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689 points taubek | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
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rayiner ◴[] No.43632822[source]
Americans need to get over their view of “Asia” as being about making shoes. When I was working in engineering in the early aughts, we mocked the Chinese as being able only to copy American technology. Today, China is competitive with or ahead of America in key technology areas, including nuclear power, AI, EVs, and batteries.

We need to anticipate a future where China is equal to America on a per capita basis, but four times bigger. Is that a world where “Designed by Apple in California, Made in China” still makes sense? What will be America’s competitive edge in that scenario?

What seems most likely to me in the future is that the US will find itself in the same position the UK is in now. Dominating finance and services won’t mean anything when both the IP and the physical products are being produced somewhere else.

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bboygravity ◴[] No.43635637[source]
Except that that future of a big powerful China doesn't exist. Their birth-rate is 1.

Game-over.

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Izikiel43 ◴[] No.43635806[source]
The USA is also below replacement levels.
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philg_jr ◴[] No.43636409{3}[source]
Not with immigration.
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1. spaceman_2020 ◴[] No.43640831{4}[source]
Immigration isn’t risk free

You get your birth rates up, but you also risk alienating your native born population and electing far right morons into office

Jury’s out on whether a tfr of 1.0 of native born people is better than a tfr of 1.4 with immigrants