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183 points spacebanana7 | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source

I appreciate developing ROCm into something competitive with CUDA would require a lot of work, both internally within AMD and with external contributions to the relevant open source libraries.

However the amount of resources at stake is incredible. The delta between NVIDIA's value and AMD's is bigger than the annual GDP of Spain. Even if they needed to hire a few thousand engineers at a few million in comp each, it'd still be a good investment.

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johnnyjeans ◴[] No.43547510[source]
> The delta between NVIDIA's value and AMD's is bigger than the annual GDP of Spain.

Nvidia is massively overvalued right now. AI has rocketed them into absolute absurdity, and it's not sustainable. Put aside the actual technology for a second and realize that public image of AI is at rock bottom. Every single time a company puts out AI-generated materials, they receive immense public backlash. That's not going away any time soon and it's only likely to get worse.

Speaking as someone that's not even remotely anti-AI, I wouldn't touch the shit with a 10 foot pole because of how bad the public image is. The moment that capital realizes this, that bubble is going to pop and it's going to pop hard.

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the__alchemist ◴[] No.43547559[source]
You state this very confidently. Are you shorting Nvidia stock? If not, why not?
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bee_rider ◴[] No.43547716[source]
I see this form of argument sometimes here but I really don’t get it.

Lots of people don’t play the stock market or just invest in funds. It seems like just a way of challenging somebody that looks vaguely clever, or calls them out in a “put your money where your mouth is” sense, but actually presents no argument.

Anyway, if you want to short Nvidia you have to know when their bubble is going to pop to get much benefit out of it, right? The market can remain stupid for longer than you can remain solvent or whatever.

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1. mancerayder ◴[] No.43553158[source]
I agree with most everything you said, but the timing doesn't have to be exact and you don't have to short the stock to profit on its downfall. You can buy long-dated puts. Alas, they're not cheap because the risk is very real.