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Scale Ruins Everything

(coldwaters.substack.com)
175 points drc500free | 94 comments | | HN request time: 0.004s | source | bottom
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daxfohl ◴[] No.41841448[source]
Given that we've been throwing cash at every conceivable idea for the last ten plus years, yet when speaking of unicorns we still have to refer back to airbnb and uber, seems like we're well past "peak unicorn" and well into the "horse with a mild concussion" era.
replies(5): >>41841513 #>>41841659 #>>41841909 #>>41842899 #>>41848537 #
1. Terr_ ◴[] No.41841513[source]
It's also disconcerting how much their success seems to hinge on using technology as a lever to break laws or social expectations, as opposed to technology as something that itself empowers humans to be more productive.
replies(5): >>41841716 #>>41841766 #>>41841888 #>>41842312 #>>41842349 #
2. robertlagrant ◴[] No.41841716[source]
Er no, they totally transformed things through technology as well. Their product was fantastic. Hail a cab in the 2000s in the UK and tell me Uber had no improvement for its customers.
replies(2): >>41841887 #>>41842057 #
3. CalRobert ◴[] No.41841766[source]
Getting a taxi in my college town in 2005 was agony. Make a phone call from a loud bar and shout at some guy who can barely tell what you're saying that you want a taxi and then maybe if you're lucky they show up in an hour and cost 3 times as much as you expected (and that's on a good night!) vs. "press a button, get a ride" (and have a feedback mechanism for horrible drivers or gross cars, etc.).

Uber has issues but honestly it's night and day compared to what taxis were like. And they decrease DUI's.

replies(8): >>41841876 #>>41841948 #>>41841975 #>>41847873 #>>41848584 #>>41850447 #>>41851296 #>>41881401 #
4. Terr_ ◴[] No.41841876[source]
Sure, but there's a difference between "that kind of success" and "any success". To illustrate, imagine an alternate timeline with a company called "Rebu", which provides all the same phone-apps and servers and whatnot for thousands of taxi-services across the world to adopt, replacing their shitty old "computerized dispatch" systems.

Do you believe Rebu could that have managed to draw the same level of venture-capitalist money and unicorn-ness and hype, even sharing the same core technologies, code, and product features?

I don't think it would, and I'm asserting that comes from business-plans, labor relations, legal challenges, government lobbying, investor marketing, etc., which in several cases have been, er, ethically-problematic.

replies(5): >>41842163 #>>41842304 #>>41842313 #>>41843630 #>>41844917 #
5. daxfohl ◴[] No.41841887[source]
I understand GP's point, but to yours I'll add they have also open sourced and mainstreamed some of their key technologies. So it's not all bad.
replies(1): >>41842325 #
6. ahmeneeroe-v2 ◴[] No.41841888[source]
Pretty hard for me to lament laws being broken when the laws boil down to "you're not allowed to compete with this monopoly".
replies(1): >>41841992 #
7. arccy ◴[] No.41841948[source]
this is still the experience in less developed places like italy
replies(1): >>41842139 #
8. ToucanLoucan ◴[] No.41841975[source]
It's a better experience for sure, and that's why they got the viral start that gave them the opportunity to eat the world, but presenting that as "worth it" seems pretty dubious considering:

- Tons and tons of users buying vehicles they can barely afford to drive for them

- Tons of restaurants already struggling to get by saddled with needing an iPad or two at their counter to intercept online orders, and needing to charge more and anger customers just to break even on the fees

- Huge amounts of sexual assaults because Uber didn't vet drivers

And lest we leave it merely implied: Uber is worth what Uber is worth because it's a taxi company that owns no Taxis and pays no taxi drivers a proper wage. That's why it's a billion dollar unicorn. Same as AirBNB is a hotel chain that owns no hotels, UberEats/Doordash are food delivery services that don't own restaurants, Instacart is a grocery chain that doesn't own grocery stores.

Honestly if you want to really be cynical about it, the true path to finding the next tech unicorn is figuring out how to be a $business that owns none of what a $business normally does, and hires no employees that $business usually does, and then wrap that up in an app, and convince poor people to do the work for you because they have no other options. Boom, unicorn.

The way taxi companies had languished in obsolescence was definitely a problem, but I struggle to consider if Uber was the best way to solve that on any front.

replies(3): >>41842959 #>>41844505 #>>41866219 #
9. sgdfhijfgsdfgds ◴[] No.41841992[source]
Do you lament e.g. Uber knowingly breaking laws, and then in the knowledge that they are knowingly breaking laws and under scrutiny for doing so, also actively building functionality into their systems that helps them criminally evade scrutiny?

https://www.theguardian.com/news/2022/jul/10/uber-files-leak...

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/03/technology/uber-greyball-...

This is a level of deliberate, optional fraud that goes a step beyond, is it not? It's organised crime.

replies(4): >>41842183 #>>41842196 #>>41842454 #>>41842573 #
10. CPLX ◴[] No.41842057[source]
Right but how much of this improvement came from the invention and popularity of smartphones and how much of the innovation came from a company called Uber.
replies(1): >>41842208 #
11. macro-b ◴[] No.41842139{3}[source]
It’s more about regulations rather than development. It’s forbidden here, so taxi drivers can still make a good living rather than subsidizing a billion dollar company
12. tristor ◴[] No.41842163{3}[source]
You're right, but you're treating that as a net-negative. The reality is that the government regulations structured taxi services in most cities in the world into cartels that operated in a way that was to the detriment of their customers. Uber broke the taxi cartel, and yes, it broke the law to do it, but it wouldn't have been possible to do this way if they'd tried to work with the existing taxi companies, because their anti-customer cancer would have infected Uber while it was young and before it could even scale. Part of their value proposition is their scale, itself.
replies(1): >>41842326 #
13. ahmeneeroe-v2 ◴[] No.41842183{3}[source]
No, I don't care about that at all. Why do you care?

Someone, generations ago, made a law saying people in your town could only solicit car rides if they paid a special tax, and now you're out here vigorously defending that dead model.

State-enforced monopolies are often legalized corruption. I care more about that than some corporation using their resources to break that corruption.

replies(4): >>41842215 #>>41842258 #>>41843037 #>>41850649 #
14. cyberax ◴[] No.41842196{3}[source]
Eh. If they break laws to bust the monopolies, more power to them.
replies(1): >>41842239 #
15. ahmeneeroe-v2 ◴[] No.41842208{3}[source]
Struggling to see the relevance of this question. How much of Uber's "innovation" was actually Ford/GM/Toyota innovation in car manufacturing?
replies(1): >>41842545 #
16. sgdfhijfgsdfgds ◴[] No.41842215{4}[source]
> and now you're out here vigorously defending that dead model.

This is a bit of projection. But good for you, being open about your support for fraud :-)

replies(1): >>41862761 #
17. sgdfhijfgsdfgds ◴[] No.41842239{4}[source]
I do so love the HN culture that laws are for little people.
replies(1): >>41842467 #
18. TimTheTinker ◴[] No.41842258{4}[source]
> Why do you care?

Not OP, but I believe in the rule of law, and in a republic governed by elected officials.

It's not OK for powerful actors, especially companies, billionaires, and government officials, to willingly and knowingly break the law.

replies(2): >>41842864 #>>41853217 #
19. kelnos ◴[] No.41842304{3}[source]
I think you're missing a key bit: taxi companies weren't interested in this sort of thing. In most municipalities, taxi service was a protected, government-granted monopoly. The reason taxi service was always so bad was because there was no competition, and no incentive to improve.

So why would they bother to adopt "Rebu"? It's nothing but downsides: their taxi drivers have to work harder, have to be more polite and drive more safely, have to have cleaner cars, and have to be more accountable in general. Not to mention of course Rebu is going to take a cut of all rides booked on their platform.

There was no way to make regular taxi service better without structural and legal reform that the incumbents did not want. The only way to fix it was to go outside the system and do something sketchy. And it worked! For all their issues and controversies, the ride-hailing app experience is amazing, especially when compared to old-school taxi service. Some legacy taxi services have stepped up and improved a bunch since then, and others have just faded into obscurity.

replies(3): >>41842475 #>>41843271 #>>41843674 #
20. agumonkey ◴[] No.41842312[source]
it was social cocaine, a lot of shiny results that made a lot of people high on numbers and progress fantasy

old is new, 2.0

21. arthurjj ◴[] No.41842313{3}[source]
I'm confused to the argument you're making as some of those are clearly ethically-problematic for Uber while legal challenges, government lobbying seems core to the business.

The taxi market, in the US at least, was a textbook case of regulatory capture to stifle competition. Google "taxi medallion prices nyc" for an example. Uber was clearly the 'good guy' in flouting those laws and later getting them repealed. The cartels that controlled the medallions had no interest in improving the technology until they had competition.

replies(2): >>41848177 #>>41853936 #
22. adamc ◴[] No.41842325{3}[source]
Not all bad != good.
23. deltarholamda ◴[] No.41842326{4}[source]
Services like Uber and AirBnB have also introduced a concept through technology that was previously almost unheard of in the private sector: a nationwide blacklist.

Bob Smith annoyed enough Uber drivers in Milwaukee that now he can't get a ride in Poughkeepsie. Maybe that's valid, maybe it's not. But it is pretty new, and I doubt it was in the slide deck when Uber hit up the VCs.

The social aspect of these sorts of things can't help but get entangled with the politics of social mores. Maybe Bob was giving the Uber drivers wet willies. A lot of people would think he caught that ban fairly. Maybe Bob was too politically incorrect for the Uber drivers. Not quite so sure he deserves to be sentenced to hoof it until the Sun burns out. How do we know the bans are of the fair former and not the latter? We don't. It's a private company, they can be as opaque about this as they want.

Good, bad, who knows, but it certainly makes for a completely different landscape.

replies(1): >>41842407 #
24. kelnos ◴[] No.41842349[source]
I'm not sure if this counts as being "empowered to be more productive", but both Airbnb and Uber are (to me, at least) still miles ahead of what were the only options pre-Airbnb and pre-Uber.

The hotel experience of course was (and is) not universally bad, but I still prefer an Airbnb in most cases, for most trips I take. And when it comes to taxis... no thanks. Unless I have foreknowledge that taxis are significantly cheaper than Uber/Lyft in a place I'm visiting, I will take that Uber/Lyft every single time.

Airbnb is certainly more fraught, given the problems for communities that rampant short-term rentals can cause. And I won't claim that Uber/Lyft is fair to their drivers. But I don't really care if they had to break laws to get where they are. Sometimes laws are wrong. Sometimes laws are the result of corruption and lobbying that isn't in the interests of the actual constituents. "Social expectations" is a bit of a weird thing to bring up, since it's so amorphous and hard to pin down. I don't think I ever had any "social expectation" that people can't rent out their house or apartment for a few days or a week. I don't think I ever had any "social expectation" that the only way to hire a car was to call a number that often doesn't pick up, and then wait 30-60 minutes for a car that often doesn't ever arrive.

replies(1): >>41843086 #
25. kelnos ◴[] No.41842407{5}[source]
I agree that this sort of thing is a problem, but it's not a fundamental problem with the existence of these services. It's just a problem to be solved, perhaps through legislation on how suspensions and bans are allowed to work, and how people ought to be able to appeal them.

The legacy taxi services had this problem too, though, as you note, not on a global level. Pre-Uber, there was one taxi service that stopped taking my calls. I have no idea why. I had no way to appeal this, or to even get in touch with them to find out what was going on.

In the meantime, Bob still probably has public transit or local old-school taxi services to fall back on (which somehow still exist). Many areas even have local ride-hailing apps. Worst-case, Bob will have to rent a car when visiting other cities.

replies(1): >>41843190 #
26. kelnos ◴[] No.41842454{3}[source]
Sure, that's bad. But that has nothing to do with the fact of their existence.

Laws aren't universally good. Some laws are bought and paid for by special interests. Some regulations are the result of regulatory capture. I am totally fine with people or companies skirting our outright breaking those laws in order to make things better for people.

But yes, Uber also did some bad things that I don't agree with. I still think Uber has been a new positive for my life, and I'm happy they exist.

27. kelnos ◴[] No.41842467{5}[source]
Uber was the little person when they started out, busting those monopolies.

They should absolutely be held to a higher standard today, now that they are more or less one of those monopolies.

28. taberiand ◴[] No.41842475{4}[source]
I think the difference between the hypothetical Rebu and Uber is one wants to fix the system, and one wants to be the system. The Taxis had to be disrupted, but Uber doesn't flinch at being just as bad wherever they can get away with it
29. labster ◴[] No.41842545{4}[source]
But those car companies are just riding on the coattails of Exxon, Chevron and the like with their improvements in oil discovery and hydraulic fracking.
30. jgraettinger1 ◴[] No.41842573{3}[source]
One labeling is "organised crime".

Another is: civil disobedience with a profit motive.

replies(1): >>41849561 #
31. ahmeneeroe-v2 ◴[] No.41842864{5}[source]
Thank you. I do generally agree with you.

In this particular example with Uber, I see "powerful actors" many decades ago breaking our social contract by using the force of the government to implement a monopoly for their own profit and everyone else's expense. Legal, yes, in the strictest sense of the word, but certainly against what I value about my particular republic (USA).

So Uber here is more "the enemy of my enemy is my friend" than a company I actually admire.

32. PaulDavisThe1st ◴[] No.41842959{3}[source]
Lots has been written about how way too much contemporary US business is about value extraction not value creation.

Put differently, a common business model in late 20th century and early 21st century US capitalism is to find a transaction that is already happening "at scale" and figure out how to insert your own company into the transaction and extract some percentage of the value.

The primary way of accomplishing this is to create a (new) story to tell about the value you claim you are adding to the transaction ("it's so easy", "we have an app for that", "so much quicker") even though in many cases nobody (or very few people) were asking for whatever you bring to it.

This does not mean that there is no value added. What these companies do not represent are new transactions: no new products, no new macro-scale services ("but you get a car with your phone now!" still boils down to "someone will drive you where you want to go").

replies(3): >>41843114 #>>41847083 #>>41848134 #
33. PaulDavisThe1st ◴[] No.41843037{4}[source]
> Someone, generations ago, made a law saying people in your town could only solicit car rides if they paid a special tax, and now you're out here vigorously defending that dead model.

Congratulations on a text book case of Chesterton's Fence [0]. You've mischaracterized the purpose and nature of the law.

1. we have cars, we have people willing to drive them around to take people places

2. we want some regulation of this new business/service, to make things safer for the riders

3. we want some regulation of this new business/service because otherwise competition will force the price so low that nobody can make a living offering to do this (and we consider the service valuable).

So, we introduce a scheme which says you have pay for a license in order to provide this service. This creates driver identity and "responsibility" which we want for riders. We limit the number of licenses so that we do not have too many drivers chasing too few riders, and thus offering a more reliable income to the drivers, ensuring that the service remains available.

[ time passes ]

Uber introduces a scheme in which there is almost no floor to what drivers might be paid, but manages to tell a story that convinces enough people that they could make a living or at least a significant amount of extra cash by driving without the required license. Uber also assures riders that even though there is no official license, their technology can provide the driver identity/responsibility that it offered.

Result: better ride hailing for riders, money for Uber, and a steady, constant turnover of drivers "just giving it a try because I heard you can do really well ..."

As usual, a mixture of pros and cons, which vary depending on which perspective you are taking and your moral/political philosophy.

replies(1): >>41843284 #
34. PaulDavisThe1st ◴[] No.41843086[source]
> And I won't claim that Uber/Lyft is fair to their drivers. But I don't really care if they had to break laws to get where they are.

"Technology and throw-caution-to-the-wind made life better for me as a consumer, and I openly don't care (much) about the negative impacts on communities and other individuals".

> Sometimes laws are wrong. Sometimes laws are the result of corruption and lobbying that isn't in the interests of the actual constituents.

Certainly. That's why we have a process to change them, rather than simply ignore them.

35. ToucanLoucan ◴[] No.41843114{4}[source]
> Lots has been written about how way too much contemporary US business is about value extraction not value creation.

I wouldn't even say it's isolated to businesses anymore. This is the same economic forces that's prompting all the crypto nonsense from a few years back, bullshit businesses like drop-shipping, social media influencers, etc. There's just nothing left to build anymore it seems. Every industry is stagnating, year over year there's no crazy new innovations anymore, nothing to get excited about. Just dumber and thinner versions of things we already had.

The tech industry is currently bending backwards so far it's collective spine will snap any second now trying to convince people LLM's are the next big huge thing, and there's just nothing there. 150 billion dollars for fancy autocomplete.

replies(2): >>41845516 #>>41850765 #
36. deltarholamda ◴[] No.41843190{6}[source]
>I agree that this sort of thing is a problem, but it's not a fundamental problem with the existence of these services.

Well, it kinda is a fundamental problem, with regard to the original article's premise that scale is a problem. These services can't operate on VC's terms without scaling up to a national or global level. And this, by its nature, means your Uber problem in California follows you to Georgia, and possibly to Uzbekistan.

What if Uber shares its ban list with Toasttab? Or if Uber buys Toasttab?

Laws may be able to address this, but laws always lag. Sometimes by a lot.

37. camgunz ◴[] No.41843271{4}[source]
I think we're doing a lot of work to get into the mind of cab companies, but along those lines: they weren't interested because the market isn't really that large. Uber is barely profitable now after raising rates tremendously and aggressively fighting any kinds of workers rights initiative. That means two things. First, people don't think a typical ride is worth very much, and second, people don't really have that many places to go. The destination list is 90% work, the airport, and nightlife. These are not the underpinnings of a multibillion dollar business... unless you invent self-driving cars or achieve a good old fashioned monopoly (a lot of the reason many cab companies went out of business as you say is that Uber failed to invent self-driving cars).

But overall this was pretty bad investment for humanity. Let's just stipulate it's a lot easier to get a ride at a reasonable price and that's a good thing (not a given considering increased traffic and greenhouse gas emissions, plus decreased pressure for cities to move away from car-dependency). Was it worth multiple billions of dollars and software engineering hours? Like, assuredly not. It's a big "LOL" drawn in lipstick on a portrait of the efficient market hypothesis. It turns out the private sector is also great at just setting huge piles of cash on fire.

replies(2): >>41848146 #>>41848231 #
38. ahmeneeroe-v2 ◴[] No.41843284{5}[source]
>Congratulations on a text book case of Chesterton's Fence [0]. You've mischaracterized the purpose and nature of the law.

You have created a convoluted ex post facto defense of taxi laws which sound plausible but are likely wrong.

"Chesterton's fence" doesn't say that "the most socially positive explanation is correct".

The simpler explanation is one of "concentrated benefits, diffused costs". A group of taxi owners helped implement a state-enforced monopoly at the expense of the rest of society. Technology enabled a new group (Uber) to concentrate benefits further at the expense of the relatively diffused monopoly-holders. Society benefited in some ways (easier rides) while likely bearing costs in other ways (drivers subsidizing Uber).

replies(2): >>41843352 #>>41845706 #
39. PaulDavisThe1st ◴[] No.41843352{6}[source]
> You have created a convoluted ex post facto defense

Why is it convoluted? Watch the process that has happened with every other technological development in the last (say) 40 years? How is what I've described any different?

> A group of taxi owners helped implement a state-enforced monopoly at the expense of the rest of society.

You assume that the downsides of the "monopoly" (I'll ignore the twisting of the conventional meaning of words there) are larger than the upsides, and yet you seem to similarly assume that the downsides of Uber are smaller than the upsides.

Society got a new line of work that made a reasonable living, control over the drivers in the interest of safety and accountability. Those are not exactly like the discovery of fire or the dawn of agriculture, but they are not of zero worth.

I also note how your description of "A group of taxi owners helped implement" has an implicit negative tone, something alone the lines of regulatory capture. Yet we regularly hear calls for regulations to be created with the participation of those affected by it, so that legislatures and civil servants don't make stupid mistakes/decisions.

Look, I'm not really interesting in defending the medallion systems. Taxi service in many places sucked under it and conditions for many drivers weren't exactly what society might have been aiming for.

But tearing it down in favor of another mixed bag of pros & cons needs to be done with a subtle weighing for the relative pros & cons, not the reckless and giddy greed of a company like Uber.

40. anamax ◴[] No.41843630{3}[source]
We don't have to imagine - Flywheel was that company.

It got reasonable funding but couldn't get taxi companies to sign up.

Things got a bit better when it became clear that Uber was going to kill taxi companies but too little, too late.

41. anamax ◴[] No.41843674{4}[source]
One thing that most people get wrong is that Uber doesn't offer taxi services.

In the US at least, there are two classifications for "car for hire."

One is street-hail - you wave down a car or get into one at a stand. That was heavily regulated and taxi companies had the relevant licenses.

The other is "town car". You call for a town-car and it shows up. town-car was very lightly regulated.

Yes, every taxi company offered town-car services, but there were lots of town car companies that didn't do street-hail.

Uber/lyft are town-car companies. Neither one does street-hail.

replies(1): >>41848082 #
42. CalRobert ◴[] No.41844505{3}[source]
Any service that took money for rides would turn in to this. You know lyft? Before it was lyft, it was zimride. And zimride was just a way for college students to share rides places, a bit more organised than the Craigslist ride share board (which I used often)

Then zimride said “you can use that gps receiver you’ve got in your pocket to find people who need a ride near you and we’ll suggest how much gas money to split”. But pretty quickly people started just taking passengers even when not on their own trips, and lyft morphed in to…. Basically Uber.

43. LarsDu88 ◴[] No.41844917{3}[source]
The takeaway here is that rather than invent some high tech wacky thing, just target some existing cartels/government monopolies. Hotels (AirBnB), telecommunications (Facebook versus AT&T Bell), taxi services (uber/lyft), broadcast television (netflix), radio (spotify), and spaceflight/rocketry (SpaceX) come to mind as successes.

What else is there?

- Boeing - Just need to invent a better commercial passenger airplane

- Lockheed - The day of 150 million dollar manned fighter jets is coming to an end.

- Electricity distribution - PG&E or Southern California Edison. Only way to crack this is with decentralized power distribution and batteries

- Waste Management - Trash collection, recycling, and processing

- DeBeers Diamonds - Diamonds can basically be synthesized in the lab at will now.

44. carlmr ◴[] No.41845516{5}[source]
>The tech industry is currently bending backwards so far it's collective spine will snap any second now trying to convince people LLM's are the next big huge thing, and there's just nothing there. 150 billion dollars for fancy autocomplete.

I wouldn't say nothing there, and that something is something. Translation, rephrasing and a lot of management tasks like summarizing what happened are way easier and better than any previous models I've seen.

Creating images and logos is usually very constrained by what you can describe without describing what's not there, it's impressive nonetheless.

Autopilot code autocomplete is pretty good, but not replaces all engineers good, rather increased efficiency good.

The problem is they all lie about it being the thing that will replace all knowledge work. CEOs are buying it up and salivating.

It could replace a lot of middle management at my company. But those are the people that are staying.

45. dambi0 ◴[] No.41845706{6}[source]
Isn’t the entire point of Chesterton’s fence to consider things ex post facto? How would you explain places that have regulations for taxis but not artificial scarcity? I don’t think the collusion argument is simpler at all. That is not to say it doesn’t explain the situation in certain places of course.
46. wink ◴[] No.41847083{4}[source]
Good point, but I am not sure it's all quite so black and white.

Maybe you are right for the US, but here in Germany at least, and I could be wildly wrong about numbers:

- Uber: not a game changer, popular with a certain demographic, but taxis were mostly fine anyway

- airbnb: ok, huge

- doordash/etc: maybe executing a bit better, but delivery has existed just fine

- instacart et al: now we get to the real thing. groceries delivery had only been done by a couple of chains, and sometimes only for a couple years, then abandoned again already. so you never really got whatever you wanted, from where ver you wanted. Paired with our sometimes very limited shop opening times (6-20 at most, in recent years more, but just in some states) this was different, e.g worth it even if it is not your weekly haul and/or alcohol for a party.

replies(1): >>41849052 #
47. Tor3 ◴[] No.41847873[source]
For what it's worth, around here you call an ordinary taxi exactly the same way: Press a button, get a ride. Been like that for a long time.
replies(6): >>41848038 #>>41848278 #>>41848602 #>>41848713 #>>41849140 #>>41851142 #
48. ta1243 ◴[] No.41848038{3}[source]
With their specific app?

In the last 2 weeks I've used the Uber app in Washington, New York, Miami and Stoke (UK). One app, 4 cities, 2 continents.

replies(2): >>41848192 #>>41866748 #
49. andyjohnson0 ◴[] No.41848082{5}[source]
The UK has a similar distinction. "Hackney carriages" (the classic "black cab") are allowed to pick-up passengers on the street, while private hire vehicles (often called "minicabs") can only be used by pre-booking. The former are more regulated than the latter. Ubers are minicabs.

(Black cabs don't have to be black, but usually are. As to why they're called "Hackney carriages" - the last person to know the reason probably died in 1863.)

replies(1): >>41848295 #
50. bumby ◴[] No.41848134{4}[source]
Honest question from a non-economist: where is the distinction drawn between "value extraction" and "rent seeking"?

Even the canonical example of lobbyists can make some ambiguously defensible position that they add some value; e.g., "We make sure constituents have a conduit to their representative"

replies(1): >>41849087 #
51. bluGill ◴[] No.41848146{5}[source]
The problem is cost. For most people owning and driving their own car is much cheaper than hiring someone else to drive them. Many people would like someone else to take care of the car and driving, but drivers need a reasonable income - if a driver works for your 2 hours per day that implies of your 8 hour day at work 2 hours are spent working to pay for that driver (of course drivers typically make less than a "white collar professional" but still a significant portion of your income goes to your driver). Which is why taxis always hung out at airports - often they would wait in line for an hour to pick someone else, with smaller amounts hanging around around hotels and bars - the few places where people who owned a car had reason not to use it.

Self driving is the only way uber or a taxi can be a large business. The cost of labor is just too high and so most people are forced to learn to drive.

Even with the above I question if self driving is really worth it. If you own a car and have it parked nearby it is ready to go when you want to leave, and better yet you can store your stuff in it. Combine that with rush hour - most people are traveling at about the same time every day, and some people wanting nicer cars than others and it is hard to see how it can work out. (unless you live in density such that parking is hard - but then transit must be your answer not individual cars since self driving cannot solve traffic)

replies(1): >>41848516 #
52. bluGill ◴[] No.41848177{4}[source]
Then why was uber a thing in other cities around the country where such laws didn't exist?
replies(1): >>41850082 #
53. Tor3 ◴[] No.41848192{4}[source]
The app covers all the various taxi companies around here. It's not international.
replies(1): >>41848663 #
54. empath75 ◴[] No.41848231{5}[source]
Every business in a competitive market is "barely profitable", that's how capitalism works. If a company is raking in massive profits that's a sign that the market is distorted somehow -- a monopoly, collusion, regulation, etc..
replies(3): >>41848332 #>>41848395 #>>41851553 #
55. schmidtleonard ◴[] No.41848278{3}[source]
There's nothing like competition to get an industry to shape up. 15 years ago, taxis in Pittsburgh were definitely more like GP described.
56. fifticon ◴[] No.41848295{6}[source]
It is indeed a hackneyed term.
57. kibwen ◴[] No.41848332{6}[source]
Yes, but P implies Q does not mean that Q implies P. IOW, a competitive market implies a lack of profits, but a lack of profits does not imply a competitive market.
58. ◴[] No.41848395{6}[source]
59. DrScientist ◴[] No.41848516{6}[source]
The other problem with the business model is with self-driving cars, unless you have exclusive self-drive technology, the barrier to entry to other carpooling options is quite low.

In fact you could easily see car manufacturers offering such services - something like Zipcar but more convenient as the cars can self redistribute.

I find it hard to believe Uber will ever break even ( not on the day to day costs - recouping all that upfront investment ).

Having said that, the likes of Uber have changed the world - so the money wasn't entirely wasted.

replies(1): >>41849474 #
60. hotspot_one ◴[] No.41848584[source]
Your view comes up every time. Basically you are claiming "Taxis sucked, so it was ok that Uber broke a lot of laws and social conventions to make the situation better".

And who knows, your view might be right.

replies(2): >>41850051 #>>41850618 #
61. malfist ◴[] No.41848602{3}[source]
I'd be willing to bet that "long time" doesn't include pre Uber days
replies(1): >>41849202 #
62. ta1243 ◴[] No.41848663{5}[source]
That's one problem. I typically need a taxi when I'm in a remote city a long way form home. Uber gives me a common app that works from Sydney to San Francisco. I'm not going to land in Chicago and work out which of the myriad of apps I need to get.

Now if it was instead a website, sure, much easier. No need to create accounts etc, just visit "chicagotaxi.com", perhaps shown on a sign at the airport/station/etc, then book and pay with applepay/googlepay.

But installing some application, signing up, having my data stolen, all to be told "no taxis available", is the reality of a local app.

replies(2): >>41849188 #>>41851690 #
63. CalRobert ◴[] No.41848713{3}[source]
Ireland is like that but without a decent way to report dangerous drivers or racist rants
64. ToucanLoucan ◴[] No.41849052{5}[source]
Airbnb has destroyed tons of communities and worsened the already terrible housing crisis.

Doordash/Instacart/Uber Eats/etc are just market solutions to the problem of everyone being worked too fucking hard and not having the time to exist as people anymore. And while in principle the idea of "hiring someone who has nothing to do and having them do your grocery trip" is perfectly fine, even innovative, in practice what it amounts to is someone making less than minimum wage while putting mileage on their vehicle and burning fuel while a startup in the bay area collects the lions share of the fees from the customer. My gripe isn't with the business itself, the concept is fine. My gripe is that Instacart takes the money that should be going far more to the person actually doing the work. They should of course collect some: what they are doing is not devoid of value, for certain: but they should collect significantly less.

Incidentally that's the same problem I have with Uber. Matching people who want to work with people who have tasks they need to do is not inherently evil. What's evil is doing that, paying the people working peanuts, and charging out the ass for the service anyway so you can pocket more profits for being a middle man.

65. PaulDavisThe1st ◴[] No.41849087{5}[source]
"Rent seeking" requires that you own ("control") a thing people want/need and will/can pay for.

"Value extraction" almost implies non-ownership, and represents more of a contractual arrangement whereby you provide X to a set of transactions that would happen without you, and in return you receive Y. Obviously if Y is universally of less or equal value to X, nobody is harmed. But if Y is of significantly more value to a given demographic or particular circumstances, then it is not clear that this is a win for society overall.

Where they overlap is if you have managed to create sufficiently high barriers to entry in the field of "providing X". This is tantamount to ownership of a resource that people want, and you're the only provider (or one of just a few).

66. jt2190 ◴[] No.41849140{3}[source]
> Been like that for a long time.

Since before Uber/Lyft?

67. Tor3 ◴[] No.41849188{6}[source]
How is the situation with Uber and insurance these days? I remember from years back that Uber drivers didn't have the insurance that taxi drivers need (though that may vary by country). As one who has actually experienced a car crash involving a taxi (I was in the taxi, but fortunately on the left side in the back seat when another car crashed into its right side), I have a keen interest in insurance..
replies(1): >>41857301 #
68. Tor3 ◴[] No.41849202{4}[source]
Well.. maybe.. but when that app appeared there weren't yet any Uber drivers in my country. They were considered illegal by the authorities.
replies(1): >>41850014 #
69. bluGill ◴[] No.41849474{7}[source]
I don't think car manufactures will offer that service - it gets too deep into weird monopoly laws and the like that they want to avoid. Plus it is a distraction from their business. They will instead sell to others who offer that service.

Generally shared cars only make sense when someone drives very little anyway. Cars are expensive and so shared cars are either too expensive to be used often, or very hard to get at. Renting a car for a weekend is about half the cost of a monthly payment on the same car, but if you buy the car you have it the rest of the month (and if you buy a car you have used options or keeping the car after it is paid for to bring the total cost down - you will have to pay maintenance costs but those tend to be much less).

replies(1): >>41902521 #
70. saghm ◴[] No.41849561{4}[source]
> civil disobedience with a profit motive

That just sounds like "crime" as well. If there's a profit motive, it's not civil disobedience. I think the way Uber was run internally is more than enough evidence that the initially dubious claim of some sort of crusade to right wrongs in society can be completely dismissed.

71. robertlagrant ◴[] No.41850014{5}[source]
Uber did this. Whatever else you think of them, they massively uplifted an entire industry's customer experience, and pretty much globally. That's an insane achievement.
replies(1): >>41867230 #
72. robertlagrant ◴[] No.41850051{3}[source]
Ultimately it will be better, because a temporary wrong is nowhere near as big as the ongoing, forever-accumulating better experience people have now. The only exception to that is that they should've background-checked drivers first.
73. robertlagrant ◴[] No.41850082{5}[source]
Because it also had massively better UX than any previous taxi journey. Order from phone; price up front; pay in app; know the licence, make and model of the car coming to get you; see where the car is on the way; travel in any city (except, say, Oxford, UK, unfortunately). All new features for taxi use.
74. insane_dreamer ◴[] No.41850447[source]
Uber's goal from the start has always been to replace human taxis altogether with robotaxis. This is just phase 1 (put most taxi companies out of business).
75. NoGravitas ◴[] No.41850618{3}[source]
"Taxis are terrible" and "Uber is basically an illegal taxi company" can both be true things.
76. lancesells ◴[] No.41850649{4}[source]
Do you ever visit or live in a place with unofficial cabs preying on people at an airport? You're acting as if laws were only made by corruption and not because people were screwed over.

I think Uber is probably a net good thing but I also think Uber should be accountable for the laws they broke. Also, Uber, Lyft, Airbnb also did exactly what was expected and increased prices to a ridiculous degree once they became the default standard and went public.

replies(1): >>41871710 #
77. NoGravitas ◴[] No.41850765{5}[source]
What's worse is that "there's just nothing left to build anymore". There's tons of work that needs to be done in the real economy (infrastructure repair and upgrades, housing, especially infill), but can't be, because the asset economy is much more profitable. Everything seems useless because it's not being built to use, it's being built to inflate equity "mystery box" values.
78. whatevaa ◴[] No.41851142{3}[source]
Competition did that.
79. tomjakubowski ◴[] No.41851296[source]
Before Uber was available in Orange County, circa 2010-2011, I used an iPhone app to call a yellow cab to pick me up without having speaking to a dispatcher. I was able to give feedback about the driver too. Uber-style apps to hail cabs did exist, maybe they just weren't rolled out to all markets.

Before the launch of UberX, the Uber app positioned itself as a convenient way to call a black car/limo and, for drivers, to get some extra business between their "regular" calls. It was a semi-luxury though it only cost a bit more than a yellow cab (I only ever used Uber pre-UberX to get to/from the airport).

Really, other than surge pricing, I don't think Uber innovated very much on the tech side. Their success in disrupting cabs was rather down to flooding the market with supply, oftentimes in ways that flouted the law.

80. camgunz ◴[] No.41851553{6}[source]
Maybe, but the point here isn't that Uber underperforms, it's that their innovations didn't sufficiently expand the market. I'm arguing cab companies saw that coming, whereas Uber/SV didn't and spent billions of dollars finding out.

It's an indictment of the VC model where essentially you build a company that hogs all the value for investors. If you think this is a good model, i.e. that investors make better decisions than governments, labor, and the market, then I think you have to reckon with the utter wastefulness that is Uber. A better thing here would have been to just build a ride hailing app for existing cab companies.

81. Kon-Peki ◴[] No.41851690{6}[source]
> I'm not going to land in Chicago and work out which of the myriad of apps I need to get.

But big airports have a taxi line. You stand in it, and you get a taxi.

I flew into Washington DC last week, and it was faster to stand in the taxi line than to call an Uber and wait for it to arrive. On the other hand, it was faster to get an Uber back to the airport when I left than it was to catch a taxi.

And of course, certain cities have decent transit systems. Both Chicago and DC (and hundred of other cities) have transit fare cards you can put in the wallet app on your phone. Some, like DC don't even need an account or download. Just add money with the payment card already stored in your phone and go. The experience is better than Uber - assuming the transit system is any good.

replies(1): >>41853592 #
82. rstuart4133 ◴[] No.41853217{5}[source]
So clearly you aren't a fan of Gandhi. He also very deliberately broke the law. And not a fan of Nelson Mandela either I guess.

Not all laws are good. Using the taxi licencing system as a way of extracting tax income is one example of a "not good" law that somehow wormed it way into many societies.

It might never have changed unless an Uber had some along. The taxi licencing scheme has the unfortunate characteristics of being inefficient but not egregiously so, and had put golden handcuffs on a group of people making a valued contribution to society. Those handcuffs were the taxi licences, which became the taxi drivers retirement fund. The taxi drivers always fought any threat to the value of those licences long and hard. Those two characteristics ensured a politician would spend have to spend a immense amount political capital to fix something that had only a modest benefit. It looked like we were doomed to suffer from this tax parasite forever.

But then a seismic shift in technologies came along, and it was not so easy enforce the laws that protected the parasite. The way I remember it the taxi drivers screamed blue murder as their net worth went rapidly to 0, but the reaction from law enforcement was ... muted. I'm sure with a concerted effort the politicians could have made life so difficult for Uber the parasite could have survived. The taxi drivers certainly thought so. But it looked to me like my republics elected officials chose not to spend political capital on doing that. It was almost like they were glad to have an excuse to rid themselves of a parasite.

Now the carnage of the taxi drivers net worth going to zero is over. That aside, most things have got better. With the monopoly broken there are more taxi companies than there were before, taxi availability has become better since you don't need an expensive licence to put one on the road, and prices have dropped.

Sometimes the ends doesn't justify the means, sometimes it does. This looks like the latter to me.

replies(1): >>41868627 #
83. ta1243 ◴[] No.41853592{7}[source]
I arrived at Miami station last week and got an uber, not one of the waiting taxis, because I wanted

1) Guarantee of payment by card

2) Guarantee of receipt

3) Guarantee of going to the right destination

The week before I landed at Dulles and got an Uber. The queue for the taxis was very long, but the wait for Uber was hardly quick either. Last time I took a taxi in DC they refused to take card. That was pre-covid, but why would I take the chance again.

Taxi companies did it to themselves.

replies(1): >>41873550 #
84. _DeadFred_ ◴[] No.41853936{4}[source]
Haha. Thanks I needed a laugh. 'Uber clearly the good guy' haha. I too remember a simpler time when we were all so naive.
85. ta1243 ◴[] No.41857301{7}[source]
I suspect it varies by jurisdiction.

In the UK it's a normal private hire company, just less disreputable.

86. Citizen_Lame ◴[] No.41862761{5}[source]
Taxis were fraud to begin with. Anything that can hurt them and make my life easier is a plus in my book.
87. musicale ◴[] No.41866219{3}[source]
The other trick is to dodge the regulatory requirements that your competitors are saddled with.

see: regulatory entrepreneurship

88. psd1 ◴[] No.41866748{4}[source]
> Washington, New York, Miami and Stoke

It's about time Miami got some international recognition.

89. Tor3 ◴[] No.41867230{6}[source]
In this particular case I'm pretty sure the taxi app was completely independent. Nobody actually expected Uber around here (and in fact I've yet to see any), and everyone and their mother added app support for their services. They already had a history of adding new ways of getting a taxi, as and when technology became available. And, and taxis in general are connected to a taxi service central it's easier to come up with such a thing.
90. sgdfhijfgsdfgds ◴[] No.41868627{6}[source]
> So clearly you aren't a fan of Gandhi. He also very deliberately broke the law.

I have to say this is one of the silliest takes I have ever seen on HN.

You only need to look at the way Gandhi broke the law, the methodology of his disobedience, to see that you cannot possibly make a comparison with Uber that shows them in a good light. It's absurd to draw this comparison.

91. tetromino_ ◴[] No.41871710{5}[source]
I remember official cabs that were also predatory (especially to gullible tourists) and abusive (especially to minorities). Uber's star rating system is not great, but it's vastly better than the blatant customer-ripping-off assholism of the pre-Uber taxi era.
92. Tor3 ◴[] No.41873550{8}[source]
So then it depends on taxi services. I'm not in the US, and all the three points you listed are more than guaranteed by actual taxi companies around here. In addition to that, I also will be made aware of the price in advance.
93. mpweiher ◴[] No.41881401[source]
In my city of Berlin, we simply had an app called MyTaxi that would hail the cab for you. No need for Uber and its predatory business model.
94. DrScientist ◴[] No.41902521{8}[source]
> Plus it is a distraction from their business. They will instead sell to others who offer that service.

Possibly. However you could also see the Uber type market as reducing the need for people to buy cars - threatening their core business, as well as reducing the number of their potential customers and again shifting the power away from them.