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212 points hypeatei | 5 comments | | HN request time: 0.914s | source
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iammjm ◴[] No.45948940[source]
Peter Thiel the guy that believes that the literal biblical antichrist is walking amongst us? How much rational thought can one really expect from this guy? I am not questioning AI being a good investment or not, I am questioning this dude's sanity
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BurningFrog ◴[] No.45949107[source]
I expect continued economic performance from a guy who went from nothing to... $25B was the latest number I heard.

Empirically, I don't think Christians do worse investments than us atheists, so rationally speaking I don't think it's much of a factor.

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1. bawolff ◴[] No.45949265[source]
> I expect continued economic performance from a guy who went from nothing to... $25B

I would expect a return to the mean

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2. manmal ◴[] No.45949311[source]
But why? He seems to know the right people, and is, uhm, ruthless - nothing changed.
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3. BurningFrog ◴[] No.45951103[source]
He's been making big bucks for 30 years. That is his mean.
4. bawolff ◴[] No.45954380[source]
I'll admit that im not all that familiar with his business dealings, but from what i understand most of his fortune comes from paypal, facebook and plantir. That's three high risk investments that really paid off. Impressive but at the end of the day, luck probably paid a big part as its a small number of very high yield investments. Over time i would expect his luck to balance out. I'm not saying he's going to lose all his money, but i'd expect it to grow at a more normal rate over the long term. I think its unlikely he will continue striking it rich in such a dramatic fashion over the long term.
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5. BurningFrog ◴[] No.45954537{3}[source]
Crunchbase lists a few hundred of his investments: https://www.crunchbase.com/person/peter-thiel

He's also written several books. "Zero to One" is very influential: https://www.amazon.com/stores/Peter-Thiel/author/B00J0W47NA