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190 points erwinmatijsen | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.512s | source
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arowthway ◴[] No.45113659[source]
This is super cool but the ending is bizarre.

> A comment on the YouTube video below complained, “Not a word about return on investment in the presentation. That means it’ll never pay off” MAGAlomaniacs are everywhere these days.

Given the supposed 50+ year lifespan of such a battery, I find it hard to believe it doesn't turn a profit at some point. And I understand that debunking low-effort accusations is asymmetric warfare. But why cite a random YouTube comment if you have no intention of addressing its claims? A more charitable interpretation is that it's meant to ragebait the readers. But to me, it seems like trying to make people feel ashamed for having doubts, by making a public example of a skeptic.

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kragen ◴[] No.45114440[source]
If, say, further insulating your house or building a sand battery will pay for itself in 50 years, it's a bad investment, financially speaking, and probably environmentally speaking as well. You can deploy "the same amount" of resources in something else with a higher ROI, like maybe solar panels with a one-year payback, and get a much bigger benefit. This is an important consideration as long as you are constrained by some kind of resource limitation.

So I think ROI is a first-order consideration.

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bryanlarsen ◴[] No.45114692[source]
Finland is the only country in the world where solar isn't the cheapest form of electricity because they get so little sun and they have good alternatives.
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hulium ◴[] No.45115007[source]
Certainly not the only country. Iceland is even more extreme in this regard and unlike Finland it is powered by 100% renewables, hydro and geothermal energy. In Finland the only good renewable alternative is wood/biomass.
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bryanlarsen ◴[] No.45115386[source]
Seems reasonable. I'll have to dig up my source to double check. Maybe they just didn't have Iceland data in their set? It's certainly a surprising result to see other non-sunny places like the UK, Germany, Norway & Sweden have solar as their cheapest energy source.
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kragen ◴[] No.45116514[source]
It's hard to get really solid estimates for solar costs because they've been dropping so precipitously, and because they depend on so many ancillary factors: wiring, inspections, permitting, power electronics, storage, and so on. Getting solid estimates for solar return on investment is even harder, because it depends on the future price of energy.
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bryanlarsen ◴[] No.45116801[source]
Yes, it's certainly possible that Iceland is better for solar than Finland not because of its sunlight, but because of those myriad extra factors.
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ponector ◴[] No.45119996[source]
I'm sure there is no sense in solar energy in Iceland due to strong winds there as well as geothermal energy.

It's sad they are building gas-powered data centers in US instead of powered by renewables in Iceland.

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kragen ◴[] No.45120814[source]
Windmills can be surprisingly expensive. https://www.eia.gov/analysis/studies/powerplants/capitalcost... is not up-to-date, but I think the windmill prices in it have changed a lot less than the solar prices; the 200 MW onshore project they price out there comes to US$1265/kW (US$1.27/W), of which something like 61% is the windmills themselves. Low-cost photovoltaic solar modules currently cost €0.055/W (US$0.065/W), lower by more than an order of magnitude https://www.solarserver.de/photovoltaik-preis-pv-modul-preis....

So, at equal cost, the alternative to a megawatt of windmills may not be a megawatt of solar panels, but 10 megawatts of solar panels. And that can compensate for their lower capacity factor.

I don't think people are building gas-powered data centers in the US. There's a data center crunch in the US because people aren't building them because they can't get the power because of the US's anti-renewable-energy policies.

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ponector ◴[] No.45130551[source]
Difference is massive, but price of land should be also accounted for. Solar uses 5 times more land per MW.

The solution is to develop everything, all kinds of renewables.

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1. bryanlarsen ◴[] No.45130758[source]
You can buy land in the desert for under $1000 an acre. There are places you can buy farmland for under $10000 an acre.