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521 points hd4 | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
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hunglee2 ◴[] No.45643396[source]
The US attempt to slow down China's technological development succeeds on the basis of preventing China from directly following the same path, but may backfire in the sense it forces innovation by China in a different direction. The overall outcome for us all may be increase efficiency as a result of this forced innovation, especially if Chinese companies continue to open source their advances, so we may in the end have reason to thank the US for their civilisational gate keeping
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rzerowan ◴[] No.45643584[source]
Fingers crossed for convergence rather than divergence in the technical standards.Although the way hings are going it looks like the 2 stacks will diverge sooner rather than later , with the US+ banning the use of CHN models while simultaneosly banning the export of it quasi-open models. We may very well end up in a situation like the old PAL vs NTSC video standard where the PAL(EU/Asia/AFrica) and NTSC(America's/Japan) gradually converged with the adoption of digital formats. Instead here would be a divergence based on geopolitical considerations.
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1. hunglee2 ◴[] No.45643728[source]
positive take: a bifurcated tech tree might give us (humanity) a better chance of faster advancement, as it would be a persistent A/B test in live environment. Where I would join you in the crossing of fingers is to ensure such A/B testing is competitive but not destructive. We may even evolve to a situation of complementarity, an American Ying vs the Chinese Yang. Lets hope so!