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522 points pykello | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0.405s | source
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stevefan1999 ◴[] No.45536755[source]
Looks like this would prompt Maduro to kill her, and gave US a reason to invade Venezula.
replies(2): >>45536849 #>>45537122 #
sien ◴[] No.45537122[source]
The US attacking Venezuela before 2026 is now at 31% on metaculus.

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39336/us-attacks-venezue...

replies(1): >>45537336 #
1. pjc50 ◴[] No.45537336[source]
Bit late for that, they've already murdered some random Venezuelans at sea.
replies(1): >>45538598 #
2. zamadatix ◴[] No.45538598[source]
I don't think that met either of the criteria:

> This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2026, the United States carries out a military attack against Venezuela's territory or military forces.