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249 points randycupertino | 3 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
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stego-tech ◴[] No.45949690[source]
I feel kinda bad for the writer, because it's a good question: no, curing patients is not a good business model, just like public transit is not a good business model.

What a lot of folks neglect are N+1-order effects, because those are harder to quantify and fail to reach the predetermined decision some executive or board or shareholder has already made. Is curing patients a bad business model? Sure, for the biotech company it is, but those cured patients are far more likely to go on living longer, healthier lives, and in turn contribute additional value to society - which will impact others in ways that may also create additional value. That doesn't even get into the jobs and value created through the R&D process, testing, manufacturing, logistics of delivery, ongoing monitoring, etc. As long as the value created is more than the cost of the treatment, then it's a net-gain for the economy even if it's a net loss for that singular business.

If all you're judging is the first-order impacts on a single business, you're missing the forest for the trees.

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anonymouskimmer ◴[] No.45949762[source]
If a person dies from a disorder in their 20s, they'll never buy your heart medication in their 70s. Today's patient is tomorrow's patient.
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stego-tech ◴[] No.45949795[source]
The longer someone lives, the more potential value they can contribute to a society. The opportunity cost is something we've figured out from a medical perspective, but shareholders want returns today, not returns fifty years from now.

That is what we need to address.

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1. itake ◴[] No.45950955{3}[source]
The government says that people can stop contributing to society when they reach 67. Some governments completely block you from continuing working.

Some governments recognize that the longer people life, the more pensions / social security / healthcare resources need to be paid to that person.

its much cheaper for governments for people to just die when they retire, tax their wealth at 40% and then free up resources (housing or healthcare) for the next generation.

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2. casey2 ◴[] No.45952598[source]
No, again because of secondary effects, which of course the government keeps track of both implicitly and explicitly.
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3. itake ◴[] No.45958540[source]
Can you elaborate on the secondary effects?