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The "confident idiot" problem: Why AI needs hard rules, not vibe checks

(steerlabs.substack.com)
323 points steerlabs | 1 comments | 04 Dec 25 20:48 UTC | HN request time: 0.202s | source
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jqpabc123 ◴[04 Dec 25 21:38 UTC] No.46153440[source]▶
We are trying to fix probability with more probability. That is a losing game.

Thanks for pointing out the elephant in the room with LLMs.

The basic design is non-deterministic. Trying to extract "facts" or "truth" or "accuracy" is an exercise in futility.

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Davidzheng ◴[08 Dec 25 13:02 UTC] No.46191721[source]▶
lol humans are non-deterministic too
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some_furry ◴[08 Dec 25 13:22 UTC] No.46191924[source]▶
Human minds are more complicated than a language model that behaves like a stochastic echo.
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pixl97 ◴[08 Dec 25 13:26 UTC] No.46191966[source]▶
Birds are more complicated than jet engines, but jet engines travel a lot faster.
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loloquwowndueo ◴[08 Dec 25 13:29 UTC] No.46191991[source]▶
They also kill a lot more people when they fail.
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1. exe34 ◴[08 Dec 25 19:07 UTC] No.46196295[source]▶
Is birdflu the failure mode?