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606 points saikatsg | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
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comeonbro ◴[] No.43928978[source]
As a record of how likely people considered this outcome:

Prevost was hovering around 1% on Polymarket, and was <0.5% between white smoke and announcement.

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oytis ◴[] No.43929211[source]
Sounds like an amazing opportunity for insider trading
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bowsamic ◴[] No.43929299[source]
I wouldn't be shocked if that's one of the reasons why they sequester
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b800h ◴[] No.43930918{3}[source]
There was a horrendous problem with gambling on the election at one point. I believe the most recent episode of "Tasting History with Max Miller" covers this.
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1. desertrider12 ◴[] No.43934271{4}[source]
There was also an interesting article here a month ago about the history of betting on conclaves. https://nodumbideas.com/p/betting-on-the-pope-was-the-origin... https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43290892