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2127 points bakugo | 3 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
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TriangleEdge ◴[] No.43163502[source]
This AI race is happening so fast. Seems like it to me anyway. As a software developer/engineer I am worried about my job prospects.. time will tell. I am wondering what will happen to the west coast housing bubbles once software engineers lose their high price tags. I guess the next wave of knowledge workers will move in and take their place?
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1. viraptor ◴[] No.43164873[source]
It seems to be slowing down actually. Last year was wild until around llama 3. The latest improvements are relatively small. Even the reasoning models are a small improvement over explicit planning with agents that we could already do before - it's just nicely wrapped and slightly tuned for that purpose. Deepseek did some serious efficiency improvements, but not so much user-visible things.

So I'd say that the AI race is starting to plateau a bit recently.

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2. j_maffe ◴[] No.43165731[source]
While I agree, you have to remember the dimensionality of the labor-skill space is. The was I see it is that you can imagine the capability of AI as a radius, and the amount of tasks it can cover is a sphere. Linear imporovements in performance causes cubic (or whatever the labor-skill dimensionality is) imporvement in task coverage.
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3. manmal ◴[] No.43169621[source]
I‘m not sure that’s true with the latest models. o3-mini is good at analytical tasks and coding, and it really sucks at prose. Sonnet 3.7 is good at thinking but lost some ability in creating diffs.