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291 points meetpateltech | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
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lysecret ◴[] No.45957078[source]
Im pretty deep into this topic and what might be interesting to an outsider is that the leading models like neuralgcm/weathernext 1 before as well as this model now are all trained with a "crps" objective which I haven't seen at all outside of ml weather prediction.

Essentially you add random noise to the inputs and train by minimizing the regular loss (like l1) and at the same time maximizing the difference between 2 members with different random noise initialisations. I wonder if this will be applied to more traditional genai at some point.

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1. jasonmarks_ ◴[] No.45960250[source]
> Im pretty deep into this topic and what might be interesting to an outsider is that the leading models like neuralgcm/weathernext 1 before as well as this model now are all trained with a "crps" objective which I haven't seen at all outside of ml weather prediction.

You are a bit misleading here. The model is trained on historical data but each run off of new instrument readings will be generated a few times in an ensemble.