I think the amount of turmoil around these deals is giving more weight to the possibility that we’re in a massive bubble thats quite divorced from any kind of fundamentals. Sooner or later the bubbles gonna burst.
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Anthropic ARR went $1B -> $4B in the first half of this year. They're getting my $200 a month and it's easily the best money I spend. There's definitely something there.
Nothing. Most people will not pay for a chat bot unless forced to by cramming it into software that they already have to use
But productivity software in general, only a few large companies seem to be able to get away with it. The Office Suite, CRM such as SalesForce.
In the graphics world, Maya and 3DS Max. Adobe has been holding on.