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    404 points voxleone | 19 comments | | HN request time: 0.001s | source | bottom
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    allenrb ◴[] No.45661384[source]
    There is just so much wrong with this from start to finish. Here are a few things, by no means inclusive:

    1. We’ve already beaten China to the moon by 56 years, 3 months, and some change. And counting.

    2. Nothing based around SLS is remotely serious. The cost and timeline of doing anything with it are unreasonable. It is an absolute dead-end. The SpaceX Super Heavy has been more capable arguably as early as the second flight test and certainly now. They could have built a “dumb” second stage at any time, but aren’t that short-sighted.

    3. Blue Origin? I’ve had high hopes for the guys for two decades now. Don’t hold your breath.

    4. Anyone else? Really, really don’t hold your breath.

    This whole “race to the moon, part II” is almost criminally stupid. Land on the moon when we can accomplish something there, not just to prove we haven’t lost our mojo since Apollo.

    replies(37): >>45661569 #>>45661650 #>>45661812 #>>45661864 #>>45662019 #>>45662078 #>>45662268 #>>45662530 #>>45662636 #>>45662805 #>>45662869 #>>45663083 #>>45663232 #>>45663254 #>>45664108 #>>45664333 #>>45664434 #>>45664870 #>>45665102 #>>45665180 #>>45665389 #>>45665607 #>>45665948 #>>45666137 #>>45666225 #>>45666739 #>>45667016 #>>45667353 #>>45667484 #>>45667622 #>>45668139 #>>45668273 #>>45671330 #>>45671920 #>>45674500 #>>45674624 #>>45680644 #
    Waterluvian ◴[] No.45662078[source]
    Re: 1. I think the America of Theseus mindset is a bit troubling. A lot of people like to identify with achievements that they played no role in. Based on zero expertise whatsoever, I have a sense that this is a bit self defeating. To be born a winner, to be taught you’re a winner… how can that be healthy?

    Today’s America scores zero points for its accomplishments of the past. But I think one way it can be a good thing is the, “we’ve done it before, we can do it again” attitude. Which is somewhat opposite to “we already won!”

    replies(11): >>45662345 #>>45662614 #>>45662879 #>>45663082 #>>45663420 #>>45663980 #>>45665687 #>>45666641 #>>45667851 #>>45668570 #>>45670573 #
    1. itsnowandnever ◴[] No.45662345[source]
    100% - given the resources we have, America is far underperforming at the moment
    replies(2): >>45662430 #>>45662457 #
    2. gpt5 ◴[] No.45662457[source]
    I really don't get this sentiment. 80% of orbital launches last year were Americans. The USA hasn't been this dominant in the space race since the 60s.
    replies(2): >>45662481 #>>45663871 #
    3. timschmidt ◴[] No.45662481[source]
    99% of those were SpaceX
    replies(1): >>45662539 #
    4. gpt5 ◴[] No.45662539{3}[source]
    Exactly. The US private space industry is thriving and profitable. That's exactly what makes it so efficient and dominant.
    replies(4): >>45662665 #>>45662818 #>>45662889 #>>45668655 #
    5. Waterluvian ◴[] No.45662665{4}[source]
    Capitalism is incredibly efficient this way and it really should be appreciated as being such an advantage. I wonder if it’s not a free advantage though. I suspect there’s a risk that it might diminish the ability to accomplish projects that aren’t compatible with capitalism. Ie. ROI isn’t sufficiently short term, ROI is socialized, no ROI at all, excessive risk.

    An open question as I really don’t have an answer either way: what’s the last mega project the U.S. succeeded in completing that wasn’t directly tied to a short term business plan? Something for future generations or a major environmental project or a transportation or infrastructure project, etc.

    replies(1): >>45663115 #
    6. harimau777 ◴[] No.45662818{4}[source]
    The private space industry doesn't belong to the US, it belongs to the billionaires.

    We might even be better to have no one advancing space travel than to have only the billionaires doing it. At least then they can't find some way to use it to screw us over.

    replies(1): >>45664277 #
    7. monooso ◴[] No.45662889{4}[source]
    Genuine question, is it profitable because of government contracts?
    replies(3): >>45662987 #>>45663394 #>>45663410 #
    8. iknowstuff ◴[] No.45662987{5}[source]
    nah Starlink is the money printer
    9. QuadmasterXLII ◴[] No.45663115{5}[source]
    I mean, falcon 9 reusability is a decent example, if 13 years from work starts to reusability is proven commercially viable counts as a long term business plan.
    10. ls612 ◴[] No.45663394{5}[source]
    SpaceX exists because of commercial resupply but that was still a good deal for the government since it was cheaper than the shuttles or buying extra Soyuz cargo launches.
    11. rowanG077 ◴[] No.45663410{5}[source]
    I don't know. I also don't know why that is relevant. Just because a business is selling a good or service to the government doesn't mean it's not competitive, dominant, efficient or really anything.
    12. zm262 ◴[] No.45663871[source]
    US dominates with SpaceX internet project. For moon landing it's far behind at this point.
    replies(2): >>45664065 #>>45664135 #
    13. briandw ◴[] No.45664065{3}[source]
    Far behind who? China still doesn’t have a Falcon 9 competitor, let alone Starship.
    replies(1): >>45668082 #
    14. ◴[] No.45664135{3}[source]
    15. parineum ◴[] No.45664277{5}[source]
    SpaceX isn't a billionaire.
    replies(2): >>45665014 #>>45672325 #
    16. mysecretaccount ◴[] No.45665014{6}[source]
    Clearly the poster is saying that SpaceX is "the billionaires".

    SpaceX is majority owned by billionaires.

    17. m4rtink ◴[] No.45668082{4}[source]
    Thez certainly have some Falcon 9 clones in full scale testing - would not he surprised if they have it working in a year or two, there is just too much money on the table.
    18. ◴[] No.45668655{4}[source]
    19. harimau777 ◴[] No.45672325{6}[source]
    It's not a billionaire but it is owned by a billionaire.