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    Maybe Bluesky has "won"

    (anderegg.ca)
    461 points GavinAnderegg | 16 comments | 15 Nov 24 19:56 UTC | HN request time: 0.522s | source | bottom
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    nabla9 ◴[15 Nov 24 20:06 UTC] No.42150372[source]▶
    Threads has 275 million monthly active users.

    Bluesky has now 15 million total users (how many active?)

    Mastodon monthly active usage has dropped below 1 million.

    replies(15): >>42150387 #>>42150417 #>>42150464 #>>42150467 #>>42150473 #>>42150492 #>>42150501 #>>42150507 #>>42150541 #>>42150630 #>>42150749 #>>42150859 #>>42151143 #>>42152051 #>>42152785 #
    1. lynndotpy ◴[15 Nov 24 20:19 UTC] No.42150492[source]▶
    I believe Threads active users are artificially conflated with Instagram and Facebook. In all my circles, I don't know anyone who uses Threads
    replies(5): >>42150526 #>>42150552 #>>42150657 #>>42150687 #>>42151326 #
    2. cogman10 ◴[15 Nov 24 20:23 UTC] No.42150526[source]▶
    That's my guess. By having either of those accounts you automatically got a threads account.
    replies(2): >>42150621 #>>42153173 #
    3. criley2 ◴[15 Nov 24 20:25 UTC] No.42150552[source]▶
    In all my circles, I don't know a single "X" user. Not even one. Anecdotes are funny like that.

    Facebook monthly active users: >3 billion

    Instagram monthly active users: >2 billion

    Threads monthly active users: ~275 million

    If they're cheating, they're doing a poor job of it.

    replies(1): >>42150604 #
    4. emidoots ◴[15 Nov 24 20:29 UTC] No.42150604[source]▶
    When you post on Instagram, there are opt-out features that will 'automatically share to your Threads account too' and you can see Threads notifications in the Instagram app and such .. so I think it's reasonable to assume they are leveraging the Instagram user-base a bit.
    replies(2): >>42150639 #>>42150701 #
    5. changing1999 ◴[15 Nov 24 20:30 UTC] No.42150621[source]▶
    True. But you don't become an active monthly user. Unless there are some shenanigans happening, which is highly likely. I think I visited Threads by accident several times by clicking posts in IG, that were apparently Threads posts embedded directly into IG as a growth hack (my speculation).
    6. changing1999 ◴[15 Nov 24 20:32 UTC] No.42150639{3}[source]▶
    Just double checking - there is an opt-out feature that cross-posts all IG posts to Threads?
    replies(1): >>42153187 #
    7. ◴[15 Nov 24 20:33 UTC] No.42150657[source]▶
    8. minimaxir ◴[15 Nov 24 20:35 UTC] No.42150687[source]▶
    Most people in my circle have given up on Threads (even pre-Bluesky mass migration)
    9. threeseed ◴[15 Nov 24 20:36 UTC] No.42150701{3}[source]▶
    Threads is literally built on Instagram so of course they are leveraging it.

    But that's very different from saying that Threads MAUs aren't specific to that platform.

    10. nabla9 ◴[15 Nov 24 21:29 UTC] No.42151326[source]▶
    I have reasons to believe your belief is incorrect. Thread's app downloads, number of posts etc. match the MAU numbers.

    In all my circles is unreliable argument.

    replies(3): >>42151816 #>>42153083 #>>42153508 #
    11. dnissley ◴[15 Nov 24 22:14 UTC] No.42151816[source]▶
    Yes, it's the same argument that people have been making about facebook being dead when it's hitting all time highs.
    12. zeroonetwothree ◴[16 Nov 24 00:46 UTC] No.42153083[source]▶
    In my circles no one voted for Trump but well here we are.
    13. kiitos ◴[16 Nov 24 00:56 UTC] No.42153173[source]▶
    You have to create a Threads account explicitly, it's not automatic from an Instagram or Facebook account.
    14. kiitos ◴[16 Nov 24 00:57 UTC] No.42153187{4}[source]▶
    No, there isn't, at least not by default. You have to explicitly create a Threads account.
    replies(1): >>42154767 #
    15. lynndotpy ◴[16 Nov 24 02:09 UTC] No.42153508[source]▶
    I'm not asking you to make any epistemologically unsound leaps, I'm not making an argument. tThis is just my impression. In general, if you're going to rely only on numeric metrics, then you'll be giving up a lot of other helpful information.

    You need to use non-numeric information to tell you if "number of posts" should be more meaningful than a HackerNews stranger saying "these are the vibes I get, anecdotally." Numbers are pretty appealing because we have a lot of simple and consistent tools for working with them, but we also know the number of posts on Threads are artificially gamed, because Instagram and Facebook crosspost to Threads by default for anyone who has an account.

    But it's still my guess. English is my only fluent language and I don't know even 1000 people. Threads could be wildly popular and I could be blissfully unaware. Again, I'm not asking you to make any epistemologically unsound leaps.

    16. slimsag ◴[16 Nov 24 06:15 UTC] No.42154767{5}[source]▶
    ...and once you have a threads account, the UI in instagram pushes you to one-click accept cross-posting everything to Threads