(thorsell.io)

225 points todsacerdoti | 1 comments | 07 Dec 25 19:17 UTC | HN request time: 0s | source

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My success rate went way up by only making 4 estimates.

1 day

1 week

1 month

1 year

This communicates the level of uncertainty/complexity. 5 days is way too precise. But saying 1 week is more understandable if it becomes 2 weeks.

I don’t estimate in hours or use any number other than 1

replies(1): >>46185503 #

bdangubic ◴[07 Dec 25 21:47 UTC] No.46185503[source]▶

But saying 1 week is more understandable if it becomes 2 weeks.

Amazing to read this… everything wrong with our industry summed up neatly in one sentence :)

replies(1): >>46185766 #

Why is that a problem? It is an estimate. Not a hard commitment.

By definition estimate can be wrong

deely3 ◴[07 Dec 25 22:34 UTC] No.46185983{3}[source]▶

How often you spend a week doing 2-day job?

replies(1): >>46186004 #

1. bdangubic ◴[07 Dec 25 22:36 UTC] No.46186004{4}[source]▶

I’d be fired if that happened without a reasonable explanation why I was so terrible at the task I took on and let my team down by taking that long

Estimates are difficult for developers and product owners