LLM Inevitabilism

If in 2009 you claimed that the dominance of the smartphone was inevitable, it would have been because you were using one and understood its power, not because you were reframing away our free choice for some agenda. In 2025 I don't think you can really be taking advantage of AI to do real work and still see its mass adaptation as evitable. It's coming faster and harder than any tech in history. As scary as that is we can't wish it away.

If you told someone in 1950 that smartphones would dominate they wouldn't have a hard time believing you. Hell, they'd add it to sci-fi books and movies. That's because the utility of it is so clear.

But if you told them about social media, I think the story would be different. Some would think it would be great, some would see it as dystopian, but neither would be right.

We don't have to imagine, though. All three of these things have captured people's imaginations since before the 50's. It's just... AI has always been closer to imagined concepts of social media more than it has been to highly advanced communication devices.

> Some would think it would be great, some would see it as dystopian, but neither would be right.

No, the people saying it’s dystopian would be correct by objective measure. Bombs are nothing next to Facebook and TikTok.

You really think that Hiroshima would have been worse if instead of dropping the bomb the USA somehow got people addicted to social media ?