Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now

For comparison, here's the frontpage from ten years ago

https://news.ycombinator.com/front?day=2015-12-09

totally forgot about Magic Leap

Nice. That was a fun rabbit-hole. This is the earlier I could find. Interestingly it contains a link to HN itself. I assume this migrated from a different version of a message board?

https://news.ycombinator.com/front?day=2007-02-19

Today's front page is not a clean 10 year extrapolation from this. That's where AI is wrong. The future is weird and zig zags, it's not so linear as the Gemini generated page.

15 years ago: https://news.ycombinator.com/front?day=2010-12-09

> Evernote makes $800,000 per Month > Dropbox for Teams > Mark Zuckerberg Agrees to Give Away Fortune

Swift has been OSS for 10y now, and still only runs usably on Mac and Linux (the only platforms Apple cares about - coincidence?).

"Magic Leap raises $827M in Series C". Aged like wine.

They're still doing well today, right? IIRC they provide the lenses for Metas in-development AR glasses

This is a problem with nearly all predictions about the future. Everything is just a linear extrapolation of the status quo. How could a system have predicted the invention of the transformer model in 2010? At best some wild guess about deep learning possibilities.

Or the impact of smartphones in 2003? Sure smart phones were considered but not the entire app ecosystem and planetary behavioral adaptation.

Pretty funny how the top story there references A.I.!

Since /front is a ranked union of all the stories that were on the frontpage over 24 hours, here's an actual snapshot too:

https://web.archive.org/web/20151209195229/https://news.ycom...

Yes, of course this is right. However, I do think LLMs suffer even more than people from linear extrapolation.

Honest question - do you think that everyone else thinks this is even REMOTELY what the front page will look like in 10 years?

I comment because I really cannot figure out why you left your comment. Do you think the rest of the commenters think this has predicted the future? It might be one thing to point out specific trends you think will not play out, or unexpected trends you think may show up that are currently left out. But to just remark that the future will contain things we cannot currently predict seems so inherently, unspokenly obvious that I just have to assume that wasn't the point of your post, and I've missed it entirely.

Sorry, I'm really not trying to be mean or anything - i'm just really confused.

Some high profile news; yahoo altaba spinoff, Magic Leap (what are they up to now?), ...

The Arc Browser on windows is Swift with a real windows api layer for SwiftUI.

Your confusion seems to stem from the assumption that, making a statement is an implicit assertion that most people believe the opposite of that statement.

In reality, statements are often made rather for the purpose of emphasis or rhetoric.

There are some funny ones in there:

> Finally mobile Flash video

> Google acquires advertising startup

> Track users' mouse movements on your webpages

> YouTube: identifying copyrighted material can't be an automated process. Startup disagrees.

Also kind of interesting how little HN commenting styles have changed. Aside from the subject matter, it's barely noticeable that the comments are from 2007. I don't think the same would be true of many other places round the web.

That's a good point, and something I'll have to remember for the future, but I'm curious what the emphasis or rhetoric of GP comment would be.

> RethinkDB Driver for Java now available

Goddamnit I cry everytime. RethinkDB was a great document store that didn't eat your data. It got eclipsed by an outfunded (and still dangerous at the time) MongoDB.

extremely telling - lot's of tech mentioned there either never reached expected potential or completely obsolete...

Prompts to be much more cautious with the current tech, and invest more time in fundamental stuff (like closer to science).

To answer your question: I think that GP mostly wanted to share the insight that the future zig-zags, which is kind of non obvious and a fun thing to think about. People often like leaving comments about interesting thoughts or ideas, even if they are only tangentially related.

it'd be interesting to feed this into the same AI, and have it predict today's front page

> Jukedeck – create unique, royalty-free music for your videos using A.I.

Aquired by TikTok in 2019 for an undisclosed sum.

Cortana! I had forgotten that name...

Oh, tensorflow. When AI actually meant creating your own networks...

And then lower down we have TensorFlow 0.6.0 release.

I was considering using this feature the other day to try to get a sense of what AI discourse was like circa 2019. It all blends together after a while. I ended up doing a Twitter search for "GPT-2" ending 2019-12-31, but that's a little more specific than I want.

The HN past feature is an excellent way of seeing snapshots of history, and I wish more sites had things like this. I guess I should Archive.org a little more money.