The fatal flaw in this theory is:
"MI6 did not report him missing, however, until 23 August, at which point his body had decomposed, thwarting attempts to determine the precise cause of death."
His own spy agency failed to report him missing which is pretty suspicious all by itself. To me, this would indicate they're most likely involved. They also left out the fact the heat in the flat was turned up to speed decomposition and the reason the bag was in the bathtub was to make it easy for body fluids to drain.
Lots more details which indicate a professional hit:
http://www.trutv.com/library/crime/blog/2013/01/04/gareth-wi...