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95% of Companies See 'Zero Return' on $30B Generative AI Spend

(thedailyadda.com)
418 points speckx | 2 comments | 21 Aug 25 15:36 UTC | HN request time: 0.001s | source
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JCM9 ◴[21 Aug 25 16:22 UTC] No.44974621[source]▶
We are entering the “Trough of disillusionment.” These hype cycles are very predictable. GPT-5 being panned as a disappointment after endless hype may go down as GenAI’s “jump the shark” moment.

It’s all fun and games until the bean counters start asking for evidence of return on investment. GenAI folks better buckle up. Bumps ahead. The smart folks are already quietly preparing for a shift to ride the next hype wave up while others ride this train to the trough’s bottom.

Cue a bunch of increasingly desperate puff PR trying to show this stuff returns value.

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frozenport ◴[21 Aug 25 16:29 UTC] No.44974721[source]▶
Yo what’s the next hype cycle that smart folks like us should be working on?
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1. quotemstr ◴[21 Aug 25 16:47 UTC] No.44974970[source]▶
Defense will increasingly become a national priority over the next few decades. Pax Americana is teetering.
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2. deepdarkforest ◴[21 Aug 25 16:56 UTC] No.44975110[source]▶
That and consumer robotics. The latter will explode if (big if) RL and llm reasoning get combined into something solid. Lots and lots of smart people are working on it already of course, we are seeing great improvements but nothing really usable. i think we will finally get to a real hype stage in maybe 3-4 years