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615 points __rito__ | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.001s | source

Related from yesterday: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46205632
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Tossrock ◴[] No.46227925[source]
So where do I collect my prize for this 2015 comment? https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=9882217
replies(1): >>46228093 #
johncolanduoni ◴[] No.46228093[source]
Never call a man happy until he is dead. Also I don’t think your argument generalizes well - there are plenty of private research investment bubbles that have popped and not reached their original peaks (e.g. VR).
replies(1): >>46228296 #
Tossrock ◴[] No.46228296[source]
It wasn't a generalized argument, though, it was a specific one, about AI.
replies(2): >>46229046 #>>46235664 #
1. johncolanduoni ◴[] No.46229046[source]
Okay, but the only part that’s specific to AI (that the companies investing the money are capturing more value than they’re putting into it) is now false. Even the hyperscalers are not capturing nearly the value they’re investing, though they’re not using debt to finance it. OpenAI and Anthropic are of course blowing through cash like it’s going out of style, and if investor interest drops drastically they’ll likely need to look to get acquired.