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Has the cost of building software dropped 90%?

(martinalderson.com)
413 points martinald | 2 comments | 08 Dec 25 19:00 UTC | HN request time: 0.002s | source
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tangotaylor ◴[09 Dec 25 12:42 UTC] No.46204312[source]▶
> Engineers need to really lean in to the change in my opinion.

I tried leaning in. I really tried. I'm not a web developer or game developer (more robotics, embedded systems). I tried vibe coding web apps and games. They were pretty boring. I got frustrated that I couldn't change little things. I remember getting frustrated that my game character kept getting stuck on imaginary walls and kept asking Cursor to fix it and it just made more and more of a mess. I remember making a simple front-end + backend with a database app to analyze thousands of pull request comments and it got massively slow and I didn't know why. Cursor wasn't very helpful in fixing it. I felt dumber after the whole process.

The next time I made a web app I just taught myself Flask and some basic JS and I found myself moving way more quickly. Not in the initial development, but later on when I had to tweak things.

The AI helped me a ton with looking things up: documentation, error messages, etc. It's essentially a supercharged Google search and Stack Overflow replacement, but I did not find it useful letting it take the wheel.

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r_lee ◴[09 Dec 25 13:08 UTC] No.46204550[source]▶
These posts like the one OP made is why I'm losing my mind.

Like, is there truly an agentic way to go 10x or is there some catch? At this point while I'm not thrilled about the idea of just "vibe coding" all the time, I'm fine with facing reality.

But I keep having the same experience as you, or rather leaning more on that supercharged Google/SO replacement

or just a "can you quickly make this boring func here that does xyz" "also add this" or for bash scripts etc.

And that's only when I've done most of the plumbing myself.

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1. lionkor ◴[09 Dec 25 13:41 UTC] No.46204828[source]▶
I have a feeling that people who are genuinely impressed by long term vibe coding on a single project are only impressed because they don't know any better.

Take writing a book, or blog post; writing a good blog post, or a chapter of a book, takes lots of skill and practice. The results are very satisfying and usually add value to both the writer's life as well as the reader's. When someone who has done that uses AI and sees the slop it generates, he's not impressed, probably even frustrated.

However, someone who can barely write a couple coherent sentences, would be baffled at how well AIs can put together sentences, paragraphs, and have a somewhat coherent train of thought through the entire text. People who struggled in school with writing an introduction and a conclusion will be amazed at AIs writing. They would maybe even assume that "those paragraphs actually add no meaning and are purely fluff" is a totally normal part of writing and not an AI artifact.

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2. stocksinsmocks ◴[09 Dec 25 16:02 UTC] No.46206458[source]▶
I’m impressed by getting the output of at least a mediocre developer at less than 1% of the cost. Brute force is an underrated strategy. I’ve been having a great experience.

That developers in the Hacker News comment bin report experiences that align with their personal financial interests doesn’t really dissuade me.