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404 points voxleone | 4 comments | | HN request time: 0.891s | source
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BolexNOLA ◴[] No.45655541[source]
> Elon Musk, the boss of SpaceX, fired back: "SpaceX is moving like lightning compared to the rest of the space industry. Moreover, Starship will end up doing the whole Moon mission. Mark my words."

Still marking his words on self-driving vehicles so I guess we can add this to the list. What’s the casualty count so far on that one btw?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_predictions_for_autono...

replies(2): >>45655647 #>>45655760 #
boxed ◴[] No.45655647[source]
You need to keep two things in your mind at the same time:

Elon Musk sometimes say things that are true.

Elon Must sometimes say things that are not true.

In this case, it's the first one.

replies(3): >>45655767 #>>45656504 #>>45666010 #
askl ◴[] No.45655767[source]
> Elon Musk sometimes say things that are true.

Has this ever happened in the last 10 years?

replies(4): >>45655798 #>>45655960 #>>45656077 #>>45669094 #
brightball ◴[] No.45656077[source]
What questions do you have following the results of Tesla, SpaceX, Starlink, Neuralink, etc?

I've got a HW4 Tesla Model 3 right now and the FSD experience is so good I use it constantly...and I was one of those "I will never trust self driving cars" people for years.

replies(1): >>45662786 #
BolexNOLA ◴[] No.45662786[source]
>Tesla

His rapidly deteriorating market share in Europe and basically anything cybertruck related

>SpaceX

The contract they had that just reopened for bidding

>neuralink

Haven’t they stopped human trials because they were running into serious issues? I feel like I read something about that but I can’t recall the exact nature of the issue.

>starlink

Pretty sure the Canadian government abandoned their big contract with starlink. A cursory Google search shows that “several governments and organizations have paused or canceled their contracts.” AI summary so should probably be investigated more in depth but I imagine it’s largely accurate.

I see that his hyperloop company didn’t make the list, which went belly up just a year or two ago.

Robotaxi was shut down in Phoenix after all sorts of safety issues arose.

Several major projects have stalled or been shut down over the last few years.

replies(1): >>45664619 #
brightball ◴[] No.45664619[source]
Tesla stock price has never been higher…

SpaceX accounts for over 90% of global space launch payloads.

Neuralink…this is from Oct 10th.

https://x.com/neuralink/status/1976803020190236915?s=46

Starlink is changing the world, airlines, cruises, rural areas and defeated Russian interference in Ukraine. They lost contracts in Canada due to short sited political motivations who were willing to waste 3 times as much tax payer funds because of it. Starlink is doing great.

replies(2): >>45664732 #>>45676262 #
1. BolexNOLA ◴[] No.45676262[source]
Heh right on cue:

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/oct/22/tesla-ear...

> It also reported a net income of $1.4bn, down from $2.2bn, a drop of 37% in its profits.

I’m not saying the company is doomed but there are some serious red flags going up in recent months

replies(1): >>45680597 #
2. brightball ◴[] No.45680597[source]
https://x.com/jonerlichman/status/1981089027722711342?s=46

Revenues keep growing. Drops in profit are from margin and R&D increases (Optimus, taxis, etc).

replies(1): >>45681172 #
3. BolexNOLA ◴[] No.45681172[source]
I would read the above article for a clearer picture of what’s going on. It’s got a little more info than a single tweet with just a revenue list YoY.
replies(1): >>45685386 #
4. brightball ◴[] No.45685386{3}[source]
Not seeing much substance there. They essentially skip of the drop in profit margin without discussing R&D costs, investments in Optimus, Robotaxi, Powerwall etc.

It's as if people think Tesla is just a car company.

In 2024 they made 10 billion just from their solar energy business.