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615 points __rito__ | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.223s | source

Related from yesterday: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46205632
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MBCook ◴[] No.46221562[source]
#272, I got a B+! Neat.

It would be very interesting to see this applied year after year to see if people get better or worse over time in the accuracy of their judgments.

It would also be interesting to correlate accuracy to scores, but I kind of doubt that can be done. Between just expressing popular sentiment and the first to the post people getting more votes for the same comment than people who come later it probably wouldn’t be very useful data.

replies(1): >>46223528 #
pjc50 ◴[] No.46223528[source]
#250, but then I wasn't trying to make predictions for a future AI. Or anyone else, really. Got a high score mostly for status quo bias, e.g. visual languages going nowhere and FPGAs remain niche.
replies(1): >>46225426 #
1. embedding-shape ◴[] No.46225426[source]
Yeah, it be much more interesting to see the people who made (at the time) outrageous claims, but they came to be true, rather than a list of people who could state that the status quo most likely would stay as it is.