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395 points pseudolus | 129 comments | | HN request time: 1.522s | source | bottom
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dtnewman ◴[] No.43633873[source]
> A common question is: “how much are students using AI to cheat?” That’s hard to answer, especially as we don’t know the specific educational context where each of Claude’s responses is being used.

I built a popular product that helps teachers with this problem.

Yes, it's "hard to answer", but let's be honest... it's a very very widespread problem. I've talked to hundreds of teachers about this and it's a ubiquitous issue. For many students, it's literally "let me paste the assignment into ChatGPT and see what it spits out, change a few words and submit that".

I think the issue is that it's so tempting to lean on AI. I remember long nights struggling to implement complex data structures in CS classes. I'd work on something for an hour before I'd have an epiphany and figure out what was wrong. But that struggling was ultimately necessary to really learn the concepts. With AI, I can simply copy/paste my code and say "hey, what's wrong with this code?" and it'll often spot it (nevermind the fact that I can just ask ChatGPT "create a b-tree in C" and it'll do it). That's amazing in a sense, but also hurts the learning process.

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bko ◴[] No.43634075[source]
When modern search became more available, a lot of people said there's no point of rote memorization as you can just do a Google search. That's more or less accepted today.

Whenever we have a new technology there's a response "why do I need to learn X if I can always do Y", and more or less, it has proven true, although not immediately.

For instance, I'm not too concerned about my child's ability to write very legibly (most writing is done on computers), spell very well (spell check keeps us professional), reading a map to get around (GPS), etc

Not that these aren't noble things or worth doing, but they won't impact your life too much if you're not interest in penmanship, spelling, or cartography.

I believe LLMs are different (I am still stuck in the moral panic phase), but I think my children will have a different perspective (similar to how I feel about memorizing poetry and languages without garbage collection). So how do I answer my child when he asks "Why should I learn to do X if I can just ask an LLM and it will do it better than me"

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1. kibwen ◴[] No.43634268[source]
The irreducible answer to "why should I" is that it makes you ever-more-increasingly reliant on a teetering tower of fragile and interdependent supply chains furnished by for-profit companies who are all too eager to rake you over the coals to fulfill basic cognitive functions.

Like, Socrates may have been against writing because he thought it made your memory weak, but at least I, an individual, am perfectly capable of manufacturing my own writing implements with a modest amount of manual labor and abundantly-available resources (carving into wood, burning wood into charcoal to write on stone, etc.). But I ain't perfectly capable of doing the same to manufacture an integrated circuit, let alone a digital calculator, let alone a GPU, let alone an LLM. Anyone who delegates their thought to a corporation is permanently hitching their fundamental ability to think to this wagon.

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2. notyourwork ◴[] No.43634346[source]
Although I agree, convincing children to learn using that rationalization won’t work.
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3. hackyhacky ◴[] No.43634369[source]
> The irreducible answer to "why should I" is that it makes you ever-more-increasingly reliant on a teetering tower of fragile and interdependent supply chains furnished by for-profit companies who are all too eager to rake you over the coals to fulfill basic cognitive functions.

Yes, but that horse has long ago left the barn.

I don't know how to grow crops, build a house, tend livestock, make clothes, weld metal, build a car, build a toaster, design a transistor, make an ASIC, or write an OS. I do know how to write a web site. But if I cede that skill to an automated process, then that is the feather that will break the camel's back?

The history of civilization is the history of specialization. No one can re-build all the tools they rely on from scratch. We either let other people specialize, or we let machines specialize. LLMs are one more step in the latter.

The Luddites were right: the machinery in cotton mills was a direct threat to their livelihood, just as LLMs are now to us. But society marches on, textile work has been largely outsourced to machines, and the descendants of the Luddites are doctors and lawyers (and coders). 50 years from new the career of a "coder" will evoke the same historical quaintness as does "switchboard operator" or "wainwright."

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4. bko ◴[] No.43634392[source]
I don't know, most of the things I'm reliant on, from my phone, ISP, automobile, etc are built on fragile interdependent supply chains provided by for-profit companies. If you're really worried about this, you should learn survival skills not the academic topics I'm talking about.

So if you're not bothering to learn how to farm, dress some wild game, etc, chances are this argument won't be convincing for "why should I learn calculus"

5. ryandrake ◴[] No.43634413[source]
This reply brings to mind the well-known Heinlein quote:

    A human being should be able to change a diaper, plan an invasion, butcher a hog, conn a ship, design a building, write a sonnet, balance accounts, build a wall, set a bone, comfort the dying, take orders, give orders, cooperate, act alone, solve equations, analyze a new problem, pitch manure, program a computer, cook a tasty meal, fight efficiently, die gallantly. Specialization is for insects.
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6. bigstrat2003 ◴[] No.43634556[source]
Yes it does. Plenty of children accept "you won't always have (tool)" as a reason for learning.
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7. theLiminator ◴[] No.43634569[source]
I think removing pointless cognitive load makes sense, but the point of an education is to learn how to think/reason. Maybe if we get AGI there's no point learning that either, but it is definitely not great if we get a whole generation who skip learning how to problem solve/think due to using LLMs.

IMO it's quite different than using a calculator or any other tool. It can currently completely replace the human in the loop, whereas with other tools they are generally just a step in the process.

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8. ◴[] No.43634573{3}[source]
9. tristor ◴[] No.43634607[source]
> I don't know how to grow crops, build a house, tend livestock, make clothes, weld metal, build a car, build a toaster, design a transistor, make an ASIC, or write an OS.

Why not? I mean that, quite literally.

I don't know how to make an ASIC, and if I tried to write an OS I'd probably fail miserably many times along the way but might be able to muddle through to something very basic. The rest of that list is certainly within my wheelhouse even though I've never done any of those things professionally.

The peer commenter shared the Heinlein quote, but there's really something to be said for /society/ of being peopled by well-rounded individuals that are able to competently turn themselves to many types of tasks. Specialization can also be valuable, but specialization in your career should not prevent you from gaining a breadth of skills outside of the workplace.

I don't know how to do any of the things in your list (including building a web site) as an /expert/, but it should not be out of the realm of possibility or even expectation that people should learn these things at the level of a competent amateur. I have grown a garden, I have worked on a farm for a brief time, I've helped build houses (Habitat for Humanity), I've taken a hobbyist welding class and made some garish metal sculptures, I've built a race car and raced it, and I've never built a toaster but I have repaired one (they're actually very electrically and mechanically simple devices). Besides the disposable income to build a race car, nothing on that list stands out to me as unachievable by anyone who chooses to do so.

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10. Zambyte ◴[] No.43634610[source]
For what it's worth, locally runnable language models are becoming exceptionally capable these days, so if you assume you will have some computer to do computing, it seems reasonable to assume that it will enable you to do some language model based things. I have a server with a single GPU running language models that easily blow GPT 3.5 out of the water. At that point, I am offloading reasoning tasks to my computer in the same way that I offload memory take to my computer through my note taking habits.
11. hackyhacky ◴[] No.43634651{3}[source]
> IMO it's quite different than using a calculator or any other tool. It can currently completely replace the human in the loop, whereas with other tools they are generally just a step in the process.

The (as yet unproven) argument for the use of AIs is that using AI to solve simpler problems allows us humans to focus on the big picture, in the same way that letting a calculator solve arithmetic gives us flexibility to understand the math behind the arithmetic.

No one knows if that's true. We're running a grand experiment: the next generation will either surpass us in grand fashion using tools that we couldn't imagine, or will collapse into a puddle of ignorant consumerism, a la Wall-E.

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12. kenjackson ◴[] No.43634711[source]
> I don't know how to grow crops, build a house, tend livestock, make clothes, weld metal, build a car, build a toaster, design a transistor, make an ASIC, or write an OS. I do know how to write a web site. But if I cede that skill to an automated process, then that is the feather that will break the camel's back?

Reminds me of the Nate Bargatz set where he talks about how if he was a time traveler to the past that he wouldn't be able to prove it to anyone. The skills most of us have require this supply chain and then we apply it at the very end. I'm not sure anyone in 1920 cares about my binary analysis skills.

13. c22 ◴[] No.43634803[source]
Specialization is over-rated. I've done everything in your list except make an ASIC because learning how to do those things was interesting and I prefer when things are done my way.

I started way back in my 20s just figuring out how to write websites. I'm not sure where the camel's back would have broken.

It has, of course, been convenient to be able to "bootstrap" my self-reliance in these and other fields by consuming goods produced by others, but there is no mechanical reason that said goods should be provided by specialists rather than advanced generalists beyond our irrational social need for maximum acceleration.

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14. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43634893[source]
>50 years from new the career of a "coder" will evoke the same historical quaintness as does "switchboard operator" or "wainwright."

And what happens to those coders? For that matter--what happens to all the other jobs at risk of being replaced by AI? Where are all the high paying jobs these disenfranchised laborers will flock to when their previous careers are made obsolete?

We live in a highly specialized society that requires people take out large loans to learn the skills necessary for their careers. You take away their ability to provide their labor, and it now seriously threatens millions of workers from obtaining the same quality of life they once had.

I seriously oppose such a future, and if that makes me a Luddite, so be it.

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15. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43634947{4}[source]
>the next generation will either surpass us in grand fashion using tools that we couldn't imagine, or will collapse into a puddle of ignorant consumerism, a la Wall-E

Seeing how the world is based around consumerism, this future seems more likely.

HOWEVER, we can still course correct. We need to organize, and get the hell off social media and the internet.

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16. hackyhacky ◴[] No.43634966{3}[source]
> And what happens to those coders? For that matter--what happens to all the other jobs at risk of being replaced by AI?

Some will manage to remain in their field, most won't.

> Where are all the high paying jobs these disenfranchised laborers will flock to when their previous careers are made obsolete?

They don't exist. Instead they'll take low-paying jobs that can't (yet) be automated. Maybe they'll work in factories [1].

> I seriously oppose such a future, and if that makes me a Luddite, so be it.

Like I said, the Luddites were right, in the short term. In the long term, we don't know. Maybe we'll live in a post-scarcity Star Trek world where human labor has been completely devalued, or maybe we'll revert to a feudal society of property owners and indentured servants.

[1] https://www.newsweek.com/bessent-fired-federal-workers-manuf...

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17. hackyhacky ◴[] No.43634976{5}[source]
> HOWEVER, we can still course correct. We need to organize, and get the hell off social media and the internet.

Given what I know of human nature, this seems improbable.

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18. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43634987{3}[source]
All adults were once children and there are plenty of adults who cannot read beyond a middle school reading level or balance a simple equation. This has been a problem before we ever gave them GPTs. It stands to reason it will only worsen in a future dominated by them.
19. hackyhacky ◴[] No.43635046{3}[source]
> The peer commenter shared the Heinlein quote, but there's really something to be said for /society/ of being peopled by well-rounded individuals that are able to competently turn themselves to many types of tasks

Being a well-rounded individualist is a great, but that's an orthogonal issue to the question of outsourcing our skills to machinery. When you were growing crops, did you till the land by hand or did you use a tractor? When you were making clothes did you sew by hand or use a sewing machine? Who made your sewing needles?

The (dubious) argument for AI is that using LLMs to write code is the same as using modern construction equipment to build a house: you get the same result for less effort.

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20. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43635051{4}[source]
>They don't exist. Instead they'll take low-paying jobs that can't (yet) be automated. Maybe they'll work in factories

>or maybe we'll revert to a feudal society of property owners and indentured servants.

We as the workers in society have the power to see that this doesn't happen. We just need to organize. Unionize. Boycott. Organize with people in your community to spread worker solidarity.

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21. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43635104{6}[source]
I think it's possible. I think the greatest trick our current societal structure ever managed to pull, is the proliferation of the belief that any alternatives are impossible. "Capitalist realism"

People who organize tend to be the people who are most optimistic about change. This is for a reason.

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22. dTal ◴[] No.43635160[source]
I dunno, the "tool" that LLMs "replace" is thinking itself. That seems qualitatively different than anything that has come before. It's the "tool" that underlies all the others.
23. whilenot-dev ◴[] No.43635242[source]
> I don't know how to grow crops, build a house, tend livestock, make clothes, weld metal, build a car, build a toaster, design a transistor, make an ASIC, or write an OS. I do know how to write a web site. But if I cede that skill to an automated process, then that is the feather that will break the camel's back?

All the things you mention have a certain objective quality that can be reduced to an approachable minimum. A house could be a simple cabin, a tent, a cave; a piece of cloth could just be a cape; metal can be screwed, glued or cast; a transistor could be a relay or a wooden mechanism etc. ...history tells us all that.

I think when there's a Homo ludens that wants to play, or when there's a Homo economicus that wants us to optimize, there might be one that separates the process of learning from adaptation (Homo investigans?)[0]. The process of learning something new could be such a subjective property that keeps a yet unknown natural threshold which can't be lowered (or "reduced") any further. If I were to be overly pessimistic, a hardcore luddite, I'd say that this species is under attack, and there will be a generation that lacks this aspect, but also won't miss it, because this character could have never been experienced in the first place.

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Names_for_the_human_species#Li...

24. marcosdumay ◴[] No.43635310{3}[source]
The sheer amount of activities that he left out because he couldn't even remember they existed would turn this paragraph into a book.
25. DrillShopper ◴[] No.43635319{3}[source]
This is a fantastic and underrated quote, despite all of the problems I have with Heinlein's fascism-glorifying work.
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26. DrillShopper ◴[] No.43635329{5}[source]
There is no industry that I have worked in that fights against creating or joining unions tooth, claw, and nail quite like software engineers.
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27. crooked-v ◴[] No.43635434{3}[source]
That's a quote that sounds great until, say, that self-built building by somebody who's neither engineer nor architect at best turns out to have some intractible design flaw and at worst collapses and kills people.

It's also a quote from a character who's literally immortal and so has all the time in the world to learn things, which really undermines the premise.

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28. mechagodzilla ◴[] No.43635462{3}[source]
I've done all of those except tend livestock and build a house, but I could probably figure those out with some effort.
29. harikb ◴[] No.43635834{7}[source]
It may be possible for you (I am assuming you are > 20, mature adult). But the context is around teens in the prime of their learning. It is too hard to keep ChatGPT/Claude away from them. Social media is too addictive. Those TikTok/Reels/Shorts are addictive and never ending. We are doomed imho.

If education (schools) were to adopt a teaching-AI (one that will given them the solution, but at least ask a bunch of questions ), may be there is some hope.

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30. whilenot-dev ◴[] No.43635937{3}[source]
I think the latest GenAI/LLM bubble shows that tech (this hype kind of tech) doesn't want us to learn, to think or reason. It doesn't want to be seen as a mere tool anymore, it wants to drive under the appearance that it can reason on its own. We're in the process where tech just wants us to adapt to it.
31. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43636298{8}[source]
>We are doomed imho.

I encourage you to take action to prove to yourself that real change is possible.

What you can do in your own life to enact change is hard to say, given I know nothing about your situation. But say you are a parent, you have control over how often your children use their phones, whether they are on social media, whether they are using ChatGPT to get around doing their homework. How we raise the next generation of children will play an important role in how prepared they are to deal with the consequences of the actions we're currently making.

As a worker you can try to organize to form a union. At the very least you can join an organization like the Democratic Socialists of America. Your ability to organize is your greatest strength.

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32. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43636338{6}[source]
I think more and more workers are warming up to unions. As wages in software continue to be oppressed, I think we'll see an increase in unionization efforts for software engineers.
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33. harrall ◴[] No.43636794[source]
I don’t think specialization is a bad thing but the friends I know that only know their subject seem to… how do I put this… struggle at life and everything a lot more.

And even at work, the coworkers that don’t have a lot of general knowledge seem to work a lot harder and get less done because it takes them so much longer to figure things out.

So I don’t know… is avoiding the work of learning worth it to struggle at life more?

34. Mawr ◴[] No.43638136{3}[source]
What an awful quote. Literally all progress we've made is due to ever increasing specialization.
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35. djhn ◴[] No.43638320{3}[source]
It’s a quote from a character in Heinlein’s fiction. A human character with a lifespan of over a thousand years.

I too liked that quote and found it inspiring. Until I read the book, that is.

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36. palmotea ◴[] No.43638653{4}[source]
> The (as yet unproven) argument for the use of AIs is that using AI to solve simpler problems allows us humans to focus on the big picture, in the same way that letting a calculator solve arithmetic gives us flexibility to understand the math behind the arithmetic.

And I can tell you from experience that "letting a calculator solve arithmetic" (or more accurately, being dependent on a calculator to solve arithmetic) means you cripple your ability to learn and understand more advanced stuff. At best your decision turned you into the equivalent of a computer trying to run a 1GB binary with 8MB of RAM and a lot of paging.

> No one knows if that's true. We're running a grand experiment: the next generation will either surpass us in grand fashion using tools that we couldn't imagine, or will collapse into a puddle of ignorant consumerism, a la Wall-E.

It's the latter. Though I suspect the masses will be shoved into the garbage disposal than be allowed to wallow in ignorant consumerism. Only the elite that owns the means of production will be allowed to indulge.

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37. freeone3000 ◴[] No.43638776{3}[source]
“You won’t always have a calculator” became moderately false to laughably false as I went from middle to high school. Every task I will ever do for money will be done on a computer.

I’m still garbage at arithmetic, especially mental math, and it really hasn’t inhibited my career in any way.

replies(2): >>43638959 #>>43641571 #
38. mistrial9 ◴[] No.43638903{4}[source]
ok - but.. here in California, look at houses that are 100 years old, then look at the new ones.. sure you can list the improvements in the new ones, on a piece of paper.. the craftsmanship, originality and other intangibles are obviously gone in the modern versions.. not a little bit gone, a lot gone. Let the reader use this example as a warmup to this new tech question.
39. Jedd ◴[] No.43638928{4}[source]
That is literally not true.
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40. goatlover ◴[] No.43638959{4}[source]
It's pretty annoying in customer service when someone handing you back change has difficulty doing the math. There's been many times doing simple arithmetic in my head has been helpful, including times when my hands were occupied.
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41. flir ◴[] No.43639086{5}[source]
I'd be interested in counter-examples?
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42. elcritch ◴[] No.43639165{4}[source]
I sort of view that list as table stakes for a well rounded capable person.. Well barring the invasion bit. Then again, being familiar with guns and or other forms of self defense is valuable.

I think most farmers would be somewhat capable on most of that list. Equations for farm production. Programming tractor equipment. Setting bones. Giving and taking orders. Building houses and barns.

Building a single story building isn’t that difficult, but time consuming. Especially nowadays with YouTube videos and pre-planned plans.

replies(1): >>43639677 #
43. educasean ◴[] No.43639396{3}[source]
It took me a long time to master the pen tool in Photoshop. I don't mean that I spent a weekend and learned how it worked. I meant that out of all the graphic designers at the agency I was working for, I was the designer who had the most flawless pen-tool skills and thus was the envy of many. It is now an obsolete skill. You can segment anything instantly and the results are pristine. Thanks to technology one no longer needs to learn how to make the most form-fitting curves with the pen tool to be labeled a great graphic designer.

It's remarkable that reading and writing, once the guarded domain of elites and religious scribes, are now everyday skills for millions. Where once a handful of monks preserved knowledge with their specialized scribing skills, today anyone can record history, share ideas, and access the thoughts of centuries with a few keystrokes.

The wheel moves on and people adapt. Who knows what the "right side" of history will be, but I doubt we get there by suppressing advancements and guaranteeing job placements simply because you took out large loans to earn a degree and a license.

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44. moron4hire ◴[] No.43639587{3}[source]
I haven't butchered a hog or died yet.
45. gh0stcat ◴[] No.43639592[source]
Why do people keep parroting this reduction of Socrates' thoughts... I don't think it was just as simple as he thought writing was bad. And we already know that writing isn't everything, anyone who as done any study of a craft can tell you that reading and writing don't teach you the feel of the art form, but can also nonetheless aid in the study. It's not black and white, even though people like to make it out to be.

SOCRATES: You know, Phaedrus, writing shares a strange feature with painting. The offsprings of painting stand there as if they are alive, but if anyone asks them anything, they remain most solemnly silent. The same is true of written words. You’d think they were speaking as if they had some understanding, but if you question anything that has been said because you want to learn more, it continues to signify just that very same thing forever. When it has once been written down, every discourse roams about everywhere, reaching indiscriminately those with understanding no less than those who have no business with it, and it doesn’t know to whom it should speak and to whom it should not. And when it is faulted and attacked unfairly, it always needs its father’s support; alone, it can neither defend itself nor come to its own support.

PHAEDRUS: You are absolutely right about that, too.

SOCRATES: Now tell me, can we discern another kind of discourse, a legitimate brother of this one? Can we say how it comes about, and how it is by nature better and more capable?

PHAEDRUS: Which one is that? How do you think it comes about?

SOCRATES: It is a discourse that is written down, with knowledge, in the soul of the listener; it can defend itself, and it knows for whom it should speak and for whom it should remain silent.

[link](https://newlearningonline.com/literacies/chapter-1/socrates-...)

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46. kurthr ◴[] No.43639596{5}[source]
There are opposing trends in this. First, that like many tools the capable individual can be made much more effective (eg 2x->10x), which simply replaces some workers, and last occurred during the great depression. Second, that the tools become commoditized to the point where they are readily available from many suppliers at reasonable costs, which happened with calculators, word processors, and office automation. This along with a growing population, global trade, and rising demand led to the 80s-2k boom.

If the product is not commoditized, then capital will absorb all the increased labor efficiency, while labor (and consumption) are sacrificed on the altar of profits.

I suspect your assumption is more likely. Voltaire's critique of 'the best of all possible worlds' and man's place in creating meaning and happiness, provides more than one option.

47. lisper ◴[] No.43639677{5}[source]
> pre-planned plans

Isn't that cheating? Shouldn't a properly self-reliant human be able to come up with the plans too?

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48. margalabargala ◴[] No.43639683{4}[source]
The quote is more reasonable in context.
49. codedokode ◴[] No.43639767{4}[source]
> self-built building by somebody who's neither engineer nor architect

That is exactly how our ancestors built houses. Also a traditional wooden house doesn't look complicated.

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50. dullcrisp ◴[] No.43639795{5}[source]
And what happened to them, I wonder?
replies(1): >>43639844 #
51. elliotec ◴[] No.43639844{6}[source]
Well, they reproduced so we could exist now. Definition of ancestors.
replies(1): >>43640196 #
52. dkersten ◴[] No.43639947[source]
”I don't know how to grow crops, build a house, tend livestock, make clothes, weld metal, build a car, build a toaster, design a transistor, make an ASIC, or write an OS. I do know how to write a web site.”

Sure. But somebody has to know these things. For many jobs, knowing these things isn’t beneficial, but for others it is.

Sure, you might be able to get a job slinging AI code to produce CRUD apps or whatever. But since that’s the easy thing, you’re going to have a hard time standing out from the pack. Yet we will still need people who understand the concepts at a deeper level, to fix the AI messes or to build the complex systems AI can’t, or the systems that are too critical to rely on AI, or the ones that are too regulated. Being able to do those thing, or to just better understand what the AI is doing to get better more effective results, that will be more valuable than just blindly leaning on AI, and it will remain valuable for a while yet.

Maybe some day the AI can do everything, including ASICs and growing crops, but it’s got a long way to go still.

replies(1): >>43640128 #
53. CamperBob2 ◴[] No.43639954{9}[source]
So your plan is to encourage people to "get off the Internet" by posting on the Internet, and to stave off automation by encouraging workers to gang up on their employers and make themselves a collective critical point of failure.

Well, you know, we'd all love to change the world...

replies(2): >>43643210 #>>43647357 #
54. CamperBob2 ◴[] No.43639970{7}[source]
"Gee, it seems that people in my profession are in danger of being replaced by AI. I wonder if there's anything I can do to help speed up that process..."
replies(2): >>43641626 #>>43647272 #
55. diroussel ◴[] No.43640002{6}[source]
Learning from others doesn’t mean you are not learning.
replies(1): >>43641044 #
56. antasvara ◴[] No.43640003{5}[source]
I'm not saying that our ancestors were wrong. Hell, I live in a house that was originally built under similar conditions.

That being said, buildings collapse a lot less frequently these days. House fires happen at a lower rate. Insulation was either nonexistent or present in much lower quantities.

I guess the point I'm making is that the lesson here shouldn't be "we used to make our houses, why don't we go back to that?" It also shouldn't be "we should leave every task to a specialist."

Know how to maintain and fix the things around your house that are broken. You don't need a plumber to replace the flush valve on your toilet. But maybe don't try to replace a load-bearing joist in your house unless you know what you're doing? The people building their own homes weren't engineers, but they had a lot more carpentry experience than (I assume) you and I.

57. tempestn ◴[] No.43640062{4}[source]
I think it's both, just like we saw with the internet.
58. antasvara ◴[] No.43640085{4}[source]
But what if the rate at which things change increases to the point that humans can't adapt in time? This has happened to other animals (coral has existed for millions of years and is now threatened by ocean acidification, any number of native species have been crowded out by the introduction of non-native ones, etc.).

Even humans have gotten shocks like this. Things like the Black Death created social and economic upheavals that lasted generations.

Now, these are all biological examples. They don't map cleanly to technogical advances, because human brains adapt much faster than immune systems that are constrained by their DNA. But the point is that complex systems can adapt and can seem to handle "anything," up until they can't.

I don't know enough about AI or LLM's to say if we're reaching an inflection point. But most major crises happen when enough people say that something can't happen, and then it happens. I also don't think that discouraging innovation is the solution. But I don't also want to pretend like "humans always adapt" is a rule and not a 300,000 year old blip on the timeline of life's existence.

59. hackyhacky ◴[] No.43640128{3}[source]
> Sure. But somebody has to know these things. For many jobs, knowing these things isn’t beneficial, but for others it is.

I think you're missing the point of my comment. I'm not saying that human knowledge is useless. I'm specifically arguing against the case that:

> The irreducible answer to "why should I" is that it makes you ever-more-increasingly reliant on a teetering tower of fragile and interdependent supply chains furnished by for-profit companies who are all too eager to rake you over the coals to fulfill basic cognitive functions.

My logic being that we are already irreversibly dependent on supply chains.

replies(1): >>43651612 #
60. CyLith ◴[] No.43640144[source]
Speak for yourself. Some of us see the difficulty in sustaining and maintaining this fragile technology stack and have decided to do something about it. I may not be able to do all those things but it is worth learning, since there really is no downside for someone who enjoys learning. I am tackling farming and cpu design at the moment and it is tremendously fun.
replies(1): >>43641202 #
61. alwa ◴[] No.43640149{7}[source]
Software engineer wages? Oppressed? This is work that averages well over 6 figures—for a single worker, for desk work—in the US?

https://www.indeed.com/career/software-engineer/salaries

https://www.levels.fyi/t/software-engineer/locations/united-...

replies(1): >>43642968 #
62. ifyoubuildit ◴[] No.43640187[source]
Things like this give us enshitification. When the consumer has no understanding of what they're buying, they have to take corporations at their word that new "features" are actually beneficial, when they're mostly beneficial to the seller.

Kind of like how an ignorant electorate makes for a poor democracy, an ignorant consumer base makes for a poor free market.

63. dullcrisp ◴[] No.43640196{7}[source]
That’s…not what I asked. Y’all need to recognize that Darwinism was intended as an explanatory theory, not as an ethos. And it’s not how we judge building practices.
64. wombatpm ◴[] No.43640235{4}[source]
I know the character is Lazarus Long. Which book was this quote in?
replies(2): >>43640368 #>>43646099 #
65. ◴[] No.43640276[source]
66. vasco ◴[] No.43640368{5}[source]
This is one of the cases where you should indeed rely on Google.
replies(1): >>43640601 #
67. laichzeit0 ◴[] No.43640379{5}[source]
I don’t know where you live, but I haven’t used nor carried cash on me for at least 5 years now. Everything either takes card or just tap using your phone/watch. Everything. Parking meters, cashiers, online shopping, filling up your car. I live in a “third world” country too.
replies(1): >>43640627 #
68. motorest ◴[] No.43640530{5}[source]
> That is exactly how our ancestors built houses. Also a traditional wooden house doesn't look complicated.

The only homes built by our ancestors that you see are those that didn't collapsed and killed whoever was inside, burned down, were too unstable to live in, were too much of a burden to maintain and keep around, etc.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias

69. ◴[] No.43640538{5}[source]
70. motorest ◴[] No.43640552{3}[source]
> I think removing pointless cognitive load makes sense, but the point of an education is to learn how to think/reason. Maybe if we get AGI there's no point learning that either, but it is definitely not great if we get a whole generation who skip learning how to problem solve/think due to using LLMs.

There's also the problem of developing critical thinking skills. It's not very comforting to think of a time where your average Joe relies on an AI service to tell what he should think and believe, when that AI service is ran, trained, and managed by people pushing radical ideologies.

71. motorest ◴[] No.43640585{4}[source]
> No one knows if that's true. We're running a grand experiment: the next generation will either surpass us in grand fashion using tools that we couldn't imagine, or will collapse into a puddle of ignorant consumerism, a la Wall-E.

I believe there is some truth to it. When you automated away some time-consuming tasks, your time and focus is shifted elsewhere. For example, washing clothes is no longer a major concern since the massification of washing machines. Software engineering also progressively shifted it's attention to higher-level concerns, and went from a point where writing/editing opcodes was the norm to a point where you can design and deploy a globally-available distributed system faster than what it takes to build a program.

Focusing on the positive traits of AI, having a way to follow the Socratic method with a tireless sparring partner that has an encyclopedic knowledge on everything and anything is truly brilliant. The bulk of the people in this thread should be disproportionally inclined to be self-motivated and self-taught in multiple domains, and having this sort of feature available makes worlds of difference.

replies(1): >>43641240 #
72. lll-o-lll ◴[] No.43640594{3}[source]
> the point of an education is to learn how to think/reason. Maybe if we get AGI there's no point learning that either

This is the existential crisis that appears imminent. What does it mean if humanity, at large, begins to offload thinking (hence decision making), to machines?

Up until now we’ve had tools. We’ve never before been able to say “what’s the right way to do X?”. Offloading reasoning to machines is a terrifying concept.

73. charlieflowers ◴[] No.43640601{6}[source]
You just created a modern take on LMGTFY
replies(1): >>43640905 #
74. goatlover ◴[] No.43640627{6}[source]
Good for you? I use cash half the time. For one thing, I'm not tracked for every single purchase.
replies(1): >>43640741 #
75. rpmisms ◴[] No.43640741{7}[source]
I also love (and own) goats and use cash for most purchases.
76. arduanika ◴[] No.43640905{7}[source]
It's now pronounced LMCGPTTFY
replies(1): >>43641549 #
77. CalRobert ◴[] No.43640964{4}[source]
Honestly having gone through the self build process for a house it’s not that hard if you keep it simple. Habitat for humanity has some good learning material
78. salomonk_mur ◴[] No.43641044{7}[source]
Ask the LLM to create plans and step by step guides then!
79. dankwizard ◴[] No.43641061{3}[source]
Your opinion is wild.

Hmm, millions of humans are spending a bulk of their lives plugging away at numbers on a screen. We can replace this with an AI and free them up to do literally anything else.

No, let's not do that. Keep being slow ineffective calculators and lay on your death bed feeling FULFILLED!

replies(2): >>43641263 #>>43647314 #
80. hackyhacky ◴[] No.43641202{3}[source]
Good for you, I guess, but your hobbyist interest in farming is not an argument against using AI. The point of my comment is that the our technology stack is already large enough that adding one more layer is not going to make a difference.
81. hackyhacky ◴[] No.43641240{5}[source]
> The bulk of the people in this thread should be disproportionally inclined to be self-motivated and self-taught in multiple domains, and having this sort of feature available makes worlds of difference

I agree that AI could be an enormous educational aid to those who want to learn. The problem is that if any human task can be performed by a computer, there is very little incentive to learn anything. I imagine that a minority of people will learn stuff as a hobby, much in the way that people today write poetry or develop film for fun; but without an economic incentive to learn a skill or trade, having a personal Socratic teacher will be a benefit lost on the majority of people.

82. hackyhacky ◴[] No.43641263{4}[source]
You're skipping over a critical step, which is that our society allocated resources based on the labor value that an individual provides. If we free up everyone to do anything, they're not providing labor any more, so they get no resources. In other words, society needs to change in big ways, and I don't know how or if it will do that.
replies(1): >>43645393 #
83. kazinator ◴[] No.43641526{6}[source]
Counter-examples are not really their area, evidently.
84. nicbou ◴[] No.43641549{8}[source]
I've had people do this to me (albeit in an attempt to be helpful, not snarky) and it felt so weird. The answers are something a copywriter would have thrown together in an hour. Generic, unhelpful drivel.
85. lukan ◴[] No.43641552{4}[source]
I would like to replay with another quote by another immortal(or long lived) character, Professor „Reg“ Chronotis from Douglas Adams:

"That I lived so much longer, just means, that I forgot much more, not that I know much more."

Memory might have a limited capacity, but of course, I doubt most humans use that capacity, or well, for useful things. I know I have plenty of useless knowledge ..

86. nicbou ◴[] No.43641563{6}[source]
A lot of discoveries come from someone applying their scientific knowledge to a curious thing happening in their hobby or private life. A lot of successful businesses apply software engineering to a specific business problem that is invisible to all other engineers.
87. xarope ◴[] No.43641571{4}[source]
But I bet you'd know if some calculated number was way too far-off.

I'm no Turing or Ramanujan, but my opinion is that knowing how the operations work, and as example understanding how the area under a curve is calculated, allows you to guesstimate whether numbers are close enough in terms of magnitude to what you are calculating, without needing to be exact in figures.

It is shocking how often I have looked at a spreadsheet, eyeballed the number of rows and the approximate average of numbers in there and figured out there's a problem with a =choose-your-forumula(...) getting the range wrong.

88. nicbou ◴[] No.43641579{4}[source]
Automating drudgery is a good thing. It frees us up to do more important things.

Automating thinking and self-expression is a lot more dangerous. We're not automating the calculation or the research, but the part where you add your soul to that information.

89. tdeck ◴[] No.43641626{8}[source]
The best plan is to wait until your bargaining position has been thoroughly destroyed rather than taking any action while you still have some power.
replies(1): >>43654817 #
90. namaria ◴[] No.43641724[source]
Thank you for bringing light to this.

I think it makes a very relevant point to us as well. The value of doing the work yourself is in internalizing and developing one's own cognition. The argument of offloading to the LLM to me sounds link arguing one should bring a forklift to the gym

Yes, it would be much less tiresome and you'd be able to lift orders of magnitude more weights. But is the goal of the gym to more efficiently lift as much weight as possible, or to tire oneself and thus develop muscles?

91. 1oooqooq ◴[] No.43642011[source]
nobody ever said that. that's ai apologist history revisionism.
92. sethammons ◴[] No.43642026{6}[source]
To bake a cake from scratch, first, you must create the universe
93. Ekaros ◴[] No.43642377{5}[source]
>Law § 229 of Hammurabi's Code

>If a house builder built a house for a man but did not secure/fortify his work so that the house he built collapsed and caused the death of the house owner, that house builder will be executed.

If even professionals did get it wrong so often that there had to be law for it... Yeah, maybe it is not that simple.

replies(1): >>43646900 #
94. casey2 ◴[] No.43642528[source]
That's pretty funny, considering LLMs mostly solve his problem with writing. At the very least it's way better than his discourse "solution".
95. danielbln ◴[] No.43642679{3}[source]
Jack of all trades, master of none. I also somehow doubt that you've built a car from scratch, including designing the engine, carving it out of a block of metal and so on. And if we're talking modern car, good luck fabbing the integrated circuits in your backyard or whatever. Even your particular generalist fantasy will (and most likely has) hit the hard constraints of specialization real quick.

There is no single human alive that can understand or build a modern computer from top to bottom. And this is true for various bits of human technology, that's how specialized we are as a species.

replies(1): >>43644633 #
96. Jedd ◴[] No.43642718{6}[source]
Given the original, ludicrous, claim was:

> Literally all progress we've made is due to ever increasing specialization.

Then we don't really need plural examples, right?

Anyway - language, wheel, fire, tool-making, social constructs like reciprocity principle - I think gave us some progress as a species and a society.

replies(1): >>43642921 #
97. akimbostrawman ◴[] No.43642921{7}[source]
All of these examples are done by specialist because I don't see many cars being build by dentists.

Even in mankind's beginning specialization existed in the form of hunter and gatherer. This specialization in combination with team work brought us to the top of the food chain to a point where we can strive beyond basic survival.

The people making space crafts (designing and building, another example of specialization) don't need to know how to repair or build a microwave to heat there for food.

Of course everybody still needs to know basic knowledge (how to turn on microwave) to get by.

replies(1): >>43643106 #
98. saagarjha ◴[] No.43642968{8}[source]
Yes, oppressed: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-Tech_Employee_Antitrust_L...
99. johnisgood ◴[] No.43642988{5}[source]
I know how to do arithmetic, but I still use my PC or a calculator because I am not entirely sure that I am accurate. I use "units" as well extensively, it can be used for much more than just unit conversion. You can do complex calculations with it.

You can solve stuff like:

> If you walk 1 mile in 7 minutes, how fast are you walking in kilometers per hour?

  $ units -t "1 mile / 7 minutes" "kilometers per hour"
  13.7943771428571
You need some basic knowledge to even come up with "1 mile / 7 minutes" and "kilometers per hour".

There are examples where you need much more advanced knowledge, too, meaning it is not enough to just have a calculator, for example in thermodynamics, when dealing with gas laws, you cannot simply convert pressure, volume, and temperature from one unit to another without taking into account the specific context of the law you’re applying (e.g., the ideal gas law or real gas behavior)", or for example you want to convert 1 kilowatt-hour (kWh) to watts (W). This is a case of energy (in kilowatt-hours) over time (in hours), and we need to convert it to power (in watts), which is energy per unit time.

You cannot do:

  $ units -t "1 kWh" "W"
  conformability error
  3600000 kg m^2 / s^2
  1 kg m^2 / s^3
You have to have some knowledge, so you could do:

  $ units -t "1 kWh" "J"
  1 kWh = 3600000 J
  $ units -t "3600000 joules / 3600 seconds" "W"
  3600000 joules / 3600 seconds = 1000 W
To sum it up: in many cases, without the right knowledge, even the most accurate tool will only get you part of the way there.

It applies to LLMs and programming, too, thus, I am not worried. We will still have copy-paste "programmers", and actually knowledgeable ones, as we have always had. The difference is that you can use LLMs to learn, quite a lot, but you cannot use a calculator alone to learn how to convert 1 kWh to W.

100. Jedd ◴[] No.43643106{8}[source]
> All of these examples are done by specialist because I don't see many cars being build by dentists.

I'm not sure how you get from pre-agricultural humans developing fire, to dentists building cars.

I don't doubt that after fire was 'understood', there was specialisation to some degree, probably, around management of fire, what burns well, how best to cook, etc.

But any claim that fire was the result of specialisation seems a bit hard to substantiate. A committee was established to direct Thag Simmons to develop a way to .. something involving wood?

Wheel, the setting of broken bones, language etc - specialisation happened subsequently, but not as a prerequisite for those advances.

> Even in mankind's beginning specialization existed in the form of hunter and gatherer. This specialization in combination with team work brought us to the top of the food chain to a point where we can strive beyond basic survival.

Totally agree that we advanced because of two key capabilities - a) persistence hunting, b) team / communication.

You seem to be conflating the result of those advancements with "all progress", as was GP.

> The people making space crafts (designing and building, another example of specialization) don't need to know how to repair or build a microwave to heat there for food.

I am not, was not, arguing that highly specialised skills in modern society are not ... highly specialised.

I was arguing against the lofty claim that:

"All progress we've made is due to ever increasing specialization."

Noting the poster of that was responding to a quote from a work of fiction - claiming it was awful - that the author had suggested everyone should be familiar with (among other things) 'changing a diaper, comfort the dying, cooperate, cook a tasty meal, analyse a problem, solve equations' etc.

If you're suggesting that you think some people in society should be exempt from some basic skills like those - that's an interesting position I'd like to see you defend.

> Of course everybody still needs to know basic knowledge (how to turn on microwave) to get by.

FWIW I don't have a microwave oven.

replies(1): >>43643303 #
101. albumen ◴[] No.43643210{10}[source]
Apparently you'd love to change the world; a good start would be accurately reading and recounting others' arguments.
replies(1): >>43644821 #
102. akimbostrawman ◴[] No.43643303{9}[source]
The discovery of fire itself was not progress, but how to use it very much is. They most likely didn't have a "discover fire" specialization in the modern sense but I doubt the one first to create a fire starter was afterwards deligated to only collect berries. The discovery and creation of something obviously often comes before the specialization or it would otherwise be impossible to discover and create anything.

>FWIW I don't have a microwave oven.

That was just an example. You still know how to use them hence basic knowledge. Seem like this discussion boils down to semantics

replies(1): >>43649765 #
103. c22 ◴[] No.43644633{4}[source]
It was an electric car, but it's true that I bought the motor (and the esc, batteries, etc...) That said, I have wound several motors in my day.

I'm not saying some degree of specialization isn't desirable in the world, just that it's overrated.

Do we need a modern computer?

104. CamperBob2 ◴[] No.43644821{11}[source]
Agreed, that's important. What'd I get wrong?
105. Ray20 ◴[] No.43645393{5}[source]
>If we free up everyone to do anything

Not anything, but something useful. And in exchange for that useful they'll get resources (which will become more abundant).

replies(2): >>43645750 #>>43647324 #
106. hackyhacky ◴[] No.43645750{6}[source]
Huh? If AI can do any job cheaper and better than a person can, why would anyone hire a person? What "useful" skill could a person exchange for resources in an era when computers write code, drive cars, fight wars, and cook food?
replies(1): >>43651287 #
107. gnarlynarwhal42 ◴[] No.43646099{5}[source]
Seems to be from the book "Time Enough for Love"
108. codedokode ◴[] No.43646900{6}[source]
In a village most houses were built by their owners. I am not talking here about nicely decorated brick buildings in a city: they were obviously designed and built by professionals.
109. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43647246{4}[source]
How is a pen tool in Photoshop equivalent to an AI that can perform your entire job at a lower cost remotely similar? There are levels to this, and I don't think the same old platitudes apply.
110. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43647272{8}[source]
Worker solidarity works. Whether you agree with the methods or not is irrelevant.
111. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43647314{4}[source]
>We can replace this with an AI and free them up to do literally anything else.

I would happily support automation to free myself, and others, from having to work full-time. But we live in a capitalist society, not StarTrek. Automation doesn't free up people from having to work, it only places people in financial crisis.

replies(1): >>43650650 #
112. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43647324{6}[source]
>something useful

Where is the existing work these people would take up? If it doesn't exist yet, then how do you suppose people will support themselves in the meantime?

What if the new work that is created pays less? Do you think people should just accept being made obsolete to take up lower paying jobs?

replies(1): >>43651206 #
113. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43647357{10}[source]
>Well, you know, we'd all love to change the world

The social contract lives and dies by what the populace is willing to accept. If you push people into a corner by threatening their quality of life, don't be surprised if they push back.

replies(2): >>43647791 #>>43647804 #
114. ◴[] No.43647791{11}[source]
115. CamperBob2 ◴[] No.43647804{11}[source]
Exactly, so don't be surprised if you receive some pushback as well. AI may threaten you, but it empowers me.
116. Jedd ◴[] No.43649765{10}[source]
I dispute your foundational claim that discovery of things != progress.

I concur that semantics have a) overtaken this thread, and b) are part of my complaint with OP when they claimed all historical progress was the result of specialisation.

117. dankwizard ◴[] No.43650650{5}[source]
They'll get different jobs bud.
replies(2): >>43653602 #>>43658195 #
118. Ray20 ◴[] No.43651206{7}[source]
>Where is the existing work these people would take up? If it doesn't exist yet, then how do you suppose people will support themselves in the meantime?

Everywhere in human society. "Jobs" is literally when you do something that someone needs, so that in exchange they do something that you need. And in human society, because of AI, neither people’s needs, nor the ability to satisfy them, nor the possibility of exchanging them will suddenly disappear. So the jobs will be everywhere.

>Do you think people should just accept being made obsolete to take up lower paying jobs?

Let's start with the fact that on average all jobs will become higher paying because the amount of goods produced (and distributed) will increase. So the more correct answer to this question is "What choice will they have?".

AI will make the masses richer, so society will not abandon it. Subsidize their obsolete well-paid jobs to make society poorer? Why would anyone do that? So the people replaced by AI will go to work in other jobs. Sometimes higher paying, sometimes lower.

If we are talking about real solutions, the best alternative they will have is to form a cult like the Amish did (God bless America and capitalism), in which they can pretend that AI does not exist and live as before. The only question in this case is whether they will find willing participants, because for most, participation in such a cult will mean losing the increase in income provided by the introduction of AI.

replies(1): >>43653526 #
119. Ray20 ◴[] No.43651287{7}[source]
But you answer your own question: the only situation in which it makes no sense to hire another person to satisfy a need is when that need has already been satisfied in another way.

And if all needs are already satisfied... Why worry about work? The purpose of work is to satisfy needs. If needs are satisfied, there is no need for work.

replies(1): >>43652776 #
120. dkersten ◴[] No.43651612{4}[source]
You’re absolutely right. But my point still stands, too, which is that despite being irreversibly dependent on supply chains, doesn’t mean we are redundant. We still need people at all levels of the supply chain.

Maybe it’s fewer people, yes, but it’ll take quite a leap forward in AI ability to replace all the specialists we will continue to require, especially as the less-able AI makes messes that need to be cleaned up.

121. hackyhacky ◴[] No.43652776{8}[source]
You assume the everyone's needs are solved together. More likely is that the property owning class acquire AI robots to provide cheap labor; and everyone else doesn't.
replies(1): >>43653637 #
122. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43653526{8}[source]
>AI will make the masses richer, so society will not abandon it

This remains to be seen. Inequality is worse now than it was 20 years ago despite technology progressing. This is true across income and wealth.

replies(1): >>43653741 #
123. jplusequalt ◴[] No.43653602{6}[source]
Will those jobs pay them the same amount, allow them to have similar qualities of life?
124. Ray20 ◴[] No.43653637{9}[source]
>You assume the everyone's needs are solved together.

No, I am not assuming that. "Together" are not required. It's just combination of needs, ability to satisfy them and ability to exchange - creates jobs. And nothing of this will be thwarted by AI.

>More likely is that the property owning class acquire AI robots to provide cheap labor

Doesn't matter. Your everyday person either will be able to afford this cheap AI labor for themselves (no problem that required solving) or if AI labor for them are unaffordable - will create jobs for other people (there will be jobs on market everywhere)

replies(1): >>43655332 #
125. Ray20 ◴[] No.43653741{9}[source]
>This remains to be seen.

No, that's just logic. AI doesn't thwart the ability of people to satisfy their needs (getting richer).

>Inequality is worse now than it was 20 years ago despite technology progressing.

And people are still richer than ever before (if we take into account the policies that are thwarting society's ability to satisfy each other's needs and that have nothing to do with technologies)

126. CamperBob2 ◴[] No.43654817{9}[source]
If that were indeed the case, your employer might not be investing so much in automation. They don't want to give up bargaining power any more than you do.
127. hackyhacky ◴[] No.43655332{10}[source]
Okay, so AI will be reserved for the rich, and everyone else will be left to rot in squalor. Got it.
128. hackyhacky ◴[] No.43658195{6}[source]
Good idea. I'll give up my job as a programmer/doctor/lawyer/professor to an AI, and instead I'll dig ditches, I guess. AI can't do that (yet).
replies(1): >>43677709 #
129. dankwizard ◴[] No.43677709{7}[source]
Oh your actual concern is showing - Doing manual labour.