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1233 points mriguy | 1 comments | 19 Sep 25 19:59 UTC | HN request time: 0.216s | source

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If H-1B workers are too expensive to hire, tech employers have two options:

1. Hire more American workers (pay more, maybe they don't exist so don't hire)

2. Move their offices overseas (already happening, we should see an acceleration)

Ok, I guess AI could also start replacing more roles, but we won't see that productivity for a year or two.

If companies choose 2 over 1, it will mean fewer jobs overall in the USA (including support and service jobs).

This is happening in tandem with work to tax offshoring ("No Tax Breaks for Outsourcing Act")

Companies could already hire offshore for 50% of what they pay in America, so I don't expect a dramatic change there.

Trump to impose $100k fee for H-1B worker visas, White House says