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14 points johnwheeler | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0.411s | source

On Hacker News and Twitter, the consensus view is that no one is afraid. People concede that junior engineers and grad students might be the most affected. But, they still seem to hold on to their situations as being sustainable. My question is, is this just a part of wishful thinking and human nature, trying to combat the inevitable? The reason I ask is because I seriously don't see a future where there's a bunch of programmers anymore. I see mass unemployment for programmers. People are in denial, and all of these claims that the AI can't write code without making mistakes are no longer valid once an AI is released potentially overnight, that writes flawless code. Claude 4.5 is a good example. I just really don't see any valid arguments that the technology is not going to get to a point where it makes the job irrelevant, not irrelevant, but completely changes the economics.
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firefax ◴[] No.46340564[source]
I remember similar discussions back when it was called "machine learning".

Sooooo... no.

(Also, look at what the smart guys/gals who found this topic before me said about profits vs income etc.)

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johnwheeler ◴[] No.46340589[source]
Right, the only problem I have with this argument is that past performance is no indicator of future results.
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1. firefax ◴[] No.46340653[source]
then how do we predict anything? (not being sarcastic)
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2. johnwheeler ◴[] No.46340871[source]
It's that whole "this time it's different" argument I guess. This time it really does feel different is my worry.