Most active commenters
  • ZeroGravitas(8)
  • faeriechangling(4)
  • Izkata(4)
  • runarberg(3)
  • throwawayacc5(3)
  • astrange(3)

←back to thread

256 points hirundo | 47 comments | | HN request time: 0.286s | source | bottom
1. faeriechangling ◴[] No.35513202[source]
Could this have to so with smart people increasing pursuing hedonism over reproduction? Maybe Idiocracy was right all along.

From a strict evolutionary perspective I have doubts that a high IQ is useful anymore.

replies(6): >>35513534 #>>35513691 #>>35514025 #>>35514331 #>>35519826 #>>35520396 #
2. giraffe_lady ◴[] No.35513534[source]
From a strict evolutionary perspective it probably hasn't been for a long time and likely never was as significant on an individual level as people like to believe.

The only things being selected for in modern humans, if anything, are going to be things like disease resistance, maybe tolerance to some chemical contaminants in food & water, air pollution. And even then only in some parts of the world.

replies(1): >>35513735 #
3. ZeroGravitas ◴[] No.35513691[source]
The point of the original Flynn effect being a big deal was that the changes were faster than was possible with genetics alone.

A big part of "The Bell Curve" was arguing that no interventions could change IQ except genetics and so any money spent on low IQ people (African-Americans in the book, but the author followed up by attacking poor people more generally) was a pointless waste.

It turns out he wasn't just an asshole, he was also wrong.

replies(6): >>35515288 #>>35517718 #>>35517876 #>>35517948 #>>35518147 #>>35518534 #
4. armatav ◴[] No.35513735[source]
Nope - sexual selection still takes place regardless of environmental survival factors.

And sexual selection takes place faster and can lead populations to scenarios that induce natural selection.

5. polski-g ◴[] No.35514025[source]
IQ hasn't been beneficial to evolution for over 100 years. Once means-tested welfare came into existence, being low-IQ became more advantageous. The reason Europe was able to take over the world is that they taxed the poor (low-IQ) more than the rich in the dark ages and the rich out-bred the poor for at least 2 generations.
replies(4): >>35514395 #>>35514523 #>>35515540 #>>35518069 #
6. faeriechangling ◴[] No.35515288[source]
I agree it probably isn’t genetics alone, notably the increase in visual spatial skills I would suspect to have more to do with video games than genetics.

I have yet to read “the bell curve” said, but did they really use an argument that flew in the face of the abundant evidence of IQ increases unlinked to genetics as a result of better nutrition and education? Hell America gained a few IQ points nationwide from banning leaded gasoline alone so we also knew of environmental means to affect IQ levels. This was all known about and very well established at the time of authorship. Is there an excerpt?

replies(3): >>35515861 #>>35517142 #>>35517897 #
7. faeriechangling ◴[] No.35515540[source]
Very arguably social welfare resulted in the biggest increase in IQ levels in history as general health, nutrition, and education improved. Also social welfare improved social mobility which should cause IQ to have more of an impact rather than less of one.

I am not rejecting this point but I have a hard time accepting it Carte Blanche. If anything if IQ is lowering for generic reasons I would suspect birth control as a cause especially since it’s a more recent phenomenon than means tested welfare.

replies(1): >>35518353 #
8. runarberg ◴[] No.35515861{3}[source]
> did they really use an argument that flew in the face of the abundant evidence of IQ increases unlinked to genetics as a result of better nutrition and education?

Yes they did, and they did a lot worse than that. And that is the reason why the scientific community was very fast to discredit this book. The science in it were bad, to say the least. It wasn’t even peer reviewed. I think the decline in IQ research is in large part thanks to the pushback this book rightfully got.

It is actually nice that this books is raised here, because the journal this study was published in Intelligence has its ties to true believers of The Bell Curve. Richard J. Haier is the editor in chief signed an editorial defending this book back in 1994. And the board included disgraced eugenicist Richard Lynn (whos discredited pseudo-scientific work cited throughout the book) was on the editorial board until 2018.

replies(1): >>35517734 #
9. ZeroGravitas ◴[] No.35517142{3}[source]
You are being overly charitable.

He worked at the American Enterprise Institute, so if you just imagine their attitude to the scientific facts of climate change, transposed onto genetics, you'll have a good idea of what they were saying. So it's not so much as not being aware of the science, but of not liking the obvious policy conclusions it leads to and so having to work really hard to counter it.

https://www.desmog.com/american-enterprise-institute/

10. PathOfEclipse ◴[] No.35517718[source]
I've never read the "Bell Curve", and I'm not a huge fan of Charles Murray's work in general, but, from the first line in Wikpedia:

"The Bell Curve: Intelligence and Class Structure in American Life is a 1994 book by psychologist Richard J. Herrnstein and political scientist Charles Murray, in which the authors argue that human intelligence is substantially influenced by both inherited and environmental factors."

That statement completely contradicts what your claim about the book, and now I am disinclined to trust you.. Later on another statement also completely contradicts what you are saying:

"According to Herrnstein and Murray, the high heritability of IQ within races does not necessarily mean that the cause of differences between races is genetic. On the other hand, they discuss lines of evidence that have been used to support the thesis that the black-white gap is at least partly genetic, such as Spearman's hypothesis. They also discuss possible environmental explanations of the gap, such as the observed generational increases in IQ, for which they coin the term Flynn effect"

11. PathOfEclipse ◴[] No.35517734{4}[source]
> Yes they did, and they did a lot worse than that

See above reply. Wikepedia completely contradicts what you are saying. I also know what you're saying about AEI is mostly garbage, too.

12. HDThoreaun ◴[] No.35517876[source]
Absolutely not what Murray said in the bell curve. It's not a very hard book to attack, so I'm not sure why people always go for strawmen. Please post anything from the book that comes anywhere close to saying IQ is 100% genetic.
replies(1): >>35523261 #
13. Izkata ◴[] No.35517897{3}[source]
I haven't read it either, but even just a quick look at Wikipedia shows the other responders don't know what they're talking about:

> According to Herrnstein and Murray, the high heritability of IQ within races does not necessarily mean that the cause of differences between races is genetic. On the other hand, they discuss lines of evidence that have been used to support the thesis that the black-white gap is at least partly genetic, such as Spearman's hypothesis. They also discuss possible environmental explanations of the gap, such as the observed generational increases in IQ, for which they coin the term Flynn effect. At the close of this discussion, they write:

> > If the reader is now convinced that either the genetic or environmental explanation has won out to the exclusion of the other, we have not done a sufficiently good job of presenting one side or the other. It seems highly likely to us that both genes and environment have something to do with racial differences. What might the mix be? We are resolutely agnostic on that issue; as far as we can determine, the evidence does not yet justify an estimate.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Bell_Curve#Part_III._The_N...

The part I find especially amusing is how often the Flynn effect is used to refute The Bell Curve, even though the term "Flynn effect" comes from The Bell Curve.

replies(2): >>35518094 #>>35522856 #
14. readthenotes1 ◴[] No.35517915[source]
Funny, because I believe the argument of the alt-right is that the elitists are also brainwashed and controlled to be puppets of the socialist secret Nanny deep state
replies(1): >>35533969 #
15. moonchrome ◴[] No.35517948[source]
> A big part of "The Bell Curve" was arguing that no interventions could change IQ except genetics and so any money spent on low IQ people (African-Americans in the book, but the author followed up by attacking poor people more generally) was a pointless waste.

It should be self-evident that you can lower IQ through environment (injury, developmental issues, malnourishment, etc.). So even if you believe there's a genetic ceiling to IQ, Flynn effect (and reverse) don't contradict that.

16. majormajor ◴[] No.35518069[source]
One of the first European world powers after the dark ages, Portugal, was not more advanced than many of the areas it attacked except for in weaponry since Europe had been infighting while other math and science was being pursued in eastern parts of the world. Regardless of what percentage of motivation you ascribe to "we want their shit" vs "we want them to take our religion," I don't think you can say it was an advantage or motivation driven by intelligence.

("The rich outbred the poor" also seems very dubious, labor was still very manual, so you gotta have someone to do it.)

replies(1): >>35527711 #
17. runarberg ◴[] No.35518094{4}[source]
There are many ways to refute The Bell Curve. In addition to the Flynn effect, the science in it are plain bad, the policy proposals they enlist don’t necessarily follow their scientifically flawed results, it repeatedly cites a disgraced eugenicist as source, it was never peer reviewed etc. At this point, nothing in this book should be accepted as nothing more than a poor attempt at scientific racism. Let alone should anyone take any sort of scientific consensus. Other than the fact that it was wrong.

This YouTube video[1] does a fair job of summarizing the bulk of what is wrong with this book. But IMO very fact that the book is an apologia for eugenicists should be enough of a critique, you shouldn’t need any more.

1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UBc7qBS1Ujo

PS. Regarding the naming of the Flynn effect:

> Flynn stated that, if asked, he would have named the effect after Read D. Tuddenham who "was the first to present convincing evidence of massive gains on mental tests using a nationwide sample" in a 1948 article

18. runarberg ◴[] No.35518147[source]
What is going on with Bell Curve apologists all of a sudden replying to this post. I thought the debate was slowly fading out and than I count 5 different account replying within an hour.
replies(2): >>35520333 #>>35520421 #
19. laverya ◴[] No.35518353{3}[source]
Social welfare could do BOTH things - dramatically increase IQ for the next generation (that grows up with proper nutrition etc) while also remove the selective pressure that increased IQ over the course of centuries.
replies(1): >>35523767 #
20. 1letterunixname ◴[] No.35519826[source]
If George Carlin was a philosopher, perhaps Mike Judge is also more than a physicist, musician, and director. Giving Brian May a run for his money.

When the collective hive mind of a society is organized around anti-intellectualism (the core ethos of America), then it will subsidize a combination of stupid (less talent) and mental laziness (lack of productive application of talent). This is how a society enters the dustbin of history and emerges as a brutal and backwards people.

replies(3): >>35520443 #>>35522604 #>>35565338 #
21. throwawayacc5 ◴[] No.35520333{3}[source]
"Early twin studies of adult individuals have found a heritability of IQ between 57% and 73%,[6] with some recent studies showing heritability for IQ as high as 80%.[7] IQ goes from being weakly correlated with genetics for children, to being strongly correlated with genetics for late teens and adults. The heritability of IQ increases with the child's age and reaches a plateau at 18–20 years old, continuing at that level well into adulthood." [0]

You're denying settled science. Trying to tie it to the Bell Curve to assassinate the basic character of the science isn't tricking anyone. Pronouns in your profile only make this bad faith move easier to identify.

[0] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heritability_of_IQ

replies(3): >>35521533 #>>35522542 #>>35525383 #
22. Herval_freire ◴[] No.35520396[source]
It's useful. You have to think on the macro scale. The evolution of the entire population rather then individuals.

On the individual level stupider people reproduce more so evolutionary speaking it's more efficient to be stupid. However if a small portion of the population has high IQ they can move society forward via say the discovery of electricity, mathematics, etc, etc. This propels every individual forward as a whole at the detriment of a few individuals who are to nerdy or geeky to get laid that often.

Thus from a high level perspective, there is selection pressure that works on the population of people that makes it so that our genes have the mechanisms in place to produce an occasional genius via specific combinations of traits or via simple on/off switch mutations that easily occur.

For reference this is a short and informative video on the aforementioned topic: https://youtu.be/sP2tUW0HDHA

23. emmelaich ◴[] No.35520421{3}[source]
Groupthink is increased when topic is controversial.

On both sides of course. One group will regard it as settled and the other refuted.

24. emmelaich ◴[] No.35520443[source]
I like your comment because it could be expressed by someone on the far right as much as the far left.

As an aside, I think Idiocracy is the weakest of Mike Judge's works.

25. techno_tsar ◴[] No.35521533{4}[source]
Really? Using the fact that someone put pronouns in their profile is a bad faith move? Your account is literally a throwaway.

Calling these twin studies as settled science is the most bad faith move here, since the chief problem of this section of The Bell Curve is that it confuses heritability with genetic determination, a mistake that informed scientists wouldn’t make. Unsurprisingly, that is why there is widespread scientific backlash against it.

Believe it or not, twin black babies separated at birth and raised with white parents are still treated as black by society.

replies(1): >>35690959 #
26. astrange ◴[] No.35522542{4}[source]
Twin studies can't prove something is caused by "genetics"[0]; twins are not free of environmental factors and don't necessarily have the same genome. Genetics, like many scientific fields that can't do real experiments, is just people abusing statistics for fun.

[0] if it did, this wouldn't mean anything, because it can't be used to make predictions, because you don't know if any random person X you are trying to predict trait Y of has these "genetics".

replies(1): >>35524116 #
27. astrange ◴[] No.35522604[source]
> anti-intellectualism (the core ethos of America)

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BARTERICMP25UPZSUSA

> lack of productive application of talent

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS12027662

?

28. ZeroGravitas ◴[] No.35522856{4}[source]
The reason they discuss (and name) the Flynn effect, is because it is one of the most obvious objections to their claims.

Either IQs are going up (and racial gaps closing) on a non evolutionary timescale due to environmental changes that should be studied and encouraged by government policy or IQs are not a good measure of genetic intelligence.

Their policy preferences are for the government not to intervene to improve IQ scores or close racial gaps. But they also want to make radical policy based on IQ because it's such an important measure.

replies(1): >>35526061 #
29. ZeroGravitas ◴[] No.35523261{3}[source]
I didnt say they said it was 100% genetic. I said:

> A big part of "The Bell Curve" was arguing that no interventions could change IQ except genetics

So its like a "climate change denier" who says "oh I dont deny climate change, its just that I oppose every commonly accepted way to combat it and therefore am in complete policy alignment with actual climate change demiers (who all love my work despite a literal reading being that I’m saying they are wrong)."

replies(1): >>35525037 #
30. SamoyedFurFluff ◴[] No.35523767{4}[source]
Social welfare hasn’t been centuries. Many social welfare programs have barely been 1 generation. The big ones (social security, food stamps) aren’t even 1 century old!
31. krapht ◴[] No.35524116{5}[source]
I don't really have a horse in this race but you're basically denying the ability of science to have anything to say outside of the hard sciences, which I disagree strongly with.

"Can't be used to make predictions"... seriously? These factors can be used to make predictions. Now whether these things are just correlates with other more fundamental factors, or causal - I thought that was where the conflict was.

https://xkcd.com/435

replies(2): >>35525780 #>>35531302 #
32. HDThoreaun ◴[] No.35525037{4}[source]
"no interventions could change IQ except genetics" and "IQ is 100% genetic" are the same statement.
replies(1): >>35525171 #
33. ZeroGravitas ◴[] No.35525171{5}[source]
And yet here we are discussing The Bell Curve, a book that simultaneously claims that "it is agnostic" as to whether racial IQ gaps are environmental or genetic, but thinks that there's no point in any interventions to reduce or eliminate low IQs.

I think they're liars that at the very least want you to believe the gap is mostly genetic. But they've carefully avoided ever directly stating that, because of the Nazi eugenics vibe that would give off.

So to try to avoid being accused of misrepresenting these disingenuous liars, I stated not that they believe it's 100% genetic, but rather that they believe no interventions would help.

It's their logical inconsistency, not mine.

34. ZeroGravitas ◴[] No.35525383{4}[source]
How heritable is height?

https://edition.cnn.com/2016/07/26/health/human-height-chang...

For bonus points: why has the heritability of height changed over time and varied by country?

replies(1): >>35643387 #
35. ◴[] No.35525780{6}[source]
36. Izkata ◴[] No.35526061{5}[source]
> Either IQs are going up (and racial gaps closing) on a non evolutionary timescale due to environmental changes that should be studied and encouraged by government policy or IQs are not a good measure of genetic intelligence.

Or 3) they're going up at the same rate, so gaps aren't closing. That's what I've always understood to be happening.

replies(1): >>35526264 #
37. ZeroGravitas ◴[] No.35526264{6}[source]
I think even the Bell Curve admitted that the numbers showed the gap closing, so your 3 is therefore a relatively extreme position for the specific case discussed, but certainly a valid permutation.
replies(1): >>35528348 #
38. Apocryphon ◴[] No.35527711{3}[source]
Portugal was advanced at being the geographically westernmost mainland European country, and at fighting with the Moors for long enough to adopt lateen sails.
39. Izkata ◴[] No.35528348{7}[source]
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2907168/

Scrolling down to the graphs that have all sorts of breakdowns, it looks like in general it hasn't been converging. The third group, which breaks down by race/age, looks like a mixture of noisy sameness and diverging.

replies(1): >>35536619 #
40. astrange ◴[] No.35531302{6}[source]
No, economics can make useful predictions because they understand proper study design. Most other fields can't though.
41. yucky ◴[] No.35533969{3}[source]
Why would the government care if you're left or right, as long as you are a faithful consumer.
42. ZeroGravitas ◴[] No.35536619{8}[source]
They address this:

> For example, Hauser (1998) and Grissmer et al (1998) documented convergence of the race difference in data from the National Assessment of Educational Progress. Until the current study, this finding could be explained by a differential Flynn Effect in which minority scores increased at a steeper rate. However, we found no interaction in our data; the three different race categories each showed substantial FE’s, but they also tracked closely to the same consistent increase.

So again, they accept the gap is closing, but their result suggests this is not due to a differential Flynn effect, but to something else.

replies(2): >>35538877 #>>35538954 #
43. ◴[] No.35538877{9}[source]
44. Izkata ◴[] No.35538954{9}[source]
The second part of what you quoted disagrees, they don't agree the gap is closing. They make it explicit near the bottom:

> The effect itself is strong and consistent, but we found no differential gender or race FE, nor was there much of a differential urbanization status identified. The positive finding of a differential FE in relation to maternal education (and at a smaller level, household income) at the older ages is suggestive of some of the dynamics of the process leading to the Flynn Effect. However, we do not consider our findings to be confirmatory in any sense.

45. faeriechangling ◴[] No.35565338[source]
America in 2023 is more intellectual than any society that existed in or before the 20th century. How extreme does intellectualism have to get before America is no longer considered anti-intellectual? Does manual labour need to be banned and does 75% of the population need post-secondary degrees?

America and western society is so taken with intellectualism that they spend their prime years for having children doing precocious amounts of studying while their brains are in a state of peak plasticity. Americans right now are like modern day Irish elk who need increasingly large antlers (degrees) to win the reproductive game but are so encumbered by this that it becomes difficult to reproduce at all. So fertility is sub-replacement and Americans have reacted by bringing in immigrants so they can spend more time working on their degrees.

What sort of immigrants do they bring in? University graduates!

46. throwawayacc5 ◴[] No.35643387{5}[source]
>How heritable is height?

Very, somewhere in the 80% range: "The estimated heritability was 0.79 (SE 0.09) for height and 0.40 (SE 0.09) for BMI, consistent with pedigree estimates." [0][1]

>For bonus points: why has the heritability of height changed over time

It hasn't.

>and varied by country?

It hasn't.

Love it when the bonus questions are easier than the main questions.

[0] https://www.science.org/content/article/landmark-study-resol...

[1] https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/588020v1

47. throwawayacc5 ◴[] No.35690959{5}[source]
>Really?

Yes really.

>Using the fact that someone put pronouns in their profile is a bad faith move?

No, putting pronouns in your profile is a red flag for bad faith moves.

>Your account is literally a throwaway.

Which means you can expect unadulterated facts.

>Calling these twin studies as settled science is the most bad faith move here

No it's not, stop denying the science.

>since the chief problem of this section of The Bell Curve is that it confuses heritability with genetic determination

The Bell Curve makes no confusion between heritability and genetic determination.

>mistake that informed scientists wouldn’t make

Good thing the Bell Curve didn't make that mistake!

>Unsurprisingly, that is why there is widespread scientific backlash against it.

There wasn't much scientific backlash to it because it's fairly bulletproof. The backlash was because of contained heretical topics, and may have pointed to blasphemous conclusions.

>Believe it or not, twin black babies separated at birth and raised with white parents are still treated as black by society.

"Believe it or not, twin Asian babies separated at birth and raised with white parents are still treated as Asian by society."

You're almost there /r/selfawarewolves.