←back to thread

29 points madaxe_again | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
Show context
smj-edison ◴[] No.45784631[source]
> Powell’s framing echoes that view: The AI race, while frothy at times, is being financed mainly through corporate cash flow rather than speculative debt.

I think this is the most important line. Even if these companies are overvalued, I don't think there will be a nasty pop (this could change if banks start getting more involved, but so far it's been mainly company reserves and VC funding).

replies(6): >>45784685 #>>45784749 #>>45784770 #>>45784783 #>>45784818 #>>45784890 #
1. dathinab ◴[] No.45784685[source]
> corporate cash flow rather than speculative debt.

except that this doesn't quite add up IMHO

1. we have the current _speculation_ on an explosive need of both more data centers and energy if AI has a break through. This investments are mostly not from the big tech but VC/higher risk investment soured.

2. VC isn't always just private equity, I have seen enough rent founds, banks and similar acting as VC investors. Sure mostly by proxy, but they are doing that anyway.

3. 1st point also involves a lot of loans handled and resold by banks...

4. even with out all this a lot of founds are based on S&P 100 and similar. If the AI bubble goes pop before it's filled with enough magnetizable value a lot of the companies in there will lose a non negligible amount of valuation, which will have shock waves across much more then just "big companies".