All vibe coding tools are selling a get rich quick scheme

I sit on a few indie hacker rooms with folks that slurped up the vibe coding koolaid immediately and they've been posting about their 100x output for over a year now - but none of them have shipped anything remotely successful - so I think at least anecdotally I somewhat agree.

I also just overall haven't seen a huge influx of new and useful apps and websites as you'd expect based on how tech leaders are talking about the virtues of these new tools.

I don't think AI has really found it's niche yet, and I think it's going to be much subtler than most people think, it's going to be the tools that integrate features like translations and summarization and speech to text in ways that are seamless that end up sticking - all of this other noise is just marketing hype.

100x of zero is still zero

As some other people here have put it in previous discussions about claims from AI companies, if they really believed what they were saying about replacing developers, they wouldn't be hiring.

I think what a lot of people fail to grasp is that the hard/expensive part about running an app based business is rarely writing the app.

Most web developers can clone twitter in a day, even before LLMs. I've seen it assigned as homework for bootcamp devs (not knocking bootcamp devs, just pointing out that it isn't a tall ask even for a junior. Most apps aren't hard to code to an MVP.

The hard part about an app based business is the business part. Marketing, billing, and getting actual revenue and customers is much harder than writing code.