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22 points paulpauper | 61 comments | | HN request time: 1.9s | source | bottom
1. DoesntMatter22 ◴[] No.42480486[source]
It's just boring IMO. Run down the court, Chuck up threes, the game just isn't what it was years ago.
replies(2): >>42480731 #>>42480827 #
2. Tarsul ◴[] No.42480490[source]
Personally, I have a different problem: Too many stars are hurt during the playoffs (and the season as well, but not as important). Which means that it's just sad and I have less reason to watch because in the end it mostly comes down to which teams are healthiest the most. (e.g. look at which teams Boston played last playoffs and what happened to the stars of their opponents...)

Also, crypto and gambling ads annoy as well.

replies(2): >>42480552 #>>42480581 #
3. mdanger007 ◴[] No.42480552[source]
Tech companies have the same problems as the NBA. there used to be career stars like Claude Shannon developing cultures of excellence out of teams like IBM, but just like Larry Bird and the Celtics, the free agent market and stars chasing the dollar has diminished the culture and thus the product.
replies(3): >>42480591 #>>42480757 #>>42480769 #
4. 83947584 ◴[] No.42480581[source]
Is that actually a business problem though? For football fans injuries are part of the excitement.
5. xhkkffbf ◴[] No.42480591{3}[source]
Didn't Shannon play for Bell Labs? Not IBM?
replies(2): >>42480626 #>>42480651 #
6. PaulHoule ◴[] No.42480603[source]
I played pickup basketball a lot as a youth and the people who were better than me were better at fouling and getting away with it. I think that's every bit as much true of the pro game which has been dogged with refereeing scandals. It is better than professional wrestling but for many reasons I don't completely believe it such as: the "star" player grandstanding to the point where you think the other side isn't really making them work, the suppression of the full court press, etc.

(Not like my dad and I didn't love the epic rivalry the Celtics had with the Lakers in the late 1980s)

On the other hand I love going to men's or women's basketball games at my Uni where you can usually buy a general admission ticket and sit in the front row.

replies(4): >>42480622 #>>42480690 #>>42480698 #>>42480892 #
7. elorant ◴[] No.42480621[source]
Euroleague seems way more interesting these days
replies(1): >>42483556 #
8. Dalewyn ◴[] No.42480622[source]
>the people who were better than me were better at fouling and getting away with it.

It ain't cheating if you ain't caught.

Honesty is losing in the game of life.

9. PaulHoule ◴[] No.42480626{4}[source]
Shannon worked for Bell Labs and then got traded to MIT.
10. shockeychap ◴[] No.42480636[source]
I can't read this because of the paywall. ("Free registration" is just paying with my email and information.)
replies(2): >>42480774 #>>42480801 #
11. iimblack ◴[] No.42480644[source]
Basketball is also the problem, refereeing specifically. Refs are humans and make mistakes but it’s hard to watch and not feel like there’s blatant favoritism to star players or certain teams.

There are the L2M reports that detail all the mistakes they make in the end of the game and way too often they’re game altering.

Then there’s the inconsistent approach to the rules. They’ll suddenly decide they want to push a rule, call every tiny infraction on it, then 10 games later it’s like the refs collectively forgot the rule exists at all.

It all makes for an extremely frustrating experience for the players and the fans.

replies(2): >>42480660 #>>42480674 #
12. mdanger007 ◴[] No.42480651{4}[source]
Good call!
13. jghn ◴[] No.42480660[source]
> there’s blatant favoritism to star players

This has always bugged me across all sports. For instance in baseball, while it's gotten a lot better over the years, the inequality of how strike zones were applied was annoying.

14. m10i ◴[] No.42480667[source]
The NBA’s problem is a combination of many things, including basketball. Here’s a sample:

- The ref’s dictate the outcomes of the games more than the players themselves do. I’m of the opinion that when there’s a significant mismatch between two teams (let’s say one team’s stars are injured, or the other team is just simply vastly superior on offense or defense), the ref’s take it upon themselves (perhaps on the league’s orders) to help “even the playing field”, which means calling fouls on one side that they won’t call on the other side, confusing and bewildering everyone including both team’s coaches, the players, the commentators, and the fans watching. This keeps the gambling system better engaged, since predictable one-sided blowouts don’t make for lots of gambling revenue.

- Most of the big name stars are constantly injured, which doesn’t help sell seats/get people to tune in.

- Personality is prohibited. This highly sanitized product is pretty lame to watch. If a player just delivers a nasty dunk and then even so much as looks at the guy they just dunked on, that’s a foul. Players can’t even trash talk each other without the ref’s making it a huge deal and giving them both fouls. That is part of the essence of highly competitive basketball. Imagine giving Michael Jordan or 75% of the players in his era endless fouls simply for the most basic taunting. It would quickly become an unwatchable product that embarrasses all participants, and the players would retreat into their personality shells. People want to see shit talking, they want to see passion, they want to see anger/comedy. It’s exciting. It goes viral. This is not rocket science, NBA.

- region-restricted games are hilarious (awful)

- it’s overpriced

- outside of Inside the NBA with Shaq, Kenny, Chuck, and Ernie, the other show hosts are pretty devoid of personality, and they very rarely have something interesting to say, so there’s no point in watching them.

- I don’t know much about the AAU circuit, but I have heard many folks say that it hasn’t been good for the league. Am curious to learn more there

replies(5): >>42480764 #>>42480812 #>>42480833 #>>42481614 #>>42482648 #
15. walr000s ◴[] No.42480674[source]
The Lakers have a statistically impossible +/- in free throws shot. There is favoritism and the league isn't even remotely trying to disguise it...is that really different than any other arena though?
replies(1): >>42480755 #
16. shockeychap ◴[] No.42480690[source]
While I don’t disagree about the grandstanding and theatrics ruining the NBA, I take issue with those who complain that better players are just getting away with fouls and cheating. Basketball, despite the rules around fouls and illegal contact, is a very physical and tough game. Being tough enough to work through some of the contact (both legal and illegal) is very important to being a high level player. I think it’s reductive and petty to effectively say that they’re just better because they hit more and harder. Even Michael Jordan had to work hard at toughening up to get past Detroit in the late 80s and early 90s.
17. ajennings ◴[] No.42480698[source]
This. The inconsistency of foul calls. I understand the mentality of "if you're not cheating, you're not trying" and "if you're not flopping, you're not trying", but it ruins the game for me.

We should train ML to make the foul calls in real-time.

Then get rid of the strict rulebook definition of what a foul is. Have the fans vote on past plays, what should be a defensive/offensive/no foul. Then train the LLM based on the opinions and let it make the foul calls.

replies(1): >>42480813 #
18. thinkingtoilet ◴[] No.42480702[source]
One thing I don't see people talking about is the viewing experience. I love esports, specifically DOTA 2. An average game might be between 35-45 minutes, but a long game might run 80 minutes. In that time, not a single commercial. No time outs. Nothing. 80 minutes of straight entertainment. And going down this road you can include streaming in general. The modern sports watching experience, basketball and other sports included, is completely unwatchable once you get used to actual constant excitement. I'm never watching these sports again because I don't care to watch an ad every 3 minutes.
replies(2): >>42480740 #>>42480794 #
19. IG_Semmelweiss ◴[] No.42480711[source]
The article's thesis does not ring true.

The hypothesis of the author has been true for many years in several soccer leagues. The most famous example being Spain's La Liga, which has been dominated by 2 superteams in the last 2 decades.

Meanwhile, attendance and viewership during this period has dragged noticeably, and in fact, there's constant expert opinion advocating to end the superteam "experiment".

20. shockeychap ◴[] No.42480731[source]
Prohibiting the use of the hand check also took the teeth out of defense and made it a more offensive game. I think that’s a big part of why Michael and Larry and Magic were so much more exciting to watch even though the team scoring was much lower than today.
21. apitman ◴[] No.42480740[source]
How do esports make money, and how much money do they make compared to the NBA?
replies(1): >>42480783 #
22. itsdrewmiller ◴[] No.42480755{3}[source]
Statistically impossible is wild hyperbole. No two teams have the same players and many have drastically different strategies.
replies(1): >>42480785 #
23. walr000s ◴[] No.42480756[source]
The narrative that "the world wants to be dominated" is a popular one in mainstream media today.

Is there actually any substance to the narrative? Not in this article. Like most written in this vein, there isn't even an attempt at quantifying support for the story.

24. chollida1 ◴[] No.42480757{3}[source]
> but just like Larry Bird and the Celtics, the free agent market and stars chasing the dollar has diminished the culture and thus the product.

Um Larry bird never went the free agent route. He always played for the Celtics who drafted him. He's one person who doesn't fit your narrative.

25. BJones12 ◴[] No.42480761[source]
https://archive.is/VgwLx
26. apitman ◴[] No.42480764[source]
You have some good points, but there's plenty of trash talk. If the NBA really wanted to make money they would sell access to an R-rated sideline mic stream.
27. ◴[] No.42480767[source]
28. dahart ◴[] No.42480769{3}[source]
This seems like very rose tinted glasses, and I think the summary is backwards. Shannon was an academic, and spent a little time at Bell Labs, but didn’t work at IBM. Business has always chased profits, by definition, it was absolutely no different in 1950. Bell & IBM had little pockets of ‘excellence’ in their research divisions that left behind a nice narrative of idyllic sounding work for a very few lucky people. But since then, the number of academics in tech has gone way up, the number of companies developing tech has gone way up, and the number of pockets where smart people can focus on inventing things is enormous today compared to 1950. I don’t believe either culture or product has diminished at all, I think it’s the opposite, things have gotten much better. Bell & IBM made telephones and accounting computers. Today we have games, AI, self-driving cars, mobile devices, the internet, digital arts, just to name a few. It might take time for the stories of the good places to work to percolate, but I think we have vastly more & bigger cultures of excellence today than Shannon ever dreamed of.
29. jmclnx ◴[] No.42480774[source]
I could not get into it either. But I tend to agree with the various favoritism comments. But with a twist and it applies to all US Pro Sports.

I believe in the US, due to TV revenue, the Professional Orgs want playoffs to occur between Nationwide popular teams to maximize TV revenue. So they they want to avoid having 2 teams in the finals that will not generate nationwide ratings.

I have not watched any pro sports for decades. But going back, in basketball the 2 teams that generated huge ratings and buzz a long time ago were LA and Boston. I do not know what the "magic" teams combinations are now, but I am would not be surprised if the refs subtilely try to get the "popular" team to win.

30. thinkingtoilet ◴[] No.42480783{3}[source]
A lot less! Sponsorships. Merch. Tournament wins. The best of the best might make millions a year but it falls off very quickly.
31. walr000s ◴[] No.42480785{4}[source]
Wild hyperbole? https://x.com/AndrewDBailey/status/1772275077280858370

Being +1017 in FTA differential when the next closest is +358 isn't explained by whatever crap you're selling

replies(1): >>42480820 #
32. pySSK ◴[] No.42480794[source]
Fully agreed. Soccer is like your esports example too – 45 minutes uninterrupted, followed by 15 minutes of some ads + analysis, following by another 45 minutes uninterrupted. I find it hard to keep attention if I try to watch NBA or NFL because of all the interruptions.
33. itsdrewmiller ◴[] No.42480797[source]
This article is so bad - the thesis is that competitive parity is the main problem with the NBA, yet it actually calls out that the NFL is doing fine. The NFL has the most parity and a true salary cap. Why does Bloomberg even publish this.
replies(1): >>42480841 #
34. c22 ◴[] No.42480801[source]
I love whining about paywalls as much as the next guy, but I copied the URL into the "saved snapshots" search at archive.is and got this pretty quickly: https://archive.is/VgwLx
35. ◴[] No.42480812[source]
36. apitman ◴[] No.42480813{3}[source]
Flopping techs should be handed out like candy. They can be determined during commercials. I don't know a single fan who wouldn't love this. I'm curious why the NBA doesn't crack down more. I'm assuming it has something to do with internal politics, maybe with the star players.
replies(1): >>42480862 #
37. itsdrewmiller ◴[] No.42480820{5}[source]
I don’t see any probability analysis in that at all. If there is something about a team composition and strategy that leads to a large free throw differential you’d expect that to persist across consecutive seasons. Going back further you see other teams with similar strategies and free throw differentials.

https://www.reddit.com/r/nba/s/yNKebuc8V7

replies(2): >>42481340 #>>42481430 #
38. tiahura ◴[] No.42480824[source]
season length - how are a 7’ guy’s knees supposed too go at even 85% effort for that many games?

unlikeable players - Moses Malone wasn’t nice, but without getting into culture war, it’s different know.

athleticism has beaten the rules. Shrink the rim 2” and force the game back into the paint. (And while you’re at it, make soccer goals bigger.)

39. lawgimenez ◴[] No.42480826[source]
Players are just shooting to much 3s. It’s boring to watch, every game it’s like a shooutout with barely no defense.
40. glompers ◴[] No.42480827[source]
In 2019 the NBA's competition committee examined Kirk Goldsberry's proposal [1] to eliminate the shorter-range corner threes. Brad Stevens was on the committee and reportedly said, "You'll never see a slam dunk again" if we do that, because the guys who now have to defend the guys in the corners will go cut off the lanes to the basket.

When faced with prospects of two different kinds of boring, Goldsberry points out that the NBA could either make its courts several feet wider to at least diminish the statistical make-percentage advantage of those 3's -- but that this would mess up arena seating arrangements -- or could outright allow teams to draw their own 3-point lines like the local variation in baseball and soccer [2] fields.

Basketball requires control of space and pace, but as athleticism has increasingly been optimized, there's just not enough space there to force interesting trade-offs on every play. So it forces less interesting ones.

[1] https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/26633540/the-nba-obsesse...

[2] https://www.thisisamericansoccer.com/why-are-soccer-fields-d...

replies(4): >>42480874 #>>42480907 #>>42480982 #>>42481195 #
41. bmitc ◴[] No.42480833[source]
> Personality is prohibited. This highly sanitized product is pretty lame to watch. If a player just delivers a nasty dunk and then even so much as looks at the guy they just dunked on, that’s a foul.

Aside from the league and refs, a major issue here is simply lack of personality. Players today are just carbon copies of each other. They all do that lame shoulder flex with their arms down (which looks dumb to begin with) and intentionally try to step over the defenders. Either that or the played out three pointer celebrations. Like, come on. Get a personality!

This is a stark contrast from personalities in the 80s and 90s who either treated dunks as business as usual, which is fine in my mind, or had stylistic celebrations.

Have any players of today even heard of Shawn Kemp? https://youtu.be/HQeMhYJe5JA. None of his celebrations were even insulting. They were just stylistic flairs. Not to mention that his, Jordan's, Dominique Wilkins', etc. dunks were far more stylistic than in today's game.

I blame today's NBA on the players as much as the league and organizations. They're just plain boring, from their personalities to play style. It's like just watching pickup games. There's no tension, no style, no personalities, no "must win" attitudes.

replies(2): >>42480898 #>>42481034 #
42. pronouncedjerry ◴[] No.42480836[source]
yet the team valuations are higher than ever. this article is baseless.
43. addicted ◴[] No.42480841[source]
It’s a Tyler Cowen article.

The guy has always led with his conclusion before even looking at the evidence, since a long time, right through his Marginal Revolution blog years.

44. tiahura ◴[] No.42480862{4}[source]
The owners have ceded way too much power to the players.
45. tiahura ◴[] No.42480874{3}[source]
Thanks for the background. Why is shrinking the rim never considered?
46. newsclues ◴[] No.42480892[source]
I was into sailing and had an Olympic level race coach that said the upper levels of racing courses were mainly about how to cheat and get away with it as there was a greater ROI for cheating than getting .001% better and faster by mastering the skills.
47. thatswrong0 ◴[] No.42480898{3}[source]
This still largely goes back to the sanitization and reffing IMO. The refs have made themselves into main characters. Techs get thrown out for almost nothing. The refs need to stop ruining moments like this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q_NxoC_LObU

If you want personality and style, you've got to let the players play, be emotional, and sometimes be assholes.

48. pySSK ◴[] No.42480907{3}[source]
Have there been any proposal to make shots from within the paint 1 point? (Purpose would be to encourage from shooting from outside the paint but from within the 3 point line)
replies(1): >>42481233 #
49. itsdrewmiller ◴[] No.42480982{3}[source]
Most dunks are in transition anyway - can’t block the lane if you haven’t made it across half court.
50. m10i ◴[] No.42481034{3}[source]
That’s in part what I mean when I say:

> the players would retreat into their personality shells.

These players want to express themselves more, but they’re afraid of punishments from the refs (rightfully so) or the league. It’s gotten pretty bad. Here’s some super quick examples:

- Jayson Tatum gets a tech for clapping because he was frustrated at himself: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=te6l2n2OjH8

- Lu Dort gets a tech for holding up a three sign: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=jVowvZFlRR8

In a somewhat Pavlovian response to the ref’s, players are committed to self-censorship; verbally, as well as physically

51. chongli ◴[] No.42481195{3}[source]
because the guys who now have to defend the guys in the corners will go cut off the lanes to the basket

They do that already. They leave the corner shooter open when the ball is on the other side of the paint in order to clog up the middle. When the offence makes a sequence of passes to find the open guy in the corner then they close out to take away the corner 3.

52. chongli ◴[] No.42481233{4}[source]
That would be disastrous! There’s not enough scoring in the paint as it is, due to rule changes. Fans want more scoring in the paint!

All the most popular superstars in the past were hyper-athletic guys who consistently got into the paint and made dazzling shots even against stalwart defenders.

Outside shooters have always been role players until the arrival of Steph Curry. Now half the league plays like wannabe Curry and fans are getting tired of watching their teams miss dozens of 3 pointers every game.

53. Me001 ◴[] No.42481340{6}[source]
What the fuck are you saying that’s such a huge disparity nothing can explain it.
replies(1): >>42482931 #
54. walr000s ◴[] No.42481430{6}[source]
Your link doesn't have any probability analysis either. Just supposition that the raw data isn't valid because it looks similar to a 2 year run the Hornets had.

Is it wildly inconceivable that the refs propped up the Hornets for a couple of years? No. Does the only quantitative evidence presented in this thread suggest the refs are propping up a below average Lakers team? Yeah.

55. chongli ◴[] No.42481438[source]
The NBA’s problem is the 3-pointer. Teams shoot more threes than they ever have before [1] because it’s a winning strategy (more points per attempt). At the same time, the league-wide 3pt% (percentage of 3-pointers made) has remained extremely stable around 35-36% [2] for the past few decades. This means the league as a whole has not found a way to consistently defend against the three.

So why is this bad? It’s really boring basketball! Watching teams shoot and miss a bit less than 2/3 of their shots with very little the other team’s defence can do about it is not fun to watch!

All of the athleticism and skill of the most famous stars in the NBA’s past has focused on basketball skills: dribbling, crossovers, driving the ball to the basket, making layups and dunks, changing hands mid shot to avoid a block, making turn around jumpers and hook shots, floaters. The one exception to that is Steph Curry who is best known as a shooter but who is frankly a pretty boring player to watch.

[1] https://shottracker.com/articles/the-3-point-revolution

[2] https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9915101/

56. 5555624 ◴[] No.42481614[source]
> - Most of the big name stars are constantly injured, which doesn’t help sell seats/get people to tune in.

Or are worried about getting injured, leading to "load management."

57. iimblack ◴[] No.42482648[source]
> If a player just delivers a nasty dunk and then even so much as looks at the guy they just dunked on, that’s a foul.

On the other hand we get players like Draymond Green getting away with yelling at refs and trying to injure other players like nothing happened.

58. itsdrewmiller ◴[] No.42482931{7}[source]
Do you think the refs are nearly as biased against the Warriors as they are for the lakers? Or is it more likely that the warriors shoot from outside a lot and play fairly aggressive defense?

https://www.reddit.com/r/bostonceltics/s/XYebFfWAMd

59. bdangubic ◴[] No.42483029[source]
Steph Curry and analytics have ruined the NBA. Not Steph’s fault, he is just an insane shooter but today’s game is now based on 3’s. analytics have helped explain to teams that 3-pointer is not a little more that 2-pointer, it is 50% (FIFTY) more.

For NBA’s survival 3-pt line needs to be moved at least 6 feet back if not more. Can’t have fucking centers chucking 3’s at 45% clip. The best of the best need to shoot less than 30% from 3’s in order for NBA to change to a more interesting game again. And of course season needs to be cut to no more than 60 games

60. jussy ◴[] No.42483556[source]
+1 the basketball products outside of the NBA, I find more enjoyable and fun to watch but I'm also outside of USA. I often find that players from outside the US and Canada in the NBA more enjoyable to watch also. More casual observers of basketball in my family prefer the NBA.

The article would of benefitted from comparing the FIBA products, Euroleague and NBA. A lot of comments in this post are different under FIBA rules like longer 3pt lines, no defensive 3 seconds, less timeouts etc. However none make more money or have a viewership more than the NBA.

The flow of the game is crucial but has economic tradeoffs. If the NBA wants a slice of the global pie then i think it may need to adjust some of the rules that benefit the economics in the short term.