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404 points voxleone | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.272s | source
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shadowgovt ◴[] No.45656096[source]
Anyone know the details of the scheduling situation here?

Is this a "SpaceX spread itself too thin and wasn't able to keep its own pre-agreed deadlines" situation or a "The government-specified contract was unrealistically aggressive / so vaguely-specified that it could not be realized within its original timetable" situation?

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terminalshort ◴[] No.45660192[source]
I think the situation here from NASAs perspective is that these were the choices:

1. Back a low risk moon mission that is basically a repeat of Apollo using proven, but extremely expensive tech that has a very low probability of failure.

2. Back a high risk strategy that relies on the development of new technology that can potentially deliver hundreds of tons of cargo to the lunar surface for a fraction of the cost of Apollo and support a sustained human presence on the lunar surface. This of course comes with a near 100% chance of significant delays and cost overruns, and also a high probability of total failure.

IMO NASA made the obviously correct choice here and it's not close. This is exactly the kind of thing that I want my tax money spent on.

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1. radu_floricica ◴[] No.45666109[source]
I'm not sure what your "obviously correct choice" here is, given the musk hate, but to me:

Option one basically lights a huge pile of money on fire, for a vanity goal.

Option two uses a much smaller pile of money to do something useful long term.