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392 points lairv | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.202s | source
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HAL3000 ◴[] No.45528648[source]
All of the examples in videos are cherry picked. Go ask anyone working on humanoid robots today, almost everything you see here, if repeated 10 times, will enter failure mode because the happy path is so narrow. There should really be benchmarks where you invite robots from different companies, ask them beforehand about their capabilities, and then create an environment that is within those capabilities but was not used in the training data, and you will see the real failure rate. These things are not ready for anything besides tech demos currently. Most of the training is done in simulations that approximate physics, and the rest is done manually by humans using joysticks (almost everything they do with hands). Failure rates are staggering.
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ipnon ◴[] No.45529270[source]
Now the question is if this is GPT-2 and we’re a decade away from autonomous androids given some scaling and tweaks, or if autonomous androids is just an extremely hard problem.
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lossolo ◴[] No.45529367[source]
https://www.figure.ai/company

"Building Figure won’t be an easy win; it will require decades of commitment and ingenuity."

"Our focus is on what we can achieve 5, 10, 20+ years from now, not the near-term wins."

At least it's not Musk's forever "next year".

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1. phatskat ◴[] No.45529512[source]
Musk really missed an opportunity to promise wrecking the govt “next year” - we all would’ve rolled our eyes a la “fully autonomous driving next year” and been eating our hats by now