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Trade in War

(news.mit.edu)
94 points LorenDB | 1 comments | 28 Aug 25 14:58 UTC | HN request time: 0.206s | source
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jcattle ◴[01 Sep 25 09:25 UTC] No.45091029[source]▶
I also find the last point which is teased in the article interesting: "States very infrequently get forecasts about the length of war right".

I can see why that happens, but are there any good counterexamples? Are there any conflicts that actually were as short as the initiating party expected?

replies(2): >>45091109 #>>45093992 #
1. nradov ◴[01 Sep 25 16:17 UTC] No.45093992[source]▶
The 1991 Gulf War ended faster than the attacking coalition forces expected. Only a few Iraqi military units stood and fought; most surrendered or retreated.