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    410 points jjulius | 18 comments | | HN request time: 0.735s | source | bottom
    1. deergomoo ◴[] No.41896361[source]
    This is an opinion almost certainly based more in emotion than logic, but I don't think I could trust any sort of fully autonomous driving system that didn't involve communication with transmitters along the road itself (like a glideslope and localiser for aircraft approaches) and with other cars on the road.

    Motorway driving sure, there it's closer to fancy cruise control. But around town, no thank you. I regularly drive through some really crappily designed bits of road, like unlabelled approaches to multi-lane roundabouts where the lane you need to be in for a particular exit sorta just depends on what the people in front and to the side of you happen to have chosen. If it's difficult as a human to work out what the intent is, I don't trust a largely computer vision-based system to work it out.

    The roads here are also in a terrible state, and the lines on them even moreso. There's one particular patch of road where the lane keep assist in my car regularly tries to steer me into the central reservation, because repair work has left what looks a bit like lane markings diagonally across the lane.

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    2. michaelt ◴[] No.41896472[source]
    > If it's difficult as a human to work out what the intent is, I don't trust a largely computer vision-based system to work it out.

    Most likely, every self-driving car company will send drivers down every road in the country, recording everything they see. Then they'll have human labellers figure out any junctions where the road markings are ambiguous.

    They've had sat nav maps covering every road for decades, and the likes of Google Street View, so to have a detailed map of every junction is totally possible.

    replies(1): >>41896569 #
    3. deergomoo ◴[] No.41896569[source]
    In that case I hope they're prepared to work with local authorities to immediately update the map every time road layouts change, temporarily or permanently. Google Maps gets lane guidance wrong very often in my experience, so that doesn't exactly fill me with confidence.
    replies(2): >>41896644 #>>41896690 #
    4. tjpnz ◴[] No.41896644{3}[source]
    And the contractors employed by the local authorities to do roadworks big and small.
    5. crazygringo ◴[] No.41896690{3}[source]
    I kind of assumed that already happened. Does it not? Is anyone pushing for it?

    Honestly it seems like it ought to be federal law by now that municipalities need to notify a designated centralized service of all road/lane/sign/etc. changes in a standardized format, that all digital mapping providers can ingest from.

    Is this not a thing? If not, is anyone lobbying for it? Is there opposition?

    replies(3): >>41896824 #>>41897109 #>>41897116 #
    6. sokoloff ◴[] No.41896739[source]
    > didn't involve communication with transmitters along the road itself (like a glideslope and localiser for aircraft approaches) and with other cars on the road

    There will be a large number of non-participating vehicles on the road for at least another 50 years. (The average age of a car in the US is a little over 12 years and rising. I doubt we'll see a comms-based standard emerge and be required equipment on new cars for at least another 20 years.)

    replies(2): >>41897074 #>>41898775 #
    7. jjav ◴[] No.41896824{4}[source]
    > I kind of assumed that already happened.

    Road layout can change daily, sometimes multiple times per day. Sometimes in a second, like when a tree falls on a lane and now you have to reroute on the oncoming lane for some distance, etc.

    8. emmelaich ◴[] No.41897006[source]
    Potential problem with transmitters is that they could be faked.

    You could certainly never rely on them alone.

    replies(1): >>41897185 #
    9. lukan ◴[] No.41897074[source]
    "There will be a large number of non-participating vehicles on the road for at least another 50 years."

    I think so too, but I also think, if we would really want to, all it would take is a GPS device with internet connection, like a smart phone, to make a normal car into a realtime connected one.

    But I also think we need to work out some social and institutional issues first.

    Currently I would not like my position to be avaiable in real time to some obscure agency.

    10. lukan ◴[] No.41897109{4}[source]
    "Honestly it seems like it ought to be federal law by now that municipalities need to notify a designated centralized service of all road/lane/sign/etc. changes in a standardized format, that all digital mapping providers can ingest from"

    Why not just anyone and make that data openly avaiable?

    11. fweimer ◴[] No.41897116{4}[source]
    Coordinating roadwork is challenging in most places, I think. Over here, it's apparently cheaper to open up a road multiple times in a year, rather than coordinating all the different parties that need underground access in the foreseeable future.
    12. sva_ ◴[] No.41897125[source]
    I agree with you about the trust issues and feel similarly, but also feel like the younger generations who grow up with these technologies might be less skeptical about adopting them.

    I've been kind of amazed how much younger people take some newer technologies for granted, the ability of humans to adapt to changes is marvelous.

    13. wtallis ◴[] No.41897185[source]
    There are lots of other areas where intentionally violating FCC regulations to transmit harmful signals is already technologically feasible and cheap, but hasn't become a widespread problem in practice. Why would it be any worse for cars communicating with each other? If anything, having lots of cars on the road logging what they receive from other cars (spoofed or otherwise) would make it too easy to identify which signals are fake, thwarting potential use cases like insurance fraud (since it's safe to assume the car broadcasting fake data is at fault in any collision).
    replies(1): >>41897292 #
    14. johnisgood ◴[] No.41897292{3}[source]
    I agree, the problem has been solved.

    If a consensus mechanism similar to those used in blockchain were implemented, vehicles could cross-reference the data they receive with data from multiple other vehicles. If inconsistencies are detected (for example, a car reporting a different speed than what others are observing), that data could be flagged as potentially fraudulent.

    Just as blockchain technologies can provide a means of verifying the authenticity of transactions, a network of cars could establish a decentralized validation process for the data they exchange. If one car broadcasts false data, the consensus mechanism among the surrounding vehicles would allow for the identification of this "anomaly", similar to how fraudulent transactions can be identified and rejected in a blockchain system.

    What you mentioned with regarding to insurance could be used as a deterrent, too, along with laws making it illegal to spoof relevant data.

    In any case, privacy is going to take a toll here, I believe.

    replies(1): >>41897629 #
    15. vmladenov ◴[] No.41897320[source]
    Once insurance requires it or makes you pay triple to drive manually, that will likely be the tipping point for many people.
    16. 15155 ◴[] No.41897629{4}[source]
    This is a complicated, technical solution looking for a problem.

    Simple, asymmetrically-authenticated signals and felonies for the edge cases solve this problem without any futuristic computer wizardry.

    replies(1): >>41897869 #
    17. johnisgood ◴[] No.41897869{5}[source]
    I did not intend to state that we ought to use the blockchain, at all, for what it is worth. Vehicles should cross-reference the data they receive with data from multiple other vehicles and detect inconsistencies, any consensus mechanism could work, if we could call it that.
    18. stouset ◴[] No.41898775[source]
    Hell, ignore vehicles. What about pedestrians, cyclists, animals, construction equipment, potholes, etc?