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WeatherNext 2: Our most advanced weather forecasting model

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291 points meetpateltech | 1 comments | 17 Nov 25 15:04 UTC | HN request time: 0s | source
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jakewins ◴[17 Nov 25 17:31 UTC] No.45955816[source]▶
Is anyone aware of good sources of higher resolution models? Hourly resolution like this model provides doesn’t help much now that energy markets have moved to 15-min and 5-min resolution.
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mlmonkey ◴[17 Nov 25 19:07 UTC] No.45956840[source]▶
How does one use weather data in an energy market, if you don't mind my asking?
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1. jakewins ◴[17 Nov 25 19:58 UTC] No.45957556[source]▶
Yeah exactly like hackitup7 says, it has a huge impact on both sides of the supply and demand equation. It both drives house heating and cooling, which has a massive consumption impact, and it drives solar and wind production.

But knowing "there will be a massive drop in temperature between 1pm->2pm" doesn't help much anymore, you need to know which 15-minute or 5-minute block all those heat pumps will kick on in, to align with markets moving to 15-min and 5-min contracts.

Major forecasts like ECMWF don't have anything like that resolution; they model the planet at 3 hour time scale, with a 1 hour "reanalysis" model called ERA5.. hoping to find good info on what's available at higher resolution.