This is the kind of piece that becomes popular around the top of the hype cycle when people are trying to keep it going but can sense that perhaps Wiley E coyote has run off the cliff and is suspended in the air. Obviously, by any possible objective indicator, the cost of software development has barely budged and "AGI" is nowhere in the offing while luminary scientists appear to be drawn to whatever the next big thing is, having seen the limits of their (admittedly impressive) creation.
I'm sure that AI tools will be here to stay and will become more integrated and better. I wonder what the final result will be, -20% productivity as in the METR study? +20%? Anything like 90% is the kind of sensationalism reserved for r/WallStreetBets