1): >>16165019 #
4. dbcooper ◴[] No.16164929[source]
>other exchanges (of dubious reputation

Yeah, HitBTC has the most volume, and it has a terrible reputation. See all the reports of "maintenance issues" when a coin traded there can be sold at a higher price on another exchange.

replies(2): >>16166493 #>>16167740 #
5. bhouston ◴[] No.16165009[source]
I noticed this other apparent BitConnect-like Ponzi scheme here: https://polynetwork.org

Funny thing, I noticed because it is using an old version of our 3D player on their home page (the 3D robot), and they are getting an incredible amount of traffic.

replies(1): >>16165845 #
6. closeparen ◴[] No.16165014[source]
Doesn’t fraud require deception? Wasn’t this pretty upfront about being a Ponzi scheme?
replies(4): >>16165061 #>>16165083 #>>16165764 #>>16166595 #
7. ceejayoz ◴[] No.16165019[source]
Several of the "get referrals!" videos literally use pyramids in their thumbnails to illustrate the program. Holy crap.
replies(3): >>16165110 #>>16165142 #>>16166626 #
8. Iv ◴[] No.16165061{3}[source]
To have that line of defense, the youtubers would have had to phrase their claims very carefully. I am willing to bet a fistfull of dogecoin that this was not the case of all of them.

Make them discover these actions have consequences, I can only see good sides to this.

replies(2): >>16165228 #>>16167637 #
9. ◴[] No.16165080[source]
10. JumpCrisscross ◴[] No.16165083{3}[source]
> Doesn’t fraud require deception?

Ponzi schemes are illegal [1]. Receiving transaction-based compensation to promote a Ponzi scheme is the likely securities fraud.

[1] http://www.acfe.com/ponzi-schemes.aspx

Disclaimer: I am not a lawyer. This is not legal advice.

11. taberiand ◴[] No.16165085[source]
The only question remaining is - how on earth is it still worth anything? Who is buying?
replies(2): >>16165098 #>>16167669 #
12. dannyw ◴[] No.16165098[source]
SEC seizing remaining assets (if any) and re-distributing then?
replies(1): >>16165117 #
13. idbehold ◴[] No.16165110{3}[source]
The pyramid was literally on the Bitconnect FAQ page: https://youtu.be/wK0ztRcXvNQ?t=135
replies(2): >>16165188 #>>16165830 #
14. JumpCrisscross ◴[] No.16165117{3}[source]
> SEC seizing remaining assets (if any) and re-distributing then?

That is unlikely to pay out to someone who bought after BitConnect was shut down.

Generally speaking, when a regulator resoles a Ponzi scheme they take the promoter's assets and help put it into trust. That trust has two jobs. One, to sue those who sold their BCC before the scheme unraveled [1]. And two, to distribute cash to those who lost money.

[1] http://www.newsweek.com/it-fair-sue-madoff-victims-who-made-...

15. dmix ◴[] No.16165142{3}[source]
There are plenty of large long-running "pyramid" structured marketing companies that are totally legal though. Just because it's a pyramid scheme doesn't mean it's a ponzi scheme nor automatically imply that it's exploiting people.

Just wanted to make that distinction. Not commenting on BitConnect directly.

replies(3): >>16165192 #>>16165690 #>>16167727 #
16. saalweachter ◴[] No.16165188{4}[source]
I mean, this being the internet, it could have started as a tongue in cheek joke and then when the money started rolling in the founders just kind of went with it.

Which I think is a potential lesson for HN readers: something can be funny, but still be fraud.

replies(2): >>16165409 #>>16165550 #
17. sillysaurus3 ◴[] No.16165192{4}[source]
Yep. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s6MwGeOm8iI
18. StavrosK ◴[] No.16165220[source]
I know a few people who fell for this, despite my warnings. When you tell someone "these returns are astronomical, teams of PhDs in hedge funds cannot come anywhere close, do you think they're so dumb that they wouldn't put billions in this if it were legitimate" and they reply "yes, I do", there's no helping them.
replies(4): >>16165791 #>>16166353 #>>16167152 #>>16168765 #
19. JumpCrisscross ◴[] No.16165228{4}[source]
> the youtubers would have had to phrase their claims very carefully

Ponzi schemes are one of those things you can't disclose your way out of.

Sort of like HIPAA [1]. If you violate HIPAA, "we disclosed our non-compliance to the patient" is an inadequate--and borderline aggravating--excuse.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Health_Insurance_Portability_a...

Disclaimer: I am not a lawyer. This is not legal advice.

replies(3): >>16166074 #>>16166447 #>>16167918 #
20. nradov ◴[] No.16165398[source]
If you lost money in this scheme you are too stupid to live. Go hide your face in shame instead of wasting taxpayer money trying to fix your mistake.

"A fool and his money are lucky enough to get together in the first place." - Gordon Gekko

replies(3): >>16165445 #>>16165500 #>>16175756 #
21. spookthesunset ◴[] No.16165409{5}[source]
No. My USDT is on them deliberately putting that crap on the site in order to weed out anybody with a functioning brain. It's kinda like Nigerian prince scammer emails are full of deliberate grammar and spelling errors. You gotta filter out the noise in your conversion funnel.

Lots of crypto-coin stuff, including virtually all "name brand" crypto's, do the same thing. Most of the marketing is full of complete political, financial, and computer science nonsense. Anybody educated in any of those topics takes one look at the crypto space and goes "nope. sounds too good to be true. pass". What's left is a much more, shall we say, naïve set of marks to go after. You know, the kind that won't likely sue the shit out of those at the top of the pyramid... or even report them to the authorities. A very nice feature of Bitcoin is it specifically targets those with an anti-authoritarian bent--the kind who blather on about tax-theft, how the police should be deregulated, free market private industries and how the system of law should be replaced with cold, hard, unfeeling computer programs. If you were a scammer, wouldn't you want to target a group of people who wouldn't in a million years report you to the police?

Good stuff. The "crypto space" is an amazing thing to watch. Never a dull moment.

replies(2): >>16166896 #>>16167442 #
22. ShabbosGoy ◴[] No.16165445{3}[source]
BitConnect executives should be jailed for one year per “BITCONNEEECCCCC” shouted.
23. nstj ◴[] No.16165450[source]
> token amount

:)

replies(1): >>16167241 #
24. QAPereo ◴[] No.16165500{3}[source]
That seems both cruel, and needlessly harsh. Surely you yourself have weaknesses which could be exploited, and I hope that you’re not prepared to kill yourself over it. By the same token, telling people that they are too stupid to live is pointlessly cruel, unhelpful, and frankly wrong.

You can be intelligent, but old and suffering from MCI, or a more advanced dementia. You could be mentally ill, or brilliant in one field, but utterly ignorant of finances, or human nature. You could be a genius with TBI, or you could b young and foolish.

I can’t see what you’re saying as anything other than venting of spleen. Maybe it makes you feel better as a mechanism to cope with frustration, but I’d encourage you to reconsider that attitude toward your fellow humans.

25. TheSmiddy ◴[] No.16165550{5}[source]
for example: https://www.chemtrailvaccines.com/

Not really a fraud though, they WILL send you a bottle of mints as described

replies(2): >>16165804 #>>16166748 #
26. spookthesunset ◴[] No.16165690{4}[source]
> Just wanted to make that distinction.

Useless pedantry. A scam is a scam no matter what you call it. Getting caught up deep in terminology is a great way to for shysters to obfuscate any wrongdoing. These "business structures" are all part of the broader category called "things that are a scam".

replies(1): >>16166644 #
27. everdev ◴[] No.16165764{3}[source]
Ponzi scheme work because people believe the fraud (promise of high returns).

If they said, deposit your money and we'll pay you back only if enough people after you also deposit their money then you'd have an interesting point, although I'm sure it's still illegal even if you announce your intentions before doing something illegal.

replies(3): >>16165846 #>>16166380 #>>16167670 #
28. toomanybeersies ◴[] No.16165791[source]
People love to think they're smarter than those 'experts'. It's a combination of Tall Poppy Syndrome [1] and the Dunning-Kruger Effect [2]

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tall_poppy_syndrome

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect

replies(2): >>16167477 #>>16168116 #
29. TaylorGood ◴[] No.16165804{6}[source]
That’s brilliant.
30. ce4 ◴[] No.16165830{4}[source]
Video was deleted by the user. Any other source?
replies(1): >>16167388 #
31. allannienhuis ◴[] No.16165845[source]
It's almost shocking how transparently dishonest they are. And yet people put real money (well, I suppose real bitcoins) into a black hole like this...
replies(2): >>16166662 #>>16169339 #
32. conanbatt ◴[] No.16165846{4}[source]
> Ponzi scheme work because people believe the fraud (promise of high returns).

Lotteries work the same way and are legal.

replies(2): >>16165990 #>>16166599 #
33. haimez ◴[] No.16165990{5}[source]
Lotteries are also illegal to operate privately, which makes them completely irrelevant to this conversation.
replies(1): >>16168065 #
34. roel_v ◴[] No.16166074{5}[source]
Remind me, because your comments in this thread don't make it quite clear to me - are you a lawyer? Is this legal advice?
replies(2): >>16166361 #>>16175747 #
35. tzahola ◴[] No.16166320[source]
So... it’s like a stupidity tax?
36. kbart ◴[] No.16166353[source]
Exactly. My father is one of such people, and believe me, I've tried everything: I explained him rationally, I talked to him nicely, I showed him examples, I even threatened him -- nothing helped. Finally I gave up, he went bankrupt and only that changed him somewhat (though he still buys lottery tickets in small amounts).
37. Marazan ◴[] No.16166361{6}[source]
I believe the reasonable person test would result in a court coming to the conclusion that he had presented himself as neither a lawyer nor that he was giving legal advice.

However, I am not a lawyer and this is not legal advice

replies(1): >>16166995 #
38. skgoa ◴[] No.16166380{4}[source]
With Ponzi schemes the situation is even wrose for the perpetrator: they are explicitely illegal and you can't get out of legal ramifications even if you are completely honest and upfront.
39. aiCeivi9 ◴[] No.16166447{5}[source]
Is disclosing yourself as not a lawyer enough to excuse from giving legal advice?
replies(2): >>16166809 #>>16166817 #
40. bringtheaction ◴[] No.16166493[source]
HitBTC sucks less than a lot of other exchanges IME. It's not my favorite exchange but it's decent enough that I rank it pretty highly.

I have noticed that if you look at reviews for different exchanges, most will have a large amount of negative reviews. Some deserve it but I suspect that a lot of the reviews are not real - competing exchanges may have paid someone to write fake negative reviews.

Not saying HitBTC is the best or anything.

As an exercise, try this: Take the name of your absolute favorite exchange, combine it with the word "review" (sans quotation marks) and do a Google search for that. Look through the results.

41. drexlspivey ◴[] No.16166523[source]
Most of them took down their videos by now
replies(6): >>16166578 #>>16166616 #>>16166920 #>>16167523 #>>16167743 #>>16168001 #
42. Fnoord ◴[] No.16166578{3}[source]
Google surely must have a copy, as well as Archive.org. These people benefitted from the scam; they should be held accountable as well.
replies(1): >>16168248 #
43. JustFinishedBSG ◴[] No.16166595{3}[source]
No, Ponzi schemes are illegal. Even if you write in huge bold red letters "HEY THIS IS A PONZI SCHEME" before people "invest" it wouldn't change anything legally.
replies(1): >>16166630 #
44. beefield ◴[] No.16166599{5}[source]
My understanding is that lotteries are quite open about the expected return that is heavily negative (and most people do understand that the expected return is negative). So they do not work the same way.
replies(1): >>16172217 #
45. TeMPOraL ◴[] No.16166616{3}[source]
This is the Internet, there must be a copy somewhere.

Maybe a different youtuber criticized one of those famous recommenders, and included relevant clips of the recommendation in their video?

46. Trundle ◴[] No.16166626{3}[source]
People don't get involved with pyramid schemes because they're too dumb to see that they're pyramid schemes (well some might). They do it because they delude themselves in to thinking that they're getting in near the top.
47. beejiu ◴[] No.16166630{4}[source]
> Even if you write in huge bold red letters "HEY THIS IS A PONZI SCHEME"

Remember a few years ago the service ponzi.io, a openly transparent Bitcoin ponzi scheme. Here's the discussion from back then: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=7202182

replies(1): >>16166871 #
48. TeMPOraL ◴[] No.16166644{5}[source]
I think GP tried to make the point that not every pyramid-shaped scam is illegal.
replies(1): >>16166769 #
49. TeMPOraL ◴[] No.16166662{3}[source]
Through my experience watching people in MLMs (and getting way too close to the event horizon once), I learned that scammers and greedy people tend to hang out together (the latter usually becoming either victims or overzealous lieutenants of the scammers).
50. netsharc ◴[] No.16166678[source]
Do they get returns in Bitcoins too? E.g. "Get 5% more BTC every month"? That would be funny in "Geezus, you can't be that stupid!" kinda way.
replies(1): >>16166690 #
51. detaro ◴[] No.16166690[source]
No, the returns are in the token that nobody else uses.
52. lagadu ◴[] No.16166748{6}[source]
> 100% proven to combat all symptoms caused by government released chemtrails

Can't argue with their claims either, the mints really do combat all the symptoms caused by government released chemtrails.

replies(1): >>16166833 #
53. tomclive ◴[] No.16166769{6}[source]
Herbalife just escaped being labelled a pyramid scheme a couple of years ago and seems to hover around the edges of legality: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jul/15/herbalife-f...
54. Y_Y ◴[] No.16166809{6}[source]
It's nonsense about letting people claim they thought you were their lawyer. Like the myth about cops not being allowed to lie about being cops.

I am a lawyer, this is legal advice and you are now my client

replies(2): >>16167332 #>>16167525 #
55. daemin ◴[] No.16166817{6}[source]
I got told this from a friend that studied law (but is not a lawyer). That to put a disclaimer of "I am not a lawyer" when giving opinion about legal matters is so that they will not be prohibited from practising law in the future, or prosecuted for misrepresenting or impersonating a lawyer.

I guess someone that has studied law more or is an actual lawyer can weigh in on this in an unofficial capacity (because we are not paying them for advice!).

replies(1): >>16167102 #
56. daemin ◴[] No.16166833{7}[source]
I didn't know chemtrails caused bad breath!

/sarcasm

replies(1): >>16167583 #
57. JustFinishedBSG ◴[] No.16166871{5}[source]
I unfortunately know all too well considering I own a very similar domain name haha.
58. asddddd ◴[] No.16166896{6}[source]
I disagree, lots of smart people who know it's bullshit are still involved (because it's very easy money if you know what you're doing). Any sort of tangible value is utterly irrelevant, what matters is future market opinion. Quite the same for gold, stocks, forex, or anything else, just with much greater volatility.

> If you were a scammer, wouldn't you want to target a group of people who wouldn't in a million years report you to the police?

Most of the fresh faces that make the bubbles happen don't care about any of that stuff, they are just blinded by greed and will get burned for it. The ancap/libertarian ideologues who have been involved for years are the ones who are worth ridiculous amounts of money these days.

The fact that it's a relatively large community of fresh millionaires/billionaires (they won't tell you, but that's a huge percent of people involved in crypto for 5+ years) with an unwillingness to convert to fiat currencies (revoking citizenships to avoid taxes, even) does mean that there's a willingness to put money in marginal opportunities.

59. lhl ◴[] No.16166920{3}[source]
@Bitfinexed [1], who tracks all kinds of scams (the Tether one is going to be the real doozy when that unravels) has been diligently saving Bitconnect videos, tweets, etc. He is pseudononymous, so the question now is how to effectively get these (apparently) hundreds of gigs of videos archived/shared. [2] I can't imagine he's the only one to have thought to do this, though. Bitconnect was simply too blatant of a skeezy ponzi for no one to have bothered tracking down who all these people were...

[1] https://twitter.com/Bitfinexed

[2] https://twitter.com/Bitfinexed/status/953510174244986880

replies(1): >>16168263 #
60. avip ◴[] No.16166995{7}[source]
I think one should say "neither he had... nor was he giving..."

However, I am not a native English speaker and this is not a grammatical advice

replies(1): >>16167239 #
61. TeMPOraL ◴[] No.16167102{7}[source]
I always assumed that the "this is not legal advice" part (and similarly, "this is not medical advice") are meaningfully used by actual lawyers (or doctors), so that you can't sue them for malpractice over something they said that was tangentially related to what they do for a living.
replies(1): >>16167253 #
62. Nursie ◴[] No.16167106[source]
In the UK it's likely that you should talk to Action Fraud, a Police-run service - https://www.actionfraud.police.uk/fraud_protection/ponzi_sch...

And/Or contact the Financial Conduct Authourity.

Pyramid and Ponzi schemes are illegal here too AFAICT.

replies(1): >>16167154 #
63. usrusr ◴[] No.16167152[source]
Some people will eventually just want to prove that their freedom to make their own decisions is more powerful than rational arguments, no matter how good.

"You may be right on all points, but it's still my decision to make, you can't do anything about it."

64. celticninja ◴[] No.16167154{3}[source]
Yes this is correct, further the company was registered under 3 different names with companies House in the UK.
replies(1): >>16167200 #
65. arethuza ◴[] No.16167200{4}[source]
Doesn't that just mean 3 different companies? It's not actually unusual for what you might think of as a single company actually to be a group of companies - e.g. a holding company and a set of subsidiaries.
replies(1): >>16167924 #
66. roma1n ◴[] No.16167239{8}[source]
this is not grammatical advice (uncountable, no 'a')

Disclaimer: I am not a native English speaker and this is not grammatical advice

replies(1): >>16169554 #
67. zerostar07 ◴[] No.16167241{3}[source]
it appears it's a coin, not an (eth-)token
replies(1): >>16167853 #
68. JumpCrisscross ◴[] No.16167253{8}[source]
It’s less CYA than a reminder that one should seek legal advice if the subject matter is personally relevant. I would hate for someone, who watched a YouTube video and then lost more than they could afford to BitConnect, to mis-step because they mistook my Internet comments for authoritative advice versus banter and commentary.
69. skrebbel ◴[] No.16167332{7}[source]
Comments like these makes me sad I don't get a monthly supply of extra upvotes.
70. rplnt ◴[] No.16167388{5}[source]
Not sure, but this is what I've found:

https://bitconnect.com/images/referal_bonus.png

replies(1): >>16167780 #
71. trophycase ◴[] No.16167442{6}[source]
Email scammers lose time if they don't quickly eliminate bad targets. Ponzi schemes have no such issues.
72. cfontes ◴[] No.16167477{3}[source]
You can add to that that "experts" are pretty clueless as well, 2000 and 2008 are reminders of that. Close to none saw it coming and the ones that did where laughing stock amongst them, you have to be a pretty remarkable person to swim against National bank presidents, government officials and other high ranking people like Alan Greenspan, that was a super respected economist but also has made some of the worst mistakes in history of the world economy and still has power to swing things around I really distrust any finance specialist, but I am also aware that if any high yield information ever reaches me it's either a crime or a scheme to take my money away from me. So it's tricky.
replies(4): >>16167756 #>>16168764 #>>16169075 #>>16171886 #
73. _b8r0 ◴[] No.16167523{3}[source]
I've been archiving the channels of several players in this space and will be making the content available over IPFS[1] in the future.

[1] - https://ipfs.io/

74. arethuza ◴[] No.16167525{7}[source]
I'm pretty sure a real lawyer would have ended that with "... and here is my bill" ;-)
75. jacobush ◴[] No.16167583{8}[source]
it combats that too
76. saas_co_de ◴[] No.16167637{4}[source]
Realistically nothing will happen. Law enforcement only deals with financial crimes where they have assets to seize or their is some PR benefit. They will probably take action against a few people at the top, especially if there is a pot of gold at the end of the rainbow for them, but low level shills are not worth the effort.
77. rsynnott ◴[] No.16167669[source]
Remember when MtGox was transparently dead, and people were still sending in bitcoins? There are an awful lot of incredibly gullible people into this stuff.
78. saas_co_de ◴[] No.16167670{4}[source]
> Ponzi scheme work because people believe the fraud

That is not always the case. Sometimes you have a Ponzi like Madoff where it may seem legit to investors but most ponzis are blatant and the people involved know it is a ponzi but think they can profit by selling it to greater fools.

Of course they will all express shock and feign ignorance when they are trying to get their money back or defend themselves from the angry people they hustled.

replies(1): >>16168102 #
79. saas_co_de ◴[] No.16167727{4}[source]
Multi-level marketing is perfectly legal if you are selling a real product. If you are selling stock in your business that doesn't actually produce anything except for marketing materials to sell stock then not so much.
80. saas_co_de ◴[] No.16167740[source]
Any exchange trading this crap should probably be avoided like the plague.
81. PeterisP ◴[] No.16167743{3}[source]
The fact that the videos are "taken down" from public view doesn't mean that they won't be available in google's archives when the authorities file a subpoena for them.
82. lsadam0 ◴[] No.16167756{4}[source]
Perhaps then your definition of 'expert' is incorrect? Would it not be that the ones who saw it coming were really the experts? And those who laughed at them were anything but? I would argue that those who laughed at the doomsayers of 2000 & 2008 are the same as those now arguing that BitCoin can only go up. Your reply is a rather odd justification for self-destructive financial behavior.
replies(3): >>16167860 #>>16167898 #>>16168058 #
83. npongratz ◴[] No.16167780{6}[source]
Image also archived here: http://archive.is/wdET3
84. pc86 ◴[] No.16167853{4}[source]
No. ETH does not own the word "token."
85. bryananderson ◴[] No.16167860{5}[source]
The difficulty lies not in predicting a crash successfully, but in being able to do so consistently.

At any given time, there is someone who is saying that it’s all about to fall apart. There might even be someone who gets the timing and the reasons right.

The hard part is doing so consistently, and there’s little evidence that anyone can do this, which indicates that luck is the primary factor in various famous “crystal ball” economic predictions.

86. ceejayoz ◴[] No.16167898{5}[source]
> Would it not be that the ones who saw it coming were really the experts?

Maybe, maybe not. Without a track record of doing it a whole bunch of times, it's far more likely they made a lucky guess, stumbled into information, etc.

Some are even right but don't get the timing correct. For example, this guy wound up losing everything and owing $106k on a margin call... but if you look at the stock value today he was absolutely correct in shorting it. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/help-my-short-position-got...

87. paulie_a ◴[] No.16167918{5}[source]
Off topic: why do people put "I am not lawyer" disclaimer on posts?

Ive rarely seen that sort of disclaimer about any other occupation

replies(2): >>16168024 #>>16168281 #
88. celticninja ◴[] No.16167924{5}[source]
That's didn't seem to be the case, they looked like similarly named but distinctly different.
89. ncallaway ◴[] No.16168001{3}[source]
An enterprising prosecutor will probably not find it that challenging to get a copy from YouTube.
90. ncallaway ◴[] No.16168024{6}[source]
Because in many jurisdictions it is illegal to represent that you are a lawyer or provide legal advice if you are not a lawyer.

http://hirealawyer.findlaw.com/do-you-need-a-lawyer/what-is-...

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91. ncallaway ◴[] No.16168058{5}[source]
> Would it not be that the ones who saw it coming were really the experts?

No, because there are people that predict fiscal doom all the time.

* People predicted that 2016 would have a huge crash.

* People predicted that 2017 would have a huge crash.

* People predicted that 2018 would have a huge crash.

* People will predict that 2019 would have a huge crash.

* People will predict that 2020 would have a huge crash.

If there's a huge crash in 2019, are you sure the people that predicted the 2019 crash are geniuses? Perhaps some of them were simply lucky. You have to be super careful if you are going to go by a small sample of past predictions, because there are a lot of people that make a lot of predictions. Statistically, some of them will make predictions that are correct by random chance.

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92. Sean1708 ◴[] No.16168065{6}[source]
> Lotteries are also illegal to operate privately

I didn't know that. Does that mean that raffles are technically illegal? Or is there some kind of special-case about winning money?

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93. mannykannot ◴[] No.16168102{5}[source]
In the US, as the Madoff case showed, if it can be shown that you are a sophisticated enough investor to realize that it is probably a Ponzi scheme, your profits can be clawed back and used as partial restitution for the victims. Any scheme that is upfront about what it was doing would significantly lower the bar on making that case.
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94. gbersac ◴[] No.16168116{3}[source]
The fact that you invest in crypto is thinking you are smarter than many well respected experts like Warren Buffet. If you invest in cryptocurrencies (and I do), you are not any more clever than those who bought into BitConnect.
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95. paulie_a ◴[] No.16168145{7}[source]
But that doesn't require a disclaimer, if anything that just requires you to not claim to be a lawyer. Additionally: what recourse does someone have even if they read a random internet comment as legal advice. Pretty much zero.
96. ebikelaw ◴[] No.16168248{4}[source]
I love these comments because they highlight the ambivalence of the HN commentariat. If google actually had copies of deleted user data, the privacy-minded would lose their heads. And they’d be right because there are all kinds of laws around this. Deleted user data has to be really gone, even from backups, within a finite time.
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97. toomuchtodo ◴[] No.16168263{4}[source]
They should get in touch with Jason Scott or Archive Team in general to get them in the Internet Archive, or upload them to the Internet Archive themselves.

EDIT: I don't have Twitter, if someone wouldn't mind, could they connect @Bitfinexed to @textfiles?

98. toomuchtodo ◴[] No.16168264{5}[source]
There is no law (that I'm aware of in the US) that requires Google to purge any user data except GDPR (which applies only to EU residents after May 25, 2018), or perhaps the EU's "right to be forgotten" (which isn't going to supersede preserving evidence for an investigation).

Those Youtube videos exist, if not with a "is_deleted" flag, in Youtube backups. Some are already in the Internet Archive.

99. 52804375092485 ◴[] No.16168281{6}[source]
When actual attorney's are talking about legal issues, they'll usually say something like "I am not your lawyer" as a defense against entering into an attorney-client relationship which creates a bunch of complications.

So I guess the "I am not a lawyer" is sort of a corruption of that, a magic spell invoked by not-lawyers to save themselves from not-problems.

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100. amdavidson ◴[] No.16168308{7}[source]
Raffles guarantee a winner. Picking a single person from a group of people have a very different probability profile than picking a number from a set of numbers that may not have associated lottery tickets.
101. nkrisc ◴[] No.16168437{7}[source]
Lay people can comment and give their opinions on matters of law. They just can't claim to be or represent themselves as a lawyer if they're not.

Of course that opinion is worth the paper it's printed on.

I am not a lawyer.

102. throwaway413 ◴[] No.16168518{4}[source]
Oh yeah and assuming Warren Buffet et al can literally never be wrong is so much smarter.

The world is not black and white.

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103. Nursie ◴[] No.16168532{7}[source]
In the UK there are special rules about raffles and lotteries on a small scale, and apparently they are only legal when for "a good cause" - http://www.gamblingcommission.gov.uk/for-the-public/Fundrais...
104. zeven7 ◴[] No.16168628{5}[source]
You put something up voluntarily on the open internet, you lose your right to keeping that thing private.
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105. metamet ◴[] No.16168649{5}[source]
No, but ponzi schemes and Crypto are on the same spectrum in terms of traditional financial advisement.

Only up until very recently did Crypto as a whole break away from it, and BitConnect just happens to have its foot in both.

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106. tialaramex ◴[] No.16168665{7}[source]
In different places (states, countries) there are a variety of rules, the goal of which is generally to let people have things like a fun Xmas raffle without opening up the opportunity to run "The Numbers Game" or similar.

To allow a raffle, dodges often enshrined in law include:

* Very low prize limits (e.g. max $100) but donated prizes don't count towards that limit. So your local charitable raffle has no problem getting a nice bottle of Scotch, dinner for two with wine at a nice place, family portrait, whatever local merchants want to donate, and it's all fine, so long as they don't buy it.

* Exemptions if you can only buy tickets in one place, or if you only sell them to members of your organisation that exists for some other purpose (e.g. a local church, employees at a factory)

* Exemptions if the profits of the gambling go to a recognised charitable organisation.

* Exemptions if there's no profit at all, all is spent on prizes that go to ticket buyers randomly, so the whole operation only moves money around randomly inside a group of participants.

107. ◴[] No.16168701{6}[source]
108. edkennedy ◴[] No.16168745[source]
> Many famous Youtubers and other individuals with influence convinced hundreds of people to put their money into BitConnect in order to profit off of referrals

One of the Youtubers, Cryptonick said clearly on his Youtube account that he was 17 years old.

https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/7r0ftz/cryp...

109. nkrisc ◴[] No.16168764{4}[source]
You don't need to be an expert to foresee the collapse of a Ponzi scheme.
110. zimpenfish ◴[] No.16168765[source]
Not that the "teams of PhDs in hedge funds" are all that, mind - http://www.aei.org/publication/warren-buffett-wins-1m-bet-ma...
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111. StavrosK ◴[] No.16168884{3}[source]
Yes, but I was afraid that saying "even a basket of the 500 top securities can't come close to that, do you think the basket is so dumb that it wouldn't just put its money into BitConnect" wouldn't have the same impact :P
112. Crespyl ◴[] No.16169074{7}[source]
I always understood it to be a caveat that the speaker does not have much or any formal legal education (much less in the specific state/country relevant to the conversation) and that nothing should be taken as actual legal advice by the reader, even if their situation seems similar.
113. tim333 ◴[] No.16169075{4}[source]
They are probably not as clueless as you think. There's a difference between what they believe and what they say. Try asking any sales professional if buying something they get a 2% commission on is a good idea or not.
114. tim333 ◴[] No.16169144{4}[source]
Not necessarily true. You should be smarter than the other punters you are intending to sell to, not smarter than Buffett.
115. alien_at_work ◴[] No.16169339{3}[source]
Most investors knew Madoff was cheating some how, they just all assumed they would get out in time.
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116. Anderkent ◴[] No.16169554{9}[source]
Your advice was grammatical, actually.

Disclaimer: I am not a native English speaker, and this is advice about grammar.

117. simias ◴[] No.16169852{5}[source]
I'd rather websites did not keep my private data when I delete my account but I have no problem with the archival of public content. Of course with social networks pushing their users to overshare all the time the line can be pretty fuzzy with comment history and things like that but I don't see how anybody could consider archiving a video published on Youtube as a breach of user privacy.
118. soundwave106 ◴[] No.16169923{6}[source]
It is impossible for people to predict the future perfectly (this is why diversification in investment is so important). "Don't try to time the market" is also generally considered good advise. It's impossible to know exactly when a crash occurs.

That said, it is possible to use market indicators, historical factors, and other numeric qualifications for reasons to be wary, because the investment asset looks too expensive. For instance, up to the 2008 crash, two important indicators -- the price to income ratio, and the price to rent ratio, were very high, indicating real estate was significantly overvalued. The same thing applied to the sky high prices of many .com stocks in 2000, who really didn't have any profit or even cash flow behind it to back the valuation up.

There were plenty of experts raising warning flags on these bubbles. Even from a broader perspective, The Economist was wary of Internet stocks in 1999 (https://www.economist.com/node/183809) and was wary of the housing bubble that caused the 2008 crash in 2005 (http://www.economist.com/node/4079027).

(Of course, The Economist in 1999 used Amazon as the example of an overvalued stock. Whoops. Shows that you "never know". But they wouldn't have been wrong if they had used, say, pets.com.)

119. sseveran ◴[] No.16169998{6}[source]
In fact this is the case even if you are not a sophisticated investor, since the profits are not yours and are really just stolen property.
120. throwaway413 ◴[] No.16170138{6}[source]
No they're not - they are separated by the fact that one's sole purpose is to commit fraud, while the other actually has to do - however much - with technical merit. The however much part exists in every other type of market..there is a subset of people that will always try to game the system of any system they exist within. This is nothing new. That subset can vary in size based on qualities of said market, yes, but the intent of the market is not solely to enable those people.

Saying cryptocurrency only recently broke away from this is just a conclusion of your premise, which I disagree with entirely due to the existence of material like Bitcoin's whitepaper. To say they are on the same spectrum is just misleading.

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121. bonestamp2 ◴[] No.16170456[source]
> Bitconnect was a Bitcoin-based ponzi-scheme

Do you know that as a fact? I'm not trying to defend bitconnect, I just think it's dangerous living in a world where people state things as facts that have not been proven.

People often cite the high rate of return from their trading bot as "proof" that they're a ponzi, but I don't buy that because run my own bitcoin trading bot and the returns are more than triple bitconnect's average.

People much smarter than I who are running the same trading bot get even higher returns than I do. I think bitconnect's return rate was low because they were skimming the returns, which explains why they would take other people's money even though their bot works... because they can make even more by providing it as a service.

122. Fnoord ◴[] No.16171028{5}[source]
> they highlight the ambivalence of the HN commentariat

They don't.

This was:

a) Deliberately published (ie. not leaked)

b) By the uploader who is also the content creator (not e.g. doxing or copyright infringement)

c) Without breaching their own privacy (not e.g. posting a nude of themselves)

d) In this case possibly if not likely unlawful (hence warranting a police investigation)

e) For-profit (non-profit crimes have less priority)

Furthermore:

> Deleted user data has to be really gone, even from backups, within a finite time.

Sure, but we're talking -at this point- one or two days max here and we're talking about a scam.

123. dragonwriter ◴[] No.16171225{7}[source]
Practicing law without a license is an offense in many jurisdictions; providing legal advice is in some cases within the scope of legal definitions of practice of law. (For people in certain roles outside of but around the legal profession, even implicitly holding oneself out as a lawyer or person qualified to practice law may have additional concerns.)

While public comment for which no one has been charged money may be outside of the bounds of what would be covered by most such laws, some people view it as best to be clear (and, in any case, such a disclaimer served as meta-legal advice that the matter at hand is one on which you should consult a lawyer if you have critical concerns.)

And, there are other concerned for lawyers in communications that might be mistaken for providing legal advice.

All that combined to justify disclaimers that include some or all of, as applicable:

I am not a lawyer.

I am not your lawyer.

This is not legal advice.

(Incidentally, I am not a lawyer, I am not your lawyer, and none of this is legal advice.)

124. metamet ◴[] No.16171611{7}[source]
You completely missed the part of my post where I said "in terms of traditional financial advisement".
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125. bonestamp2 ◴[] No.16171851{4}[source]
Was bitconnect cheating though? I totally thought it was possible that they were a ponzi scheme until I ran my own bitcoin trading bot.

But, don't take my word for... if you look at bitcoin trading bots that you can run yourself (many example on youtube of people running their own), bitconnect's return rate was significantly lower than typical bitcoin trading bots.

So, if bitconnect was getting typical returns (and it's safe to say they should be getting at least 2%, which only puts them in the top ~60% of bitcoin bot operators), they could have been taking more than 1% for themselves and still returning their "high" level of returns -- without running any sort of ponzi scheme!

Seeing my own bitcoin trading bot in action led me down the path of investigating stock trading bots and high speed trading within banks. The more I learned, the more I realized the real ponzi schemes are the national banks. That sounds crazy until you realize that with fractional reserve banking, they can take (for example) $1000 that you deposit and lend out 90% of it -- they only have to keep 10% of deposits deposits in reserve! Yet, most of them pay you less than 1%/year in interest. If I can make 4%/day on $1000 in my basement, how much do you think giant banks can make with your $1000?

I would highly recommend running your own bitcoin trading bot if you've got $1000 to spare. I'll refrain from recommending a specific one for fear of sounding biased, but it will completely change your outlook on what bitconnect could be. More importantly, it'll probably make you a decent chunk of change that you can cash in at anytime (unlike bitconnect's CD model).

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126. snowwrestler ◴[] No.16171874{7}[source]
It's an attempt to inoculate against the charge of practicing law without a license--which might seem incredibly unlikely, but that's how they got Ulysses Everett McGill.
127. snowwrestler ◴[] No.16171886{4}[source]
Thank you for illustrating the tall poppy thing so well.
128. throwaway413 ◴[] No.16172041{8}[source]
Ok. Would you mind clarifying/elaborating on that?
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129. conanbatt ◴[] No.16172217{6}[source]
Even if you are open to being a Ponzi, it is illegal in the U.S.

As another user says, the only legal Lottery is the one that is run by the State.

Isn't it interesting.

130. geoffreyhale ◴[] No.16172406[source]
This was a known ponzi scheme. Can participants actually recoup losses here? Shouldn't they be held just as accountable/guilty as any other participant?
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131. thephyber ◴[] No.16172665{3}[source]
> This was a known ponzi scheme.

What does it mean to be a _known_ ponzi scheme? How many people outside of the core conspirators are required for it to be reclassified from _suspected_ to _known_?

132. LrnByTeach ◴[] No.16174953[source]
This is text book ponzi scheme .

> it was quite literally just a bare-bones ponzi scheme, where you deposit your money (Bitcoin) on their website, buy their token, 'lock' your funds for some amount of time, and you are promised very high interest rates while encouraged to re-invest your returns.

> What has happened today is Bitconnect has closed the exchange on their website, and so users flocked to some of the only other exchanges (of dubious reputation, since no reputable exchange wanted to list the BitConnect coin) in order to sell their now-worthless tokens, resulting in losses of around 90% today:

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitconnect/

133. teknologist ◴[] No.16175308{5}[source]
This is new to me. What does a Bitcoin trading bot do exactly? Do they trade alt-coins through exchanges?
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134. dang ◴[] No.16175747{6}[source]
This crosses into incivility and offtopicness. Please don't; it leads to junk, as the subsequent comments here demonstrate.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

135. dang ◴[] No.16175756{3}[source]
This breaks the HN guidelines. Other people being dumb (assuming that's the case) is not a license to be brutal, and in any case you owe the community much better when commenting here.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

136. metamet ◴[] No.16177901{9}[source]
Sure. It's basically the fact that the sentiment regarding crypto in the traditional world of financial advising has been equated to ponzi schemes. The value of the technology hadn't been validated or proven to point where holding BTC had any inherit value beyond what others who wanted the BTC were willing to pay for it. The market pressures weren't real.

However, smart contracts and the adoption of the blockchain by technology's bigger players has provided some validation to what's happening. Regardless of the white papers, and how one individually assessed the thesis, it didn't have market adoption and it wasn't as if BTC was actually producing something. So investing in BTC (a virtual commodity in limited value) had no real business purpose.

So crypto was in the same boat as ponzi schemes, until very recently. Now it's being taken seriously due to providing actual value.

The only thing BTC is really good for right now is to act as an intermediary between it and alts--since you can buy BTC and ETH with fiat, then transfer those to alts. BTC isn't a valid currency for transactions for a variety of reasons. It is simply the backbone of the crypto economy at this point, and the grandfather of the technology--so there's some lure to it as a limited asset that, so long as someone wants it, someone can sell.

137. bonestamp2 ◴[] No.16188871{6}[source]
Yes, exactly.

Bitconnect claimed to be running a trading bot but everyone said they were just running a ponzi scheme because the returns were about 1%/day... even though they refunded everyone's coins when they stopped the lending bot program. I've never heard of a ponzi scheme that can return everyone's money when it closes up.

Not to mention, I think it's completely possible they were actually running a real trading bot because you can run your own trading bot and earn more than 1%/day very easily. People here really don't like to hear facts because it's easier to go with your gut feeling about some paradigm you've never heard of than doing the research, so they downvote any comment that says bitconnect was anything other than a ponzi scheme (or they'll call it a pyramid scheme if they really want to prove they don't know what they're talking about).

The trading bot uses BTC, ETH or USDT as a base currency and then buys alt coins with the base currency then sells them back to the base currency of your choice using an exchange. If it's configured right, it will make dozens of trades a day for small profits, which add up through the day (and night).

I personally run the bot called "Profit Trailer" and use it with the exchange "Binance". I use Binance because you can buy their coin and get lower fee trading by using their coin to pay for the fees.