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LLM Inevitabilism

(tomrenner.com)
1611 points SwoopsFromAbove | 7 comments | | HN request time: 0.777s | source | bottom
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delichon ◴[] No.44567913[source]
If in 2009 you claimed that the dominance of the smartphone was inevitable, it would have been because you were using one and understood its power, not because you were reframing away our free choice for some agenda. In 2025 I don't think you can really be taking advantage of AI to do real work and still see its mass adaptation as evitable. It's coming faster and harder than any tech in history. As scary as that is we can't wish it away.
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godelski ◴[] No.44567961[source]
If you told someone in 1950 that smartphones would dominate they wouldn't have a hard time believing you. Hell, they'd add it to sci-fi books and movies. That's because the utility of it is so clear.

But if you told them about social media, I think the story would be different. Some would think it would be great, some would see it as dystopian, but neither would be right.

We don't have to imagine, though. All three of these things have captured people's imaginations since before the 50's. It's just... AI has always been closer to imagined concepts of social media more than it has been to highly advanced communication devices.

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1. tines ◴[] No.44568166[source]
> Some would think it would be great, some would see it as dystopian, but neither would be right.

No, the people saying it’s dystopian would be correct by objective measure. Bombs are nothing next to Facebook and TikTok.

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2. godelski ◴[] No.44568268[source]
I don't blame people for being optimistic. We should never do that. But we should be aware how optimism, as well as pessimism, can so easily blind us. There's a quote a like by Feynman

  The first principle is that you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool.
There is something of a balance. Certainly, Social Media does some good and has the potential to do more. But also, it certainly has been abused. Maybe so much that it become difficult to imagine it ever being good.

We need optimism. Optimism gives us hope. It gives us drive.

But we also need pessimism. It lets us be critical. It gives us direction. It tells us what we need to fix.

But unfettered optimism is like going on a drive with no direction. Soon you'll fall off a cliff. And unfettered pessimism won't even get you out the door. What's the point?

You need both if you want to see and explore the world. To build a better future. To live a better life. To... to... just be human. With either extreme, you're just a shell.

3. ghostofbordiga ◴[] No.44568822[source]
You really think that Hiroshima would have been worse if instead of dropping the bomb the USA somehow got people addicted to social media ?
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4. rightbyte ◴[] No.44569405[source]
Well they got both I guess?
5. KerrAvon ◴[] No.44572503[source]
Really crude comparison, but sort of. It would have taken much longer, and dropping the bombs was supposed to bring about an end to the war sooner. But in the long run social media would have been much more devastating, as it has been in America.

The destruction of the American government today are a direct result of social media supercharging existing negative internal forces that date back to the mid 20th century. The past six months of conservative rule has already led to six-figure deaths across the globe. That will eventually be eight to nine figures with the full impact of the healthcare and immigration devastation inside the United States itself. Far worse than Hiroshima.

Took a decade or two, but you can lay the blame at Facebook and Twitter's doorsteps. The US will never properly recover, though it's possible we may restore sanity to governance at some point.

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6. tines ◴[] No.44574138[source]
Yep. Look around you. The bomb leveled a city; Facebook killed a country. We are but the walking dead.
7. lblume ◴[] No.44580339{3}[source]
What would a sane government even look like at this point?